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February 5, 2023 at 4:33 pm #1205289470
Adele losing two Grammys to a musician-bait jazz film and Taylor, who was an expected winner who did a multi-million dollar (failed) Oscar campaign for her video, does not mean she is done.
January 31, 2023 at 12:32 pm #1205276247Predictions:
Solo Performance – Easy On Me
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Duo/Group Performance – Unholy
Traditional Album – Higher
Album – 30January 31, 2023 at 12:31 pm #1205276245Predictions:
Performance – Here With Me
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Traditional Performance – Good Morning Gorgeous
Song – Cuff It
Progressive Album – Gemini Rights
Album – Good Morning GorgeousJanuary 31, 2023 at 12:26 pm #1205276231I’m predicting a full Kendrick sweep. Album is a no-brainer. Performance and Song could go to “God Did,” but I think Kendrick has the edge since he got in Record and Music Video* in addition to Song of the Year.
Melodic Rap Performance is the most shaky, but Future/Drake are the strongest competition and both have a poor Grammy track record, and there’s a good chance they split with the other two mega-hits nominated.
* I’m aware “God Did” was not submitted in Video and I don’t even think it had one, but Kendrick getting in that lineup is impressive nonetheless.
ReplyJanuary 31, 2023 at 11:24 am #1205276173As of now I am thinking this is a five-way race between Domi & JD Beck, Latto, Muni Long, Måneskin, and Wet Leg.
Anitta stans in this thread are exhibiting embarrassing behavior.
ReplyDecember 2, 2022 at 9:19 am #1205175414Do you really think so? Who would win over them?
ABBA’s song is nominated in Record of the Year. “Unholy” and “I Like You” are bigger hits.
ReplyDecember 1, 2022 at 7:21 pm #1205174681Year-End Hot 100:
#26 I Like You
#66 Bam Bam
#98 Unholy
n/a My Universe (didn’t chart last year either)Almost tempted to say this disqualifies “My Universe.” This song is not known to non-BTS fans.
ReplyDecember 1, 2022 at 6:27 pm #1205174639Chris Brown might surprise in R&B Album. He’s probably 2nd to Mary. But I wouldn’t underestimate the support he has within the industry.
I could see this happening depending on how strong his sympathy wave is and how long it lasts until voting starts. I imagine people may also notice he only has one Grammy and may think he’s underawarded.
He also has a current hit that wasn’t eligible this year due to being from an older album.
ReplyNovember 18, 2022 at 9:16 am #1205159264A bubbly pop song that was nominated all over the place. “Kiss Me More” was nominated in ROTY/SOTY. Clearly, a lot of people liked it.
Not to mention that “Don’t Shut Me Down” is itself a “bubbly pop song”
ReplyNovember 17, 2022 at 11:35 am #1205157921maybe getting the nomination was her biggest hurdle. Now she is the only act representing those genres.
Bluegrass and country don’t overlap that much. Plus, as I pointed out a page or two ago, Muni Long could also potentially get some country votes since she has worked in that genre as a songwriter (and her last album was country or country-ish).
Also, country and Americana musicians aren’t strictly obligated to vote just for artists adjacent to those genres.
And it’s not like those fields have a lot of pull in terms of GF winners. Only 3 country artists have ever won BNA, and no Americana artists to my knowledge.
ReplyNovember 17, 2022 at 10:48 am #1205157840I still think it’s unwise to dismiss ABBA’s nomination as being solely a result of their position on the ballots. Their ROTY nomination last year was clearly not a fluke since they got 4 nominations this time – both pop categories, plus Record and Album of the Year (again, “Don’t Shut Me Down” is the only Record nominee here). The fact that they beat 3x category nominee and recent winner Ed Sheeran, who had a hit album, for a Pop Album nom should not be taken for granted.
They can lose, but “Don’t Shut Me Down” is absolutely a serious contender to win.
ReplyNovember 17, 2022 at 9:49 am #1205157753Yeah, I can see Jazmine having residual love from last here and pulling out a spoiler. For now, I say Beyonce takes R&B Song and Performance while Mary gets Traditional and R&B Album
I agree, but I’m going with Mary for R&B Performance as well. “Here With Me” was an R&B hit which should give her the edge, plus it’s basically the only place voters can honor Anderson .Paak since he and Bruno sat out with their album.
ReplyNovember 16, 2022 at 1:42 pm #1205156717R&B Performance – Really hard. Beyoncé, Mary/Anderson, and Jazmine could all reasonably win this. For now I will go with Mary.
Traditional R&B Performance – The ROTY nom makes me lean toward Mary, but again, Beyoncé is possible.
R&B Song – Unlike Beyoncé’s other nominated songs in this field, “Cuff It” is actually a hit, so I think this is where she’ll win. Mary and Jazmine could upset.
Progressive R&B Album – This should be an easy win for Steve Lacy, who should send a thank-you package to Beyoncé for submitting Renaissance to dance.
R&B Album – Mary should easily win this.
ReplyNovember 16, 2022 at 1:04 pm #1205156668I’m expecting Adele to make a full sweep of her nominations, but I would not be surprised to see Taylor or Harry win here.
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