[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203282707

In recent memory, maybe last year’s. The Favourite aside, little from that Best Picture lineup stuck with me and the Actor category was historically weak.

 

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203282627

Jojo Rabbit and The Irishman have the toughest sells. The Irishman is 2nd in a lot of categories probably, but noticeably behind. Jojo Rabbit doesn’t really have any super likely category at all – Screenplay isn’t that strong.

If I could tell myself at the start of the season that The Irishman would be this year’s American Hustle, I would laugh.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203282553

0. Willem Dafoe (I will part ways with this forum and return a wearier soul)

1. Antonio Banderas

2. Florence Pugh

3. Renee Zelwegger

4. Tom Hanks

5. Al Pacino

6. Saoirse Ronan

7. Scarlett Johannson (Marriage Story)

8. Adam Driver

9. Joe Pesci

10. Scarlett Johannson (Jojo’s Bizarre Rabbit)

11. Leonardo Dicaprio

12. Laura Dern

13. Brad Pitt

14. Joaquin Pheonix

15. Margot Robbie

16. Charlize Theron

17. Jonathon Pryce

18. zzzz

19. Cynthia Erivo

20. Kathy Bates

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203275134

Faux architect wrote:

George MacKay should be nominated solely for being a certified hunk.

Speaking of snacks that should get a nomination, Robert Pattinson can make me his mermaid any day <3

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203275130

Daniel Craig or Adam Sandler as the 5th Best Actor nominee somehow.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203275124

I agree with the premise of this thread in that there will be a fight between these three for the last slot…

I just think it will be for the 9th slot with Ford V Ferrari in contention as the 4th that is weaker than some argue.

My prediction of the order is

1. Knives Out
2. The Farewell
3. Fordnite
4. I Got Two Popes One For The Plug and One for the Load

1: Knives Out just has this likeability to it and is a serious likely nominee for screenplay. I can see this being on a lot of ballots, and having some vocal voter fans.

2: The Farewell has underperformed in some precursors, but this has one huge advantage over the other 3 – a serious performance contender for a nominee in Awkwafina. A screenplay nomination could also happen, but this film’s weaker performance and subtitle barrier for some means it sadly isn’t the #1 in my prediction.

3: Ford V Ferrari is a film I have long been cynical about chances of. Unlike my early Joker cynicism, this paid off pretty well. It didn’t get much Golden Globes buzz or BAFTA. It does have the advantage of a likely handsome collection of technical awards nominations coming, but the near absence of Bale in a relatively mild year for Actor nominations speaks to this underperformance.

4: The Two Popes could’ve happened in an alternate timeline. This isn’t that timeline. Hopkins might Hopkins his way to an undeserved nomination, but the film itself is weak as a candidate, arguably peaking too early into the precursors race.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203275118

Not going to lie, Willem Dafoe and Portrait of A Lady on Fire are both tempting options, but I would go a Promare in Best Animated Feature.

Studio Trigger has been a rough-edged underdog in Japanese animation, having some incredibly rocky shows and chaotic progression despite some amazing talent.

With this, their first movie, they managed to make the planets align and created a ridiculous action masterpiece. Like the other great action movie of the 2010s Mad Max Fury Road, it is both tightly constructed and subversive in themes, with a progressive bent and real character moments making the stakes add up. It is funny, chaotic, and ludicrous. It might be my favourite movie of 2019, since Parasite is cooling on me.

• This reply was modified 2 weeks, 1 day ago by  Cordelia.
• This reply was modified 2 weeks, 1 day ago by  Cordelia.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203274919

I think if Once Upon A Time In Hollywood and/or 1917 lose enough momentum, Parasite benefits more. Parasite is a more universal and accessible film than Roma, enough so that I think it’s a stronger Best Picture candidate than that film*. The language barrier is a big one for some American voters, but I predict that in the 2020s we will get a non-English language Best Picture winner.

* I would argue 2nd place in that year wasn’t Roma but Bohemian Rhapsody. That film’s ridiculous level of cross-branch support and wins on that night help my case.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203274915

• Knives Out Best Picture
• Best Director for Pain and Glory
• Willem Dafoe returns for The Lighthouse, as summoned by my blood magic
• Weathering With You or Promare in Animation, preventing another year of all-western mediocrity

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203274876

After watching Bomb hell, I think Charlize might be my least favourite in the likely Actress field. Yeah, she’s a good actress generally and she tries to disappear into the role, but it feels more like a parody of Megyn Kelly than a portrayal of her. This is partially down to the script, which basically makes Fox News’ propaganda into whacky nonsense (that’s why the Santa stuff is there).

This isn’t really her fault, but the godawful script and direction’s. That having been said, she couldn’t redeem this mess. God willing, the Academy will give her nomination slot to Lupita.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203274868

In an alternate universe where the Academy gave The Lighthouse the respect it deserves, this would be what the nominations look like. So much better taste.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203272873

Donated blood and had excess leakage so blood sacrifice to Dafoe’s nomination it is.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203272802

My list of predictions sadly

• Portrait of a Lady on Fire
• A Hidden Life
• I Lost My Body (Top 5 in animation)
• The Painted Bird
• Us (sorry ;_;)
• Motherless Brooklyn
• Cats
• Waves

• This reply was modified 2 weeks, 3 days ago by  Cordelia.
• This reply was modified 2 weeks, 3 days ago by  Cordelia.
• This reply was modified 2 weeks, 3 days ago by  Cordelia.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

Reply

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203272759

Portrait of A Lady on Fire likely getting completely shut out is going to be one of the most damning snubs of this Oscars year in hindsight. People will remember and praise that movie long after the majority of others in this year’s lineup.

Portrait of a Lady on Fire is the true reflective masterpiece by a genius auteur in this year’s lineup, not The Irishman.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite

[CordeliaParticipant Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 19 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1203272750

Mild prediction – I think all the Best Picture nominees this year will be from the PGA list. It’s just that we won’t get 10 nominees, so the question is which 8/9?

 

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Parasite
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
Best International Film: Parasite