[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203401960

5arteet wrote:

I don’t think you can completely count her out. Golden Hour did around 50k in its first week and debuted #4, that’s very similar numbers to Future Nostalgia. I’m not saying FN is the same & will win AOTY, but you can’t count her out for having low first week sales during a pandemic.

That’s a different conversation, Kacey is a country artist, Dua is a pop artist.

There’s a certain criteria for pop artists that country artist don’t have. And that’s the need to be commercially successful. Of course every artist wants to be commercially successful but pop artists need to meet certain standards, look at Lorde and Lana del Rey, ‘pop’ artists that had great acclaim maybe even the most acclaimed of the year but their sales didn’t relate.

• This reply was modified 12 hours, 12 minutes ago by  Steve.
• This reply was modified 12 hours, 9 minutes ago by  Steve.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203401953

Seven wrote:

Chartdata just posted this and they usually take their numbers from HDD but I don’t see anything there. Even the Weeknd’s second week forecast seem kinda low (100k+) so take this with a grain of salt This said I doubt she’ll crack 100k at this point

100k seems realistic for The Weekend, 2nd weeks tend to be lower. He debuted with 455k – 500k, the most I’ll give him second week are 150k.

And if Dua really does 50k first week then she is debuting #3, don’t think she’ll be 2nd.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203400215

Seven wrote:

Kendrick and Bey don’t even attend the Grammys anymore. Both of them lost 3 times in a single decade, no matter how acclaimed or successful they were. At this point they probably stopped giving a fuck

I think Beyoncé doesn’t even care how commercial her album can be.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203400185

Cordelia wrote:

Hoping Beyoncé releases a Lemonade-level album this year, I really want her to get at least one AOTY.

At this point both Beyoncé and Kendrick will very likely never win AOTY. Kendrick lost with DAMN even if that one was more commercial and friendly. And Beyoncé’s best bet was Lemonade.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203398742

Well, if Adele actually releases her album and meets the deadline she is winning in pop since I doubt they’ll let her sweep GF again. And would probably left Post Malone or Harry with no nominations, since Post Malone isn’t all that in the pop field and Harry has the boy band past which the Grammys only overlook to an extent for JT.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203397118

Zua Lapeeps is sweeping pop unless she gets the Lorde treatment.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203397112

The album is pretty great. Is a solid body of work. I would give it 8. Good in Bed needs to go, probably the only song I didn’t like.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203395871

rue wrote:

Hoping Dua ends with around a 90. I haven’t heard it yet, but based on others and the songs we have heard Im sure it will be incredible. Anyways I’m happy she’s getting this recognition. She really deserves it

I also hope the album does well.

I would like for her to have a really big era to carry her to the Grammy’s and actually win, maybe not AOTY but to sweep pop.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203395804

Pitchfork ain’t giving it more than an 8. They rarely do 9 and let’s not talk about a 10 cause it ain’t happening.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203395769

I wonder how Pitchfork will review the album.

Although I do think 99 is to high the album is gonna end up in a 86-93 range in MC, but if critic’s are loving it and does well commercially it could be a contender to win AOTY, not just a nominee.

• This reply was modified 4 days, 16 hours ago by  Steve.
• This reply was modified 4 days, 16 hours ago by  Steve.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203393291

thatnerdgreg wrote:

I agree that he’s amazing, but his work in Chinatown isn’t even close to what Pacino did in Godfather Part II that year.

And to think Art Carney won for that movie with the cat.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203393289

Luke Dias wrote:

So assuming it comes out, Tom Hanks getting a BUtterfield 8-style sympathetic “please-don’t-die” nomination? (thankfully he’s doing better) Or will they save that for Elvis next year because he nearly died during filming?

Nothing will ever compare to Elizabeth Taylor winning for Butterfield-8.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203393155

Anonymous wrote:

Neither Clift nor Brando was the runner-up to Bogart in 1951. Why? Because they split the”popular leading man in big BP contender”vote. Also, look at the ’51 precursors if you can. I checked out NYFCC from that year the other day, where Streetcar swept, except for Best Actor. To whom did that prize go to? Arthur Kennedy. The Globes picked Fredric March that year(Kennedy was also nominated, as was Douglas for Detective Story; Brando and Clift weren’t). Of those two, Kennedy had the advantage due to the difficulty of his role

Back in the day there was no such thing as precursors, Golden Globes sometimes got it right. Many Oscar winners went on to win the Oscar without a Globe.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203389522

The Talented Mr. Ripley is a great movie, the cast is amazing and has Matt Damon at his finest BUT the ending ruins the whole mood of the movie.

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[MrOceanBlueEyesParticipant Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 464 View Predictions]

#1203387755

After Hours is AOTY worthy and probably one of the best albums I’ve heard this year, I usually don’t add more than 2 or 3 songs from an album to my playlist but this one is so good I added more than half of it.

Also Conan Gray should totally get a BNA nomination, the album is pretty good.

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