[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204686265

wolfali wrote:

I won’t do my long detailed individual category prediction posts until the predictions centre opens (I can’t believe how soon that’s going to be!) but I thought I’d just throw end of year (post CC/Globe) predictions here (along with my first writing and directing predictions for drama this season!) Drama Series 1. Succession (HBO) 2. Squid Game (Netflix) 3. Ozark (Netflix) 4. Killing Eve (BBC America) 5. Better Call Saul (AMC) 6. The Gilded Age (HBO) 7. Bridgerton (Netflix) 8. Severance (AppleTV+) 9. Winning Time (HBO) 10. Euphoria (HBO) Drama Actress 1. Laura Linney, Ozark 2. Zendaya, Euphoria 3. Jodie Comer, Killing Eve 4. Sandra Oh, Killing Eve 5. Christine Baranski, The Gilded Age 6. Patricia Arquette, Severance 7. Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show 8. Simone Ashley, Bridgerton 9. Sarah Lancashire, Julia 10. Louisa Jacobson, The Gilded Age Drama Actor 1. Jeremy Strong, Succession 2. Brian Cox, Succession 3. Jason Bateman, Ozark 4. Lee Jung-jae, Squid Game 5. Sterling K. Brown, This is Us 6. Adam Scott, Severance 7. Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul 8. Jonathan Bailey, Bridgerton 9. Omar Sy, Lupin 10. David Hyde Pierce, Julia Drama S. Actress 1. Sarah Snook, Succession 2. Julia Garner, Ozark 3. Jung Ho-Yeon, Squid Game 4. Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve 5. Carrie Coon, The Gilded Age 6. Cynthia Nixon, The Gilded Age 7. J. Smith-Cameron, Succession 8. Kim Joo-Ryung, Squid Game 9. Denée Benton, The Gilded Age 10. Camille Cottin, Killing Eve Drama S. Actor 1. Kieran Culkin, Succession 2. Matthew Macfadyen, Succession 3. Nicholas Braun, Succession 4. Billy Crudup, The Morning Show 5. Giancarlo Esposito, Better Call Saul 6. Oh Yeong-Su, Squid Game 7. Park Hae-Soo, Squid Game 8. Morgan Spector, The Gilded Age 9. Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul 10. Anupam Tripathi, Squid Game Drama Writing 1. Jesse Armstrong for Succession (“All the Bells Say”) 2. Ozark 3. Better Call Saul 4. Dong-hyuk Hwang for Squid Game (“Gganbu”) 5. Ozark 6. Ozark 7. Better Call Saul 8. Julian Fellowes for The Gilded Age (“Pilot”) 9. Laura Neal for Killing Eve (“Finale”) 10. Steven Moffatt for The Time Traveller’s Wife (“Pilot”) Drama Directing 1. Mark Mylod for Succession (“All the Bells Say”) 2. Cathy Yan for Succession (“The Disruption”) 3. Andrij Parekh for Succession (“What It Takes”) 4. Dong-hyuk Hwang for Squid Game (“Gganbu”) 5. Robin Wright for Ozark 6. Ozark 7. Ben Stiller for Severance (“Pilot”) 8. Michael Engler for The Gilded Age (“Pilot”) 9. Bridgerton 10. Mimi Leder for The Morning Show (“Fever”) Drama G. Actor 1. Alexander Skarsgard, Succession 2. James Cromwell, Succession 3. Martin Short, The Morning Show 4. Stephen Root, Succession 5. Adrien Brody, Succession 6. Justin Kirk, Succession 7. Gong Yoo, Squid Game 8. Will Arnett, The Morning Show 9. James Cromwell, Julia 10. John Lithgow, Dexter : New Blood Drama G. Actress 1. Harriet Walter, Succession 2. Phylicia Rashad, This is Us 3. Hiam Abbass, Succession 4. Hope Davis, Succession 5. Marcia Gay Harden, The Morning Show 6. Sanaa Lathan, Succession 7. Jeanne Tripplehorn, The Gilded Age 8. Audra McDonald, The Gilded Age 9. Judith Light, Julia 10. Lee Yoo-Mi, Squid Game

Succession with 16 acting nominations… That would be ridiculous even though I love the show lol

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204593318

I suspected a sexual relationship would be revealed between Logan and Kerry after last week’s episode. But now that that has been hinted at so excessively, it can’t be just that. I’m thinking some much deeper and more unexpected plot point is coming down the pipes with them.

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204579181

Favorite episode yet of the season. This reminded me a lot of “Argestes,” where the family has to come together to close a deal under the wire as sh*t falls apart around them.

Tom hoping to get Shiv pregnant before going to jail was absolutely heartbreaking, but I can see why it upset Shiv also.

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204503166

This forum is NOT gonna want to hear it, but I think with the recent announcement that King Richard is adapted, this is the new front runner for adapted screenplay. It seems to be a big crowd pleaser in a way that POTD just will not be. Even though I loved POTD personally

 

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204481598

#Dune crossed $50M on WED, running total of $52M. Will be targeting $75-78M by end of Sunday.

Russia – CIS: $11.25M
France – $10.9M
Germany – $6.9M
Nordics – $5M
Italy – $3.6M
Spain – $3.3M pic.twitter.com/1DQ0mM4w5e

— charlie Jatinder (@meJat32) September 23, 2021

If this guy is to be believed, Dune could be looking at a 0% drop in its second weekend

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204475634

Licorice Pizza trailer didn’t particularly excite me. But honestly PTA trailers/subject matters don’t usually excite me, yet the films are so masterfully made that I end up loving them when I see them. I expect no less from this.

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204475011

wrote:

How could Tammy Faye have flopped when it was released limited over 400 theaters? Not off to a good start with those numbers, but I’ll call it a flop once it’s released wide and the numbers or like Respect or worse, then I will say it flopped. Meanwhile, you Dune stans also need to accept this is not going to make any money. It needs to make closer to 400 million to make even a little bit of money here, and you guys know it. You can praise that 37 million opener all you want (24 markets and it couldn’t even break 50 mill), it’s downhill from here on out. Most movie figures go downhill after their opening weekend, especially in a pandemic era we are in. Like I said, you guys will be lucky if it crosses 200 million WW.

Yes it’s premature to call Tammy Faye a flop. But under 200WW for Dune is delusion.

 

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204474789

Whoever said Dune wouldn’t make 200M worldwide… It already made 37M in Europe opening weekend, (WITHOUT UK) and will probably hit 100-120M in those markets by the end of its run. Throw in the UK, where Blade Runner 2049 grossed 25M, and you’re probably looking at 130M-150M. And that’s just for Europe. The movie was just announced to be releasing in China as well.

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204471722

Another year, another series punished for having multiple episodes nominated in a category. I’m not even a big Ted Lasso fan but it’s pretty obvious that’s what happened here. Especially if it wins series

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204469275

Headed for around $36 mil opening weekend in the European markets where it opened so far. I’m not sure how that compares to other releases this year but it’s much better than the $20 mil projected early this week

X

Reply

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204469267

I’m in the boat that thinks both Plemmons and Smit McPhee were great but not phenomenal slam dunks for a nomination. This aint Pacino Pesci. Probably at least one of them can coat tail if the film ends up being top 3, but I can’t even figure out which one is more likely.

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204468649

Just got out of TPOTD. I strongly disagree that the film is too inaccessible to be an audience hit. The story and themes seemed pretty straight forward to me, and there were all around great reactions that I heard from my theater.

Read no further if you don’t want to hear some general thoughts on the film…

This is a lock for picture, director and screenplay nominations (as if that wasn’t obvious by now). I had a bit of a tough time investing in some of the characters since so much of what’s going on with them is internal, though by the end of the film I felt like every character was finally fully realized for me. I think rewatches will be rewarding. Cinematography and score are also standouts.

Cumberbatch never truly wowed me, but he’ll be nominated still.  Plemmons, Smit-McPhee and Dunst weren’t given as much to do as I expected. I would probably only predict Dunst for the nomination, but that isn’t guaranteed. Why on Earth was Thomasin McKenzie cast for her role? What a waste lol.

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204467885

Just got out of the Lost Daughter. Without spoiling why, I actually thought the screenplay was the weakest aspect. The direction was very assured, especially for a first time director. Colman is the only Oscar possibility for acting imo but she really shines here. Picture and screenplay are possiblities but I don’t feel as strong about them as I did before.

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204462517

After opening in certain European markets today, Dune’s letterboxd score moves from a 3.9 to a 4.2. Box office remains to be seen.

[fvg627 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1204442324

Letterboxd Round Up:
 
The Hand of God – 4.1
Flee – 4.1
 
Mass – 4.0
 
Dune – 3.9
Coda – 3.9
The Worst Person in the World – 3.9
 
C’mon C’mon – 3.8
 
Spencer – 3.7
Last Night in Soho – 3.7
In the Heights – 3.7
Red Rocket – 3.7
 
A Hero – 3.6
Titane – 3.6
The French Dispatch – 3.6
The Rescue – 3.6
 
The Power of the Dog – 3.5
King Richard – 3.5
 
Parallel Mothers – 3.4
The Card Counter – 3.4
Passing – 3.4
The Electrical Life of Louis Wain – 3.4
 
The Lost Daughter – 3.3
Belfast – 3.3
 
Cyrano – 3.2
 
Respect – 3.1