Updated with A Star Is Born. As always, everything is listed in order of preference.

Picture

BlacKkKlansman
First Man
A Star Is Born
Love, Simon
Private Life
Black Panther
Hereditary
A Quiet Place
Tully
Mission: Impossible – Fallout

Director

Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Damien Chazelle, First Man
Tamara Jenkins, Private Life
Ryan Coogler, Black P…[Read more]

With this and the Tarantino film coming out, 2019/2020 could shape up to be a very good awards season for Brad Pitt. He’s got a pretty unbeatable narrative.

Here’s my first attempt at trying to call where we stand in this category.

Frontrunners

Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Christian Bale, Vice

Could win

Ryan Gosling, First Man
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

On the brink

Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
Robert Redford, The Old Man and the Gun
Stephan James, If Beale Street Could Talk
Rami Malek,…[Read more]

Post-Gotham Awards, here’s where I think we stand.

Frontrunner

Glenn Close, The Wife

Could win

Nicole Kidman, Destroyer
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Viola Davis, Widows

On the brink

Toni Collette, Hereditary
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Julia Roberts, Ben Is Back
Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Kiki Layne,…[Read more]

There’s no such scenario. I would never take a bathroom break during Best Actress.

What, in your estimation, is the reason Best Actress is the most hotly debated category on Gold Derby year after year?

Probably The Conners, which is why I have no intention to watch it.

Who will be the Democratic candidate for President in 2020?

1920s: Mary Pickford
Runner-up: Clara Bow

1930s: Greta Garbo
Runner-up: Marlene Dietrich & Bette Davis

1940s: Katharine Hepburn
Runner-up: Ingrid Bergman

1950s: Marilyn Monroe
Runner-up: Elizabeth Taylor

1960s: Audrey Hepburn
Runner-up: Sophia Loren

1970s: Jane Fonda
Runner-up: Diane Keaton

1980s: Meryl Streep
Runner-up: Sally Field

1990s:…[Read more]

Kudos to Colman for having the guts to fight giants in a field that just got even more crowded and interesting.

Frontrunners

Glenn Close, The Wife
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Olivia Colman, The Favourite

Could win

Viola Davis, Widows
Nicole Kidman, Destroyer

On the brink

Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Julia Roberts, Ben Is…[Read more]

With Colman out, here’s where I think we stand:

Frontrunner

Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Could win

Amy Adams, Vice

On the brink

Claire Foy, First Man
Natalie Portman, Vox Lux
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
Sissy Spacek, The Old Man and the Gun
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased

Longer shots

Margot Robbie, Mary…[Read more]

Beautiful Boy had a very good first weekend at the box office (in four theatres but still). If the film has any legs, Chalamet is a shoo-in for a nod and definitely a threat to win.

Probably not.

Who is more likely to be nominated for Best Actress in the next Oscars, Julia Roberts for Ben Is Back or Toni Collette for Hereditary? Why?

I wouldn’t say it’s bombing. It broke the IMAX box office record on the Thursday previews and seems to be on its way to somewhat meeting expectations this weekend. It may not be a runaway smash (and probably wasn’t expected to be one) but it’s also not the kind of a commercial disaster that would ruin Chazelle’s chances to be nominated the way…[Read more]

I love this film but don’t think it’s a threat to win anything above the line.

It’s too introverted and “artsy”, for lack of a better word, to be competitive in Best Picture or Directing. I don’t think voters will feel it gives them the instant high La La Land or Whiplash did.

I’m afraid Gosling will have to do with a nod as well again, even…[Read more]

I have generally gotten along better with female bosses. That said, I’ve also had a great relationship with some of my male bosses and a less than ideal chemistry with some of my female bosses. So in the end, I don’t care if my boss is female, male, or non-binary.

Sq

Updated with First Man. As always, everything is listed in order of preference.

Picture

BlacKkKlansman
First Man
Love, Simon
Private Life
Black Panther
Hereditary
A Quiet Place
Tully
Mission: Impossible – Fallout
Disobedience

Director

Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Damien Chazelle, First Man
Tamara Jenkins, Private Life
Ryan Coogler, Black P…[Read more]

Laverne Cox as Monica is a stroke of genius so I have to steal that from you.

Chandler – Kevin Hart
Joey – Gael Garcia Bernal
Monica – Laverne Cox
Phoebe – Awkwafina
Rachel – Eva Longoria
Ross – Donald Glover

SQ

They usually manage to call some nods such as Mary J. Blige last year but they also systematically get so many of them wrong that I wouldn’t call them good at predicting Oscars (I guess your “not that bad” is a pretty fair estimation). Last year alone, they handed the Lead awards to Kate Winslet for Wonder Wheel and Jake Gyllenhaal for Stronger.

No.

a) Weisz and Colman could still easily be campaigned in Supporting and Stone in Lead.

b) Hollywood Film Awards is not a trustworthy precursor. Their choices sometimes align with Oscars, but for the most part they’re almost ridiculously random, like Robert Duvall winning Supporting Actor for The Judge or Tom Hanks winning Best Actor for Sully.

NYC, no contest.

If Friends was remade with a non-white cast and you got to do the casting, who would you cast as:

Chandler
Joey
Monica
Phoebe
Rachel
Ross

?

Your link produced one tweet of hers that I totally see the point of (““Separate art from the abusive artist” arguments seem to always miss a key piece: the abusive artist isn’t usually my hero”), and a glance at her Twitter account makes her seem to me like a person who makes a lot of sense. So yeah, I’d need to see the tweet myself to form…[Read more]