[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1203134218

Boz wrote:

Adam Driver is winning this. Y’all are hyping Joaquin way too much.

Three previous nominations. Regarded as one of the best of our time. Popular movie. Front and center of the one man show. Transformative performance with an illness. How are we hyping Joaquin too much?

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[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1203086634

He is my favorite actor. Such talent. Such beauty. Can’t quite see someone like him nowadays. My account name comes from him.

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[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1203069027

Zellweger winning Oscar for portraying Judy Garland would make me get over the fact that Garland never won her Oscar. Let’s make this happen.

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1203050242

Phoenix is not winning. There are many obstacles for him to overcome and he isn’t going to. If he hits precursors and even wins one or two he’ll get an Oscar nom but they’re not voting for him.

Three previous nominations. Regarded as one of the best actors in his generation. The film got rave reviews from Venice. Transformative performance. This role is loved by the Academy. Such a narrative. What are the obstacles? I am not even a fan of Phoenix.

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1203050165

Megan wrote:

Let’s be real. Phoenix isn’t winning for playing the Joker. A dead corpse won ten years ago for the same role and probably played it much better. I think Antonio Banderas may stand a chance.

This is coming from Adam Driver or Antonio Banderas. Period.

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1203050089

My gut told me Joaquin Pheonix is winning this one and it is not even close. Could go down as one of the best winning performance alongside De Niro, Hopkin, Brando, Hanks and Nicholson.

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1202803276

Gabriel Guarin wrote:

Who do you think is winning Supporting Actress next year? I think so far it’s between The Report’s Annette Bening and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood’s Margot Robbie.

Hilary Swank for whatever film.

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1202789552

Let’s hope for a Colman upset.

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1202788874

Chris always have strong reaction when somebody said Regina King is not winning.

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1202788857

I guess Bale is hoping for Amy to win, did he? He is also the the first one to sit down when Dicaprio won. He is certainly not the most diplomatic person.

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1202788411

Jazzy wrote:

Majestic!!! Even she knows she’s winning.

Will she pull off a JLaw?

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1202787593

Joe Burns wrote:

I wonder what clips they”ll show..

I think,
For Colman, it would be “Look at me. How dare you?”.
For Glenn, it would be “I can’t do it. I can’t stand the humiliation’

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1202787580

With all those ballots, standing ovation and following experts’ choice, I went for Stallone that year. Then, I told myself the only thing that I should trust is the precursor award. But here I am again, predicting Regina King, who is not nominated in SAG and BAFTA. I would be punching myself up and down if Weisz wins tomorrow.

[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1202787562

Eddy Q wrote:

I’m still predicting Ali, but all these anonymous ballots for Grant have planted seeds of doubt in my mind. I now think Malek, not Ali, is the most secure of the four acting frontrunners; not only is he backed by the precursors, but the majority of the published ballots went for him including, astonishingly, all 20 of those surveyed by the New York Times. While I’m ignoring the ballots for supporting actor and sticking with the ever-reliable stats, it’s easier to imagine recent Oscar-winner Ali losing at the last hurdle to a clear alternative choice than it is for Malek, none of whose competitors seem to have a huge amount of passionate support behind them.

These secret ballots are made to confuse you. In those ballots, the presumed strong frontrunner seems to be struggling (e.g. Ali, Malek, Close, Cuaron, Blackkklansman for screenplay) while the weaker frontrunner (i.e. King) is dominating. They made almost all people believe that Stallone is the overwhelming favourite.

I agreed that Malek is winning in a landslide. Tariq said 90% of the SAG voters he interviewed were voting for Malek at the time. It cannot really reflect the academy but the industry support can convert into momentum.

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[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 305 View Predictions]

#1202787468

It is Ali’s to lose. BAFTA win sealed the deal for him because even Grant who is British could not win there.

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