[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203951904

Is this for acting only?

Daniel Day-Lewis (upon a comeback), Cate Blanchett, Francis McDormand, Mahershala Ali, Christian Bale (maybe).

Outside of just acting, the list is a lot longer. Unless there’s a major shake-up, I think McDormand is going to win another for producing this year even if she misses lead actress. Denzel, Tom Hanks, Alexandre Desplat, Steven Spielberg, and Pete Docter all have solid chances at hitting four eventually too. Desplat almost seems inevitable.

I think the four people with zero Oscars currently who have the best chances are Bradley Cooper, Chloé Zhao, Paul Thomas Anderson, and Wes Anderson.

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[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203951710

fefface wrote:

Indeed. Only Scorsese would be more fortuitous. TFD will almost definitely be in competition. Not sure about the Palme as it doesn’t often go to American-made movies but Anderson is my current frontrunner for the Grand Prix. And it is set in France…

I think Wes would’ve won the Palme D’or this year, especially if the 2020 “competition” is anywhere close to what it would have actually been (I’m 50/50 on whether Small Axe or Soul would have actually been in competition). Hoping they give The French Dispatch a reset for the 2021 festival as well.

Any other hopefuls on your list?

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[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203951674

I could see Annette winning the Palme D’or. Especially with the Spike/Driver thing.

I wonder if they’ll slip The French Dispatch into competition… or at least out of competition. No idea what’s happening there, but I do imagine it’ll be a heavy-hitter come 2022.

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[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203950804

BetteDavis wrote:

Y’all I’m about to start predicting a Mank snub.

As weird as it sounds… it might? I honestly don’t think people enjoyed it that much, and it’s not like it’s an impactful film or anything. If it weren’t for the fact it really isn’t the strongest year for competition, I’d say it could be miss on BP but still land a couple noms here and there in other categories.

The issue is, even at 8 nominations, is Mank truly 9th? Unless Sound of Metal and Promising Young Woman have a huge boost (which could happen), I’m just not sure 8 films are ahead of it.

[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203948617

SN wrote:

I don’t understand why do you think he should compete in Comedy/Musical at the Globes. The film is a drama and the ending is pretty tragic.

Let’s be real, the Golden Globes have a pretty bizarre opinion on what a comedy is. Just look at their 2013 nominations…

I also consider Druk a drama, but who knows what they’ll think.

[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203948256

Luca wrote:

I feel like it could have been at least 5 to 10 minutes longer though, to let that ending sink in a bit.

Yeah, would’ve loved another handful of minutes, but either at the beginning or at the end, not the middle. Another New York minute or two pre-‘near death’ could have gone a long way.

JackO wrote:

people keep declaring these unseen movies as winners not even understanding that they are doing more harm than good for the films themselves.

All I meant was that Odom Jr’s not a runaway. There’s other decent competition other than Kaluuya as well. Even Paul Raci could get a huge boost. I haven’t talked to a single person who thought he didn’t put on a great performance.

[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203948046

Kafka_Gyllenhaal wrote:

but at this point the award is Odom Jr.’s to lose.

 

Not while Kaluuya’s in contention.

I’ll give him Original Song though. I don’t think he has any competition at all there.

[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203947924

John Berchmans wrote:

I also feel very strongly that “Cinematography” is not a category that animated films should be eligible for, since there are no actual cameras involved in the making of an animated film; unless, of course, you’re using a technique like stop-motion or motion-capture, but there films are very rare and have never won Oscars anyway.

Forgot to mention in my previous post that I agree this is a fair ineligibility, and I agree with your point about stop-motion films being an exception.

[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203947902

thomasrigours wrote:

Thanks for the article ! Maybe I misread it but nothing says that Animated Feature directors are ineligible for Best Director right ? They just can’t be member of DGA but maybe directors can still vote for them for the Oscars ? Anyway the treatment of Animated films in this industry is so inequitable. In a fair world, Pete Docter would be a lock for a Best Director nomination this year.

It is a smidge vague, but I believe it snowballs down to the fact they can’t land nominations. Hoping it changes eventually.

[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203947852

thomasrigours wrote:

Is he ??

Unless the rules change some time very soon, no. They can be nominated for score, screenplay, picture, sound, song, etc… just not director (or cinematography).

I don’t even think something like Isle of Dogs or Fantastic Mr. Fox from Wes Anderson is eligible for BD for the same reasons. The DGA just have this blanket statement against animated films being nominated.

Here’s something from a few years ago: https://screencrush.com/why-cant-an-animated-film-be-nominated-for-best-director-at-the-oscars/

[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203947801

estrelas wrote:

Just out of curiosity: Are animated features allowed to compete in Cinematography? I’m just asking because I thought Soul was absolutely beautiful and amazingly shot.

No, they’re ineligible.

I think it has something to do with there not being a director of photography. There isn’t actually any individual to nominate. There would have to be a different category for best animation (not animated film).

I agree with you though. Some of Pixar’s best frames ever.

[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203947792

Keep seeing Pete Docter’s name misspelled. Just a reminder it’s not spelled like ‘doctor’ the profession.

Anyway, I think Soul could legit be competition for Nomadland. I mean, why not? I think it’s Pixar’s best shot at winning in years. The Inside Out and Coco snubs doesn’t make it feel like the most hopeful bet, but if Soul misses it’d be a true shame. I think it’s miles better than safer bets like Mank, Ma Rainey, or Trial of The Chicago 7.

Shame Docter’s ineligible for best director. Deserves it.

[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203947664

Not sure about everyone else, but Wolfwalkers and Soul are possibly my #1 & #2 films of the year so far (haven’t seen Minari or Nomadland yet…). I’d be very happy to see either of them win this category, and I’m hoping at least one gets a BP nom.

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[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203943806

Caelin_Cripps wrote:

1. The Trial of the Chicago 7 2. Mank 3. Nomadland 4. The Father 5. Promising Young Woman (Just my prediction at the moment)

I have the exact same, just flip Trial and Nomadland.

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[Hayden Joined: Nov 11th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 256 View Predictions]

#1203941917

I have to admit, I haven’t seen Minari— does it have less English than something like Inglourious Basterds, The Two Popes, or Babel?

EDIT: Or hell, Borat 2?

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