I guess the answer is today.

Arrival’s snub doesn’t even make sense. The Artist won a few years back with a track from Vertigo used in a key scene.

Rooting for either Hurwitz or Levi.

What the hell happened here?

All thumbs waaay up.

I’m pretty certain at this point it will win everything. Saw Jackie the other day too, and while Portman is amazing, I think her perf will be divisive.

I’d probably guess some combination of Taraji P. Henson, Viola Davis, Natalie Portman, Emma Stone, Amy Adams, Annette Benning, Naomi Harris, and maybe Isabelle Huppert.

What?

Jenkins adapted the play, whether it exists to the world or not.

I seem to remember the key there was that the screenwriter and playwright were the same person, and he had written the screenplay before he wrote the play.

If that’s true then the rules for Original/Adapted distinction is even dumber than I thought.

I will say this: Garfield is 100% on the Silence train. That’s what he’ll campaign for.

I think he will.

There’s definitely a problem with young actors, but usually in the lead categories. Supporting is usually okay.

Hedges is great and is a large part of very actor driven film (second only to Affleck, of course).

I also think this is a fairly weak year for the category. Ali is fantastic, but has maybe 15 minutes of screen…[Read more]

I wonder when people are going to realize this is an Adapted Screenplay.

Saw this the other day and loved it. Probably my favorite film I’ve seen so far this year.

I’d be very to see Affleck win this, and I think he just might. Otherwise, Hedges should get a nom, as well as Lonnergan for directing and writing. Williams is very good but it’s a small role, though will probably still make it in.

A BP nod is for sure,…[Read more]

Susan left Edward for Armie Hammer (remember she was with him when she discusses the abortion). It’s not too hard to believe that she became pregnant with Hammer’s kid not long after the abortion. Like you said the novel doesn’t really make sense if she didn’t get the abortion.

Saw it and quite liked it. There’s a bit of a cornball edge to the opening, but it’s more earnest than cheesy, and I think the sheer power of the rest of the film overcomes that issue anyway. The boot camp stuff is compelling, the war scenes are brutally breathtaking, and Doss’s heroic stuff is handled very well.

Technical merits should be…[Read more]

Saw this a few days ago and it’s been stuck in my head ever since. Love almost everything about it. Should be a big contender but it’s pretty out there in some ways so who knows what the Academy will think.

One of the biggest standouts to me, actually, was the score. Sounds like a beautiful love child of Bernard Hermann and Philip Glass.…[Read more]

It’s crazy how much the featured players show up this season. The two guys are in practically every sketch and Villesenor’s in a bunch too. I don’t have a problem with any so I’m not complaining but it’s strange when often this show waits weeks to give their featured players a single speaking role.

Just saw. Great film. Favorite of the year so far. Where’s the yearly movie ratings thread?

Usually a film this small and personal doesn’t make big Oscar waves but it seems like most contenders this year are on the same scale.

Likely noms:
– Picture
– Supporting Actress (Harris)
– Adapted Screenplay

Probable:
– Director
– Supporting Actor…[Read more]

Just saw. Great film. Favorite of the year so far. Where’s the yearly movie ratings thread?

Likely noms:
– Picture
– Supporting Actress (Harris)
– Adapted Screenplay

Probable:
– Director
– Supporting Actor (Ali)

Possible:
– Editing
– Cinematography

Less likely:
– Other actors

Cast is uniformly fantastic, but all the parts have relatively…[Read more]

Just saw. Great film.

Likely noms:
– Picture
– Supporting Actress (Harris)
– Adapted Screenplay

Probable:
– Director
– Supporting Actor (Ali)

Possible:
– Editing
– Cinematography

Less likely:
– Other actors

Cast is uniformly fantastic, but all the parts have relatively small screen time. Ali’s chances might be smaller because he’s not in the…[Read more]

I agree with most. Best Casting and Best Stunt Coordination. Split up Make Up and Hairstyling or at the very least make it 5 nominees. REMOVE Best Original Song ASAP.