the “you need to nominate BTS because of how huge K-pop is” angle is going to backfire horribly. At the end of the day, voters care about the music. There has been no compelling argument made for why BTS deserve a Grammy nomination aside from their numbers.

This isn’t even getting into the fact that “Rain On Me” had poor longevity

“Memories” and “Exile” are more likely to win

not really

wasn’t submitted

Plenty of #1 hits have missed pop field nominations, including but not limited to

Someone You Loved
Without Me
Psycho
Perfect
Look What You Made Me Do
I’m the One
Starboy
Pillowtalk
Can’t Stop the Feeling
What Do You Mean
Timber
Rude
All About That Bass
Wrecking Ball
We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together
E.T.
S&M
Give Me Everything
Party Rock…[Read more]

So am I.

I think she is being overestimated in terms of nominations. I’m not buying her being nominated across the board in the GF, having 4-5 nominations, etc. I think best case scenario she gets 3.

I’m assuming this is based solely on the song’s commercial performance to which I would say… “Without Me”

Like I said, there are a lot of songs in contention for Pop Solo so I really only see “Blinding Lights” and “Circles” as the two undeniable ones that will get in no matter what

Pop Solo is too crowded to call anyone besides Post and The Weeknd a lock

I still think Dua Lipa is being heavily overestimated but I don’t think I’m going to be convincing anybody here of that. At the moment I just have her getting in ROTY and Pop Album.

Re:Harry, I have him in AOTY, ROTY, Pop Solo, and Pop Album.

BTS are not winning a Grammy. 😂 They’ll be lucky to be nominated.

There are 5 spots to fill unless somebody ties. I’m banking on those 5 spots going to The Weeknd and Post Malone, who had bigger hits; Harry Styles, who has been a more year-defining artist (especially in the US) than Dua; Billie, who is fresh off a full sweep of the general field; and Taylor, riding high on the reviews and success of Folklore.

hence “etc.” in my post

The general rule of thumb is that if you could imagine several of the album’s songs being played on top 40 radio, it will get placed in pop instead of alternative

If albums by Lorde, Lana Del Rey, The 1975, Portugal. The Man, Imagine Dragons, etc. have ended up in the pop field in the past, the same is 99% going to happen with Folklore.

24K Magic‘s singles got heavy airplay on R&B radio and the album was embraced warmly at the Soul Train Awards, so it’s not surprising that Bruno competed in the R&B…[Read more]

September predictions

Pop Solo Performance
Billie Eilish – “Everything I Wanted” / “My Future”
Post Malone – “Circles”
Harry Styles – “Watermelon Sugar”
Taylor Swift – “Cardigan”
The Weeknd – “Blinding Lights”

Alternates – “Don’t Start Now” (Dua Lipa), “Say So” (Doja Cat), “Before You Go” (Lewis Capaldi), “Stupid Love” (Lady Gaga), “I Dare You”…[Read more]

“Fallin’,” “Daughters,” “Not Ready to Make Nice,” “Rehab,” and “Viva la Vida” are all amazing. “Single Ladies” is fun and “Don’t Know Why” is nice, but the others are just inspired.

Probably Amy, it’s a song that could have been recorded in any decade and still been amazing.

They’re both getting nominated so this is a moot point

JP Saxe?