[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203291329

Call me “mad”, “delusional” or an “agent of chaos”, but I think JOJO RABBIT might get a surprise win.
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Personally, I want PARASITE to win!

• This reply was modified 3 days, 12 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.
• This reply was modified 3 days, 12 hours ago by  Edgar Pereira.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203291218

Almost Famous (2000): Best Picture
Dancer in the Dark (2000): Best Actress – Björk
Lost In Translation (2003): Best Actress – Scarlett Johansson
The Eternal Sunshine of a Spotless Mind (2004): Best Picture; Best Actor – Jim Carrey
Into the Wild (2007) – Best Picture; Best Actor – Emile Hirsch; Best Adapted Screenplay; Best Original Score; Best Original Song (“Guaranteed” by Eddie Vedder)
The Dark Knight (2008): Best Picture; Best Director – Christopher Nolan
Happy-Go-Lucky (2008): Best Actress – Sally Hawkins
Her (2013): Best Director – Spike Jonze; Best Actor – Joaquin Phoenix; Best Supporting Actress – Scarlett Johansson
Blue Is the Warmest Color (2013): Best Actress – Adèle Exarchopoulos
The Butler (2013): Best Supporting Actress – Oprah Winfrey
A Most Violent Year (2014) – Best Supporting Actress – Jessica Chastain
Gone Girl (2014): Best Picture; Best Director – David Fincher; Best Adapted Screenplay; Best Original Score – Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
Under the Skin (2014): Best Original Score – Mica Levi
Selma (2014): Best Director – Ava DuVernay; Best Actor – David Oyelowo
Nightcrawler (2014): Best Actor – Jake Gyllenhaal
First Man (2018): Best Original Score – Justin Hurwitz
Us (2019): Best Actress – Lupita Nyong’o; Best Original Score – Michael Abels

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203291194

It’s one of my favorite movies of the last decade and one of the my favourite Best Picture Oscar wins of all time – I loved the movie and I thought predicting it for Best Picture was more wishful thinking than a rational pick

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203287006

To be honest, I believe JOJO RABBIT might score a SAG win… The thing is I don’t know in which category, but the movie is so warm and lovely that I can see SAG members feeling like they want to vote for it somewhere

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203282309

HAPPY ABOUT:
* Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers) snub, which allowed great contenders to get nominated (I’m talking about Pugh and Bates). I don’t hate JLo’s performance but her snub brought interest to the nominees shortlist.
* Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory) – one of the year’s very best performances just got the recognition it deserves.
* Parasite scores Best Editing and Best Production Design nominations – fields I was afraid Academy members wouldn’t pay attention!
* Scarlett Johansson is a two times Academy Award nominee – after being snubed in the past for great performances like Ghost World, Lost In Translation, Girl With a Pearl Earring, Match Point, Her and Under the Skin, it was just about time!
* Ad Astra nomination for Best Sound Mixing – I was not expecting, but I liked it

THE NIGHTMARES:
* The snub of Zhao Shuzhen for The Farewell!
* The snub of Taron Egerton for Rocketman!
* Joker gets nominated for Best Picture, Best Director and Best Adapted Screenplay – not a hater, but the movie is way overrated and it does not deserve the recognition in this specific categories. I’m fine with all the other nods.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203282174

Milk Money wrote:

These nominations make no sense. I’m rooting for Scarlett to pull an upset here if she doesn’t get BA. If they want to give JoJo a win it’s either here or Screenplay.

I think Scarlett only wins BSA if JOJO RABBIT wins Best Picture (which I don’t think it is that unlikely to happen)

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203271334

Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby wrote:

Darlings, Johansson is getting in as Divorcing and as Anti-Nazi. Mark Thatcher’s holy words.

Thank God someone who’s freed from “Johansson over-love” or “Johansson over-hate” stating what I thought it was obvious. These haters and fanatics wars left me self-doubting about her chances of a double nod. Thank you, PM

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203271227

LLLhawks wrote:

Honestly, if they want that ratings bump again, Avengers should be a more prominent contender.

Otherwise, we’ll see. Hopefully, the ratings stay up.

Would love an ensemble hosting by the Avengers cast! “Earth’s mightiest hosters”

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203270454

Right now, Joaquin Phoenix (Joker), Adam Driver (Marriage Story) and I would risk to say Taron Egerton (Rocketman) feel like locks for a nom.
I don’t think DiCaprio is as safe as most people think – I know Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is one of the greatest Best Picture contenders of the year, but DiCaprio was snubed so many times before (The Departed, Revolutionary Road, J. Edgar or Django Unchained) that I feel he’ll miss again, specially now that he has an Oscar at home. He’s my #6 now, followed by Adam Sandler (Uncut Gems) in #7. I really believe Banderas will get it since Pain and Glory will appeal to the older voters and to the European block (plus, he’s the Cannes winner and he got the most prestigious critics associations prizes plus a Golden Globe nom) and the fifth place goes to Christian Bale for Ford v. Ferrari – the Academy has yet to ignore him for a post-The Fighter Oscary performance and he’s excellent and sympathetic as Ken Miles in a Best Picture contender that’s also a box-office hit domestically and internationally (and he got Golden Globe, SAG and the AACTA Award noms).
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My current predictions:
#1 Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
#2 Adam Driver, Marriage Story
#3 Taron Egerton, Rocketman
#4 Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
#5 Christian Bale, Ford v. Ferrari

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203270356

Jason Travis wrote:

I think Scarlett Johansson won’t be getting nominated for Marriage Story. And I think this is partially due to me hating the performance, and also that I don’t see her scoring double Oscar nominations. I find she has much more collateral in Best Supporting Actress in Jojo Rabbit, where she is even competitive to win. With this being said, the weakness of this category probably has her making it. But I think Marriage Story won’t do as well Oscar morning. It didn’t manage a SAG Ensemble nod despite having a terrific cast and getting three acting mentions. It’s not a BAFTA best film nominee (even though they only have 5 slots).

Johansson’s acting is hammy and contrived. She plays an unlikable character because we don’t care about her (or Driver for that matter) as no conflict is presented. They are divorcing for what exactly? The screenplay doesn’t really explain. He cheats on her- but why? The son is used as a prop. There is no chemistry with the child at all. I hope voters can see that this isn’t the masterpiece many claim it to be, and I have a feeling many of the Tweets about it being great acting come from those under 30 years old. I just felt no connection to her character. She’s not memorable here.

Regardless take my snubbing of her with a grain of salt. She’s hit all the precursors necessary, but there’s always an omission. I pick her.

FINAL BEST ACTRESS PREDICTIONS
1. Renee Zellweger, Judy
2. Charlize Theron, Bombshell
3. Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
4. Lupita Nyongo, Us
5. Cynthia Erivo, Harriet

I think she will be nominated for both Marriage Story and Jojo Rabbit, but at this point I see her more as a potential winner for Jojo Rabbit than for Marriage Story. She has the giant Netflix backing her for Marriage Story (and she’s the only contender the streaming giant has to back in this category) and she has the reviews and the critics’ prizes – she’s a lock for Best Actress. As for Best Supporting Actress, the race is more volatile, but playing a “hero mother” in Nazi Germany will catch the AMPAS voters.

• This reply was modified 1 week, 6 days ago by  Edgar Pereira.
• This reply was modified 1 week, 6 days ago by  Edgar Pereira.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203269637

I’ve been saying it for some time, but I’m predicting a JLo snub coming Oscar nomination morning. I’m not a hater of her work in Hustlers – in fact, I think she was dynamite – but she’s not the type of actress the AMPAS will go for after years and years of flops. I believe she will miss the nod, but if she stars another good project soon, then an Oscar nod/win might happen, because she will be under the radar and they will remember her turn. Missing a Golden Globe win and missing BAFTA Award nod might be a sign they don’t respect her enough just yet. I see Hustlers getting that last 5th spot for Best Adapted Screenplay instead of a BSActress nod – they will want to recognize the FEMALE auteur (Lorene Scafaria).
JLo is #6 for me right now. Then Kathy Bates for Richard Jewell is #7 (I believe she would have a SAG nod by now if they didn’t submit her in lead instead of supporting). Cho Yeo-jeong (Parasite) is my #8 and a category fraud for Ana de Armas (Knives Out) is my #9.
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Right now:
#1 Laura Dern, Marriage Story
#2 Margot Robbie, Bombshell
#3 Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
#4 Florence Pugh, Little Women
#5 Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell

• This reply was modified 2 weeks ago by  Edgar Pereira.
• This reply was modified 2 weeks ago by  Edgar Pereira.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203267800

Yes. I think she’s a Jessica Lange case… I just don’t know for which performance she will win. A win for JOJO RABBIT would be delicious: I’m not a Dern’s performance in MARRIAGE STORY hater, but Johansson is so luminous in JOJO and you miss her when she isn’t on screen

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203267754

Djoko wrote:

I can’t wait till my prediction of JLo being this year’s Madonna and Courtney Love comes true because I called this weeks ago.

Same. I’ve been predicting a snub for her

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203260425

Best Motion Picture Drama: The Irishman
Best Motion Picture Comedy/Musical: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Director: Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Actress Drama: Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Best Actress Comedy/Musical: Awkwafina, The Farewell
Best Actor Drama: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Best Actor Comedy/Musical: Taron Egerton, Rocketman
Best Supporting Actress: Margot Robbie, Bombshell (plays a sexual harassment victim and Hollywood is still very touched by the #MeToo)
Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Screenplay: Marriage Story, Noah Baumbach
Best Foreign Language Film: Parasite
Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 4
Best Original Score: 1917, Thomas Newman
Best Original Song: Frozen II, “Into the Unknown”

• This reply was modified 2 weeks, 3 days ago by  Edgar Pereira.
• This reply was modified 2 weeks, 3 days ago by  Edgar Pereira.

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/

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[Edgar PereiraParticipant Joined: Jun 29th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 129 View Predictions]

#1203258542

AnotherVice wrote:

Can Laura Dern perform that pole dance? Or any of the contenders for that matter? You underestimate the effort that went into making that scene. She didn’t use a double, she did it herself. And before you come in claiming that she’s a dancer, dancing doesn’t translate into pole dancing. And the lady is 50! It’s definitely an accomplishment, any way you slice it.

I bet Zhao can!!!

Edgar Pereira
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Cinema and Popcorn
https://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/