distain
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December 28, 2018 at 10:41 pm #1202713043
Samuel L Jackson is massively overdue, for his work with Quentin Tarantino alone. I find it a little bit ridiculous that Chrtistoph Waltz has two Oscars for Tarantino films, while Jackson, Tarantino’s definitive acting collaborator has none.
Pulp Fiction, Jackie Brown, The Hateful Eight, Django Unchained….Jackson would be a worthy supporting actor winner in any of these films. Add a few other stand out things like Jungle Fever, A Time To Kill and Unbreakable, and I think he’s nailed on to win a competitive or honorary Oscar at some point.
ReplyDecember 28, 2018 at 10:34 pm #1202713040I’d say a general formula to be classified as overdue is having at least three nominations that you lost for AND having a career that has spanned at least 10 years of good work.
I’d say at the moment only Close, Michelle Williams and Ed Harris are overdue.
Annette Bening is slightly overdue but a lot of her loses I agree with and she tends to play similar characters a lot.
That’s not exactly an accurate formula. Donald Sutherland is overdue, and he never was actually nominated.
ReplyDecember 1, 2018 at 5:05 pm #1202686959Adams is done as a potential winner methinks. Reactions to the film becoming too divisive and her personal reviews seem good, but far from undeniable.
The only reason she’s still contending for a nomination is because people have been predicting her as the winner for like a year, and are reluctant to let go.
So it looks like Regina King’s to lose. If Adams isn’t her main competition, I’m wondering who actually is?
ReplyNovember 30, 2018 at 6:21 am #1202685877There will probably be zero passion besides her for those 2 movies though. With Blunt apparently coming, that worries me.
Hmmm…I think Boy Erased has a lot of potential to surprise. It seems like the kind of film that fits right into the tastes of Academy voter steak eaters, that pundits underestimate till the end. I can see Boy Erased surprising with another acting nod (Crowe, or maybe even Hedges) and a screenplay nod for Edgerton. In a field of 10, it might even have an outside shot at a BP nod, though few are currently predicting it.
ReplyNovember 30, 2018 at 2:41 am #1202685806Kidman recieved 2 nominations from the Golden Satellite Awards. Best Actress for Destroyer and Best Supporting Actress for Boy Erased.
It is just the Satellites, so can’t get carried away, but maybe it’ll be the start of more double nods.
ReplyNovember 29, 2018 at 8:28 pm #1202685694I feel like McCarthy may be done. It can no longer be ignored that Richard E. Grant is the performance generating passion in that film. He’s turning up everywhere, usually without McCarthy. And now he’s won the New York Film Critics Supporting Actor award, with no mention for McCarthy.
Early in the festival circuit when all the press was about McCarthy, people thought it would be Grant that might coattail a nomination. But it’s looking to be the other way round. Grant seems locked and McCarthy can easily be ignored.
November 29, 2018 at 10:21 am #1202685220Such an obscure actress pick who likely won’t make a dent in the actress race hurts the likes of Close, Collette and McCarthy, who need these type of wins. Gaga and Colman are probably safe regardless, and Kidman can (in theory) get by on industry awards/support.
ReplyNovember 25, 2018 at 9:48 am #1202681653The biggest takeaway from A Star Is Born was how much it was Bradley Cooper’s film from an acting perspective. Gaga is always at her best in the singing scenes (wonderful voice), but had moments of uneveness in her acting. Sometimes she’s strong, and then others she’s kind of a blank slate.
Ultimately Lady Gaga was more than fine. Very good even. Deserves a pat on the back for holding her own in her first major lead big screen role. But that’s about as far as it should go. Talk of her winning Best Actress in a year as strong as this seems obscene.
Cooper really burrows into his role, and acting wise, it’s his film. But Gaga and Sam Elliot in particular give Cooper strong support.
November 24, 2018 at 10:16 am #1202681156This race may have some twists in it yet. Academy member Rod Lurie (director of The Contender) has tweeted that he’ll be voting for Nicole Kidman in Destroyer as his WINNER of the Best Actress Oscar.
https://twitter.com/RodLurie/status/1066380474371592192?s=19
November 21, 2018 at 4:01 pm #1202680004I thought she came off quite well and very likable and humble in Chris’s interview on Gold Derby. I liked how she asked which two films Sigourney Weaver got nominated for in the same year. She seemed genuinely interested and not just some self-involved actress doing publicity.
It’s weird to think Kidman had this reputation as an aloof “ice queen” earlier in her career, but at least in the last several years, seems very open and warm in public.
ReplyNovember 21, 2018 at 9:12 am #1202679613We will know soon, but she is definitely ahead than McCarthy, Kidman, and Aparicio now.
No she is not. MQOS is not a BP contender, and while Ronan’s praise is good, it’s absolutely nowhere near Kidman’s praise (best ever performance, as good as Theron in Monster etc) or Aparico’s (she’ll be a lot of critics no. 1’s). Knightly in Collete might be a more apt comparison, and she’s likely getting nowhere near a nomination. For all her recent loss of momentum and lack of passion, I’d still have McCarthy ahead of Ronan.
The Favorite seems to be hurting all the other female themed period pieces, MQOS included. MQOS feels more like Young Victoria or Victoria & Abdul. Handsome period piece with solid reviews that might score a few technical like costume, but nothing above the line.
November 20, 2018 at 5:10 pm #1202679182While we’re still on this subject, what do you think the chances are for the other women I listed alongside Kidman as potential spoilers (Aparicio, Blunt, Pike and Roberts for Lead; Cardellini, de Tavira, Robbie, and Yeoh for Supporting)?
Pike is a non-starter. She’s like Rebecca Hall in Christine. Not enough traction, not enough people will watch her film. I don’t think Roberts has enough buzz to make a dent, though she is a big enough star for the Golden Globes to reccusitate with a nomination. Don’t see Blunt happening beyond the Globes. Critical passion might give Aparico a real shot.
Yeoh as a spoiler is a possibility. Had a decades long career, and is known and respected in Hollywood, despite the majortity of her work being in Hong Kong action cinema. I can see a nomination as a reward for her career. Not sold on the others.
ReplyNovember 20, 2018 at 10:41 am #1202678950Kidman is an auteur muse. She can be a leading lady in art house movies for the rest of her career. See Julianne Moore, Isabelle Huppert, Tilda Swinton, and a host of others. Hollywood does not make Kidman respectable and revered the independent filmmakers and foreign auteurs do.
Bingo. Kidman has enough juice and credibility with auteurs and independent filmmakers to be an arthouse leading lady till she’s 90 years old. A much older Kidman could lead films in Europe like Charlotte Rampling if the fancy struck her.
ReplyNovember 20, 2018 at 8:52 am #1202678848My question about Saoirse is that we know she is most likely not winning this year, so why bother to nominate her so frequently without a real chance at getting the Oscar, which has always been her case? Isn’t that why we have Meryl Streep?
Kate Winslet used to fill Ronan’s slot for younger actresses. Winslet was rarely competitive for the win in most of her early nominations, but kept racking them up.
November 20, 2018 at 8:48 am #1202678845According to my current predictions, it’s possible but not likely.
For Best Actress, I have the nominees being Close, Colman, Davis, Gaga, and McCarthy. But I can see Kidman, along with Aparicio, Blunt, Pike and Roberts being spoilers if they run a good enough campaign.
For Best Supporting Actress, I have the nominees being Adams, Foy, King, Stone, and Weisz. But I can see Kidman, along with Cardelini, de Tavira, Robbie, and Yeoh being spoilers if they run a good enough campaign.
I feel like the odds of Kidman not getting even one nomination are extremely low. No one has a higher industry presence than her right now, not even Lady Gaga, who turns up to everything. A Hollywood Film Awards lifetime achievement, AFI gala. BAFTA evening, LA Times Roundtable, Hollywood Reporter roundtable, Variety Actors On Actors and now the first Show Woman Of The Year.
No one campaigns like this and missses, and certainly not someone as well regarded as Kidman at this point of her career. One nomination feels a certainty, and double nominations are starting to look more probable than not, and it’s odd that some people can’t see it. Kidman is peaking at exactly the right time, and the message of her being double nominated is being pushed hard.
It’s weird to consider her a spoiler in either category. Her narrative is clear…One of the industry’s greatest actresses at the peak of her powers, who merits the status of a double nominee in a single year. I suspect the industry will be glad to oblige.
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