Forum Replies Created
October 31, 2019 at 2:41 am #1203160134
Since 2016, the Best Actor nominees have consistently featured one actor who is his film’s sole nominee. Bryan Cranston (Trumbo), Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic), Denzel Washington ( Roman J. Israel, Esq.), and Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate). With this in mind, it seems very plausible that Eddie Murphy (Dolemite Is My Name) or Taron Egerton (Rocketman) could continue this trend.October 13, 2019 at 7:32 am #1203134247
I’d imagine getting a Best Supporting Actress nomination for Zhao Shuzhen (The Farewell) would be their easiest bet. Even more so than Willem Dafoe or Awkwafina, since Zhao’s category is weak and she has been getting buzz that would, by default, position her as a frontrunner for a nomination.October 13, 2019 at 4:56 am #1203134137
Song Kang-ho should win an Oscar for this performance, though I won’t be silly and predict that to happen, but he really should get nominated.October 8, 2019 at 2:15 am #1203127124
True. Anyone other than Phoenix winning would result in an unbearable shitstorm.October 6, 2019 at 2:12 am #1203123532
Could someone please add Song Kang-ho (Parasite) to the prediction center? While I’m not sure that he will get nominated, I think he may wind up being a surprise contender.September 24, 2019 at 7:59 pm #1203100935
Is Aaron Paul eligible for El Camino: A Breaking Bad Movie? Will the movie be eligible for movie awards or it will be at the Emmys?
Academy rules stipulate that a film has must be released in a commercial theatre in either LA or NYC for at least a week, without being available on VOD simultaneously.
El Camino is going to have a theatrical release for 3-4 days, whilst being available on Netflix. As such, it’ll be competing at the Emmys next year.September 21, 2019 at 10:54 am #1203090780
India has submitted Gully Boy.September 18, 2019 at 10:32 pm #1203085903
Does anyone know if Nadav Lapid’s Synonyms, which won the Golden Bear at Berlinale this year, is eligible to be Israel’s official submission? It’s a co-production between France and Israel and is in both French and Hebrew. Since it’s not on France’s shortlist, I’m wondering if Israel could submit the film, or if it’ll have to sit the Oscars out.September 3, 2019 at 1:21 am #1203054880
I think, when considering what films would or wouldn’t have been nominated for Best Picture, it’s necessary to look at what films were nominated for Best Director. Since there have only been two years since the introduction of the expanded field of BP nominees in which there was a Best Director nominee without a corresponding Best Picture nom, and two years in which the Best Picture winner didn’t have a corresponding Best Director nom, let’s look at those first.
This is a simple one. Since Cold War wasn’t nominated for Best Picture, and since BP winner Green Book wasn’t nominated for Best Director, we can easily swap the former with the latter.
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
The question is, between American Sniper, Selma, The Theory of Everything, and Whiplash, who would land a Best Picture nomination? Selma getting nominated is out of the question, especially since its only other nomination was Original Song, and Theory didn’t have enough wins to back up a Best Picture nomination. So it’s between American Sniper and Whiplash, the former of which was nominated at the DGA for Best Director, and the latter of which was only one of three films that year to win more than one Oscar. I think the latter had more traction than the former, which is why I think it would get a Best Picture nomination.
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
Argo is clearly getting in, but the question is, who would have to get out as a result. Life of Pi, Lincoln, and
Silver Linings Playbook are safe, I believe, leaving the race between Amour and Beasts of the Southern Wild, and the former’s widespread adoration would mean the film would keep its spot as a Best Picture nominee.
The rest is pretty straightforward.
The Shape of Water
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street
Midnight in Paris
The Tree of Life
The King’s Speech
The Social Network
The Hurt Locker
Up in the AirFebruary 1, 2019 at 9:39 pm #1202758654
In alphabetical order. I still have quite a bit of films to catch up on, so this is a work-in-progress.
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Mission: Impossible – Fallout
You Were Never Really HereJanuary 27, 2019 at 7:48 pm #1202751924
I wonder if BAFTA gives it to Bale because he’s a respected British actor who has never won a BAFTA award. Will Bale’s BAFTA IOU factor in or does Malek have this in the bag, regardless?January 27, 2019 at 5:35 pm #1202750985
Now it depends on whoever wins at BAFTA. The winner of BAFTA will win the Oscar, à la Mark Rylance for Bridge of Spies.January 14, 2019 at 4:24 pm #1202734346
I think Grant’s best shot is at BAFTA, but I am predicting an Ali sweep this year. They both give superb performances!
And, remember, Ali didn’t win at BAFTA for Moonlight. So, à la the Golden Globes, he could win this year to make up for that.