The Gift isn’t eligible for Visual Media Comp; the regular soundtrack is. It’s another Black Panther situation.

I disagree.

“Bad Guy”, in some ways, may not be a typical Grammy winner, but I think that they will be so won over with Billie Eilish that she is a serious threat to win Record and/or Song with it.

Commercial smash + alternative radio hit + by a classy singer-songwriter type of artist is a pretty hard combination to deny.

I don’t think that’s going to happen. If Gaga gets anywhere in the GF this year, bank on AOTY without accompanying R/SOTY noms.

Alternative is not necessarily rock

The Grammys have routinely slotted only heavier guitar-based tracks in the rock field as of late. Billie’s music is thoroughly synthesizer-based pop.

She will only be contending in pop categories, possibly Alternative Album (Pop Vocal Album is more likely, but you never know), and maybe Dance Recording for…[Read more]

I am not “obsessed” with Billie. Do I like her? Sure, but I mainly have the common sense to realize that as a young female singer-songwriter, she is exactly the kind of artist that the Grammy voters fawn over just like Alanis, Norah, Adele, Taylor, Lorde, and many, many others before her. You are wildly underestimating her and come early next…[Read more]

You have said and implied before, on multiple occasions, that it would be a more likely winner than “Bad Guy.”

It’s most likely the most “Grammy friendly” song that is going to be nominated in the general field this year unless they nominate the A Star Is Born songs, which is probably not happening.

With a month and a half left, do you…[Read more]

“Señorita” is actually holding at #5 on the Hot 100 this week (and Post Malone’s new song debuted above it), so inaccurate. And with its consistently high sales and streaming numbers and tons of room to grow in airplay, it will eventually be a contender for #1.

It’s way more likely than “Thank U Next” despite what you have otherwise implied. Ariana is not winning anything in the general field and you know better.

And regardless what you personally think about “Bad Guy”‘s lyrics, songs that win Record of the Year almost always win Song of the Year if they are nominated there, so if you think “Bad Guy”…[Read more]

I thought this was about pop, my bad

Gaga definitely has the advantage.

“Bad Guy” is not even that crazy of a prediction. It’s one of the biggest hits of the year and a hit at both pop and alternative radio.

Those songs would not even compete in the same category.

“Pumped Up Kicks” was huge, and the Black Keys song was obviously a filler nomination.

Sara has never been nominated for Best Pop Album, so it would be surprising if she got in with such a low-key album in a competitive year.

This is correct. “Royals” was influenced heavily by hip hop music and the song even reached #3 on urban radio, albeit aided by an unofficial remix with Rick Ross.

It’s percentage of running time, not percentage of tracks.

Given the voters’ tendency to reward alternative-leaning hits in the pop field, and the fact that they haven’t awarded Maroon 5 since 2008, I wouldn’t be surprised if Foster the People (who were also nominated for Alternative Album) or Coldplay (who won the non-collaborative Pop DG 3 years earlier) were the runner-up.

Bradley may not be eligible to win Visual Media Compilation depending on how his percentage of contributions to the album works out. AOTY just needs 33% which he should qualify for easily, but any of the other album categories would require 51% or more of the running time.

I don’t know if “Look Ma” is comparable to those other songs.

Only 60-80k of those are pure sales, which is rather low for him. Divide opened with over 300k pure and Multiply opened with over 200k.

If Ariana’s chances to win are dependent on Gaga not getting a nomination, wouldn’t that mean… that Gaga is easily getting nominated? 💀