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January 24, 2023 at 11:40 pm #1205265717
Here’s an updated list of actors who received their first acting Oscar nomination in the 2020s!
Riz Ahmed
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Maria Bakalova
Sacha Baron Cohen
Chadwick Boseman
Jessie Buckley
Austin Butler
Hong Chau
Kerry Condon
Jamie Lee Curtis
Andra Day
Ana de Armas
Ariana DeBose
Kirsten Dunst
Aunjanue Ellis
Colin Farrell
Brendan Fraser
Brendan Gleeson
Brian Tyree Henry
Ciarán Hinds
Stephanie Hsu
Barry Keoghan
Vanessa Kirby
Troy Kotsur
Paul Mescal
Bill Nighy
Leslie Odom Jr.
Jesse Plemons
Ke Huy Quan
Paul Raci
Andrea Riseborough
Amanda Seyfried
Kodi Smit-McPhee
Lakeith Stanfield
Kristen Stewart
Michelle Yeoh
Steven Yeun
Yuh-jung YounDecember 18, 2022 at 5:48 pm #1205200339EEAAO could get five SAG nominations if Curtis and Hsu get nominated at SAG, along with Yeoh and Quan, and the movie gets nominated for Ensemble. Has one movie ever nabbed five nominations at SAG before? What’s the record for most nominations for one film at SAG?
December 18, 2022 at 5:37 pm #1205200329SAG/Globes overlap (people nominated at SAG but not GG)
2016: 3/5 (Christian Bale and Jacob, Stallone missed SAG because they didn’t had screeners for the movie)
This is a little bit of a misnomer because Bale did get a GG nom, just in Lead Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy.
December 8, 2022 at 10:40 am #1205183258NBR is the kiss of death for Best Actor, Will was a weird exception last year
Per your argument then, RIP to Colin Farrell’s winning chances.
November 8, 2022 at 5:50 am #1205145176Having seen The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, and The Whale, the Butler fans and the Farrell fans here ought to come around understanding that Fraser will be sweeping because he is that damn good.
Now don’t get me wrong, I think Butler, Farrell, and Fraser are all brilliant. I’ll happily welcome a win for any of those three. Glad that, despite how weak this field is otherwise, we have a robust top three in them.
September 16, 2022 at 1:44 pm #1205086623With Austin Butler being the favorite and Warner having a very strong campaign, Tom Hanks is being underestimated and could very well get in here.
Given that he has been snubbed plenty of times this century, despite being in a handful of Best Picture nominees over the years too, I struggle to see Hanks get a nomination for a performance this controversial, even if the film winds up in the Best Picture conversation.
September 11, 2022 at 4:59 pm #1205077637Does anyone know what the last year was when no biopic was nominated for Best Picture? I know that there has been at least one biopic to nab a Best Picture nomination since the preferential ballot was reintroduced in 2009.
Knowing there’s a biopic nominated for Best Picture pretty much every year and that Warner Bros. almost always gets a Best Picture nomination makes me think Elvis actually does have a shot at snagging a nom.
September 10, 2022 at 12:26 pm #1205075837We went 26 years without seeing two performances in one film receive Best Supporting Actor nominations until Martin McDonagh ended that drought with Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri. Here’s hoping that a McDonagh film is able to get two Best Actor nominations for the first time in 38 years!
March 20, 2022 at 12:56 am #1204860718How many Best Picture winners won with only DGA as their guild win? Granted, The Power of the Dog could win ASC, but it can easily lose that too.
March 15, 2022 at 6:32 pm #1204852644until 2021 were there any acting nominees who missed sag but got cc + gg + bafta combo then got the Oscar nom ?
Off the top of my head, I can think of Daniel Day-Lewis for Phantom Thread and Saoirse Ronan for Little Women as recent examples.
ReplyMarch 15, 2022 at 3:16 pm #1204852395I agree that Kotsur probably has the win in the bag, but to me Smit-McPhee just seems like the kind of surprise that would come from the Academy, and that in hindsight would kinda make sense.
The only comparable precedent for a Smit-McPhee win would be when, in 2002, Chris Cooper won for Adaptation. over Christopher Walken for Catch Me If You Can. Like Kotsur, Walken had won SAG and BAFTA. Like Smit-McPhee, Cooper won a Golden Globe. Golden Globe winners usually don’t triumph at the Oscars over SAG and/or BAFTA winners, but Cooper is one such exception to that rule. The only difference between Cooper and Smit-McPhee is that Cooper had a Critics’ Choice win as well, which Smit-McPhee doesn’t have, but that may not matter too much.
I’m not betting against Kotsur at this point, nor I do I think The Power of the Dog needs to win an acting award to win Best Picture, but for that is one such precedent for those hoping Smit-McPhee wins the Oscar.
ReplyMarch 15, 2022 at 12:29 pm #1204852074Oh wow I could have sworn it was nominated at CAS or perhaps another sound precursor? It doesn’t have a sound nomination at BAFTA either, so I will admit that it’s sound nomination at the Oscars is quite impressive.
It nabbed one MPSE nomination, for its foley work, which it lost to Dune this weekend. Even though it was widely predicted to nab the Best Sound Oscar nomination, especially early on, it maybe got that nomination by the skin of its teeth.
ReplyMarch 15, 2022 at 11:52 am #1204852007Unless we see Belfast winning at random places like CAS or ASC (which it has a 0% chance of winning) then Branagh’s awards run is over.
Belfast isn’t even nominated at CAS, so it would need to become the first film to lack a Best Cinematography Oscar nomination to win ASC to have any guild win under its belt, which is highly, highly unlikely.
ReplyMarch 13, 2022 at 6:41 pm #1204848080It’s a little sketchy to predict an Editing winner that didn’t get sound but they nominated 3/5 films with no sound noms.
Last year they nominated 4/5 films with no sound noms, but the Editing winner still had the Sound nomination (and win).
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