Forum Replies Created
April 21, 2019 at 8:20 pm #1202861329
Ella Mai won’t be a factor outside of the R&B categories. The BNA snub this year is pretty telling, especially since they nominated three less popular acts from the same genre over her.
Even if you ignore that, her album hasn’t really been a major success aside from a moderately successful follow-up to “Boo’d Up”, and it’s not a critics’ darling either. An AOTY nod would be a HUGE stretch.April 21, 2019 at 8:14 pm #1202861318
Do you think any of her singles have a shot at SOTY/ROTY? I’m sure she’ll be nominated, but imo the singles aren’t as strong as the album cuts.
ROTY is more likely than SOTY but yes, I think she has to be strongly considered in both categories. “7 Rings” has no chance in SOTY though (lyrically lightweight and relies heavily on a sample), so her team would be wise to not enter it.
“Thank U, Next” would be her best chance in both categories.April 21, 2019 at 3:29 pm #1202860951
Ariana however doesn’t have a good history with the committee (especially in a weak year like last year, SoTY should’ve been easy for her).
That probably helps her more than hurts her, especially since she’s having an even bigger year than last year. And especially since multiple voters said she was snubbed in some of the anonymous ballots.
Also, like I said at the time, and why I correctly predicted it wouldn’t be nominated, “No Tears Left to Cry” isn’t a typical SOTY contender.April 21, 2019 at 3:20 pm #1202860940
Who do you think has more chances to receive an AOTY nomination? Ariana Grande or Billie Eillish?
Both will probably be nominated, but Ariana is more likely because she’s overdue for general field recognition and she’s having a banner year. I think Billie will also get in AOTY, but I wouldn’t be totally surprised if they just gave her Record/Song of the Year noms. Other very young breakout artists such as Avril Lavigne and Lorde were shut out of AOTY despite nominations in other marquee categories.April 21, 2019 at 11:26 am #1202860856
Anderson .Paak (Ventura), Twenty One Pilots, Ella Mai, Mumford & Sons, Imagine Dragons, and Alessia Cara are notable albums missing from the list. Some more likely than others, obviously, but if we’re being thorough then they deserve mention.
On the country side, Thomas Rhett has an album dropping shortly that is bound to be a hit. Kane Brown is also very popular but probably too polarizing to even be nominated in his home genre, let alone AOTY.
Childish Gambino, Chance the Rapper, Taylor Swift, and the Jonas Brothers are future releases worth keeping an eye on.April 21, 2019 at 9:57 am #1202860808
Would Disney even alow Beyoncé to submit anything besides the lion king stuff? I know she’s Beyoncé but you know how these companies work.
Why have so many on this board been overhyping The Lion King soundtrack? It’s most likely not going to be a factor outside of visual media categories unless it generates a smash hit.April 19, 2019 at 1:23 pm #1202859252
Best Urban Contemporary Album is already jam-packed for me.
Kehlani – While We Wait
Ella Mai – Ella Mai
Khalid – Free Spirit
NAO – Saturn
Lizzo – Cuz I Love You
Beyonce – Homecoming Live
Anderson .Paak – Ventura
Solange – When I Get Home
I think Anderson, Solange, Kehlani, Khalid and Beyonce are the safest bets.
Ella’s album will probably be placed in R&B.April 19, 2019 at 8:17 am #1202858916
Earth is most likely getting a nomination for Best Music Video for the animation and the message. Doubt it will turn up in any other category.April 17, 2019 at 12:19 pm #1202856890
And giving Beyoncé AOTY for a live album would be just as uninspired as giving Kendrick AOTY for a soundtrack album.
And about 100x more unrealistic.
Beyoncé is not winning AOTY with a live album and she’s most likely not even getting the nomination. The album hasn’t even been out for 24 hours and y’all are reaching for the high heavens.April 17, 2019 at 8:24 am #1202856568
Beyoncé will certainly submit one of the tracks to R&B Performance, and knowing the Grammys, they will nominate her. See “Halo” (Live) and “Me, Myself & I” (Live). Or they could nominate “Before I Left Go,” which is a studio recording.
Before I Let Go seems the most likely for R&B Perf. Probably also something (Love On Top?) in Traditional R&B. I Been On in Rap Performance/Song too, but it might be too old to be eligible.April 17, 2019 at 8:17 am #1202856549
Which music film candidates we have this year besides Beyonce?
Well, for one, there’s Childish Gambino.
Never mind the fact that most of the people who end up winning that category are acts who don’t get discussed on this board.
EDIT: Taylor Swift too.April 17, 2019 at 7:22 am #1202856472
I don’t think Beyoncé is automatically the frontrunner for Music Film. Lemonade was thought to be a shoo-in and it lost. Adele broke all kinds of records with her live album/DVD and didn’t even get nominated even though the Grammys worship her.