[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202934182

If Years and Years breaks through in the US when it eventually airs on HBO, it has major potential for Limited Series category nominations. I believe it’s airing in June/July, so it has time to build a cult audience. It’s incredible. Emma Thompson and Russell Tovey are my stand-outs so far, but there are some great performances by some lesser known actors as well. It’s shocking and addictive and already making a splash in the UK.

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[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202927577

Jonas Brothers are getting solid reviews… with a hit song that already hit number one and has longevity that should see it through the summer, I can’t help but think they will get a few nominations. I could see this as the obvious Pop Duo/Group winner, likely Pop Album nomination and maybe ROTY/SOTY.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202917632

Katy Perry did not hold back on this single. It seems like a battlecry for her career and it’s her best since Teenage Dream in my mind. It’s catchy, summery, anthemic and empowering. I hope it takes off and I do hope she ends up with a Grammy. This feels more like a Pop Solo winner than thank u, next. I think radio will really grab onto it. Plus she has the comeback storyline.

Camila and Mark’s song is super fun too. I don’t see it being huge, but I’ve already played it a few times.

Cardi B’s new one seems like a throw away. Her fans have been waiting for it and it’s fine, but seems more like a deep cut on an album.

Miley’s album is more like Dead Petz… It’s fun, but will disappear.

Two under the radar songs that are solid are King Princess’s and Tove Lo’s new ones. Also, Sleater-Kinney’s St Vincent produced single and Rosalia’s are great!

It’s a good new music Friday!

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[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202897816

Big day for new music…

Tyler, the Creator’s new one is fantastic and has a lot of buzz. It hit number 1 on Apple Music, outpacing DJ Khaled.

With that… DJ Khaled has a few tracks on that album that could contenders, the SZA one and the Nipsey/John Legend ones in particular. The video for the SZA track is also pretty epic.

Halsey’s new song and video will keep her relevant throughout the summer and maybe lead to a full album before the season runs out.

The National’s reviews are good enough for Alternative Album nomination, but I think it’s Vampire Weekend’s to win and they’ll have the AOTY alternative / rock push

Carly Rae’s reviews are really good, but the album won’t have the commercial success needed to get into the Grammy’s and the reviews aren’t CRAZY good to push her like Lorde, Kacey or Janelle.

Megan Thee Stallion is a major BNA contender and could get into some rap categories.

Chance the Rapper’s new song… meh.

Lewis Capaldi… not enough buzz to breakthrough.

Maluma… a really fun latin summer album.

The Black Keys, Madonna and Bruce Springsteen all released album tracks, but none are really going to push them into commercial success yet. Their albums need to get great reviews or sell well to make an impact with the Grammys.

Rammstein… not my thing, but maybe big enough to get some Rock field love.

Old Town Road video solidifies it as a contender in a few categories and should keep it at number one for a few more weeks.

I Don’t Care’s video… meh.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202895945

Mavis Staples has a new album this month that will definitely be an Americana contender. She could go the way of John Prine and just stay in the field categories, but could have potential to cross over to AOTY if it’s as well received as it’s buzzed to be. It started a preview streaming online today. She’s definitely more accepted with a younger audience than most aging Americana singers. She still does the festival circuit.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202895940

Yeah, like I said, nominations are very likely now that it’s proven to be a blockbuster of a song and should continue throughout the summer with the release of what looks like a solid video coming on Friday. I could see ROTY, BNA (if he has a follow-up hit), Rap/Sung or Country Duo/Group or Pop Duo/Group, Remixed Recording for Diplo and Music Video (if the still is any indication it’ll be well shot and has some Tarantino vibes). Winning is a whole other situation though, the buzz will definitely die off by next year, but it’s hard to ignore that people love this song and it’s not just a joke or viral song. It’s an actual hit.

MiguelTwentyFive wrote:

Old Town Road won’t win any Grammys this January. Period.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202895510

I’d love to see Carly Rae climb up as a critical darling and get some Grammy love. She VERY likely won’t as there’s no committee for pop and I don’t see her touching the general field, but one can dream.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202895507

If only Truth Hurts by Lizzo was eligible because it is on its way to big time summer hit.

As for Old Time Road… it has now blocked Taylor Swift, Justin Bieber/Ed Sheeran and Shawn Mendes from hitting number one. It has the kind of buzz of a Despacito. It will likely get nominations within categories like ROTY or Rap/Sung, but probably will have the buzz die off by February too much to actually win, but it’s hard to ignore what a massive hit it is. AND… dare I say, it’s not actually horrible for a viral hit.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202892600

I really think the committee will block A Star is Born soundtrack. It would really feel like a rehash of what was celebrated last year. The album really wasn’t what was so huge, it was Lady Gaga at the Oscars and Shallow. The album sold well, but it’s like Greatest Showman… it’s not really a great album, but people go out and buy it to relive the movie without actually watching the movie. Lady Gaga should release something before the end of the summer and this talk of it getting in AOTY will likely fizzle. It already feels like ages ago that it was out and I really feel people got exhausted of Shallow by the end of the season, which is the song people think of when they think of that movie. This is not a blast on Gaga or the awards it received, it would just feel VERY lacklustre in 8-9 months time.

I feel like it’s between these 12 so far…

Beyoncé
The Black Keys
Chance the Rapper
Billie Eilish
Ariana Grande
Lizzo
The National
Anderson .Paak
Solange
Bruce Springsteen
George Strait
Vampire Weekend

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202892350

Mendes hit number 2 on the Hot 100. I feel this song will have longevity if he continues to promote it and it’s not a one-off single that fizzles. It seems like a summer radio grower and could likely land him in the SOTY and Pop Vocal Performance this year if the momentum grows. People just really like the kid, he has a voice, he’s inoffensive, but his songs keep getting a bit better.

Bieber / Sheeran need to release the video this week or it could lose the buzz quickly. It could also be a big radio hit this summer if they promote it. Shawn Mendes definitely does a better job working the promo machine than either of them, so I expect his generic white-guy pop song to do better.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202889863

Jamila Woods’ Legacy! Legacy! is getting incredible reviews (92 on MC after 8 reviews) and is definitely going to be an R&B contender. The panel will eat her up. Technically she could be a BNA contender despite her last album being a critical success. She has yet to break through on a commercial level, but she’s a sure thing on the critic lists at the end of the year.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202888691

Pop Album
The 1975 – A Brief Inquiry into Online Relationships (Alt or Rock ??)
BTS – Map of the Soul: Persona
Billie Eilish – WHEN WE ALL FALL ASLEEP, WHERE DO WE GO?
Ariana Grande – thank u, next
Carly Rae Jepsen – Dedicated
Jonas Brothers – Happiness Begins
Madonna – Madame X
P!nk – Hurts 2B Human
Mark Ronson – Late Night Feelings
Taylor Swift – ??

Dance / Electronic Album contenders
Avicii – TIM
The Chemical Brothers – No Geography
Clean Bandit – What is Love?
Flume – Hi This Is Flume
Flying Lotus – Flamagra (Jazz ??)
RL Grime – NOVA
Hot Chip – A Bath Full of Ecstasy
LCD Soundsystem – Electric Lady Sessions (Alt ??)
LSD – LABRINTH, SIA & DIPLO PRESENT… LSD
Robyn – Honey

Alternative Album contenders:
Beck – ?? (Pop ??)
Big Thief – U.F.O.F.
James Blake – Assume Form
Sharon Van Etten – Remind Me Tomorrow
Aldous Harding – Designer
The National – I am Easy to Find
Tame Impala – ?? (Rock ??)
Vampire Weekend – Father of the Bride
Weyes Blood – Titanic Rising

Rock Album contenders:
The Black Keys – “Let’s Rock”
Bring Me the Horizon – amo
Cage the Elephant – Social Cues
Gary Clark Jr. – This Land
The Cranberries – In the End (Alt ??)
Hozier – Wasteland, Baby!
Mumford and Sons – Delta
Imagine Dragons – Origins (Pop ??)
Bruce Springsteen – Western Stars
twenty one pilots – Trench
Weezer – Weezer

R&B Album contenders
India.Arie – Worthy
Mariah Carey – Caution
Fantasia – ??
H.E.R. – I Used to Know Her: Part 2
Joji – Ballads 1 (U/C ??)
Ella Mai – Ella Mai (U/C ??)
Monica – Chapter 38
Solange – When I Get Home (U/C ??)
Jamila Woods – Legacy! Legacy!

Urban Contemporary Album contenders
Beyoncé – HOMECOMING: THE LIVE ALBUM
Ciara – Beauty Marks (R&B ??)
Juice WRLD – Death Race for Love (Rap ??)
Kehlani – While We Wait
Khalid – Free Spirit
Lizzo – Cuz I Love You
NAV – Bad Habits
Anderson .Paak – Ventura
Summer Walker – Last Day of Summer (R&B ??)

Rap Album contenders
2 Chainz – Rap or Go to the League
21 Savage – i am > i was
A Boogie Wit da Hoodie – Hoodie SZN
Chance the Rapper – ??
City Girls – Girl Code
Little Simz – Grey Area
Logic – Confessions of a Dangerous Mind
Meek Mill – Championships
Megan Thee Stallion – Fever
Offset – FATHER OF 4
ScHoolboy Q – CrasH Talk

Country Album contenders
Brooks & Dunn – Reboot
Luke Bryan – ??
Eric Church – Desperate Man
Maren Morris – GIRL
Willie Nelson – Ride Me Back Home
Pistol Annies – Interstate Gospel
Thomas Rhett – Center Point Road
Blake Shelton – ??
George Strait – Honky Tonk Time Machine
Keith Urban – ??
Brett Young – Ticket to L.A.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202885354

I didn’t think J. Cole submitted KOD. Maybe I’m wrong. If he submits Middle Child it’s definitely a contender in Rap Song and Performance.

cL94 wrote:

He did submit a few songs/his album.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202885352

It sounds like Ed and Justin’s song could be a family-friendly summer bop. I expect it to be a hit from the clip I heard, along the lines of Can’t Stop the Feeling and Happy. Yeah… it’s for Angry Birds 2… but I feel it’ll be forgotten quickly that it was for the movie and continue on through the summer. Grammy’s tend to take a break from artists, like Ed Sheeran, after they had a big success and I feel like they did that with Divide. I think they’ll go back to feeling OK about rewarding him in the General categories and it’s an easy Visual Media / Pop Duo nomination.

[ScottyDogParticipant Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 154 View Predictions]

#1202884115

Chance is releasing a new album in the summer. Expect that to get the mainstream vote. So far Meek Mill, Chance the Rapper, 21 Savage and Tyler the Creator seem like the frontrunners.