Forum Replies Created
February 24, 2020 at 7:50 am #1203358516
Netflix movies do good in terms of nominations, and people actually watch them. I’m confident in de Armas getting a nomination for now especially if she goes Comedy at the Globes, but win is a stretch, I don’t see a Netflix actor winning anytime soon, when neither Driver nor Johansson managed to do so. Dern is a very unique case.
Joaquin Phoenix was unbeatable this year and Renee Zellweger was tough competition too. Scarlett could have beaten Olivia Colman (& Glenn) last year. If Netflix were releasing The Father they could have pushed through a win for Hopkins (again he seems to be the one to beat). There’s been talk of Viola Davies being superb in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom and Zellwegger proved the Academy still loves those roles.February 21, 2020 at 9:50 am #1203355307
Good tip about Last Night In Soho.
I would love it if Happiest Season broke out. The calibre of the cast suggests the script is strong. Brian Tyree Henry could have a nice one-two punch of Eternals and Red, White and Water.February 21, 2020 at 4:52 am #1203354910
After the lukewarm reception to My Salinger Year at Berlin I would take Sigourney Weaver off Supporting Actress lists.February 21, 2020 at 1:47 am #1203354725
Will Smith (fingers crossed for King Richard)February 21, 2020 at 1:44 am #1203354723
Jodie Comer is NOT a great actress. Villanelle just suits her well.
She’s very, very good in Thirteen. Also strong in Doctor Foster, although that’s a supporting role.February 21, 2020 at 1:42 am #1203354719
I think a woman will be nominated for director this year. Granted, the same thing was said last year, but this year it seems that a good number of the top contenders are directed by women (whereas last year the only female-directed contender that ended up having major pull was Little Women). Watch out for Chloé Zhao, Lila Neugebauer, and Sofia Coppola.
I desperately hope one does. I think Coppola has a good chance. It’s easier for new directors to get in if they’ve written the script so I don’t think Neugebauer has a great shot. Nomadland needs to be exceptional to overcome the somewhat dour subject matter. If Zhao turns The Eternals into a huge hit that could help.February 20, 2020 at 3:05 am #1203353318
It would be great to see Hopkins coming for his second oscar but I don’t think Academy will reward a 84 years old actor that has given his best already. I mean how can you be so sure about hopkins sweeping if there are many acclaimed actors in the race like B.Cooper, C.Bale, Chalamet and G.Oldman? Then who knows, probabily driver with eitherAnnette or Ridley Scott’s movie.
Without wishing to be indelicate, the subject matter of The Father (elderly man battles with his memory) might be a draw for the average Academy voter. Although perhaps its not the sort of movie you want to watch as you grow old.February 20, 2020 at 3:01 am #1203353315
After a relatively quiet year for the Brits (just 1 in each acting category, no British characters) I think 2021 has potential to rebound with several nominations. Some possibilities:
Brits playing Brits
Anthony Hopkins (The Father)
Benedict Cumberbatch (Louis Wain)
Kate Winslet (Ammonite)
Brits playing non-Brits
Tom Holland (Cherry)
Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)
Eddie Redmayne / Sacha Baron Cohen (Trial of Chicago 7)
Gary Oldman and Tom Burke (Mank)
Daniel Kaluuya (Fred Hampton Movie)
Christian Bale (David O. Russell movie)
Jodie Comer (The Last Duel)February 19, 2020 at 9:13 am #1203351939
The pedigree of the director is not as relevant to Best Actress as it is to Actor but Respect coming out in August means it’ll need fantastic reviews and phenomenal box office (with great legs). Or a collapse in the category, which looks unlikely with Viola Davis, Jennifer Lawrence, and Kate Winslet coming in on hot tickets.February 19, 2020 at 7:42 am #1203351875
This Best Song squabble is very tedious.February 19, 2020 at 4:38 am #1203351687
That’s been the case the last several years in a row. If this year is anything like those last few years, we won’t have any idea which film will win until very close to the Oscar’s ceremony. And of course the frontrunners always lose anyway, so none of these films really want to be a frontrunner.
I think a year ago 1917, The Irishman and Once Upon A Time all seemed possible winners due to a) subject matter and b) filmmaker clout. If Parasite hadn’t come along it would have been 1917 vs Once (The Irishman was just too long). Of the list above only Mank and Da 5 Bloods stand out for me and they could easily fall aside if Netflix spreads itself too thin. I really hope we get surprises and discoveries this year with a more open Best Director list but I suspect it’ll be Fincher vs Spielberg vs Howard.February 18, 2020 at 4:06 am #1203350505
I don’t expect Erivo to hurt Hudson at all. Oldman wasn’t hurt by Lithgow when they both played Churchill in the same year, and Lithgow was in a more acclaimed project, and gave an arguably better received performance. I don’t expect this season of Genius to be particularly big, as the others weren’t, so I think it’s not gonna do any harm to Hudson’s chances. Not to mention, between the two women, Hudson has the perk of being Aretha’s personal pick to play her.
True. The Loudest Voice was half forgotten by the time Bombshell came out. The only difference might be if Erivo performs the songs to more acclaim, but we know JHud can pull it off.