Diogo Duarte
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April 5, 2021 at 9:23 pm #1204181013
I’m so confused with all the people saying Mulligan isn’t happening. They must think Davis just became a lock, because Davis’ SAG win did not help Day.
I think everyone in that top3 has a chance. but… Mulligan just lose her first SAG for someone in her 3rd… It’s very different than Casey with Denzel or Olivia with Close (two respected actors with overdue there)…. dont make much sense thinking in give to Viola another win, if has so much passion w/ Carey. But, Carey has support on the british block and another parts of industry (maybe).
About SAG… I dont think some “path” would help Day. If Carey wins SAG, everyone was thinking she was the front runner. Viola won SAG, people thinking in split votes. Kirby and Frances had a path with SAG + Bafta… So, I dont know. this is a weird season. We actually dont know the really reception of Andra with SAG members, since this is a late release. And we dont know what british voters are thinking if choose Bukky or someone else. And I dont know why Viola won SAG and if this same people will vote for her at Oscars or Day. So many questions…
April 5, 2021 at 5:18 pm #1204180744The ideal template for Day is Succession. Mark Mylod was nominated at DGA and Andrij Parekh was snubbed. The latter was probably not properly considered for DGA because of his lack of name recognition, but he got his fair shake later with Emmy voters, just as Day missed SAG because of timing, but got a fair shake later with Oscar voters. Mylod was thought to be safer because he was the veteran, but Parekh was a newcomer with flashier material. It turned out that Succession was far enough ahead of Ozark that it could survive a transfer of votes from the contender that did better with the guild to the ultimate winner.
no. it’s just a clickbait, like “was so painful work as an actress with this role, that I thought I would never do that again” but, she has plans to acting in anothr movies, in theather and has a “tea” that she was in talks with DC.
April 4, 2021 at 11:18 am #1204175270Not to mention that the stylist’s post has “#nom” on it. How convenient that they overlooked that.
I’m seeing some people say the post was originally just saying congrats and #nom was edited in.
April 4, 2021 at 10:59 am #1204175225Michelle Pfeiffer made an Instagram post congratulating Glenn Close on her Oscar nomination the day of the ceremony in 2019, even though her nomination had been announced long before. Let’s not read too much into this.
Michelle Pfeiffer is not the Glenn Close stylist… who probably choose her look on the day that SAG recorded the winners.
April 3, 2021 at 4:48 pm #1204174013The center was closed for users but apparently experts can still predict. Or at least could up to Thursday night, when Clayton updated his predictions.
Even if that’s the case, I don’t know why some people are waiting … that some predictors will update predictions with this “le**” results and prove that they have some source and get some points on GD. If they’re right, we’ll know tomorrow and that’s it. I dont think anyone wants to be responsible for do that.
April 3, 2021 at 1:29 pm #1204173851Clayton is a mess with his predictions. He’s always flip flopping with them. I still don’t buy that some pundits actually know the results. For example, he only has Viola #4 but he bumped Bakalova to #2. And according to that supposed “leak”, both won. So why would he bump one of them to the runner-up position but leave the other close to last? It’s obvious they don’t know the results. We only have one day to find out anyway. Our misery will end soon.
GD predictions (for SAG) center was closed days ago, I’m guessing that was right before taping.
April 3, 2021 at 5:23 am #1204173232Clayton is a mess with his predictions. He’s always flip flopping with them. I still don’t buy that some pundits actually know the results. For example, he only has Viola #4 but he bumped Bakalova to #2. And according to that supposed “leak”, both won. So why would he bump one of them to the runner-up position but leave the other close to last? It’s obvious they don’t know the results. We only have one day to find out anyway. Our misery will end soon.
He has Viola in 3, after Carey, Andra and Supp Actress is probably the category with the most doubts about the final result. Trial, Boseman and Viola are Netflix, so…
Will be funny Andra winning at the end. The way that some people always underestimate her and now she has in a power position… I love it.
and that “black actress winning” thing, can be so real. 19 years, guys. and next year we will have another group of white ladys – stewart, de armas, margot, gaga, frances, blanchett… I think the time is now. This was the black live matters year and the second with two black actresses nominated. sounds very logical actors branch thinking about this.
March 3, 2021 at 8:27 am #1204079846Maybe they gave it to her because they liked the performance! What is so hard to believe about that?! Your fave didn’t win, I get it — neither did mine — but it is what it is now. She checks all the boxes at the Globes, so I don’t get this reaction.
Yes. I remember how Clayton Davis / Will Mavitty talked about Billie Holiday being a hit with Golden Globe members. Also, Ana Maria Bahiana (member of Globes) spoke specifically about Andra’s performance. Billie Holiday is a baity role. Music + transformative role + real-life person and that’s it. People simply ignored it because Andra did not show up on SAG (probably due to the late release – Little Women was completely forgotten on SAG last year and is a much popular film) and because Andra is not a big star. People spent months talking about how she had zero chances because Zendaya was much more famous and has a lot of instagram followers and stuffs like that … GG has an excellent record in Best Actress category at the Oscars and they voted for her as a “game changer” – that they loved and obvious, to make her nomination at least lock at the Oscars. If was just about crown an black actress, Viola was as a front runner for a long time in this season and could easily take this vote.
March 2, 2021 at 9:30 pm #1204078697The only Globe Drama winner since 1970 not to translate to Oscar was Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road) in 08.
It’s the only case in history, I guess.
and obviously, since 2001/Halle Berry, every actress who win the Oscars, have win the Globes before that.
March 2, 2021 at 7:55 pm #1204078379People often chalk up Emily Blunt’s win at SAG down to being because “Regina was snubbed and it was obvious she would have won there if she was nominated” but I don’t think that’s the (only) reason Blunt won. She had her own narrative as an underrated and beloved actor who had been nominated by the precursors so many times but missed at the Oscars and actors felt sorry for her especially because she delivered two strong buzzed performances that year (the one she won SAG for is considered to be one of her career bests by some). If she only won SAG because Regina was snubbed then Margot might as well have won both SAG and the BAFTA. It’s a similar thing with Rachel Weisz at BAFTA. As evidenced by her BIFA win she was the favourite (pun unintended) of the two supporting ladies with the British bloc, was in a film BAFTA loved and was yet to have a BAFTA on her plate in spite of being an Oscar winning British veteran who was married to Daniel Craig and beloved by the British (and especially British indie) film industry. She won partly because Regina was snubbed, not only because Regina was snubbed. So whilst Andra could win the Oscar even if someone else wins SAG, the only way we’d have “another Emily Blunt this year” imo is if Vanessa Kirby is snubbed on Oscar nominations morning and actors feel bad for her not receiving her first nomination and give her the SAG win.
I agree with that. My theory is that Regina King would win, but Blunt is an actress loved by SAG, who was double nominated thay year and was nominated even for The Girl on the Train. but my point is that we don’t know if the result would be different … like this year, we don’t know if the people who voted for Actress X in the SAG, are voting in her just because Andra isn’t there. This is an atypical situation. I think that since the creation of the SAG there has been an situation like this in Best Actress. If actress X wins GG and loses SAG / Bafta (like Sissy Spacek in 2001), this is a clue that she is not doing so well in the race. But Andra will not lose SAG because she is not on the nominations list. Okay, it’s her fault because she wasn’t nominated, but now she’s getting a different kind of attention than January.
March 2, 2021 at 7:16 pm #1204078240There won’t be backlash if viola doesn’t win sag but I don’t see how people wouldn’t be upset about a black women losing if there was not one but two chances for them to give the award to a black women and both won the two biggest awards leading up to the Oscars. Andras win reminded everyone that only one black(biracial) women has won this award. Sure it’s great for black men to win but if black women aren’t getting the same recognition then nothing is progressing. People love Carey so she’ll be fine but the Oscars will definitely receive criticism.
Yes. If Andra were a filler nomination as she was before the Golden Globes and Viola was not a strong competitor, ok. But with two black women in #2 and #3 in the race and making speeches in television, raising this racial discussion… Big problem.
Okay, we will have diversity in other categories, but the problem is IN THIS category. More than 90 ceremonies and only 1 black woman won. This controversy has returned. Putting black womens so close to the prize… for lose at the last minute is controversial. Only that
March 2, 2021 at 7:04 pm #1204078218The big problem is … We will never know if Andra would win this SAG if he’s on that list. it’s kind of obvious that Regina King would win that SAG, if possible. People change their minds or sometimes just don’t really pay attention on that film/performance in time for the nominations. Viola can win at SAG for following the same narrative as Andra … black woman winning and that’s it. I don’t think we’re going to get to that level of rivality and votes being split between black womens. Viola seems very happy with Andra at Globes and next month we will know which one has the best campaign / narrative for that.
March 2, 2021 at 6:27 pm #1204078174Frances is not winning her third Oscar in front of 2 black actresses. She’s not even was at the Globes’ cerimony. Critics Choice will not vote in her. They love the drama and the buzz and Frances will not give that. It’s Carey or Andra.
March 2, 2021 at 5:10 pm #1204077936Andra literally brought back this discussion of a black woman needs win this Oscar, after 20 YEARS. Halle Berry made a post on her instagram yesterday about #crownher (Andra) and she will receive a lot of support yet. Carey needs to win the SAG to have a chance of win this Oscar. If Viola wins the SAG, they are literally “buying” this narrative and will be hard for a white (Carey) lady beat this. And in a race between Andra and Viola … will be about narrative and how much in love the voters will be in give the crown to a “ingenue” or the veteran Oscar winner. Its all about campaign/narrative.
March 1, 2021 at 8:35 am #1204073737– Andra Day (Golden Globes)
– Viola Davis (SAG)
– Carey Mulligan (Bafta)
– Frances McDormand
– Vanessa Kirby
