[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204953160

Brayfers wrote:

I’m gay, and I consider myself a fan / supporter of Kendrick. I genuinely would like to know if you think this song has the potential to change the minds of people who are genuinely homophobic and transphobic in 2022. Most likely, the ones who are praising him for it identify as queer, or are already supportive allies of the queer community. We live in an era where “going woke” is a cancellable offense to the “conservative” population. I’m sure there will be fans out there who hear the song and think to themselves ‘damn, Kendrick’s right. Being homophobic / transphobic is wrong” but I wouldn’t doubt that there are rap fans who would rather claim Kendrick is “going woke” to please rather than looking inward at their own biases and prejudices.

I very much believe the song will make other rappers rethink homophobic lyrics they wanna release, which was presumably what Kendrick was trying to accomplish.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204953130

As an LGBT fan of Kendrick, I personally really liked the song. He doesn’t have a lot of LGBT fans so it is legitimately a risky song for him to make but I’m grateful he did, even if the execution could have been better.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204952815

Wait they’ve announced top artist, top album and top song before the show even starts???? Do they think people are that excited about top country duo/group or something???

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204952811

Knew Stay was winning! The song’s already #5 on the all time charts.

Gonna lose a ton of points for massively underestimating Olivia tho. Already lost some for doing Dangerous for top album and I did Taylor for top female and Drake for top artist.

Still torn about Doja vs Weeknd for R&B artist.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204951832

Munchi wrote:

I’ve heard all your points including “the competition is too stiff for Silk Sonic to be a factor” .

Let’s hope things don’t turn out like this year’s where I gave a million reasons why Silk Sonic will go 4/4 and folks kept hinging arguments on incorporeal points like “Billie is Billie”, “Tony will get sympathy votes”, “Gaga is overdue” and “Grammys love young female songwriters like Olivia”. Or 24K Magic vs Damn where I gave a bazillion reasons why Bruno was sweeping, or 25 vs Lemonade where y’all kept saying “25 was carried by Hello and is forgotten”.

I have also missed a LOT ofc and hope I’m wrong this time, for Kendrick’s sake.

Sorry but they are non-factors here and there is zero reason to think they could beat Adele.

The darling argument doesn’t work when Adele is a bigger darling.

Possible fatigue towards Adele doesn’t work as an argument when the Bruno/SS sweeps were more recent than the 25 sweep.

The argument about 30 underperforming doesn’t work when their album underperformed more.

Like yes, Bruno is a massive darling but that doesn’t matter when he’s going against an even bigger darling.

At least with Kendrick you can argue he’s overdue and the albums more acclaimed. At least with Harry you can argue that he’ll have a bigger album, although I’ve said before that I don’t see any reason why he’d go from losing to Dua Lipa to beating Adele. Silk Sonic just don’t have any real advantage over Adele.

And for the record I wasn’t at all surprised by LTDO going 4/4. I did get ROTY wrong but that was more because I overestimated Tony rather than underestimated SS. Still, you can find posts from literally when the song came out where I said it was going 4/4 and that the confidence a lot of people had in drivers license made no sense.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204951284

M wrote:

Give “Auntie Diairies” Song of the Year I’ve never heard a song better written than this.

There’s a better written song two tracks later tho 😉

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204951237

Wait Summer has an AOTY nom on lock even if they yet again unjustly snub her omgggg

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204950989

Cant get over how brilliant mother i sober is.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204950713

Just finished

Let’s start with the elephant in the room, there are various aspects of this album clearly designed to cause controversy rather than to enhance the album. Kodak Black isnt on 3 separate tracks because Kendrick thinks he’s a good artist, it’s because Kendrick knows people will write thinkpieces about it. I also don’t know how I feel about the R. Kelly mention considering Kendricks history there but I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt and say he was playing a character.

However, I’d be lying if I said I didn’t love this. N95 is catchy. Father Time is a future classic in the mention. And while I’m not a fan of his use of homophobic slurs in it, Auntie Diaries was a highlight for me and I love the overall message.

However, the clear standout for me was mother i sober. His lyrics and delivery are both equally heartbreaking. When he switches from sadness to anger in the final verse, it really hits. Truly one of his most powerful songs.

So while I do wish Kendrick didn’t try to shamelessly bait for controversy, this is overall another brilliant album for Kendrick.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204950234

naveand wrote:

Best New Artist is by far the hardest category to predict. I hope Muni Long wins but that’s just a hopeful prediction.

Controversial opinion maybe but as of now I’d predict her for the win. I really don’t buy Gayle; her EP charting only charting at #138 even with a top 3 hit on it proves no one cares about her as an artist. Latto’s EP similarly underperformed but not as much as Gayle’s.

R&B has been really strong in the gf recently and Muni is somewhat familiar to the industry already, considering how many artists she has written for.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204949228

My theory on the album title:

Kendrick is Mr. Morale since he’s always looked up to as a major spokesperson for social issue. The kids are the big steppers and this album will discuss how his kids will follow in the footsteps of their father. Basically I think this is going to be primarily about fatherhood since this is Kendrick’s first album as a father.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204949222

Love the cover. Didn’t know they had a second kid.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204948344

Rich Thot wrote:

But no one is saying he doesn’t have a chance to get one or two nods. No one is arguing that he’ll get gf nods. It’s Rap Album that people are mostly discussing. So, I fail to see why you’re arguing against something no one here is arguing for. Also, yes, I’m biased and I’m rooting against him and I’m expressing. I’m once again looking for the point.

Nothing you’re saying is biased though?

The numbers he’s putting up are underwhelming and on par with Lil Durk and less than Future and Gunna. No one seems to care about the album, people just seem to care about First Class
The albums gotten terrible receptions from fans, as show by the reactions to it across on social media and literally any fan forums for hiphop
The albums gotten terrible critical reception. 3rd lowest rated album of the year on aoty.com and a 54 on metacritic.
He isn’t some established favourite or anything

It isn’t biased to doubt this getting nominated when you have Kendrick and Future both looking significantly stronger and possible nominations from Pusha T, Lil Durk, Gunna and Lil Baby. Plus considering this will probably be Young Thug’s last album for a while, voters may want to give him one last nomination.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204948277

Finished Severance, what a brilliant show! Hard to decide between this and Succession for my personal drama series winner this year. One thing is for sure though; I hope Britt Lower gets in and I will be heartbroken if her name isn’t announced on nomination day.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 17 Posts: 4009 View Predictions]

#1204947994

I also really think Jack is missing rap album. No one seems to like this album. First Class will probably still make it but I don’t buy Jack Harlow overcoming the universal pans from fans and critics.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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