Bale

runner up: Driver 

Noah Baumbach for Best Original Screenplay

Well obviously that was because in the early days of award season, MS on a relative scale, had tiny interest or awareness about it in comparison to Joker’s 1 Billion Dollar Box Office and PR frenzy. People like Driver and Banderas needed critics support to launch their names into contention and bolster their chances in a particularly packed year…[Read more]

2010: Black Swan
2011: The Tree of Life
2012: Silver Linings Playbook
2013: Her
2014: Intersteller
2015: Sicario
2016: La La Land
2017: You Were Never Really Here
2018: The Favourite
2019: Marriage Story

1. Marriage Story
2. Parasite
3. Little Women
4. 1917
5. Jojo Rabbit
6. The Irishman
7. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
8. Ford v Ferrari
9. Joker

I think more likely it’ll be Greta’s consolation prize.

I think if anyone upsets Zellweger it’ll be Johansson.

– She’s a double-sag nominee, she’s been working in hollywood since she was 9yo.

– Worked with so many actors over the years

– Has recognisability and familiarity with AFTRA too with her Marvel connections.

Ford v Ferrari – Ken Miles slows down

The Irishman – Frank tells Jimmy “it’s what it is”

Jojo Rabbit – Jojo sees Rosie’s Shoes, heroes song ending

Joker – Train Scene

Little Women – I’m so lonely scene between Jo and Marme

Marriage Story – Fight scene. Letter Reading

1917 – Night Window

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood – Ending

Paras…[Read more]

Ensemble: OUATIH
Actor: Phoenix
Actress: Johansson
Supporting actor: Pitt
Supporting actress: Dern

Greta Gerwig for Adapted Screenplay

Noah Baumbach for Original Screenplay

Lulu Wang and Barry Jenkins

1. Marriage Story
2. Parasite
3. Little Women
4. 1917
5. Jojo Rabbit
6. The Irishman
7. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
8. Ford v Ferrari
9. Joker

Greta is winning adapted as I predicted back in November. Tarantino will in original, although I wouldn’t count out Marriage Story as a spoiler to win. Especially it’ll be hard to tell what the writers branch prefer as Tarantino wasn’t eligible at WGA

this is a symptom of the condensed award season schedule im afraid

All very worthy, but personally. Her performances in Brooklyn and Little Women are the best

well lets be real, this year was the year of dad movies:

ouatih, the irishman, ford v ferrari, joker, 1917,  jojo rabbit

Awkwafina.

The fact that if Awkwafina gets an Oscar nomination, she’ll be the first asian women JUST to be nominated for best actress.

slots 1-4 are 99% locked

1. Bong
2. Tarantino
3. Scorcese
4. Mendes

the 5th spot could go to Phillips, Watiti or Gerwig. At this point, I think Spielberg’s backing, influence over the academy and mentorship of Gerwig coupled with the backlash of lack of female representation at the guild nominations will help her sneak in.

Portrait of a Lady on Fire or The Lighthouse in cinematography. Perhaps, Song Kang Ho or Zhao Shuzhen in a supporting category.

Interesting I think best actor will be the most unexpected because there are so many brits in contention and bafta love to give them noms.

We’ve got potential spots for Bale, Pryce, Mackay, Egerton even Roman from Jojo.

So that leaves us with a very crowded category that could snub DiCaprio or DeNiro even Banderas. I’m having a tough time…[Read more]