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Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

  • Nomadland 7/1
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 15/2
  • Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 17/2 -

Best Director

  • Chloe Zhao 69/20
  • David Fincher 9/2
  • Aaron Sorkin 6/1

Best Actress

  • Viola Davis 19/5 -
  • Frances McDormand 4/1
  • Vanessa Kirby 5/1

Best Actor

  • Chadwick Boseman 10/3
  • Anthony Hopkins 4/1
  • Riz Ahmed 5/1

Best Supporting Actress

  • Amanda Seyfried 39/10
  • Olivia Colman 4/1
  • Ellen Burstyn 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Leslie Odom, Jr. 19/5
  • Sacha Baron Cohen 9/2
  • Daniel Kaluuya 5/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Nomadland 71/20
  • One Night in Miami 4/1
  • Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 18/5
  • Mank 5/1
  • Minari 5/1

Grammy Nominations 2021

Predictions

Record of the Year

  • Blinding Lights 4/1
  • Don't Start Now 13/2
  • Circles 15/2
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DominicCobb

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    DominicCobb
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    December 16, 2016 at 7:16 am #1201970770
    DominicCobb wrote:

    I wonder when people are going to realize this is an Adapted Screenplay.

    I guess the answer is today.

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    December 14, 2016 at 9:32 am #1201969445

    Arrival’s snub doesn’t even make sense. The Artist won a few years back with a track from Vertigo used in a key scene.

    Rooting for either Hurwitz or Levi.

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    December 14, 2016 at 9:18 am #1201969424

    What the hell happened here?

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    December 14, 2016 at 9:15 am #1201969420

    All thumbs waaay up.

    I’m pretty certain at this point it will win everything. Saw Jackie the other day too, and while Portman is amazing, I think her perf will be divisive.

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    November 13, 2016 at 6:33 pm #1201950228

    I’d probably guess some combination of Taraji P. Henson, Viola Davis, Natalie Portman, Emma Stone, Amy Adams, Annette Benning, Naomi Harris, and maybe Isabelle Huppert.

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    DominicCobb
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    November 13, 2016 at 1:27 am #1201949936
    M: The Original wrote:

    Unpublished work being reworked is not an adaptation because unpublished work doesn’t exist to the world.

    What?

    Jenkins adapted the play, whether it exists to the world or not.

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    November 12, 2016 at 6:49 pm #1201949838

    I seem to remember the key there was that the screenwriter and playwright were the same person, and he had written the screenplay before he wrote the play.

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    November 12, 2016 at 6:39 pm #1201949832

    If that’s true then the rules for Original/Adapted distinction is even dumber than I thought.

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    November 12, 2016 at 6:18 pm #1201949825

    I will say this: Garfield is 100% on the Silence train. That’s what he’ll campaign for.

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    November 12, 2016 at 6:04 pm #1201949822
    Brennan_Merone wrote:

    Think Hedges will be nominated? The Academy does seem to have a problem with young actors, and this category is pretty deep this year. I could definitely see him being nominated or snubbed.

    I think he will.

    There’s definitely a problem with young actors, but usually in the lead categories. Supporting is usually okay.

    Hedges is great and is a large part of very actor driven film (second only to Affleck, of course).

    I also think this is a fairly weak year for the category. Ali is fantastic, but has maybe 15 minutes of screen time. Shannon is awesome, but I’m not sure how people will react to the film. Bridges is solid, but it’s the type of role we’ve come to expect from him. Haven’t seen Patel. The guys from Silence could be the big threat if they’re undeniable. Otherwise I doubt anyone else is seriously in the running.

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    November 12, 2016 at 5:53 pm #1201949816

    I wonder when people are going to realize this is an Adapted Screenplay.

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    November 12, 2016 at 5:23 pm #1201949808

    Saw this the other day and loved it. Probably my favorite film I’ve seen so far this year.

    I’d be very to see Affleck win this, and I think he just might. Otherwise, Hedges should get a nom, as well as Lonnergan for directing and writing. Williams is very good but it’s a small role, though will probably still make it in.

    A BP nod is for sure, but what about a win? One thing that might be going for it is that it’s depressing. If Slumdog Millionaire won because of all the hope that was going around in 08, then maybe a film that shows how much life can suck will win in 16. There’s more going against it, though. For starters, it’s a very small and personal film; when was the last time something like this won? Maybe the closest comparison I can make is Ordinary People 36 years ago. It’s the same reason I’m skeptical of Moonlight being a frontrunner, though at least that has the X-factor of being about a rarely seen type of character (plus it’s got a hint of largeness with it’s lifespan scope).

    So I’d say Actor and Screenplay are the only likely wins. I’ll be rooting for it.

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    November 9, 2016 at 10:14 pm #1201948001
    AMG wrote:

    WARNING FULL SPOILERS AHEAD

    DominicCobb wrote:

    Saw this a few days ago and it’s been stuck in my head ever since. Love almost everything about it. Should be a big contender but it’s pretty out there in some ways so who knows what the Academy will think.

    One of the biggest standouts to me, actually, was the score. Sounds like a beautiful love child of Bernard Hermann and Philip Glass. Incredible and hypnotic.

    Curious what question you have^ AMG.

    Well, it’s about the daughter on the end of the phone in the present day narrative. She’s seen and heard, but we are left in the dark over whose daughter she is.

    Susan told her assistant she hooked up with Armie Hammer a few years ago, so is it his? The daughter seems quite old, so would more likely be Edward’s – so did she actually have the abortion!? The whole plot relies on this having taken place, or is the revenge novel based on the lie?

    Susan left Edward for Armie Hammer (remember she was with him when she discusses the abortion). It’s not too hard to believe that she became pregnant with Hammer’s kid not long after the abortion. Like you said the novel doesn’t really make sense if she didn’t get the abortion.

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    November 7, 2016 at 6:35 pm #1201946715

    Saw it and quite liked it. There’s a bit of a cornball edge to the opening, but it’s more earnest than cheesy, and I think the sheer power of the rest of the film overcomes that issue anyway. The boot camp stuff is compelling, the war scenes are brutally breathtaking, and Doss’s heroic stuff is handled very well.

    Technical merits should be likely. Garfield’s in a tough one here with Silence, of course. Screenplay and Director are going to be tricky unless the field thins and the Academy really likes this. I don’t think a BP nod is too hard to imagine though. Not saying likely, but it’s possible.

    Don’t think the comparisons to Birth of a Nation are all that relevant. Yeah, Gibson’s going to have a tough time. But that controversy died years ago, Parker’s is brand new. BO wise, his film died a quick death while Ridge is doing fairly well so far. I liked Birth, but I think its chances are done. There’s no buzz anymore.

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    November 7, 2016 at 6:24 pm #1201946712

    Saw this a few days ago and it’s been stuck in my head ever since. Love almost everything about it. Should be a big contender but it’s pretty out there in some ways so who knows what the Academy will think.

    One of the biggest standouts to me, actually, was the score. Sounds like a beautiful love child of Bernard Hermann and Philip Glass. Incredible and hypnotic.

    Curious what question you have^ AMG.

    Reply
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