Updated with Jojo Rabbit. Everything is listed in order of preference.

Picture

Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
The Farewell
Us
Luce
Hustlers
The Irishman
The Lighthouse
Dolemite Is My Name
Dolor y gloria

Director

Lulu Wang, The Farewell
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Noah Baumach, Marriage Story
Pedro Almodovar,…[Read more]

Picture (comedy/musical)

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Jojo Rabbit
The Farewell
Dolemite Is My Name
Knives Out

Picture (drama)

Marriage Story
The Irishman
Parasite
1917
Little Women

Director

Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Greta Gerwig, Little Women
Sam Mendes, 1917
Noah Baumbach, Marriage…[Read more]

Updated with Knives Out. Everything is listed in order of preference.

Picture

Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
The Farewell
Us
Luce
Hustlers
The Irishman
The Lighthouse
Dolemite Is My Name
Dolor y gloria

Director

Lulu Wang, The Farewell
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Noah Baumach, Marriage Story
Pedro Almodovar,…[Read more]

I agree, I’m just saying that the Satellites are not the correct receipt for this.

Ronan is obviously not winning the Oscar and I agree with your estimation of the top 3, but I think Ronan isn’t included simply because Satellites didn’t see Little Women in time. Hard to imagine them deliberately snubbing the movie in every single category; had they seen it but disliked it, it would still have popped up somewhere.

They clearly didn’t see it in time.

Award nominee Guava Island!

Updated with Marriage Story. Everything is listed in order of preference.

Picture

Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
The Farewell
Us
Luce
Hustlers
The Irishman
The Lighthouse
Dolemite Is My Name
Dolor y gloria

Director

Lulu Wang, The Farewell
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Noah Baumach, Marriage Story
Pedro…[Read more]

Are you sure? The Academy has only been around for 92 years and they’ve already given a nomination to five women so I think it’s pretty obvious that they’re favoring female directors over men just because they’re female. I wonder if this discrimination against men will ever stop – we might need to launch an #Oscarssofemale hashtag campaign to…[Read more]

^ Not sure who has claimed a showy performance automatically means no nuance. I for one haven’t said so. The history of cinema is littered with showy performances that are nuanced to the max.

Pacino is fiercely energetic, scenery-chewing and funny. The one problem with his performance is a certain lack of depth. He walks away with his scenes but doesn’t leave the audience – me anyway – with a deeper sensation of what kind of a human being Hoffa was underneath his showy facade.

Pacino is Pacino to the max here, in many ways a less…[Read more]

Updated with The Irishman. Everything is listed in order of preference.

Picture

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
The Farewell
Us
Luce
Hustlers
The Irishman
The Lighthouse
Dolemite Is My Name
Dolor y gloria
Joker

Director

Lulu Wang, The Farewell
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Pedro Almodovar, Dolor y gloria
Lorene Scafaria,…[Read more]

Don’t we already have this thread?

1917 has a long way to go if it wants to beat OUATIH, The Irishman, Parasite and such. Almost every decent high profile movie is showered in hyperbole after early screenings, and it’s pretty common for a movie to look like a front runner until it doesn’t. It’s way too early to tell.

Aren’t we talking about Johansson in Jojo Rabbit here? Not that I think she will win or even be nominated for it, but just to be clear: unless I’m mistaken, Jojo Rabbit is her horse in the Supporting Actress race and Marriage Story in Lead Actress.

Pitt is one of the biggest movie stars of all time and he doesn’t have an Oscar for acting so I’d say calling him overdue is a fairly spot-on assessment.

You absolutely can be considered overdue for another Oscar win – that’s one of the reasons Streep won for one of her worst performances.

To be perfectly clear, I’m not saying Al Pacino is overdue, and I doubt most voters feel any sense of urgency to crown him a two-time winner; I also agree that Pitt has a much clearer narrative – even Willem…[Read more]

Frontrunners

Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Adam Driver, Marriage Story

On the brink

Robert De Niro, The Irishman
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Next in line

Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name
Antonio Banderas, Dolor y gloria

Strong possibilities

Christian Bale, Ford v. Ferrari
Adam Sandler, Uncut…[Read more]

If there was justice in the world…

Frontrunners

Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Al Pacino, The Irishman

On the brink

Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Joe Pesci, The Irishman

Next in line

John Lithgow, Bombshell
Jamie Foxx, Just Mercy

Strong possibilities

Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy
Song Kang-ho,…[Read more]