Forum Replies Created
January 11, 2021 at 2:11 am #1203975644
I think this category is pretty much locked down. I don’t see any last minute surprises happening.
Bakalova/Burstyn/Colman/Yuh-jung/SeyfriedJanuary 10, 2021 at 1:50 am #1203973586
Seyfried over Youn? How many votes did she buy? Disgusting that a good (at best) imitation of some nobody from the Golden era beats a masterpiece of a performance
Also I know the critics get such a hard on for voting Bakalova because the movie made Ruby look bad (and by association, Trump) but come on! First place?
Frame this comment and hang it in the Louvre. Once again, critics get fixated on the Oscar race instead of supporting a contender like Youn who could benefit from it. I hope doesn’t get the Zhao Shuzhen treatment (who was also, by far, the best of her year).January 8, 2021 at 1:46 am #1203968841
Don’t get me wrong, Burstyn is impeccable in the scene, I mean how the scene was built for this monologue, I didn’t think it was natural, you know? but it’s a movie and I understand that it had to happen.
I have to agree – I wasn’t sold on Burstyn’s big moment. She was much better in the more subtle scenes. I did not feel she communicated the true horror of that monologue well.
Kirby, however, was excellent and stole that scene from her. And the whole arc of her character was just wonderful. And the movie took me by surprise in a way that it did not turn out to be the downer that I expected it to be. It really had a hopeful, beautiful ending.January 6, 2021 at 1:09 pm #1203966247
Can you hear D. Warren shaking? Speak now!January 5, 2021 at 11:09 am #1203964117
I get the Colman-Winslet comparison but I don’t see it. It’s not really that baity of a role and Colman’s won three Globes in four years. Winslet had a sort of comeback with that part and people wanted to see her take pictures with Leo backstage. And although I am not a fan, Seyfried has a clearer path to a win. And let’s face it, IF Glenn gets nominated, she is a threat whether some like it or not.
If there is a better comparison for Colman, it would be Mahershala Ali. But Ali, I think, partly was able to pull it off because he had lost the Globe for Moonlight. Also, Green Book was a front-runner for Best Picture, which The Father isn’t AND Ali had a very baity role (unlike the first time he won the Oscar). Mank is not a Best Picture juggernaut we thought it would be, but I can see it as this year’s Marriage Story. Although, I must say Seyfried has NOWHERE near the goodwill that Laura Dern had. That’s why I think Glenn will win IF nominated for the Globe/SAG/Bafta.
I think Burstyn will be lucky to be nominated. Pieces of a Woman is just not making that much of an impression with critics and I don’t think netflix audiences will be the ones that will give it a boost. It needed the critics. I hope the fifth place will go to Youn.January 5, 2021 at 2:51 am #1203963193
I have a hard time believing that Bakalova will make it in, but this feels like such an empty year for this category that she might just do it. But in reality, she belongs to Lead Actress.
And the same is true about Colman. She is literally missing from two scenes of the movie and at times, I felt like she had more screentime than Hopkins. I wouldn’t be surprised if The HFPA also rejected her placement or if she was nominated for a Lead Actress Bafta. Still, I believe that only Hopkins had an Oscar role in this movie. While Colman was great, it was not a really multi-dimensional part like The Favourite.
As for a winner, I can see Seyfried pulling off a Kim Basinger-esque win, Glenn somehow squeezing in and winning her overdue award or the amazing Youh Yuh-Jung achieving what Emmanuelle Riva could not. She keeps getting compared to Zhao Shuzhen, but this role is more showy/Oscary (though they would both be my #1 picks in their respective years). Also, Minari seems to be getting more buzz than The Farewell (I’m still bitter about how that one did not receive multiple nominations). Also, Shuzhen did not get as much support from critics as Youh Yuh-Jung since they were busy with awarding JLo’s fake crying and Laura Dern’s four Oscar clips.December 12, 2020 at 2:10 am #1203913794
Goodness, this was an ordeal. Waaaaay to long (about 40 minutes). And why the fuck did they need Nicole Kidman playing fourth fiddle to some polyanna youngsters and James Corden?
James Corden is as annoying as one would expect, but once again, I feel critics were ready to gun for him. He did his best with the deeper parts of the character. But my goodness, when Tracey Ullmann appeared as his mom with that Ohio mom wig – I had to laugh. I thought she came right out of one of her sketches. I honestly felt sorry for her.
Meryl is having a blast, so watching her is a blast. She so clearly pokes fun at Patti sometimes, I enjoyed her wickedness. And she had wonderful chemistry with (literal) straight man Keegan (someone else who did a fine job here).
Ariana DeBose was a nice surprise – I was sort of skeptic if she would be one of those young actresses people just hype up beforehand and then amount to nothing (Vikander, Ana de Armas come to mind). But she is a great, strong presence and will make a wonderful Anita. Kerry Washington also did a great job as her mom – she is the only one trying to ground her character in reality, which she did not need to do, but I appreciated her efforts. She’s great and always nice to have.
The lead girl, however, feels like nails on a chalkboard. Having a big polyanna smile on all the time with the kind of trauma the character had been through. My goodness.
Anyway, a movie that starts off nice and fun, but is waaaaaaaay too long and is unable to find one focus. Overall, just very messy…
But, on the plus side: Mary Kay Place!December 7, 2020 at 10:44 am #1203900574
Imagine thinking she’ll win for a panned Trump film and a performance with shit ink. Fucking delusional doesn’t even come close to describing it. The look on your face when she eventually loses will be priceless.
Also, @ me next time, you coward.
Imagine being this pressed about any person you don’t know, either Glenn or Me. At least I am happy being delusional. And even happier I was able to piss you off, which I fully intended to.December 7, 2020 at 1:44 am #1203899641
I don’t think Colman is winning a second nor that Mahershala is a good comparison. He was in the Best Picture front-runner, also, he missed the Globe and Bafta when he won the first time, so he had extra goodwill there no matter how thirsty Richard E. Grant was, kissing every baby and thanking even the South St. Olaf Film Critics.
Amanda Seyfried is not winning. You can put her Mean Girls character in fur and have all of Snooty Film Twitter rave about her, a) Mank is not popular b) she doesn’t have the scenes.
I think Glenn Close is winning if nominated, kind of unfortunately – I, as a fan, don’t want it, she doesn’t want it, because the backlash will be big from crazy people who are so fucking pressed about her and lack a life so badly that they write a list about every negative sentence written about Glenn in HE that is longer than their receding hairline , and also it’s only a Supporting role… but it will happen, because it’s the Glenn way to win that way…
If it’s not Glenn, I am expecting the Grandmother from Minari to ride the critical good wave all the way to the Oscars. I think critics will be split between her and Borat’s daughter with the latter winning fewer awards. And really, who would vote for Colman to win a second before Hopkins when it’s HIS MOVIE?
I’d say Colman is the safest for the nomination and can win if Glenn is not nominated or people are unable to settle on a favorite. Then we have a Christoph Waltz situation.December 3, 2020 at 2:27 am #1203891173
I divide my time between the US and Hungary so if that’s not a problem, count me in!!!November 25, 2020 at 4:38 am #1203871007
Glenn Close did not shade Gwyneth. It’s only half a clip of what she was saying about “how performances are awarded at the Oscars” especially when they have sole nominations or stuff like that. She said winning an Oscar depends on several other things and not just the performance. It was not shade.
It’s clear that people spreading this news HAVE NOT SEEN THE INTERVIEW. Some people above are saying Popcorn with Peter Travers is a podcast? LOL It’s a talk show on ABC. This shows how dumb people are and they are ready to believe whatever they read on a viral tweet. Embarassing.
First of all, thank you for calling it viral. It was my tweet.
I do feel, in a way, dreadfully guilty for not providing enough context. But also, as a great fan of the Ms. Close’s, I am really proud that, at least for the date of the movie’s premiere, she got a break from crazy movie twitter coming at her. I have long been appalled at the ageist and sexist vitriol targeted at her, whose origin I cannot really understand – is it beating Lady Gaga? Is it Albert Nobbs? Is it doing tv before “it was cool” (where, by the way, she legitimized movie people “going tv”, which revolutionalized tv, but that’s a different story).
I also do believe that she was shady – maybe not particularly towards Gwyneth’s performance but The Academy’s practice of favoring movies and performances with the money behind them. Let’s be honest, that played a big part in her losing the last time. Olivia Colman gave a fantastic performance – I personally prefer Glenn’s more quiet and detailed work in The Wife, but that’s my taste and my preference. However, whoever thinks Colman’s win was based on that great performance alone, needs a big fat reality check. She had Searchlight (=Disney) money and probably also Netflix behind her (who wouldn’t want a freshly “crowned” Oscar winner in their show).
Yes, I am actually a bit torn at what I “let loose”, but at least, it started some great conversation and I think/hope it put Glenn in a more positive light in the eyes of the public than a vindictive, sore loser desperately clutching for an Oscar that nowadays so many people seem to make her out to be.October 29, 2020 at 12:36 pm #1203809721
they are journalist. Of course they know their own stats
The HFPA, for sure. And trust me, they know the Oscar narrative – netflix will spare no expense or time to have Glenn suck up to them, even if it’s over zoom or whatever. And it’s the HFPA that starts the ball rolling in Supporting (case in point: Allison Janney) – everybody else seems to follow suit. The last time when it wasn’t the case was Mahershala losing to ATJ (who ended up snubbed). I think that also played a part in his winning for GB, but the movie was also really strong that year.
SAG (with the extended membership) is the most populist – in Glenn’s (or Viola’s) case, that is a GREAT thing (and had already been proven so); with Sir Anthony Hopkins and Chadwick, THAT will be a close and exciting race. I am thinking Globe for Hopkins, SAG for Chadwick, Bafta for Hopkins, Oscar for Hopkins (especially if Viola is winning). But that’s a different thread.October 29, 2020 at 6:01 am #1203809107
You don’t need to stan someone to suggest they could win. Maybe you should learn that instead of creating 50 dupes every week.
The funny thing is that your argument against Glenn is that she got a movie Globe 2 years ago. Which is true about Colman as well – not only that, she has won Globes for three consecutive years, INCLUDING a movie Golden Globe 2 years ago, while she also has The Crown to win another one this year (she has every chance, because let’s be honest if she managed to get it last year, she can just as well win with much baitier storylines).
Meanwhile, Anthony Hopkins has never won a Golden Globe – I am sure they will not resist him so The Father will be awarded. And trust me – Globe voters KNOW they influence they have on Oscar voters. If Glenn stars winning there, the train starts.
I think 2 years ago, a lot of us were mislead by the fact that they both won. SAG was easy for Glenn since she is an acting legend and had a LOT of buzz because of THE Speech. But by the Baftas, it went back to what was going to happen anyway. The Supporting Race is different – you start at the Globes and go on and on. And that “British rule” doesn’t apply as much at the Baftas anymore – Lesley Manville lost to Allison Janney, Florence Pugh lost to Dern, Naomie Harris to Viola etc.October 28, 2020 at 8:38 am #1203807556
I don’t think it needs further explaining about Glenn Close. At this point, I just don’t see why people can’t leave this poor woman alone and enjoy her bone she’s going to be thrown in Supporting. Some people are just downright cruel. I really don’t quite understand how some people can deliberately wish ill for a person they don’t even f-ing know, for let’s be honest, beating Lady Gaga at the Globes (let’s be honest, half of these obsessed Colman stans started with another “favourite”). I wanted Glenn to win back then, but if she had, I would wish nothing but the best for Colman in The Father, I would even stan for her.
Leave Glenn alone. Let her enjoy her time in the sun and go on arguing about Best Actress – there’s way more to be fight about there.October 27, 2020 at 11:54 am #1203805765
I never don’t post here – but why would Glenn suddenly be changed to Leading when the trailer clearly features Amy before her and if you check the titles in the end, it’s actually only Amy’s name before the Hillbilly Elegy title. And excuse me, I have heard so many contradictory “intels” about that movie and feedback from “reliable friends” that I take everything with a grain of salt.
Also, WHY would netflix jeopardize and further split Best Actress. They have three very legitimate contenders for the win – Viola, Kirby and yes, the legendary Sophia Loren (just wait and see the Globes boost her with a win). Amy, once again, will be lucky to be nominated – the further we admit that, the better. So it’s more of a courtesy for Glenn, really.
For Supporting, they only have Seyfried and Burstyn. Burstyn is a question mark, Seyfried must be great, but we are not sure yet about the nature/length/impact of her part. And Glenn has a meaty role and a killer narrative…
As a Glenn fan, I would love for her to be a Lead Actress Winner – but we have to take what we can get. A Supporting Bone over zoom…Not now