I really don’t see Viola Davis winning this one. It is just not a role that people would root for. People would vote for her because she is Viola Davis but not about this role. But this is not enough to carry her to a triumph. Malek wins over Bale because Freddie Mercury is much easier to root for than Dick Cheney.
Unless Davis really knocks it…[Read more]

At this point I am rooting for Adams. Everyone is complaining about Close losing on her 7th nominations. This would be Adams’s 7th if she gets nominated. Why is no one upset about that?

I was thinking Rooney Mara could have won in lead category for Carol because I was a bit underwhelmed by Larson. I think people didn’t vote for her in supporting because it is category fraud at its pinnacle. (the hilarious “Rooney Moore” by Diane Ladd) You still could argue Eddie Redmayne is the true lead in The Danish Girl rather than Vikander.…[Read more]

Everyone knows Aretha Franklin but few people know Ma Rainey. I could see her as Rami Malek of the year. Start at number 3-4 spot and end up winning

Viola Davis
Frances McDormand
Jennifer Hudson
Vanessa Kirby
Kate Winslet

Davis and McDormand are the safest bets. Hudson plays such a legendary singer that I couldn’t see her missing. Kirby fits the it-girl status and the performance is there.

The final spot comes down to Winslet vs Adams for me. Except Junebug, all of Adams’ nominations are…[Read more]

Perhaps people doesn’t want to award Close in lead category, at least they could award her in supporting category. Don’t mess it up again Academy. Some supporting actress winners last decade were very likable but their performance were really nothing special.

At least Dern gave one of the best Oscar acceptance speech given by an actor. So heartfelt. I was impressed. And 3 of the 4 other nominees Johanson, Bates and Pugh were genuinely happy that she won. She really has many friends in the industry.

On the other hand, I was not so impressed with Patricia Arquette’s win. Many actress could take her role…[Read more]

At the moment it is only fair to say Hopkins. We don’t know anything about the Viola’s movie nor her performance.

My question with Viola is:
1. Everybody knows who Aretha Franklin or Judy Garland or Margaret Thatcher are, but who know about Ma Rainey? I can’t see legitimate passion behind this role.
2. Only one black woman has ever won in this…[Read more]

Adore the friendship between Sorkin and Fincher. But unfortunately I have a feeling that the Best Picture this year will come down to Mank or Chicago 7.

Amy Adams should have won for Arrival. I don’t understand why choose to award Emma Stone over tour-de-force performance from Adams or Portman.

I believe Glenn is the lock of year. Somebody has to give an undeniable performance like Monique or Catherine Zeta-Jones to knock her off the podium.

I think she should have won for Elizabeth and Blue Jasmine. That would have been the most impressive two Oscar winning performance beside Vivian Leigh and Marlon Brando.

SAG voters are aware of it when Denzel won his first SAG in the middle of the Casey Affleck sweep.

If Hopkins wins Golden Globe and SAG because he never won before and he most probably wins BAFTA, the momentum is definitely on his side to win the Oscar.

This is her moment. Someone has to give a performance like Heath Ledger as Joker to get that Oscar away from Close.

Scarlett O’Hara in Gone With The Wind
Blanche Du’Bois in A Streetcar Named Desire
Margo Channing and Eve Harrington in All About Eve
Mildred Pierce
Mary Poppins
Nurse Ratched in One Flew Over The Cuckoo’s Nest
Clarice Starling in Silence of the Lamb
Thelma and Louise
Rose in Titanic
Queen Elizabeth in Elizabeth
Princess Leia in Star War
Katniss in…[Read more]

I am hoping for Fincher/Hopkins/Davis/Boseman/Close to get it. No one would be upset about this list.

Roma is so boring.

The Pianist is one of my favorite movie of the decade. It should have won best picture as well.

2010 and 2019 are the best quartet. At least both leading performance (Portman, Firth, Zellweger, Phoenix) are really deserving of the wins.

But when it comes to best acting quartet, 1951 (Humphrey Bogart, Vivien Leigh, Karl Madsen, Kim Hunter) and 2007 (Daniel Day Lewis, Marion Cotillard, Jarvier Barden, Tilda Swinton) are really outstanding.