Forum Replies Created
January 8, 2018 at 4:57 pm #1202461150
The Shape of Water
Call Me By Your Name
The Florida Project
The Big Sick or Mudbound
I, Tonya or Darkest Hour
The Academy has never nominated less than 8, if I’m not mistaken, since expanding Best Picture. So CMBYN is probably good to go and The Florida Project has a good shot.
I have a feeling Mudbound will be snubbed because of non-traditional, non-theatrical release. Not getting into PGA seemed like a warning sign to me. It’ll only get in with strong support from the actors’ branch.
Completely agree with your predictions and your logic on Mudbound getting snub! I might add it just to fill slots and just in case something happens, but might put in The Disaster Artist because of the PGA nom, but can’t see more than 8-9 getting nom.
And you’re right, the Academy has never nominated less than 8 pics since expanding.January 7, 2018 at 8:32 pm #1202460060
Well after the PGA noms I’m predicting Florida Project and Phantom Thread are going to be ignored
Don’t see The Big Sick getting nom, nor Mudbound,
My locks are:
Shape of Water
I’m throwing in darkest hour, big sick and Wonder Woman on my predictions just in case there’s a surprise, but don’t see it happening (maybe Darkest Hour).January 23, 2017 at 10:27 pm #1201993413
I keep worrying Hidden Figures is underrepresented in my nominations but I don’t know where to include it besides picture, supporting actress, adapted screenplay, and now original song. I also switched to Janelle Monae from Octavia Spencer even though it pained me to do it since I’ve been predicting Spencer since she had 100/1 odds. I have been wanting to include Taraji but I have no idea who she would knock out especially being such a late comer to the race. If voting was held two weeks later or if Fox had held an earlier/stronger campaign I would be predicting her (and the same with Costner).
I also have that a feeling that the Oscars noms it’ll get more nominations than we expect or it’ll have a Selma or Brooklyn kind of performance where there’s only 1 or 2 nominations besides BP.
Currently I only have it with BP, Octavia Spencer and Screenplay, Original Song and Lead Actress could be spoilers, but I couldn’t make room for them in each category.January 23, 2017 at 10:21 pm #1201993407
Call me crazy, but I think there’s a slight chance of Star Wars Episode VIII getting a bit more than technical nominations.
Also, I wouldn’t count out that 2018 could be finally Brad Pitt’s year with War Machine (just look at the producers).January 23, 2017 at 5:57 pm #1201993321
F it, I’m predicting Emily Blunt and Jake Gyllenhaal. I know, I should get in the bin. Gotta go with my gut.
I was also thinking about Blunt!
She got that SAG and BAFTA nom, so I think she could be the Marion Cotillard (2015) of this year.
I’m also back and forth between how much of a sure thing is Isabelle, but probably that GG win really helped her.January 12, 2017 at 4:26 pm #1201986679
Who do you think is getting the nod at the Oscars?
I think Chazelle, Jenkins, Lonergan and possibly even Villeneuve (long overdue btw) are locks.
The bad news for Garth Davis is that since 2010 the Oscars have had at 1 different nominee, and this year it looks like he could be the one not nominated.
I think Scorsese, Gibson, Washington or even Tom Ford could compete for that last spot.
Right now I have Ford on that last spot (mainly because of the GG and BAFTA nom), but I’m still not confident on him being the last nominee.January 8, 2017 at 5:35 pm #1201982472
The last Supporting actor GG winner not nominated for an Oscar was Richard Benjamin for The Sunshine Boys on 1976January 8, 2017 at 5:18 pm #1201982398
Actually I’m not even mad about Aaron taylor Johnson winning.
But I didn’t think it could happenJuly 24, 2016 at 7:01 am #1201879497
Actually I think there could be 3 or even 4 new nominees on the Best Drama category.
With Game Of Thrones and Downtown Abbey out, I’m not entirely sold on Homeland and The Americans returning easily.
Look out for Westworld to get some “Thronish” love at emmys next yearJune 15, 2016 at 3:12 pm #1201851499
I know it wouldn’t be totally crazy, but I think there could be someone else from Game Of Thrones at the supporting actor category besides Peter Dinklage.
Not sure who, but there’s ton of love for it that they could squeeze someone else in there.
Also, Jaime Camil getting a nom for his work in Jane the Virgin.
And last, Modern Family not getting more than 2 or 3 noms this year, it would be a shocker because the Emmys love it but there’s a lot of newcomers this year that could get more noms than Modern Family.June 14, 2016 at 9:36 pm #1201851215