Katy was definitely a lock that year

The only real surprise was Miley Cyrus

I’m seconding the Ed Sheeran prediction. Those three guys have 20 Grammys combined, the song was a moderate hit on rock radio, and it’s total bait.

Anyway, I’d like to move on from the Lil Nas X conversation and onto literally anything else

I’ve wrestled with it and taken her in and out of my SOTY predictions, but I think Halsey/”Without Me” is going to be the Fergie/”Big Girls Don’t Cry” of this year where she doesn’t get a general field nomination despite having a massive hit.

IIRC that did not go viral until 2015

I think a lot of you are forgetting the (very short) window of time where her career was on the up and up, because she was a very big deal that year and any controversies she had were very minor relative to the success she was having.

^ It’s so off topic anyway. Y’all don’t have to bring Billie up every time I make a prediction you guys don’t like. I’m not even a stan of hers; it just so happens that I really love her album.

She only had one general field nomination last year; she didn’t write “The Middle.”

I agree Girl probably isn’t successful or acclaimed enough to get in AOTY, especially after a country album just won, but voters do seem to like her, and she has the buzz, so a nomination wouldn’t take me completely off guard.

The title track is also not a…[Read more]

If you guys are referring to this article, I read it as a list of contenders, not predictions.

It took you that many words to say this? Congrats on having the same prediction as almost everybody else.

That’s what I meant by “serious artist,” as I’ve already said

I’m not saying I agree with every decision they make, but I don’t think that chart success is going to force their hand if they otherwise don’t want to recognize the song. Part of the reason the committee exists is to prevent the main categories from being overly commercial.

Look, I’ve heard every argument for why you guys think “Old Town Road”…[Read more]

And what about spending 19 weeks at #1 compels them to recognize it as one of the 8 best songs of the year?

I’m so glad you brought this up.

Yes, “Despacito” was nominated for Record and Song of the Year. And the one that was the longest-running before that (“One Sweet Day”) was nominated in ROTY (but not SOTY). As was the one before that (“I’ll Make Love to You,” also passed over in SOTY), and the one before that (“I Will Always Love You,”…[Read more]

You might want to brush up on her origin story, because “parents in the entertainment business” = struggling actors who almost lost their home during the recession.

Why would I melt down, lol

And yes, I am going to gloat if I end up being right since I’ve been taking shit from you all for months for not predicting him in the major categories.

And what about it? Like your take is an objective fact and not your POV?

If y’all are going to ask me why I’m making certain predictions, don’t get mad when I tell you why.

A “serious artist” in the sense that she wasn’t seen as a joke artist. As in, the difference between someone like Fetty Wap and someone like Jake Paul.

I don’t, so…

OK? I don’t care if you think my prediction is snobby. It’s what I personally think is going to happen. I don’t know why Lil Nas X is the hill all of you want to die on.

No way. She also had “Black Widow” and “Work.” She was definitely considered the next big thing at the time. Was not a one-hit wonder type of situation.

The difference between Iggy and Lil Nas X is that she was taken seriously as an artist, albeit maybe not by the hip-hop community. She was no critic’s darling, but she wasn’t seen as a joke.…[Read more]