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Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

  • Nomadland 13/2
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 15/2
  • Minari 17/2

Best Director

  • Chloe Zhao 82/25
  • David Fincher 9/2
  • Aaron Sorkin 11/2

Best Actress

  • Carey Mulligan 37/10
  • Viola Davis 4/1
  • Frances McDormand 4/1

Best Actor

  • Chadwick Boseman 10/3
  • Anthony Hopkins 4/1
  • Riz Ahmed 9/2

Best Supporting Actress

  • Olivia Colman 4/1
  • Yuh-Jung Youn 9/2
  • Glenn Close 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Daniel Kaluuya 37/10
  • Sacha Baron Cohen 4/1
  • Leslie Odom, Jr. 4/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Nomadland 69/20
  • One Night in Miami 4/1
  • The Father 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 71/20
  • Promising Young Woman 9/2
  • Minari 9/2

Grammy Nominations 2021

Predictions

Record of the Year

  • Blinding Lights 4/1
  • Don't Start Now 13/2
  • Circles 15/2
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    chem_x
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    January 5, 2021 at 12:07 pm #1203964292

    Part of me thinks that performers were backing out/didn’t get a chance to pre-record anything for the show. With film/tv potentially shutting down in California it’s too late for that now.

    However, everyone predicted that January would be awful so they should’ve instructed people to film early… terrible planning on their part.

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    January 5, 2021 at 12:05 pm #1203964275

    I think this is really embarrassing and silly on their part. They knew what January would look like and still didn’t plan a virtual show.

    I mean the winners won’t be affected but smh, they’ve made mistake after mistake this year.

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    chem_x
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    January 5, 2021 at 11:52 am #1203964214

    the Grammys are a complete mess this year.

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    January 4, 2021 at 6:50 am #1203961259

    The only reason Life Is Good COULD win is bc Director X is a respected veteran in the industry. I don’t think it will beat out a big pop hit or Beyoncé, but any support LIG has is due to its director, not how big the video is.

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    January 3, 2021 at 10:10 am #1203959738

    After the past few years I am never betting against Anderson. I always lose points bc of him 💀

    now if this backfires I’ll be mad, but Lockdown is my final prediction

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    chem_x
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    January 3, 2021 at 10:05 am #1203959723

    I think Do It has a real chance bc the typical Beyoncé voters (whether they work with/for her or are big fans) will want to see her protégés go home with a win. They’ve also been everywhere. If anyone can beat Bey in the R&B categories, it’s her mentees.

    That being said, I wouldn’t be surprised by any of the outcomes. Black Parade wasn’t a big song and didn’t have a visual, which weakens the chances fo a sweep. But betting against Beyoncé is always a risk.

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    chem_x
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    December 18, 2020 at 7:40 am #1203929352

    I love that Fiona knows about Deborah Dugan. At least someone remembers that legend.

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    chem_x
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    December 13, 2020 at 10:51 pm #1203918487

    this category was amazing jeez

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    December 13, 2020 at 10:20 am #1203916808
    Lemon wrote:

    Period!! Black artists sticking to their own cultural award shows is screaming segregation to me. The grammys need to be made more inclusive and diverse if they’re claiming to represent the entire music industry.

    I don’t really expect this to happen, but the argument that black artists are wrong for caring about the Grammys is just aggravating. And I’ve said this before, but some black artists DO have a better track record at the Grammys than BET, Soul Train, etc. so telling them not to care is even weirder.

    Ultimately I agree that black artists should accept the Grammys for what they are and move on, but it will take a massive culture shift for that to happen. And like I said above, a black award show that’s genre inclusive needs to happen as well.

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    chem_x
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    December 13, 2020 at 9:23 am #1203916668
    Monsoon 🌊 wrote:

    Black artists should put more significance on award shows that celebrate our culture. Opposed to seeking acceptance from an industry that never favored us in the first place.

    There used to be a time when winning a Soul Train, BET, Source, Vibe, or Image award was a major deal.

    Until these award shows 1) expand their categories past R&B/gospel/rap 2) stop being messy for clickbait (BET i’m talking to you) this will never happen

    it’s also continually messed up that some of the biggest, most acclaimed, most impactful, etc. artists in the industry should expect nothing from the Grammys just because they’re black. they are still in the music industry and in a just world would get their dues at both black and industry award shows.

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    chem_x
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    December 9, 2020 at 9:40 pm #1203907108
    rue wrote:

    Is this the first time we had an insider actually leak nominations? I’ve never heard of that happening.

    Yes and it turned me off even more from the nomination process. Like, why does a random insider know the details on Taylor’s nominations? Not just the amount but the specific awards?

    Does that stuff leak within the industry? Are we getting delayed grammy meltdowns/celebrations on nomination day or what…? Or do only certain artists have access to that info? Again, that was a truly WEIRD aspect of this nomination cycle that preceded an extremely weird set of nominations.

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    chem_x
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    December 8, 2020 at 5:30 pm #1203904379

    Taylor will be fine, but “Taylor Swift won 3 AOTYs before [insert black artist here] won at all” will certainly be a social media refrain. The same will happen to Adele if/when she wins.

    They will both be fine, but to act like that won’t happen is kinda silly.

    And Taylor losing will only cause backlash if someone like Coldplay wins. Even then, I think swifties (to be fair, there are a lot of them) would be the only ones genuinely upset.

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    chem_x
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    December 8, 2020 at 11:25 am #1203903653

    SOTY by the numbers:

    The Box – 8,138,000
    Circles – 6,601,000
    Don’t Start Now – 4,117,000
    Everything I Wanted – 3,493,000
    If The World Was Ending – 2,069,000
    Cardigan – 1,047,000
    Black Parade – 349k
    I Can’t Breathe – 72k

    https://m.hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=324354&title=GRAMMY-NOMS-BY-THE-NUMBERS%3A-SOTY

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    chem_x
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    December 8, 2020 at 11:01 am #1203903575
    M wrote:

    https://hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=324333&title=A-MESSAGE-FROM-HMJ-AND-GRAMMY-ON-VOTING

    “Remember, the prestige of the GRAMMY comes from the expertise of our membership. As a voting member, you are uniquely qualified to pick the winners for Music’s Biggest Night. But the process only works if you vote based on the quality of the nominated recordings alone. Please do not engage in any vote trading, as it not only goes directly against our rules, but more importantly, it does a disservice to your peers.”

    This is probably the first year that an emphasis is put on this in an address to the voters. I wonder if it could be an indication that the leadership has suspicions about the very random nominations we’ve seen this year.

    vote trading? that’s an interesting phrase to say the least.

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    chem_x
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    December 3, 2020 at 3:15 pm #1203892931
    Brayfers wrote:

    Megan or Phoebe should win, but time and time again The Grammys have shown that they would rather reward and up and coming pop star / act over much more deserving artists see:

    Meghan Trainor over James Bay
    Alessia Cara over SZA
    Dua Lipa over H.E.R.
    Fun. over Frank Ocean

    Doja Cat is the most likely choice to benefit from that.

    of course, there have been exceptions like Bon Iver and Esperanza Spalding, but this trend has been occurring in more recent years.

    I could also see Phoebe pulling off a win through vote splitting between Megan, D Smoke, and Doja, but not too sure. I don’t really know if Doja will attract THAT many rap votes, while she has clear pop support.

    Chika will also steal votes from Megan as well.

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