[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204739299

I feel there is a pretty clear Top 8 for Best Picture right now. But then I’m going back and forth between 3 films for slots 9-10. I can’t decide between Drive My Car, The Tragedy of Macbeth and House of Gucci. I think we’ll get more clarity on what the 9th film is going to be when PGA nominations are announced. But then slot #10 could still be a surprise film because PGA doesn’t always match up exactly.

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[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204738941

I kinda feel that with the way the category feels so “locked” that there will be a surprise contender and I think with the way Macbeth has been surging and particularly how Hunter has been received by audiences, it could be her. Then again, this could just be me hopedicting her because she is one of my favorites right now in this race.

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[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204737038

I don’t know what to do about Licorice Pizza. I feel like it’s predictions for nominations are very weird. It feels too few for a film that was championed as a Best Picture contender. Beyond Best Picture and Original Screenplay, is the film actually going to get nominated for anything? Because it feels like it’s on the fringe of Director, Actress, Supporting Actor and Editing. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the film get these nominations but it also wouldn’t surprise me to see it not be nominated for them either. It just feels weird for that to be happening with a film that is considered to be a contender the way Licorice Pizza has been.

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[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204728440

I just finished watching Macbeth and it is throughly one of my favorite films of the year!!! The cinematography was absolutely stunning, literally every single shot. The editing transitions were beautiful and the movie did not feel like it’s runtime. The sound design was pretty great too. Denzel is probably my favorite Actor performance of the year along with Garfield. He never fails to give such a powerful performance and here is no exception. The same goes for Frances and she would be a wonderful Actress nominee too. Hunter has little chance to get in but what she does with her limited amount of screen time is exceptional. I think after DeBose she is my favorite Supporting Actress of the year. I’m not sure if it will get into Best Picture because many may not like the Shakespeare aspect, but I think some could still love it enough for it to make a 10 slot lineup. But right now I have it around somewhere between 10-12.

[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204728436

Kathryn Hunter should 100% be nominated for this award, my god she gave a perfect, memorable performance with so little screen time.

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[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204725795

Do we think Spencer will still get any technical nominations like Costume Design or Score (as Jackie did)? I feel after Stewart’s SAG snub and it’s more muted reception on the BAFTA long lists it could be in trouble but I’m more sure how much trouble and will it extend to these categories. Is Spencer fighting for a solo nod in Stewart?

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[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204725757

I think it is also important to note that while three Disney/Pixar films haven’t been nominated before, there are not many years where Disney/Pixar have released 3 films that could contend in this category. So it is entirely possible that all 3 of Encanto, Luca and Raya get in. And while Finding Dory did miss when it was contending with Zootopia and Moana, it was a sequel and some didn’t feel that it held up to the original. That’s not the case here. All the films are original and don’t have to contend with the reception of a first film.

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[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204723676

I think BAFTA is an important precursor but I also feel that people who win the Oscar with only a BAFTA win do so because the race is very split between multiple contenders like Actress last year or Supporting Actress when Tilda Swinton won or even when Mark Rylance won for Bridge of Spies. So I think it is a bit early right now to say if BAFTA can be the biggest bellwhether in the way it was last year. If Kidman keeps winning awards then she’ll win even if she looses BAFTA to someone else like Colman. However, if someone else like Gaga or Chastain wins SAG or Critics Choice then I would look to the BAFTA winner as the Oscar winner.

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[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204722344

I think while Don’t Look Up and House of Gucci are the populist contenders for Ensemble, I think Belfast will win it. While it did underperform by not getting any Supporting Actor nominations, I think it is still possible for it to have a guild run similar to The Trial of the Chicago 7 which like Belfast also won the GG for Screenplay. But then later did go on to win the SAG Ensemble, I think something similar will happen here. However, it is interesting to note that the only films not to miss a predicted/buzzed about nominee are CODA and House of Gucci. Some may say Matlin missed but I don’t think she was ever a true contender as she hasn’t made it anywhere beyond a few critic circles I think.

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[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204722221

I think if we are bringing up that Kidman has yet to win a SAG for film, we should also note that Olivia Colman hasn’t won one yet either despite her numerous award wins as of late. She has won 2 television Ensemble awards for The Crown while Kidman won Movie/Mini Actress for Big Little Lies. While Chastain has a film Ensemble win for The Help and Hudson has her Supporting Actress win for Dreamgirls. And Gaga doesn’t have any wins here. So, I don’t know how much a need to reward Kidman for film will be when other contenders like Colman have a similar need. In addition, this is not a case like Denzel Washington for Fences where he won because he had never won any SAG before. Kidman and Colman have been rewarded by them, even if it is TV. So I honestly don’t think that is an issue that will be at play much. I have no doubt that Kidman certainty has a chance to win but I don’t think it will be because she doesn’t have a film SAG.

[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204719560

I want to see if House of Gucci makes PGA before slotting it into Best Picture. I’m still a little wary of it in that category despite its massive bump today. I don’t think it has made any Best Picture category before today with the BAFTA long list mention and the SAG Ensemble nod (I guess their sort of equivalent to Best Picture?)

[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204719261

Whoever is winning Critics Choice depends on when the ceremony actually is. Because whoever is the frontrunner at that time will be the winner. I think it’s between Gaga and Kidman. Bardem getting in at SAG is good for Kidman’s chances but Leto getting into Supporting Actor and Gucci into Ensemble are good for Gaga’s chances. And both performed great on the long lists. If Colman is one of the Top 2, then whoever’s the other top nominee will most likely win the Oscar I think.

[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204717982

House of Gucci getting shortlisted for Best Editing of all things when the editing in that movie is the worst thing about the film tells me a lot about the support within BAFTA’s for the film.

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[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204716808

Lowkey, I kind of feel Garfield can win for this. He has a lot of passion right now. Not just with Tick Tick Boom but because of Spider Man. I’ve been seeing him go viral for a bunch of things lately even his Social Network monologue. If he manages to win SAG or even BAFTA I could see him getting the Oscar. Especially if Tick Tick Boom gets a Best Picture nomination like some think it will. Garfield is definitely in this race.

[Natalegend Joined: Jul 7th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204716597

I could see Holland being a good host. He has a great dancing background that could work for some great entertainment. As long as the host isn’t a late night show host like Corden, Kimmel, Fallon or any of the usual names, I’ll be happy.

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