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Emmy Awards Nominations 2023

Predictions

Comedy Actress

  • Quinta Brunson 7/2
  • Christina Applegate 5/1
  • Jenna Ortega 11/2

Comedy Actor

  • Jason Sudeikis 37/10
  • Jeremy Allen White 4/1
  • Bill Hader 5/1

Drama Actress

  • Melanie Lynskey 18/5
  • Imelda Staunton 9/2
  • Bella Ramsey 11/2

Drama Actor

  • Brian Cox 39/10
  • Bob Odenkirk 4/1
  • Jeremy Strong 5/1

Movie/Limited Actress

  • Jessica Chastain 71/20
  • Emily Blunt 5/1
  • Lizzy Caplan 13/2

Movie/Limited Actor

  • Evan Peters 18/5
  • Taron Egerton 9/2
  • Daniel Radcliffe 13/2

Comedy Series

  • Ted Lasso 9/2
  • Abbott Elementary 11/2
  • The Bear 13/2

Drama Series

  • Succession 4/1
  • The White Lotus: Sicily 11/2
  • Better Call Saul 15/2

Limited Series

  • Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story 39/10
  • Fleishman Is in Trouble 5/1
  • Black Bird 11/2
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FNLlove

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  • FNLlove
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    March 6, 2023 at 9:39 am #1205334723
    estrelas wrote:

    We did watch the same show and I maintain what I said. It was weak competition considering its Emmy and Guilds performance. It’s a very deserving win but the show had a very questionable awards run, considering its acclaim and awards buzz.

    It was never going to beat Succession at the Emmys in a first season. Nothing was. The Golden Globes? They gave best actor to Kevin Costner…so enough about that. Severance lost DGA because they got two episodes in and therefore had a vote split. Their other losses are to BCS, which is in it’s final season. At WGA, it won over The Bear, which was the comedy winner. So clearly it was very strong at WGA.
    I interpreted “weak competition” as calling the show’s merits weak, which I think was a fair interpretation. So if that’s not what you meant, then fine. But my point was based on the merits of the show, and I think the writing of Severance is a masterclass in many ways. So that’s why I objected to your comment.


    FNLlove
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    March 6, 2023 at 9:04 am #1205334690
    estrelas wrote:

    Better Call Saul can’t even win WGA for its last season with weak competition…

    Severance is weak competition? For a writing award? We didn’t watch the same show. I could not disagree more.


    FNLlove
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    March 5, 2023 at 7:57 pm #1205333891

    So, after WGA do we even need to have a competition at the 2024 Emmys for writing, or should we just give it to Severance now?


    FNLlove
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    March 4, 2023 at 12:54 pm #1205331862
    wolfali wrote:

    Going out on a limb there and going for The Good Fight and Grace and Frankie.

    I have “The We We Are” and then I cannot decide on comedy.

    I think (hope) this where Severance finally gets it’s due. But after the Golden Globes I’m certainly not counting any chickens.

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    FNLlove
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    March 3, 2023 at 2:13 pm #1205330906

    Am I the only one who thinks Abbott isn’t going to perform well at WGA? It hasn’t been doing fantastic with the Guilds and for some reason I just don’t see the writer’s branch going for it. I think it will lose New Series to either The Bear or Severance, and it wouldn’t shock me if it lost Comedy to The Bear.

    What are people predicting in the Episodic categories for WGA?

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    FNLlove
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    February 21, 2023 at 2:56 pm #1205312720
    Victor wrote:

    Aren’t the Episodic awards juried or with a panel? I wouldn’t hold that against Abbott.

    I have no idea. Would love to know.

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    FNLlove
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    February 19, 2023 at 4:49 pm #1205310333
    jjjmoss wrote:

    well, it still has 2 more emmys than saul.

    Given its fairly dismal awards run success (at least in terms of wins), am I crazy to still be predicting Severance in “New Series” and “Episodic Drama” for WGA?
    Giving it the edge over Abbott in New Series due to Abbott not getting an episodic nod but who the heck knows.

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    FNLlove
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    January 28, 2023 at 7:36 am #1205272354

    mporter455 wrote:

    I’ve seen several roles listed in this thread that could be played by literally anybody lmao

    How about just posting your picks instead of sh*tting on other people’s? Thanks.

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    FNLlove
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    January 27, 2023 at 7:29 am #1205270349

    Trying to decide who to vote for in WGA New Series. I think it’s between Abbott and Severance. I was leaning Abbott bc of all the success it has had this award season, but then I noticed that it didn’t get an episodic nom, whereas Severance did. I know it’s a different Guild, but Abbott also didn’t get DGA, whereas Severance got 2. So I think I’m leaning Severance now. I don’t know.
    Thoughts?

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    FNLlove
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    January 27, 2023 at 6:29 am #1205270269

    JLD as Selena Meyer

    Jason Alexander as George Costanza

    Kyle Chandler and Connie Britton in Friday Night Lights

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    FNLlove
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    January 19, 2023 at 11:46 am #1205253973
    wolfali wrote:

    Was looking at what had won drama series at WGA to try and inform my predictions more and it’s interesting to me how (with the exception of The Wire which wasn’t even noninated) almost every show that has won here since the category’s creation either has come off of winning a major Emmy or has been on its way to win one. 2005: Lost (won drama series and directing at the 2005 Emmys) 2006: The Sopranos (won drama writing at the 2006 Emmys) 2007: The Wire (not nominated for any Emmys) 2008: Mad Men (won drama seroes and writing at the 2009 Emmys) 2009: Mad Men (won drama series and writing at the 2010 Emmys) 2010: Mad Men (won drama series at the 2011 Emmys) 2011: Breaking Bad (won drama s. actor at the 2012 Emmys) 2012: Breaking Bad (won drama series and s. actress at the 2013 Emmys) 2013: Breaking Bad (won drama series, actor, s. actor, s. actress and writing at the 2014 Emmys) 2014: True Detective (won drama directing at the 2014 Emmys) 2015: Mad Men (won drama actor at the 2015 Emmys) 2016: The Americans (won drama guest actress at the 2016 Emmys) 2017: The Handmaid’s Tale (won drama series, actress, s. actress, writing, directing and g. actress at the 2017 Emmys) 2018: The Americans (won drama actor and writing at the 2018 Emmys) 2019: Succession (won drama series, actor, writing, directing and g. actress at the 2020 Emmys) 2020: The Crown (won drama series, actor, actress, s. actor, s. actress, writing, directing and g. actress at the 2021 Emmys) 2021: Succession (won drama series, s. actor, writing at the 2022 Emmys) It’s going to be interesting to see what wins here and seeing if it ends up foreshadowing anything at the Emmys seeing as one of the nominees is a completely new show that seems to be quite untested, three are coming off of zero major wins from the previous Emmy cycle (with one of them having never won an Emmy in the 6 seasons it has been on air) and the other nominee being a show that whilst coming off a clean Emmy sweep has been under-performing to the extent that it didn’t get in at PGA.

    Do you think the comedy categories will be all Abbott? What about new series?

    I feel like predicting a Better Call Saul in drama series and Severance in episodic drama, especially since Better Call Saul has a vote split there.

    Thoughts?

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    FNLlove
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    January 15, 2023 at 3:41 pm #1205245266
    gabspss wrote:

    How come Severance is leading the odds for Best Drama? I know I come as a hard BCS stan here, but c’mon… Severance missed 3 Emmy nominees + critics darling Britt Lower, while BCS got 4 actors in including surprise nominee Carol Burnett. Also BCS is arguably the most critically acclaimed show of the year.

    I also think that BCS is going to win and think your nominations reasoning is sound. But Severance topped BCS on the Metacritic “Best of 2022” critics aggregate and appeared on way more lists.

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    FNLlove
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    January 12, 2023 at 4:54 pm #1205240167
    ivostoyanov wrote:

    Yes, that or “The End of Everything” (The Good Fight) or “Plan and Execution” (Better Call Saul), if the show manages to overcome the vote-split. All three are perfect episodes of television.

    I know people say that “The We We Are” is more of a directorial accomplishment than a writing one (which I disagree with), but I think it has a better shot at WGA for writing then at DGA for directing. I’ve seen a lot of people predicting Bateman/Ozark.

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    FNLlove
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    January 12, 2023 at 4:05 pm #1205240124

    Definitely would have predicted BCS in episodic writing at WGA for its final season but don’t know if it will vote-split. So I guess I’m predicting “The We We Are”, as I think that was the runner-up at the Emmys. Thoughts?

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    FNLlove
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    January 8, 2023 at 10:32 am #1205227126
    hopelesstar wrote:

    I still have a feeling Severance might miss Ensemble.

    I’d be really surprised by this. That being said, I wouldn’t be surprised if they don’t get anyone other than Scott in for individuals.

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