[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203550986

GregSprinkles wrote:

I don’t see see Scarlett and Paul in those roles. Also, I think that the Clintons are so divisive that very few people would dare to do try and represent their story when they’re still in the public eye.

I get your point, but I think their early years as a couple growing in politics would a fascinating story to bring to the big screen.
I don’t think both Johansson and Dano look a lot like the parts, but I think they have a facial bone structure that can make them look like the Clintons with the right hair and makeup (and they are great actors)

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203547004

Kurt Cobain – There were some talking about an adaptation of “Heavier Than Heaven” biography, but it seems it went nowhere. Cobain as the lead singer of the grunge band Nirvana, the love story with Courtney Love and their self-destruction, his depression, the drugs…
I would cast Cameron Monaghan as Kurt Cobain and Florence Pugh as Courtney Love

Hillary Rodham Clinton – I think she had a fascinating life, specially during her Arkansas years and the 1992’s presidential campaign. Those were the years she refused to be “just a wife” and pursued a career even when public opinion wasn’t on her side.
I would cast Scarlett Johansson as Hillary and Paul Dano as Bill.

Aristides de Sousa Mendes – a Portuguese consul in France who defied the orders of Salazar and granted visas and passports to Nazi Germany refugees, including Jews.
I would cast Mark Ruffalo as Aristides.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203528571

1. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker (2019)
2. Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln (2012)
3. Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea (2016)
4. Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club (2013)
5. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour (2017)
6. Jean Dujardin, The Artist (2011)
7. Colin Firth, The King’s Speech (2010)
8. Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything (2014)
9. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant (2015)
10. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody (2018)

NOTE: I’m aware having DiCaprio in #9 is an unpopular opinion, but still…

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203528556

#1 Viola Davis, Fences (2016)
#2 Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables (2012)
#3 Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave (2013)
#4 Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk (2018)
#5 Patricia Arquette, Boyhood (2014)
#6 Allison Janney, I, Tonya (2017)
#7 Melissa Leo, The Fighter (2010)
#8 Octavia Spencer, The Help (2011)
#9 Laura Dern, Marriage Story (2019)
#10 Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl (2015)

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203521564

m844 wrote:

In the last 11 years since the beginning of the preferential ballot era, 7/11 Lead Actress Oscar winners have come from Best Picture nominees.

I think Glenn Close losing the Lead Actress Oscar to Olivia Colman for is the most famous recent example of how viewers not loving a film (she was her film’s only nominee) can hurt your ability to win when you’re up against a strong contender in a Best Picture nominee. That’s why, although not absolutely required, I think Viola Davis needs to be in a Best Picture nominee to maximize her chances of winning.

I think Davis is in a different spot of her career in a different moment. Not only the AMPAS faced backlash last year for being “too white” but 2020 is also the year of the protests against racism. I would say she’s the most relevant African American actress working today in Hollywood and if the movie sells only her performance, then it will be all about her performance. She’s like a Jessica Lange case for “Blue Sky” – an established actress with a starring vehicle just for her and she’s big enough for that at this moment. Plus, she’s a 2 time Oscar winner kind of actress while Hudson isn’t (but then again I said Zellweger wasn’t a 2 times Oscar winner kind of actress and well…)

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203519860

Emmyfan wrote:

I would love for Cynthia Nixon to win an Oscar and she has the chops to pull it off.

She won 2 Emmys – 1 for Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series – Sex & The City – 2004 and Guest Actress in a Drama Series – Law & Order – 2008.

She won 2 Tony Awards – 2005 Best Actress in a Play – Rabbit Hole
2017 – Featured Actress in a Play – Little Foxes

Yes. And I thought she was superb in both James White and A Quiet Passion – performances that would be great Oscar material!

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203519324

Eugenio Eranzo wrote:

Scarlet could win for blackwidow at the oscars this year if quarantine extends. Hehe! she has no chance of emmy this year.

Looool
As much I like Johansson’s work, she won’t get it for Black Widow. The AMPAS is not found of MCU… As for Emmy, well, SNL had a nice season and the team submitted Scarlett’s SNL hosting for Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series. I’m predicting her to be nominated – winning is another story.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203519303

Cherry Jones will get it.
Tony Award winning actress for Doubt (2005-06), Emmy winner for both 24 TV series and The Handmaid’s Tale, she’ll have a part in The Eyes of Tammy Faye as the mother of Tammy Faye… So, my money is on her right now.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203514352

I’ll consider since the 90’s, ’cause I’m a 90’s child and I haven’t explore the other decades properly (yet). The ones in bold are the ones who won in real life.

1990: Kathy Bates, Misery
1991: Susan Sarandon, Thelma & Louise
1992: Emma Thompson, Howard’s End
1993: Holly Hunter, The Piano
1994: Jessica Lange, Blue Sky
1995: Elisabeth Shue, Leaving Las Vegas
1996: Emily Watson, Breaking the Waves
1997: Judi Dench, Mrs. Brown
1998: Fernanda Montenegro, Central Station
1999: Hillary Swank, Boys Don’t Cry

2000: Ellen Burstyn, Requiem for a Dream
2001: Nicole Kidman, Moulin Rouge!
2002: Julianne Moore, Far from Heaven
2003: Charlize Theron, Monster
2004: Kate Winslet, The Eternal Sunshine of a Spotless Mind
2005: Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
2006: Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
2007: Marion Cotillard, La vie en rose
2008: Kate Winslet, The Reader (should have been for Revolutionary Road instead)
2009: Gabourey Sidibe, Precious

2010: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
2011: Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
2012: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour (or maybe Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty, but I’m also okay with Lawrence with Silver Linings Playbook)
2013: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
2014: Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
2015: Brie Larson, Room
2016: Natalie Portman, Jackie (or Huppert for Elle, would also be a better pick than the actual winner Emma Stone for La La Land)
2017: Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
2018: Olivia Colman, The Favourite
2019: Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203512763

The Island. I’m not a fan of Michael Bay, but I found the premise intriguing and things looked good until halfway of the movie… but then the movie almost becomes a succession of commercials with an escape going on at the same time. But the concept was nice and it could have been a great movie if the script went deeper

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203508111

# Paul Dano… after “There Will Be Blood” and “Love & Mercy”, I think it is about time for the Academy to recognize one of the best character actors of his (young) generation.
# Cynthia Nixon – not the biggest fan, but I’ve to admit she’s overdue!
# Andrew Scott – the man of the moment in the entertainment industry
# Elle Fanning – a lot of potential in this girl
# Robert Pattinson – since he managed to build quite a reputation once he left the “Twilight” cursing movies
# Elisabeth Moss – I believe she will be one of those Emmy-winning actresses going Best Supporting Actress Oscar winning actress (a trend of the past decade)
# Shia LaBeouf – he’s living a sweet moment in his “redemption phase” of his career
# Elizabeth Olsen – it has to happen someday, for God’s sake!
# Léa Seydoux – the Catherine Deneuve of the 21st century

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203504440

estrelas wrote:

If she had been nominated for both performances then your second scenario would’ve been the certain outcome. She swept the precursors for The Reader, while she only won at GG for Revolutionary Road.

I still think she won in the right year, but for the wrong performance. Personally, I love her performance in “Revolutionary Road” better…!
For me, she should have won for “The Eternal Sunshine of a Spotless Mind” back in 2004/2005, but I can deal with her win for “The Reader” (in fact, the 2000’s was a nice decade concerning deserving Best Actress winners if you exclude Bullock)

Edgar Pereira
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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203502533

Jojo Betzler wrote:

I know Viola Davis seems obvious, but I have a strange feeling Nyong’o will be Halle Berry’s Lead Actress successor instead.

To be honest, personally I would prefer Nyong’o to be “the one”

Edgar Pereira
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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203500502

# Viola Davis will get her 2nd Oscar win in the Best Actress category – the AMPAS “needs” to have another African-American Best Actress winner (Halle Berry won 20 years ago!!!)

# Meryl Streep will get her fourth so she equals Katharine Hepburn’s record…

# Christian Bale, since the AMPAS has learned how to love him properly these past 10 years and he’s a “double Oscar winner caliber actor” for sure!

# Lupita Nyong’o, Gary Oldman and Natalie Portman sound likely to me.
# Blanchett is always a contender, because if she’s undeniable like she was in BLUE JASMINE… Then she’s really undeniable! Otherwise, I would say the AMPAS will give her a 3rd Oscar for a fine performance in the 2030’s.
# DiCaprio can happen again if he delivers a truly magnificient performance in a Scorsese movie… I think there would be a lot of goodwill towards DiCaprio as the 21st century male muse of Scorsese.

Edgar Pereira
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https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar Pereira Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203499151

THE UNDENIABLE:
#1 – Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine (2013)
#2 – Olivia Colman, The Favourite (2018)
#3 – Natalie Portman, Black Swan (2010)
#4 – Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady (2011)

“OK” WINNERS:
#5 – Brie Larson, Room (2015)
#6 – Julianne Moore, Still Alice (2014)

SHOULD HAVE WON ANOTHER:
#7 – Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook (2012) / Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
#8 – Renée Zellwerger, Judy (2019) / Johansson, Marriage Story
#9 – Emma Stone, La La Land (2016) / Portman, Jackie or Huppert, Elle
#10 – Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017) / Hawkins, The Shape of Water

NOTE: Streep’s performance in The Iron Lady is great, but I still think she should have won back in the 2000’s for either Adaptation, The Devil Wears Prada (but I understand Mirren was almost undeniable that year) or Julie & Julia.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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