[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204741343

It’s not a mess—it’s blandly competent. That doesn’t mean it’s good.

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204741286

Milk Money wrote:

You can doubt Will’s chances all you want but King Richard was not a Lifetime-like movie. Stop.

Right, Lifetime movies are sometimes interesting.

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204741176

rue wrote:

I think it’s consensus that everyone here enjoys the clips for the nominees but I’m curious: do you guys prefer the individual clips or the montages like they did for the actors at the 2020 ceremony? The more I think about it the more I prefer the way they did it in 2020, it felt very grand and more of a celebration of all the nominees work, rather than separating and pitting them against one another.

They’re literally in categories together, they’re already pitted against each other. Having them separate just makes it easier to understand what a particular actor is doing, rather than having two lines drowned out by music or whatever.

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204740631

It’s usually OK if he’s producing. He produced Succession, after all.

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204740577

I remember seeing FYC ads for Spencer a while back. Maybe they just didn’t make new ones?

[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204740574

Fury Road was fun, too, but it also was a strong, personal, supremely difficult vision executed perfectly. Marvel movies are fun, I’m not denying it, but they’re an assembly line production. They’ve already swallowed the entire film industry whole, why reward them even further?

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204739482

lipabridgerstwigs wrote:

The problem is that she has zero relevant critic awards. Also sorry but predicting Kristen to be BAFTA top 2 after Spencer got less longlist mentions than Cruella is delusional. Top 2 is some combo of Nicole, Gaga and Olivia.

Are longlists really as great a factor as we’re thinking, though? I admit I haven’t been around long, but IIRC a lot of movies that did great on the longlists barely got nominated.

[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204739439

Of course CODA isn’t missing BP. It just doesn’t seem like the most likely winner at the moment.

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204739310

Zuranthium wrote:

Denzel DIDN’T connect to the emotion of the material, nor the character relationships. That is exactly the problem.

I’d say he did. Was he a world-class Macbeth? I wouldn’t go that far, but he did a solid job. We can’t all be Bradley Cooper, I suppose.

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204738843

Beastialg wrote:

Some people need to calm down. First of all I think Denzel is a great actor and I’m NOT predicting Denzel to be snubbed. I just didn’t like his performance that’s all. I agreed that most actors have tics and acting mannerism (or even “play themselves”) and sometimes this is distracting and sometimes not. This is Macbeth, an iconic scottish character, and all I could see was Denzel Washington reading Shakespear. Same tone, same vocals, same accent, same expressions he does in most of his movies. He is mostly a natural actor rather than a technical actor and again for me, for this type of character, it doesn’t work.

But that’s not really how Shakespeare usually goes, though. I’ve seen plenty of Shakespeare—you don’t need to put on accents or make big loud Actor Choices to do well. You just need to connect to the emotional truth of the material, and Denzel does that.

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204738823

I think it’s more likely than, say, Branagh winning Director or whatever, but still not particularly likely. The Academy isn’t a hive mind, they don’t all collectively go “oh let’s spread the wins around.” Is it possible enough of them do to make a difference? Yes, but that’s just a hypothetical.

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204738490

Ghost wrote:

How is Olivia Colman “unknown” or “irrelevant”?

He has a weird vendetta against Colman, ignore him.

[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204737492

I may well be hopedicting, but I have a weird feeling about Stewart—same one I had with Colman in 2018. Obviously very different circumstances but I’m not counting her out.

[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204737018

BigJay2012 wrote:

Last for, example, how rare is that Frances McDormand won another BA in the span of a few years? This year we will, probably, have ANOTHER woman winning Best Director. A couple of years ago a foreign film SWEPT. Times are changing.

Times are changing, but they’re changing in the opposite direction from what you’re saying. Parasite winning and McDormand winning for Nomadland would make Kidman less likely to win, not more.

[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 895 View Predictions]

#1204736997

BigJay2012 wrote:

But Kristen is young, popular, played a beloved woman, in one of the most critically acclaimed female roles in the last 20 years…..and heavily critically awarded….and still didn’t manage to win the Globe, OR get nominated for the SAG. I just think critics awards don’t really matter much anymore….at least right now. Times have changed. Why would Olivia Colman beat her? (though I loved her performance)

times have changed from last year? Because the last year this didn’t apply was 2009.