[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1205187641

Here’s where I’m at right now:

Best Drama Series:

1. House of the Dragon

2. Severance

3. The Crown
<p style=”text-align: left;”>4. The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power</p>
5. Ozark

Best Drama Actor:

1. Adam Scott- Severance

2. Bob Odenkirk- Better Call Saul

3. Dominic West- The Crown

4. Paddy Considine- House of the Dragon

5. Jason Bateman- Ozark

Best Drama Actress:

1. Zendaya- Euphoria

2. Laura Linney- Ozark

3. Imelda Staunton- The Crown

4. Britt Lower- Severance

5. Emma D’Arcy- House of the Dragon

Best Comedy Series:

1. Abbott Elementary

2. Hacks

3. Only Murders in the Building

4. Barry

5. Wednesday

Best Comedy Actor:

1. Steve Martin- OMITB

2. Bill Hader- Barry

3. Martin Short- OMITB

4. Jeremy Allen White- The Bear

5. Ramy Youssef- Ramy

Best Comedy Actress:

1. Jean Smart- Hacks

2. Quinta Brunson- Abbott Elementary

3. Selena Gomez- OMITB

4. Christina Applegate- Dead to Me

5. Jenna Ortega- Wednesday

Best Limited Series:

1. The White Lotus: Sicily

2. The Dropout

3. Pam and Tommy

4. Black Bird

5. Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

Best Limited Series Actor:

1. Evan Peters- Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

2. Taron Egerton- Black Bird

3. Sebastian Stan- Pam and Tommy

4. Michael Shannon- George and Tammy

5. Andrew Garfield- Under the Banner of Heaven

Best Limited Series Actress:

1. Amanda Seyfried- The Dropout

2. Lily James- Pam and Tommy

3. Julia Garner- Inventing Anna

4. Jessica Chastain- George and Tammy

5. Emily Blunt- The English

Best Comedy/Drama Supporting Actor:

1. Matt Smith- House of the Dragon

2. Tyler James Williams- Abbott Elementary

3. Henry Winkler- Barry

4. John Turturro- Severance

5. Christopher Walken- Severance

Best Comedy/Drama Supporting Actress:

1. Sheryl Lee Ralph- Abbott Elementary

2. Julia Garner- Ozark

3. Patricia Arquette- Severance

4. Lesley Manville- The Crown

5. Janelle James- Abbott Elementary

Best Limited Series Supporting Actor:

1. F. Murray Abraham- The White Lotus: Sicily

2. Richard Jenkins- Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

3. Seth Rogen- Pam and Tommy

4. Michael Imperioli- The White Lotus: Sicily

5. Ray Liotta- Black Bird

Best Limited Series Supporting Actress:

1. Jennifer Coolidge- The White Lotus: Sicily

2. Aubrey Plaza- The White Lotus: Sicily

3. Niecy Nash- Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

4. Danielle Deadwyler- Station Eleven

5. Laurie Metcalf- The Dropout

 

 

 

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204783680

UnionCityMood wrote:

SAG voting timeline is also around that time, from Dec. 6 to Jan. 9, when the HoG buzz peaked. I agree it’s not safe to say the movie’s buzz decline in late January, we just won’t know what’s going on within the Ampas circle. There is very little info given other than pundits who have industry connection and insiders.

Okay, but when those same pundits make horrible suggestions saying people like Halle Berry and Rachel Zegler will make SAG over Lady Gaga, it’s hard to take them seriously lol. In my opinion, it really seems like the pundits are trying their best to dismiss Gaga’s chances hoping it will sway voters to say “well, guess I won’t vote for her then” only for it blow up in their faces at literally every ceremony so far.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204780536

I’m not taking a stance as to whether or not Cumberbatch or Smith was the other Top 2 pick, but there’s no way people actually believe Leo was a Jury Pick right? Leo in Don’t Look Up is about as opposite a Jury’s taste as humanly possible.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204780128

P(oweR) Valley wrote:

Crazy how Kidman is consider a frontrunner, but she’s below everyone else on the Metacritic scorecard (actually not even listed). When was the last time a frontrunner missed critic mentions? Her situation would be the reverse of Kristen Stewart’s.

I’ve always compared Kidman to Sandra Bullock if she wins. Bullock won literally 0 critics awards the entire season, but the Industry chose her over Mulligan and Sidibe

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204779972

Why are we suddenly trying to negate the Colman BAFTA snub? They literally had a top 2 system set in place to prevent any jaw dropping snubs they wouldn’t approve, and Colman still couldn’t get nominated. I think she and her film are suffering from similar issues as Spencer and Stewart, where it’s just not Industry appealing (it even has a worse Audience score then Spencer, 40 something percent). Colman’s path died with the BAFTA and AACTA snubs, both places she should have easily been able to make.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204776991

Right now I’m at:

1. Lady Gaga (Win Competitive)

2. Nicole Kidman (Win Competitive)

3. Alana Haim (Solid, but not win competitive)

4. Jessica Chastain (Fighting for Nomination)

5. Olivia Colman (Fighting for Nomination)

Closest in Line:

6. Kristen Stewart

7. Jennifer Hudson

8. Rachel Zegler

9. Penelope Cruz

10. Emilia Jones

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204763633

Y’all…

Parasite literally received a massive mainstream push when they got a standing ovation in one of the most well received and excited for SAG Ensemble victories of all time. It literally became like a whole cultural moment and is arguably what propelled Parasite to its momentum and glory.

And with all of that hype, Song Kang-Ho still could not get squeezed into a significantly more open Supporting Actor lineup despite “everyone” wanting him to. Celebrities on Twitter saying Penelope Cruz is really good is not gonna get her nominated.

 

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204751758

To be quite honest, as long as it’s in a movie with Joaquin’s Joker and is presumably as serious as the first one, I could easily see Lady Gaga winning for Harley Quinn lol, again, given the tone and nature of the film.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204745976

All this drama only for the Oscar 5 to be the Globes Drama 5. In the slime chance there is a snub, I think Stewart would be the victim.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204745637

Aaron Kalloo wrote:

If Stewart gets the BAFTA nomination, it will be obvious that the consensus 5 (Kidman, Gaga, Colman, Chastain, Stewart) will likely be the Oscar top 5. And it will make things even harder for someone else to sneak in.

Couldn’t agree more! Sometimes people just overthink stuff and try to call a surprise that’ll never happen. Im just gonna go with the Globes Drama 5.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204744712

I adore Olivia Colman, and I do think she was amazing in The Lost Daughter. BUT I would personally prefer her not to win because, this may be an unpopular opinion, a lot of her acting in it just felt like scenes being copied and pasted from Ths Favourite and The Father. Again, I want to say she’s a great actress, and a nomination for The Lost Daughter, I’d more than support. But she pretty much just does the same stuff she usually does for the first 2/3 of the movie. Here entire Movie Theatre scene pretty much felt like her Dramatic Ballroom Scene from The Favourite without all the costumes. She definitely can win, I don’t think she will because she missed AACTA however, but I do prefer she wins her 2nd Oscar for a genuinely different performance in her career.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204741993

I also hate the Nicole Kidman slander rn. People are acting like she’s Meryl Streep with 20+ nominations, when she’s not lol. Kidman only has 4 Oscar nominations and 1 win. Genuinely the only times the Academy choose to recognize her are when she’s doing Oscarbait. It’s not her fault the Academy ignores more of her Film Twitter friendly performances.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204741974

The mental gymnastics people are doing to try to justify Stewart still being strong really is astounding. Her film isn’t just underperforming, it’s floundering. Her inability to win a single Trifecta award or NBR should have been a significant red flag, and her film somehow managed to do even worse with Critics Choice nominations than Jackie did. The genuinely only thing Stewart has going for her are regional Critics Wins, and Film Twitter hype. Even amongst the period divided Guild Technical awards, Spencer is still being shut out. This film has zero Industry support, and that should be blatantly obvious.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204740334

I just wanted to say that yeah, I agree LFCC is being overhyped lol, by a bit. Every single Actress in contention has some Stat going for or against her. Colman inexplicably missed AACTA, but literally no one is mentioning that lol. Stewart missed SAG, Chastain missed AACTA and LFCC, Gaga and Kidman missed LFCC, but saying missing LFCC is what kills someone like Gaga is redundant imo, because someone could then just say she won a Trifecta and Iowa which correctly matched for the last 3 years lol.

People will just choose whatever stats and rules they wanna follow that benefits their fave, even if subconsciously lol. For me personally, I just choose to follow whatever has shown genuine correlation to the Oscars in at least some capacity in MULTIPLE categories, which ofc includes GG, CC, SAG, BAFTA, occasionally AACTA, and occasionally the Trifecta awards.

[Drake Cross Joined: May 8th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 24 View Predictions]

#1204739850

Okay, I know we have the whole top 2 situation going on with BAFTAs, but I still think it truly is idiotic to call anyone a lock for a nomination lol. Did y’all learn nothing from last year? We have no idea who would have even won between Mulligan and McDormand if Mulligan was nominated, and I’m about 95% certain that no one would have thought Maria Bakalova gets a BAFTA nomination over Olivia Colman lol. We have no idea what they’re gonna do. Everyone saying “Oh, Colman/Stewart will just easily pick up the BAFTA, then Oscar, no questions asked” is just giving me so many Carey Mulligan vibes from last year lol.