Camila is 100% getting in Pop Solo now and is a threat to win.

Glover could have 5+ nominations again with a few wins (as others have said, Music Video is on lock).

They’ll definitely get in the top 20 of initial votes from name recognition, but I don’t think they make the final list of nominees.

Jay-Z has plenty of name recognition on his own and he’s only been nominated for AOTY once (for one of his own albums). Even if we’re making the “two superstars making an album together” argument, Watch the Throne…[Read more]

People make new threads because it gets harder to access newer posts once a thread hits about 1,000 replies.

But yeah, the Ariana/Taylor conversation is tired

I don’t think Sam Smith is getting a Pop Album nomination anymore. He may end up with zero nominations. I feel like his album burned out very quickly.

Artists of Paul McCartney’s stature always have to be considered as dark horses.

Ariana Grande is not beating Taylor Swift in any category at the Grammys. To think otherwise is delusional.

Reputation is the clear frontrunner for Pop Album, the only person I could see beating her is Paul McCartney, and he would have to get the nomination first, which I’m not sure will happen.

I don’t think so. It gets in Pop Duo/Group at best and that category is pretty competitive.

It would be odd if Sit Next to Me got general field nominations when Pumped Up Kicks didn’t.

Cardi is extremely unlikely to be nominated for SOTY. She’s not renowned for her lyricism, and as I noted many times last year, rap songs don’t get in SOTY unless they’re sentimental/emotional or otherwise message-driven.

Watch out for by Dean Lewis in Best New Artist and Be Alright in Record/Song. The song is a #1 hit in Australia and gaining traction stateside.

Lil Wayne is reportedly releasing Tha Carter V next week. Should be a guaranteed Rap Album nomination if the reviews are good.

If you’re going to make embarrassingly bad predictions, at least do some basic fact-checking. No Limit was entered last year.

Either are eligible for ROTY. But they can only pick one version to enter. Ie they can’t enter the song in Pop Solo and Pop Duo/Group, or one version in ROTY and another in the pop field, etc. only one version of a song by the same artist is allowed per year.

This Is America could well be a threat to win in the general field depending on what gets nominated. I wouldn’t write it off so easily. The song/video made a huge impact and Donald Glover has been on a roll (not just in music) the last few years.

I’m not convinced it gets the SOTY nomination, but right now I’m leaning towards it. I would be very…[Read more]

Either Pop Album or Rock Album.

Chaos and Creation in the Backyard and Memory Almost Full were nominated for Pop Album. New (his most recent album) was in contention for Rock Album (didn’t get the nomination). (Kisses on the Bottom was nominated for Traditional Pop Album, but that was an album of Great American Songbook covers.)

My guess is…[Read more]

Re:Jack Antonoff (although he may not have as much to do with Masseduction getting a nom as Annie), he has won 3 of the 4 general field awards.

I’m not sold on Juice Wrld. I think he’ll get in if Cardi is ruled out. It would look bad if they have 8 nominees and not one hip-hop artist. I can’t think of another breakout rapper this year besides Rich the Kid and Bryce Vine.

Rihanna is nominated alongside SZA and Ella Mai. Normani probably isn’t considered an R&B artist because she’s only released one song and it’s a pop song that hasn’t charted on any of Billboard’s R&B charts.

Rihanna had Lemon this year as well as the residual success of Loyalty, Wild Thoughts, and Anti.

They literally just use stats to base their nominations off of so take it up with Billboard.

The nominees are based on chart performance during the year. It’s common knowledge.