[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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PoweR wrote:

I just find it weird how the screening process works.

The same thing happened to Sade in 2001 when Lovers Rock was submitted to R&B Album and “By Your Side” was submitted to Female R&B Vocal, but both were moved to the pop field. It worked out in her favor because the R&B field was highly competitive that year, and she ended up winning Pop Album, but her songs and albums competed at the Soul Train Awards and Lady of Soul Awards that year and she was a previous winner in the R&B field.

Usually, I agree with the more borderline decisions that are made. Lana Del Rey and Florence + The Machine are closer to pop than rock or alternative. Bruno Mars in R&B Album was a bit of an odd choice (and was clearly a strategic choice so Atlantic’s two big artists could compete in separate categories), but it made sense. I even agree with Post Malone being placed in pop this year.

But every now and then, some of the placements are real head-scratchers. Bebe Rexha’s Meant to Be being placed in country instead of pop was also an odd choice to me.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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Os wrote:

Y’all need to stop comparing Reputation with Divide. It’s not the same case.

Of course not, but it is a very similar one. Both are/were by far the biggest albums in the running, by artists with solid Grammy track records.

I think that, like, last year, people are looking at the general field “snubs” and rushing to predict any other artist besides Swift. The same thing happened last year when Ed got shut out of the big 3 categories, and a lot of people started predicting Kesha to win, and that was a bust.

• This reply was modified 1 hour, 2 minutes ago by  DC95.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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^ Especially when Portugal. The Man’s album was moved to pop last year.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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O´Hara wrote:

Btw, who do you think will win alternative album? Right now I’m predicting Beck followed by St Vincent

I missed this part of your comment earlier, but here’s what I think:

Lately they’ve been gravitating towards more acclaimed projects (Beck’s album got somewhat mixed reviews) which benefits St. Vincent, who just won this category for her last album, but I think the Engineered Album and especially the Pop Solo nominations seal up the deal for Beck. The album is also produced by the well-liked Greg Kurstin.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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PoweR wrote:

Major underperformance which is up against other albums that weren’t that commercially better. Big names have won that album every year, even when it was labeled Contemporary R&B Album. The Carters are easily win, and that’ll be their sole win of the night.

Weren’t you saying Janelle was going to beat The Carters if they both got nominated?

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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O´Hara wrote:

Yeah those too and I forgot to add Traditional Pop Vocal Album which of course will go to Tony.

Oh yeah. Traditional Pop Album is Bennett’s for sure.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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O´Hara wrote:

The biggest locks are music video and best country album.

I don’t think country album is a lock. Although I’m predicting Kacey Musgraves, Chris Stapleton could still win that, especially since he’s the frontrunner for country solo performance.

The only major categories I think are locks are Music Video (This Is America) and Visual Media Compilation (Greatest Showman).

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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MarinaBelo2 wrote:

Lady Gaga’s career won’t be saved by Bradley Cooper, deal with it

ASIB is one of Bradley’s only non-Marvel hit movies outside of the Hangover franchise, but go off

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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M wrote:

This list is suddenly scaring me! Pop vote doesn’t look as important as we think. I mean if Americana won in 2009 and 2014, I can’t see why it can’t win again in 2019.

Instead of looking just at the genre, look also at the artist. The 2013 Americana win was Mumford & Sons – the biggest rock band in the world at the time (also a very pop-friendly choice looking at that year’s lineup). I’m not even sure they had the backing from Americana circles since they lost the genre category to Bonnie Raitt.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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Djoko wrote:

That’s where Black Panther should’ve gone, but it didn’t….

Only 3 of the songs from that album were actually in the Black Panther film.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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Chris Dave may be a panel pick, but he’s a respected and well-connected jazz musician who has credits with the likes of Robert Glasper, Adele, D’Angelo, and fellow nominee this year PJ Morton. He also has two previous wins, both within the last few years. That’s why I would watch for him in particular.

Miguel and Chloe x Halle are your typical commercial picks with less success and less clout than The Carters.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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Kelly Fisher wrote:

Are the Carters a complete lock for Best Urban Contemporary album?

Definitely not. I could see an upset from Chris Dave or, to a lesser extent, Meshell Ndegeocello.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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I wonder how large of a wrench Brandi Carlile throws into the AOTY race, since she’ll certainly garner some votes that would have otherwise gone to Kacey Musgraves. And her even going as far as to win is certainly possible.

The reason I’m currently still predicting Kacey in spite of that, is because this really feels like the buzziest non-mainstream album of the year. Maybe it’s just my social circle, but almost all of my friends and acquaintances who are into music have been raving about this album and calling it one of the best of the year. It really feels like her moment.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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M wrote:

Zane Lowe is the type of people who want the category to be packed with mainstream commercially successful albums even if they’re bad. That ain’t happening.

That’s usually how it goes anyway. Some years more than others. I don’t know why you’re using this category as the ultimate barometer of quality when less-than-stellar albums like Views, G I R L, In the Lonely Hour, Loud, and The E.N.D. have been nominated. And while I enjoy it as a guilty pleasure, Beerbongs & Bentleys is certainly not a critics’ darling.

Also, regardless of your opinion of Sweetener, it received great reviews and is one of the best-performing albums on year-end lists, so to act like it is objectively bad is a hell of a reach.

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[DC95Participant Joined: Feb 6th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 2503 View Predictions]

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PoweR wrote:

If Camila’s last place here, why would she be the runaway favorite in Pop Solo? It doesn’t make sense for her to be tied for last here (possibly), but rank #1 in Pop Solo. Surely her placement was much better than that.

I have Taylor winning because I can’t see anything else winning here.

It’s not the same thing because she definitely wasn’t dead last in the Pop Album race that year, but I think this year will be similar to Lorde winning Pop Solo in 2014 but losing Pop Album to Bruno Mars.

Camila has the biggest hit by far, but probably the least relevant album overall aside from Kelly Clarkson.

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