Forum Replies Created
February 9, 2020 at 3:24 am #1203336035
1. Jojo Rabbit
2. Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
4. Ford v. Ferrari
6. Little Women
8. Marriage Story
9. The Irishman
All of them were really really good.December 14, 2019 at 12:50 pm #1203236162
BEST ACTOR – Joaquin Phoenix
BEST ACTRESS – Renee Zellwegger
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – Brad Pitt
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – Scarlett Johansson
BEST CAST – Once Upon a Time….in Hollywood.
BEST STUNT – Once Upon a Time….in Hollywood.
These are just early bird gut guesses for me.
Phoenix is seen as overdue and anchors the entire picture.
Zellwegger because they love Judy Garland and it’s a transformation and comeback role.
The ending to ONCE is what sticks out the most, and that was dominated by Pitt’s bravo work. I think he wins it. Johansson for the nature of performance. She helps to de-radicalize Jojo, and provides the emotional gut of the film.
ONCE wins best picture/cast because it appeals to voters sentimentality.
I’ll probably change my vote after the Globes hand out their awards, but that’s my early guess work.March 6, 2019 at 2:52 pm #1202806501
I did like The Favourite but I have to agree that it was a weird movie and Yorgos did do another weird movie 2-3 years ago, The Lobster, which I did like but NOT only weird but a STRANGE concept. I did say The Favourite was NOT going to do well at the Oscars and I was RIGHT…………..Olivia Colman’s win was a surprise but I was happy for her win but with Glenn Close losing, it was an upset to me because I really wanted her to win and YES, someone did say Olivia’s win was a way for The Favourite NOT to go home empty handed.
Yep. I liked The Favourite too, particularly the ending. But the issue here is that TF was seen as a “guilty pleasure”. Voting for GB and BP made them feel better about themselves.March 6, 2019 at 2:49 pm #1202806498
Black Panther deserved Costume and Production Design over The Favourite so I’m glad they got that right but TF not winning Original Screenplay is kinda surprising.
I am not sure why that would be.
The Favourite only one major screenplay award, and that was with the BAFTAs. It didn’t win at the Critics Choice or Globe.
Pretty much all Best Picture winners take Best Director, Best Screenplay, or both. Green Book was higher on people’s list than The Favourite was for BP.
Add on to the fact that PGA winners have won either Director, Writing, Editing, or at least 2 of those 3. The only reason why people didn’t predict GB was because they felt the Academy would hold it against Nick Vallelonga for appearing to be a MAGA guy.March 6, 2019 at 4:43 am #1202805718
I am fine with what Spielberg is suggesting: Netflix theatrical should be released into theaters for at least a month AND then be release onto Netflix. That means if a movie came out on October 1st, 2018, then the film would be released onto Netflix by November 2nd or 3rd of 2018.March 6, 2019 at 4:21 am #1202805706
Look I’m so grateful for Olivia Colman’s win and if it was destined to just get one then this would probably be the best one but why did it not do better? Yeah the film is about lesbianism but with all this progressive stuff going on in Hollywood and the fact that the Academy has stepped outside of it’s comfort zone in the past eleven years or so with BP winners, why couldn’t the film do better? It losing Best Original Screenplay is weird as Green Book had all that controversy and couldn’t even win WGA! You’d think the Globes would have embraced the film more too.
Probably because the movie was bleak, filled with a very dark sense of humor and unlikable characters. Yorgos Lanthimos’ style of film-making is a bit divisive. It’s more like coffee, being some people hate it, others love it.
Green Book was seen as “controversial” by the vulture media standards, but it was not a controversial film. Everybody I talked to about Green Book absolutely loved it. Keep in mind, it won Best Picture at the Toronto Film Festival, Golden Globes, and National Board of Review. On IMDB, it’s the second highest rated film of 2018 with an 8.2/10, behind Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse. Most rationale human beings understand that when a movie says “Inspired by a true story” or “based on a real story”, they mean that events or characters were dramatized to fit a particular narrative. I even read articles — from the NY times and LA times — stating that Green Book got the anger votes from members. They were protesting the fact that the media was trying to dictate what movies they should like or feel about.
To put it simply: Voting for Green Book and Black Panther made them feel good. Voting for BP for Score, Art Direction, and Costume Design means they can honor African American culture and depart from their usual love of old Britain. Voting for GB means makes them feel good about humanity and reconcile racial differences.February 26, 2019 at 7:38 pm #1202796622
I love all those wins. I can’t pick one.February 24, 2019 at 7:38 pm #1202790917
Really good ceremony. I enjoyed the no host.
Whose winning Best Picture now?
Bohemian Rhapsody and Black Panther – 3 Oscars
Green Book and Roma – 2 Oscars
BlacKkKlansman, Vice, and A Star is Born – 1 Oscar
The Favourite has ZERO.February 24, 2019 at 3:30 pm #1202788367
BlacKkKlansman has no such hurdles. It may not have won anything, but it has been nominated everywhere.
Its been nominated EVERYWHERE, but has only won one time this awards season. ONE TIME. No Globes. No Critics Choice. No Guild wins. The Scripter didn’t even nominate it, and that’s a huge red flag.February 24, 2019 at 2:02 pm #1202788170
Just as much of a hurdle as Green Book missing the Director nom. Not to mention that Roma actually snatched both acting noms at the Oscars.
Both films have pretty much same level as hurdles:
– No directing nomination
– When a film wins Best Picture, it generally has more than 5 nominations. All the five nod films have won 4 Oscars.
– Lowest rated film, according to RottenTomatoes, to win Best Picture since Crash.
– No SAG ensemble nomination
– No editing nomination
– No SAG ensemble nomination. Only happened twice in 1995 and 2017.
– No SAG nominations. Hasn’t happened since 1995.
– No Foreign Language film has ever won Best Picture.
– It’s an Netflix film. Some Academy members see a Netflix production as television, and shouldn’t be up for Oscars. Just look at Steven Spielberg.
As I have said before, this year is a complete anomaly for Best Picture and now Best Screenplays. Every stat gets thrown out, and simply go by what the gut says.February 24, 2019 at 1:53 pm #1202788154
I would be genuinely shocked if Green Book were to win – I know it’s 2nd in the rankings here on Gold Derby but the film isn’t beloved enough. The only other category it will win is Supporting Actor, so are people thinking it will win only 2 Oscars, like Spotlight did a few years ago? I don’t think so. I don’t even think it’s in 2nd place. Roma is going to win precisely because all 7 of the other nominations have enough passion but not enough passion to get past it (and each has enough voters to siphon off enough support). I think The Favourite is in 2nd place and could pull a surprise win but it seems unlikely due to its subject matter and just how the preferential ballot actually works (which is convoluted, to say the least!) I won’t be shocked if Roma doesn’t win but I don’t think it will be Green Book if that does happen.
I think they’re thinking THREE.
Best Supporting Actor
Best Original Screenplay
The Original Screenplay is pretty wide open. You had Green Book winning the Globe. First Reformed taking the Critics Choice. The Favourite winning the BAFTA.
I do agree though, you cannot logically pick Green Book to win Best Picture, but only Supporting Actor. You would need to pick up a third somewhere.February 24, 2019 at 1:23 pm #1202788077
It’s fascinating to see Green Book rising late in the game, much like CRASH, MILLION DOLLAR BABY, and MOONLIGHT. This is probably due to the older voter appeal.
All what I have to say is, if Vallelonga wins Original Screenplay, I think Ali could be in two “surprising” winners.
Somebody pointed this out: the last time a film won Best Picture without any SAG nominations was Braveheart back in 1995. Yet another hurdle, Roma has to overcome.February 24, 2019 at 11:54 am #1202787932
It’s been a few years since I’ve seen TKS, but from what I remember it felt it was made to get an Oscar for Firth to me. Spotlight seems to be the popular one to hate and it’s one of my favorites, so it’s apparently an agree-to-disagree with me in this thread lol.
Yep, we’re on polar opposites here, which is fine by me.
I just don’t participate in any movie bashing here. Of course, whenever I hear people talk about “bad” Best Picture winners, I kept on hearing sour grapes about Shakespeare beating out Ryan and TKS beating TSN. Get over yourselves people. I don’t complain about the winners not matching up with my favorites.February 24, 2019 at 11:06 am #1202787863
Rolling my eyes at all this Spotlight hate. But I guess that’s the point of this thread.
Anyways,the one that stands out to me is probably The King’s Speech. I’m honestly surprised that that movie made it that far with Best Picture when you had movies like Black Swan, Winter’s Bone, Toy Story 3, Inception, and the Social Network filling spots that year (with the SN probably prevailing). I would have also taken Amour over Argo.
Couldn’t disagree more. TKS is one of the BEST Best Picture winners ever. It was an extremely good buddy picture. Everything about the film was fantastic: the pacing, the acting, the directing, and the writing. The final speech at the end was so well edited and moving. Maybe I felt this way because I had a speech impediment myself and can relate to Firth’s character.
Spotlight is probably my least favorite this decade, along with The Artist. I would rather gone with The Martian or The Big Short.February 21, 2019 at 6:44 pm #1202784378
I am NGNG-isn Paul Schrader for Original Screenplay. I switched between The Favourite and Green Book a lot but a part of me thinks they’ll award Schrader when they have the chance, 40+ years too late but it will have to do.
The Critics Choice Best Original Screenplay winner is on a quite a streak – 8 straight Oscar matches. The last time we saw the miss was with Inglourious Basterds winning.