[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203077427

UnderHerEye wrote:

All hail this politically incorrect queen!

It seems 2019 is the scarlett year no matter how it ends at the Oscars: ENDGAME is the highest-grossing movie ever, MARRIAGE STORY is one of the most acclaimed movies of the year (plus, Best Actress buzz for her) and JOJO RABBIT wins the People’s Choice of TIFF and (re)enters Oscar race. Well done!

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203076783

Edgar Pereira wrote:

Call me mad, but since a lot of people LOVE JOJO RABBIT and a lot of people don’t like it, I guess some of my money is on JOJO… Those who don’t like the movie can’t vote against JOJO, so I believe lovers will push hard for this one. I don’t predict a “clean” win, but I believe it can get a runner-up place.
Right now, my predictions are:
#1 – WAVES
#2 – JOJO RABBIT
#3 – PARASITE
#4 – A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD
#5 – MARRIAGE STORY

I know I predicted a 1st runner-up spot for JOJO RABBIT, but like I said: you can’t vote AGAINST a movie and JOJO was loved by a lot of people

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203076171

Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby wrote:

Darlings, Tearing K. Brown is winning a la King.

I think the same. He’s the only black contender I can see winning at this point of the race and the AMPAS wants to sell the “embrace diversity” idea. Best Actress will be Zellweger or Johansson, Best Actor will be Phoenix or Driver and Supporting Actress keeps without a clear front-runner, but I don’t belie Zhou (Asian) or Lopez (latina) will win. And Brown has the stellar reviews

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203075084

My Best Supporting Actress predictions:
#1: Laura Dern, MARRIAGE STORY
#2: Annette Benning, THE REPORT
#3: Jennifer Lopez, HUSTLERS (I don’t like her, but reviews are very strong and I’m predicting, not wishing)
#4: Zhao Shuzhen, THE FAREWELL
#5: Florence Pugh, LITTLE WOMEN
ALT: Margot Robbie, BOMBSHELL; Scarlett Johansson, JOJO RABBIT; Maggie Smith, DOWNTON ABBEY

About Florence Pugh: she was astonishing in LADY MACBETH, great in both FIGHTING WITH MT FAMILY and MIDSONMAR… And she has great TV work in KING LEAR and THE LITTLE DRUMMER GIRL. She is a star on the rise, so if she gets the reviews she will be in for LITTLE WOMEN almost for sure

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203074554

GG Actress – Drama
#1: Zellweger, JUDY
#2: Theron, BOMBSHELL
#3: Mirren, THE GOOD LIAR
#4: Nyong’o, US
#5: Ronan, LITTLE WOMEN
Alt. Erivo, HARRIET

GG Actress – Comedy or Musical
#1: Johansson, MARRIAGE STORY
#2: Awkwafina, THE FAREWELL
#3: Thompson, LATE NIGHT
#4: Wu, HUSTLERS
#5: Feldstein, BOOKSMART
Alt. Theron, LONG SHOT; Moore, GLORIA BELL

———-
OSCAR BEST ACTRESS
#1: Zellweger, JUDY
#2: Johansson, MARRIAGE STORY
#3: Theron, BOMBSHELL
#4: Nyong’o, US
#5: Awkwafina, THE FAREWELL
Alt. Woodard, CLEMENCY; Ronan, LITTLE WOMEN

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203071099

AmnistY21 wrote:

Our girl deserved better.

I have faith in her performance in LITTLE WOMEN. Early word is quite strong about her turn as Amy March and her great work in MIDSONMAR and FIGHTING WITH MY FAMILY will just boost her Oscar buzz 🙂

Edgar Pereira
.
Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203070786

Victor Cruz wrote:

Ronan is a lock unless little woman flops massively. That role had garnered acclaim before and Little Women will be on everyones radar just for the fact that its Gerwig second feature. I dont have the movie getting a BP nomination, but I think it’ll get Actress, Writing, Costumes and Production Design.

I still have my money on Bombshell being the big awards contender this December. The cast, the subject matter. It’ll have better Box Office than people think. The movie overperformed pre release tracking numbers which means Its likely to overperform Vice at the Box Office and that made 80 million WW.

Personally, I think that both Theron and Ronan won’t be nominated simultaneously: two late December performances. But I believe one of them will get a spot in nominees shortlist. I know Ronan is an AMPAS darling these days and Jo March fits the profile of her last 2 nominated roles, but Winona Ryder’s performance is still so fresh (and perfect) in my mind that I can’t see Ronan getting nominated (I can’t really explain). Theron has been overlooked in the 2010’s and she has one of the most interesting post-Oscar win careers – plus, it’s a transformative role and it is the “#MeToo movie” (and she has the chops). Of course BOMBSHELL has to be well-received

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203070199

Matthew anzalone wrote:

Update: I moved lopez back to supporting and put emma thompson in for late night. Very curious to see what happens with the comedy nominations at the globes. If US follows in the footsteps on Get out and goes comedy, then Luptia should easily get a nomination.

Johansson (if MARRIAGE STORY goes comedy), Awkwafina (THE FAREWELL), Thompson (LATE NIGHT), Feldstein (BOOKSMART), Theron (LONG SHOT), Moore (GLORIA BELL), Denver (BOOKSMART), Streep (THE LAUNDROMAT), Bell (BRITANNY RUNS A MARATHON), Wu (HUSTLERS) or Scott (ALADDIN). Nyong’o if US goes GET OUT style (personally, I think it’s Drama)…! I’m starting to like GG race for Best Actress in a Comedy or Musical

Edgar Pereira
.
Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203069759

Lil Tony wrote:

I totally agree. Taron Egerton was amazing in Rocketman and 100% deserves to be nominated

An absolute truth! Hope Egerton gets nominated (and wins) the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical so it gets an Oscar boost! I think it’s safe to predict a BAFTA nod for him.
And sorry for writing about this topic in Best Actress 2020 xD

Matthew anzalone wrote:

Late night is forgotten by now. I would love to see her get in but im not counting on it. I know who I would take out (Cough hayward cough)

I thought the same about Charlize Theron in TULLY… Fortunately I was wrong and Theron got that GG nod!

• This reply was modified 4 days, 20 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.
• This reply was modified 4 days, 20 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203068913

Portugal has just submitted A HERDADE (THE DOMAIN), which competed for the Golden Lion at Venice Film Festival

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203067715

For me, Best Supporting Actor is the most exciting Oscar race this year. My TOP 10 performances “going supporting” for Oscar (let’s be honest, we know there are a lot of category frauds this year):
#1: Brad Pitt, ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD (I think his nomination is secure but I believe – and hope – he won’t win for this specific role)
#2: Al Pacino, THE IRISHMAN
#3: Tom Hanks, A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD
#4: Sterling K. Brown, WAVES (an acclaimed movie, a black actor in a race that needs diversity and a praised performance… and he’s a well-known TV star with recognition) – this year’s Regina King?
#5: Anthony Hopkins, THE TWO POPES
———————————-
#6: Willem Dafoe, THE LIGHTHOUSE (he’s brilliant, but category fraud… is the movie too artsy?)
#7: Jamie Foxx, JUST MERCY
#8: Alan Alda, MARRIAGE STORY
#9: Joe Pesci, THE IRISHMAN
#10: Lucas Hedges, WAVES (another raved turn in another big Oscar player… a 2nd Oscar nod must come soon for such a young talent)

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203067418

I Don’t Need You wrote:

Johansson is due for a nom imo, not necessarily a win tho

Agree. Due for a nomination at least. A win doesn’t seem mandatory but it also wouldn’t be inappropriate if the performance is as great as reviews say. She has a nice career

• This reply was modified 6 days, 2 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.
• This reply was modified 6 days, 2 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203067126

JLo’s situation kinda reminds me of Matthew McConaughey’s for MAGIC MIKE. Raved performance that got Oscar buzz but never materialized due to “prejudice” around the actor’s less serious reputation. Let’s see if it has a happy ending for her. For all the matter, it should be all about the performance

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203066641

Call me mad, but since a lot of people LOVE JOJO RABBIT and a lot of people don’t like it, I guess some of my money is on JOJO… Those who don’t like the movie can’t vote against JOJO, so I believe lovers will push hard for this one. I don’t predict a “clean” win, but I believe it can get a runner-up place.
Right now, my predictions are:
#1 – WAVES
#2 – JOJO RABBIT
#3 – PARASITE
#4 – A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD
#5 – MARRIAGE STORY

• This reply was modified 6 days, 15 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.
• This reply was modified 6 days, 15 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.
• This reply was modified 6 days, 15 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.
• This reply was modified 6 days, 15 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.

Edgar Pereira
.
Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 53 View Predictions]

#1203066564

I came here just to say that I’ve read HUSTLERS reviews and I feel obligated to predict Jennifer Lopez for Best Supporting Actress…!
“Academy Award nominee JLo” – I would never believe it 3 days ago

Edgar Pereira
.
Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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