[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204884792

No the Oscar shouldn’t be taken away from him. As everyone said, he shouldn’t be invited to present Best Actress next year.

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[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204876885

I wonder why Chastain didn’t attend the Critics Choice award. She knew Critics Choice loves her. They gave her the win over Jennifer Lawrence in 2013 and gave her an MVP award a few years later. Perhaps she knew she is not winning the Oscar? Because it seems the tide has turned in Cruz’s favour. It is weird that Cruz didn’t even win Goya award for Best Actress but has a good chance to win the Oscar.

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204870945

Go Yeoh! wrote:

Honey, Diane Warren needs to win! 13 nominations and no win is insane

Kevin O’Connell won his first Oscar on his 21st nomination…

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204855397

Christopher Reeve and Jane Seymour in Somewhere in Time

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[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204848892

crabbie wrote:

BAFTA could have given Belfast Original Screenplay as a coattail to its Best British Film win, but they didn’t. Belfast lost on home turf. It’s like when Brooklyn won Best British Film and ended up winning nothing at the Oscars.

Licorice Pizza is the frontrunner unless it loses at WGA.

Yes, it is like Julie Christie losing BAFTA to Marion Cotillard. If even the home crowd allows their legends to lose in their Oscar competitive categories, chances are they are gonna lose the Oscar as well. I think PTA is winning Original Screenplay.

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204841904

Is Sean Penn back to US already?

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[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204800999

If you want a second or third or fourth lead Oscar, your movie should better be competitive in Best Picture race. Only exception were Meryl Streep and Ingrid Bergman.

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204800852

Chastain got this.

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204799055

Don’t know if anybody brought it up. With Don’t Look Up and Nightmare Alley being nominated for Best Picture, Blanchett became the actress who appeared in most Best Picture nominees with 9. Bravo.

Elizabeth (1998)
The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (2001)
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (2002)
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2003)
The Aviator (2004)
Babel (2006)
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (2008)
Don’t Look Up (2021)
Nightmare Alley (2021)

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204790763

How do you not love Chastain? I love and respect all these five ladies. Any of the 5 winning would be totally deserving. But I really hope Chastain wins.

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204787060

When I look at the actress who got their second or third lead Oscar,
1973: Glenda Jackson (A Touch Of Class)
1978: Jane Fonda (Coming Home)
1984: Sally Field (Places In The Heart)
1991: Jodie Foster (Silence Of The Lamb)
2004: Hilary Swank (Million Dollar Baby)
2017: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
2020: Frances McDormand (Nomadland)

All their movies are at least top 5 in the Best Picture race. I don’t think Being The Ricardos and The Lost Daughter are strong enough to carry Kidman and Colman to a second win. My heart and my head predict a Chastain win.

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204776255

My prediction:
GG: Kidman
AACTA: Kidman
CC: Chastain
SAG: Chastain
BAFTA: Gaga
OSCAR: Chastain

I cannot justify my prediction but I feel like it is a 3-horse race between Chastain, Kidman and Gaga to the finish line.
Chastain never won an Oscar which could be an advantage for her.
Kidman is overdue for a second win. But if she is really beloved in the industry, she should have more than 4 nominations by now. They could have nominated her for To Die For and Destroyer but they didn’t.

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204775587

UnionCityMood wrote:

How is Frances not #1 after Bafta nomination came out (last year)?

The nomination this year and last year are different. Last year it is purely jury decision. This year it is the top 2 from the voting and 4 nominees from the jury. Gaga is very likely top 2 in the BAFTA member voting while her major Oscar rivals are not in the top 2.

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204769026

I really cannot imagine what the best actress nomination would look like in Oscar. Alana Haim and Penelope Cruz are in prime position to upset because they probably get the passion votes.
Right now I think it is Gaga, Kidman, Haim, Cruz and Colman.

[Fitzgerald Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 152 View Predictions]

#1204757305

Don’t bet against Olivia Colman when she is in the position to upset. She got two standing ovation during her Oscar win.