Roma is so boring.

The Pianist is one of my favorite movie of the decade. It should have won best picture as well.

2010 and 2019 are the best quartet. At least both leading performance (Portman, Firth, Zellweger, Phoenix) are really deserving of the wins.

But when it comes to best acting quartet, 1951 (Humphrey Bogart, Vivien Leigh, Karl Madsen, Kim Hunter) and 2007 (Daniel Day Lewis, Marion Cotillard, Jarvier Barden, Tilda Swinton) are really outstanding.

Parasite
Slumdog Millionnaire
The Departed
The Lord of The Ring: The Return of The King
Forrest Gump
Schindler’s List
From Here To Eternity
All About Eve
It Happened One Night

In no particular order

Right now we can say Golden Globe picture drama and BAFTA best film are the kisses of death for the best picture race

Poor Sam Mendes. After winning all the precursors and being a gentleman the whole season, he is being Russell Crowe’ed. The precursors set him up to be embarrassed. But it is a good run for him though.

2010:Tom Hooper
2011:Michel Hazanavicius
2012:Ang Lee
2013:Alfonso Cuarón
2014:Alejandro G. Iñárritu
2015:Alejandro G. Iñárritu
2016:Damien Chazelle
2017:Guillermo del Toro
2018:Alfonso Cuarón
2019:Bong Joon-ho

Only one American director won directing in this decade.

No I don’t think so. Blanchett almost won in 1998 for Elizabeth but was a long shot in 2007.

I mean, Colman has GG + BAFTA going into the Oscar. It is the same combo in which Nicole Kidman, Marion Cotillard and Meryl Streep upset the SAG champ. It is still surprising but not surprise of the century.

I would go for Ex Machina winning visual effects, given the fact that Mad Max and Star War are in the category.

Best Picture: Inception
Best Director: Christopher Nolan (Inception)
Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Best Original Story: Get Out
Best Adapted Story: The Imitation Game
Best Younger…[Read more]

Johannson for Supporting Actress
1917 for original score

A few years ago we thought Mad Max (1917) or Star War (Avengers: End Game) is gonna win Visual Effects and then Ex Machina happened. This category could be really unpredictable. The Lion King/ the Irishman could be this year’s Ex Machina.

The toughest categories to predict are film editing, production design and visual effects. I wonder if the love for Parasite would be strong enough for a editing and production design win. Every nominee can win Visual Effects.

Tom Hanks (Philadelphia) is the best Oscar speech ever.

It would pain me if Thomas Newman comes out of this Oscar season without an Oscar. If any category needs an upset, it is original score. Please get it right, BAFTA and Oscar!

Likelihood of winning
Pitt > Phoenix > Dern > Zellweger
But I think all four of them will win their Oscar.

This year most of the categories are filled with 4-5 best picture nominees. That’s what make it so hard to predict.

Adapted Screeplay, Song, Score, Production Design, Costume Design, Film Editing and Visual Effects are hard to predict. We will see what BAFTA say.

I am pretty happy with the current lineup. It is an epic one. We have Academy award winners from 5 consecutive years, 1990-1994.

Brad Pitt for sure is gonna win best supporting actor this year. What would happen if Jolie is winning best supporting actress next year for this one….

1. Parasite
2. 1917
3. Ford v Ferrari
4. Jojo Rabbit
5. The Irishman
6. Marriage Story
7. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
8. Joker
9. Little Women (I haven’t watched it)