Daniel Montgomery is still outraged at the Emmys for snubbing "Buffy the Vampire Slayer" all those years. That travesty of justice was a significant factor that drove his interest in showbiz awards; who does the industry uphold as its best, and why? Born and raised in the Bronx, New York, Montgomery earned a bachelor's degree in English with a minor in film studies from the University at Albany. He's a self-published writer of short fiction in addition to his awards and reality TV prognostication at Gold Derby. And he'll never let you forget that he correctly predicted 23 out of 24 Oscar categories the year "Birdman" won Best Picture.
May 14, 2011
Jun 18, 2019
Forum Replies Created
June 17, 2019 at 10:13 pm #1202942409
What has been added so far:
Best Comedy Series
Best Comedy Actor
Avan Jogia, “Now Apocalypse”
Dallas Roberts, “Insatiable”
Best Comedy Actress
Kelli Berglund, “Now Apocalypse”
Best Comedy Supporting Actor
Beau Mirchoff, “Now Apocalypse”
Best Comedy Supporting Actress
Sian Clifford, “Fleabag”
Natasha Rothwell, “Insecure”
Best Drama Supporting Actor
Vincent D’Onofrio, “Daredevil”
Best Drama Supporting Actress
Liza Weil, “How to Get Away with Murder”
Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actress
Victoria Pedretti, “The Haunting of Hill House”
“The Haunting of Hill House”May 28, 2019 at 11:00 am #1202913707
Done, done, and done.
The predictions center is open now with only Album of the Year available to predict as of now. Record, Song, and New Artist I’ll add at a later date.
Hopefully this time I’ll catch any surprise H.E.R.s that show up this year.May 27, 2019 at 8:32 pm #1202912857
That list probably covers most of the bases. Here are a few others you could add: Assume Form – James Blake [previous Best New Artist nominee; just won a Grammy; 80 on Metacritic] Doom Days – Bastille [previous Best New Artist nominees; #2 Hot 100 hit this year with “Happier”] Legacy! Legacy! – Jamila Woods [90 on Metacritic] Walk Through Fire – Yola [84 on Metacritic; nominated for Album & Emerging Act of the Year at the Americana Awards]
Great suggestions, thanks!May 27, 2019 at 5:04 pm #1202912745
I’ve also added the new Miley Cyrus that was announced for release on May 31May 27, 2019 at 11:09 am #1202912436
Updated list, anything else I’m missing?
“A Brief Inquiry into Online Relationships” — The 1975
“Amidst the Chaos” – Sara Bareilles
“Anthem of the Peaceful Army” – Greta Van Fleet
“Beauty Marks” – Ciara
“Can’t Say I Ain’t Country” — Florida Georgia Line
“Caution” — Mariah Carey
“Center Point Road” — Thomas Rhett
“Championships” — Meek Mill
“Confessions of a Dangerous Mind” — Logic
“CrasH Talk” — Schoolboy Q
“Cuz I Love You” — Lizzo
“Death Race for Love” — Juice WRLD
“Dedicated” — Carly Rae Jepsen
“Delta” – Mumford & Sons
“Desperate Man” – Eric Church
“DNA” – Backstreet Boys
“Ella Mai” — Ella Mai
“Experiment” – Kane Brown
“Father of Asahd” — DJ Khaled
“Father of the Bride” — Vampire Weekend
“Free Spirit” — Khalid
“Flamagra” — Flying Lotus
“Future Hndrxx Presents: The WIZRD” — Future
“GIRL” — Maren Morris
“Happiness Begins” — Jonas Brothers
“Heard It in a Past Life” – Maggie Rogers
“Homecoming: The Live Album” — Beyonce
“Hoodie SZN” — A Boogie wit da Hoodie
“Hurts 2B Human” — Pink
“I Am Easy to Find” — The National
“I Was > I Am” — 21 Savage
“Igor” — Tyler the Creator
“In the End” — The Cranberries
“Late Night Feelings” — Mark Ronson
“Let’s Rock” — The Black Keys
“Love” – Michael Bublé
“Lux Prima” — Karen O
“Madame X” — Madonna
“Map of the Soul: Persona” — BTS
“No. 6 Collaborations Project” — Ed Sheeran
“On the Line” — Jenny Lewis
“Origins” – Imagine Dragons
“Oxnard” – Anderson Paak
“Patty Griffin” — Patty Griffin
“Real Life” — Emeli Sande
“Skins” – XXXTentacion
“Social Cues” — Cage the Elephant
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” — Soundtrack
“A Star is Born” — Soundtrack
“Still on My Mind” — Dido
“Thank U, Next” — Ariana Grande
“There is No Other” — Rhiannon Giddens
“This Land” – Gary Clark Jr.
“Tim” — Avicii
“Trench” — Twenty One Pilots
“The Unauthorized Bash Brothers Experience” — The Lonely Island
“Ventura” — Anderson Paak
“Wasteland, Baby!” — Hozier
“Weezer (Black Album)” – Weezer
“Weezer (Teal Album)” – Weezer
“Western Stars” — Bruce Springsteen
“When I Get Home” — Solange
“When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?” — Billie Eilish
“While We Wait” – KehlaniMay 21, 2019 at 9:46 pm #1202903979
I saw the whole thing in a marathon screening the weekend before last. It’s the real deal. Absolutely gutting. The tough part will be acting nominations. It’s a true ensemble, lots of great performances, but that means a lot of them could cancel each other out in the supporting categories. I’d love to see Jharrel Jerome get traction for Best Actor, though. He gets the biggest and best showcase out of any of the cast. Michael K. Williams is also terrific. Vera Farmiga and Niecy Nash are among the standout women. Aunjanue Ellis too.May 20, 2019 at 12:50 pm #1202901774
Thanks! Keep ’em comingMay 5, 2019 at 9:15 pm #1202881699
The only win that seemed WAY off to me based on the reels in the 7 acting categories was Kyler Pettis. My predictions were pretty terrible, LOL, but I had Vernee, Hayley, and Patricia ranked 2nd, and I had Jacqueline ranked 3rd behind Marci Miller but I thought Jacqueline had the 2nd best reel there behind Maura West.May 1, 2019 at 1:54 pm #1202876100
As has been mentioned above, this is not an especially good category. I think it comes down to two: Lucas Adams vs. Garren Stitt.
Adams is the most natural actor in the bunch, and he plays some real emotions, but there’s not a whole lot of emotional impact, and not much of any emotional range.
Stitt has the best reel in terms of the material he submitted: the scenes have strong impact, the stakes are high for his storyline. Here it’s his acting that’s the problem. He has moments that are decent, but he’s not quite up to the task of these scenes overall. Occasionally feels like a high school production. So it depends on what voters think of his acting.
Zach Tinker is watchable, but his reel is a snooze. Kyler Pettis doesn’t really do much but lie there. And William Lipton was actively bad in his scenes.April 30, 2019 at 3:49 pm #1202874711
I was able to watch these reels a couple of days ago. It’s Kate Mansi by a mile going by the submissions. She submitted a better (and longer reel) than Marci Miller did in the Best Actress race. But I wouldn’t count out Wayne Brady (his scenes are so-so, but Emmys love him) or Patricia Bethune (character actors do well here, and she gets a juicy role even if the performance isn’t that showy).
Thaao Penghlis‘s performance is good, but it’s mostly Abby’s dream sequence stuff, and his reel is only 4 minutes long, so I don’t think he’s really in it. Philip Anthony-Rodriguez is a nonstarter. He hardly has any character at all to play.April 24, 2019 at 8:21 pm #1202865532
Tony and I are doing full write-ups on lead and supporting. Probably no time to do individual write-ups on Younger and Guest, but I’ll try to do roundups of those categories.
I’ve now watched all the reels in lead, supporting, and younger (I’ll watch guest soon). I thought I’d share some snap judgments briefly, but take me with a grain of salt because opinions may vary. For instance, I didn’t think Lanier was very good in her reel last year, but everyone in here loved her and she won.
LEAD ACTOR: Bergman and Benard are my faves; Bergman emotes bigger, Benard is (surprisingly) subtler but more moving and has the Alzheimer’s storyline as an advantage. Lindstrom is good, but too much side-by-side twin stuff and exposition and not enough emotional character work. Christopher and Flynn are good too. I dug this category overall.
LEAD ACTRESS: West has the best reel in any category, it’s a textbook example of an Emmy reel. Tons of impact and range and a nice, full story arc. Miller went way too abstract with her DID scenes; she’s actually better in the Best Actor reels. Wright is good, but her scenes are short and don’t really build to a payoff. Tom is very good, but she doesn’t have a lot of range. MacInnes Wood is better than I expected, and she has good impact and range, but it’s a LOT of ugly-cry.
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Gail in a walk, I think, but I was surprised by how much I liked Martsolf and James’s reels. I love Rikaart, and I love him as Leo, but there isn’t much emotion in his scenes. Zamprogna is solid in his reel, but it’s short, and its biggest contribution to this category is giving Gail another good scene.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Could be a complete toss-up. Everyone has good scenes, but no one’s reel is perfect. Anyone could plausibly win. But my favorites were Watson, Madison, and Maitland. DePaiva is really good too. Morgan disappointed me: it’s 100% deathbed stuff and it gets monotonous. Godfrey starts well but ends with drunk scenes that are kind of a snooze. But Tony watched the reels too and we disagree significantly. He likes DePaiva the best and didn’t like Madison at all. But Watson is the only actress in both of our top three, and we agree she has the single best acted scene in the category (therapy with Chandra Wilson).
YOUNGER ACTOR: Please come back, Casey Moss! I don’t know why he didn’t submit, but he could have won this just by standing upright. Heck, Tequan Richmond, Max Ehrich, and even Pierson Fode could have won this in a walk if they were still around in this category. I like Lucas Adams the best, but Tony hated his reel. Tony is going with Stitt, who I think has the best reel in terms of storyline, but his acting is a bit wobbly. In this category the female co-stars overshadow the men in every. single. reel.
YOUNGER ACTRESS: Would you believe Lanier has the shortest reel (6:33)? Just knowing offhand what kinds of storylines she had last year, she must have left a lot of good material on the table. Still, it’s my favorite reel of her three nominations, and I think she might be a notch above the others. Erin is good, but her early scenes are too short (she has a good long stretch testifying about her sexual harassment, though). Konefal is good, but her scenes don’t deliver a big impact moment. McCoy is good, but kinda one-note. I liked Keegan too, but not much emotional impact and the scenes are choppily edited. This probably could have been a walk for Lanier, but she left the door open.January 4, 2019 at 3:29 pm #1202718829
I’ve been adding candidates since yesterday. The most important one I’ve gotten multiple requests for I just wanted to point out here:
I added Ari Aster (“Hereditary”) for Best Director yesterday as soon as someone pointed out he was missing. He’s present and accounted for!November 21, 2018 at 9:24 pm #1202680134
Noname is now in the predictions for Best New Artist.November 21, 2018 at 12:06 pm #1202679830
If you’re still adding names, I forgot to mention lovelytheband and Maggie Rogers above. LTB currently have a pop/alternative crossover hit with “Broken,” and Rogers recently performed on SNL.
Feel free to keep any eligible contenders coming. With some of the big hitters out (Camila, Cardi, Post Malone) and 8 slots to fill, I could see this category being rife with left-field contenders.