[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203714513

Deemy wrote:

If they are gonna use 5-6 blacks in AOTY. These would be my picks: The Weeknd Roddy Ricch Brittany Howard FKA twigs Summer Walker Run the Jewels (Killer Mike) Doja is also likely. I can’t see all 6 of them making it in. That would mean only Fiona and Harry Styles would round it out. So I’d take FKA twigs out . I also think ChloexHalle are being overestimated here. Their album wasn’t nearly as successful as Summer. Nor do they have the hits. I can only see them being nominated in R&B.

CxH are promoting/campaigning like crazy + they are established artists, previous BNA nominees. Summer is newcomer and her era doesn’t come with bang unlike Billie, Sam, LNX

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203714508

Don’t Start Now has greater chance than Circles in SOTY. I’ve seen multiple critics/publications put the songs as one of the best song of the year. Dua’s overprediction makes sense considering its overwhelming acclaim.

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203714326

My choice (4 black artists + 1 POC + 3 white artists) :

• After Hours – The Weeknd
• Jaime – Brittany Howard
• Ungodly Hour – Chloe & Halle
• Please Excuse Me for Being Antisocial – Roddy Ricch
• YHLQMDLG – Bad Bunny
• Fetch the Bolt Cutters – Fiona Apple
• Taylor Swift – Folklore
• The Highwomen – The Highwomen

Combination of commercial and critical success + impact.

 

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203714315

Alexandra wrote:

Nominating 6 black artists will just set up a white person to win. 4 ideally and 5 max.

Exactly my point but some members here be like “it’s about damn time!” knowingly the lineup eventually will help white artist even more.

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203714259

Sade wrote:

Get real! Six black AOTY nominees is NOT overkill. About damn time!

It’s not overkill if we are in 2015, 2016, 2018 where Black artists totally owned the year with great music. + Too many black nominees will pave the way for another white winner. 4 black artist + 1 from other POC (Rona or Bad Bunny) + 3 white artist seems right to me.

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203714163

Six albums by black people in AOTY is overkill. 4-5 seems right.

My choice :

• After Hours – The Weeknd
• Jaime – Brittany Howard
• Ungodly Hour – Chloe and Halle
• Please Excuse Me For Being Antisocial – Roddy Ricch

If they decided to put six nominees to represent black people, leaving two slots for white artist so one of these albums will miss :

• Fetch the Bolt Cutters – Fiona Apple
• Future Nostalgia – Dua Lipa
• folklore – Taylor Swift
• Gaslighter – The Chicks
• The Highwomen – The Highwomen
• Bob Dylan – Rough and Rowdy Ways
• Fine Line – Harry Styles
• Chromatica – Lady Gaga
• Punisher – Phoebe Bridgers
• Reunions – Jason Isbell and The 400 Unit

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203713132

John Berchmans wrote:

But Breathe didn’t win, so what’s your point?

If an album track can get a nom, what do you think for a Top 10 hits from one of the biggest albums of the year by two big names can do especially in such a weak year?

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203713091

Boz wrote:

All the winners sans Body and Soul have been hits. The idea is that the biggest hit doesn’t always win. I fail to see why Exile would win. The only scenario I could see is if Taylor Swift just sweeps the Grammy’s or at least the pop field, which is likely not going to happen.

A Top 10 hits with immense acclaim from one of the biggest album of the year. Not to mention, both artists have won general fields. Yeah, some people just cannot see it

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203713079

grandeswiftknowles wrote:

Can we please stop with this Exile nonsense? 2 months away from nomination and Taylor is still doing nothing to push it. She preformed Betty at the ACMs yesterday instead of Exile at the VMAs for a reason. Rain On Me is the frontrunner and it’s going against Memories, the actual hit, not an abandoned album track that’s recieving ZERO push. As well, Ariana and Gaga have a better history in pop than Bon Iver and Taylor. Arianas beaten Taylor for wins and nominations (ME! vs Boyfriend and God Is A Woman vs Delicate). I don’t need to expand on Gaga; her history in pop is great.

Nonsense? Where? Breathe feat. Colbie Caillat even nominated despite being an album track. exile is a Top 10 hits, you can’t change that.

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203712973

Brenda Meeks wrote:

Who are you predicting to win Pop Duo/Group ?

Rain on Me – Lady Gaga and Ariana Grande

Or

exile – Taylor Swift featuring Bon Iver

Unlike previous years, we don’t have gigantic smash hits so everyone have fair and square chance in winning but my current front-runners are those two. They are big name in academy so interesting to see the outcome.

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203712930

JGibson wrote:

It’s not just the the biggest hit losing but the reputation from the artist who won instead of it. Gaga and Ariana have a decent sized hit and have a better image in the academy than most other contenders or bigger songs. ROM certainly not a lock but the frontrunner as of now.

Gaga/Ariana vs Taylor/Bon Iver

Who have bigger reputation in the academy?

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203712922

ciguanaba wrote:

Also calling them flopped songs is kinda harsh. Sales aren’t everything.

Too bad some members here think commercial success is absolute…!!!!

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203712880

Boz wrote:

Key word being “hits”. If anything, this just proves Rain On Me can win over bigger hits likeIntentions and Memories.

Can win, not easily win like other members claimed.

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203712864

A reminder that commercial success is not everything, In 2019 we have seven nominees with bunch of flopped songs in BPDGP :

• Shallow – Lady Gaga and Bradly Cooper
• Fall in Line – Christina Aguilera featuring Demi Lovato
• Don’t Go Breaking My Heart – Backstreet Boys
• S Wonderful – Tony Bennett and Diana Krall
• Girls Like You – Maroon 5 featuring Cardi B
• Say Something – Justine Timberlake featuring Chris Stapleton
• The Middle – Zedd, Marten Morris and Grey

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[epiphany Joined: Sep 6th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 805 View Predictions]

#1203712816

CyberFunk wrote:

I think that rather than pivoting, let’s all agree that in a year when not even the predicted Pop DGP Perf. winner is a safe bet for ROTY, there will be no place for pop fillers like Exile. (6 of the past 8 Pop DGP were in ROTY, yet this year it will probably not be in the case) Taylor will have a much easier path to get in SOTY with Cardigan mainly because that category is weaker than usual this year.

SOTY is much more competitive than ROTY due to current political situation and BLM so we expect a lot of empowering songs will make it into the final eight.

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