Forum Replies Created
December 4, 2019 at 1:58 pm #1203217077
If Comedy Actress ends up being this five then I think this would maybe my favorite awards category EVER:
And I know that this is the wrong thread, but don’t doubt it, once she collects her Golden Globe trophy, Oscarfina is happening…December 4, 2019 at 1:37 pm #1203217054
Interesting to see Better Things popping up. While the directing was great, I found season three on a whole very disappointing.December 3, 2019 at 3:03 pm #1203214486
“Alita: Battle Angel”
“Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw”
“Ford v Ferrari”
“Jumanji: The Next Level”
“The Lion King”
“Men in Black: International”
“Spider-Man: Far from Home”
“Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker”
“Terminator: Dark Fate”
The Lion King
Star Wars: The Rise of SkywalkerNovember 28, 2019 at 10:57 pm #1203207640
Sorry to burst your bubble, but even if eligible, Jean-Baptiste probably wouldn’t have been nominated given how “Homecoming” fared at the Emmys. And Ross probably wouldn’t get in either since the competition next year is STACKED and “Pose” was only able to get in Billy Porter this year.
I totally get that. Neither of them really stood/stand a chance, but I guess I’m just more sad at the whole idea and principle of it.
Just the idea in general that these clearly smaller guest roles have to compete against people who were sometimes (at least in the cases of people like Newton and Gilpin) essentially co-leads in their shows, people who can get a big share of eight to ten to thirteen hours of screen time, just makes me disappointed.
I know that there’s no answer to the problem and that categories can’t be tailored to each situation / show / performance, but it’s sad. Sorry, I’ll try not to complain about it anymore, c’est la vie.November 28, 2019 at 10:41 pm #1203207634
The guest eligibility rules definitely need to be changed, though. The fact that the wonderful Marianne Jean-Baptiste was forced to compete in supporting for Homecoming this year because she made a thirty-second voice cameo is absolutely ridiculous.
I believe that eligibility should be changed to “appearing in NO MORE THAN 50% of episodes” and/or that shows should be allowed to submit certain situations for review (basically those involving voice-only or non-speaking cameos). Am I pulling a Guest right now? Maybe. But the guest rules are a little forked up and need some more tweaking.
It really bums me out, though, that Angelica Ross was in 6/10 episodes. It’s so disappointing seeing as how she should be WINNING guest but doesn’t even have a shot at being nominated in supporting.November 28, 2019 at 1:16 pm #1203207180
According to the tea, in Bombshell she has a clip, but everything else is MEH. So that’s probably why they didn’t nominate her for it.
She has two GREAT scenes, and everything else is a lot more understated. It’s still a great performance, just not quite as flashy as those two scenes. However, if the clip you’re talking about is the same scene I’m thinking about, then it could really secure her a win. It’s the finest piece of acting in the movie, and it’s by far the scene with the biggest emotional weight.
I don’t know, what i have read is that she has the emotional weight and heavy role, but we’ll just have to wait and watch the film.
She’s the emotional center of the movie. Kelly and Carlson aren’t always the most relatable or likable characters, but Robbie has the most empathetic character out of all of them. That’s why I think she’s the closest to the win out of all three of them, just because she doesn’t play a real person, and Kayla is much easier to connect with over the other two.November 27, 2019 at 10:08 pm #1203206691
Do you think Kidman could sneak in?
I do. It all depends on how well-received Bombshell is overall, but if voters like it, then I could definitely see her sliding in. I’m not predicting her at the Oscars yet, but I think she’ll get in at the Globes, just because Bombshell seems very much like the type of movie that the Globes will adore, and Kidman is a favorite of theirs (they nominated her for Destroyer when almost nobody else did). I think she’s just on the outside pretty much everywhere else, but if Bombshell lands well then I think she’s solidly on her way.November 27, 2019 at 11:22 am #1203206082
Robbie is nothing short of stunning in Bombshell. By far the best part of the movie. I could see her getting nominated for OUATIH if Bombshell didn’t exist, but I don’t see anyone watching both movies and giving OUATIH the vote over her objectively better work. She’s a threat to WIN for Bombshell, trust me on this one.November 26, 2019 at 11:48 pm #1203205453
Predicted winners (with could-wins in parentheses)
SERIES: Succession (The Crown)
The hype around Succession just seems to be way too huge for it to lose (at least right now). It’ll be aided by a new season airing around voting, and it seems to be generating the most pure buzz (from both critics and the public), Fleabag-style. The Crown will likely be a juggernaut in both nominations and wins, and it’ll be a tight race, but I see Succession winning out. However, this category is extremely ripe for a surprise new contender.
LEAD ACTRESS: Olivia Colman (Nicole Kidman)
I think this is solidly Colman’s. She’s getting raves all around, and she’s one of the hottest names in Hollywood right now. Everyone else is fighting for second place, but if for some reason Colman is “cancelled” or in some freak accident becomes ineligible, Kidman could be a threat.
LEAD ACTOR: Jeremy Strong (Brian Cox)
Yeah, yeah, I know there’s the whole “first and final season” stat, but I think it’ll be broken this year. There doesn’t seem to be any major first-time contenders, and unless Malek somehow lands Mr. Robot back in the conversation, nothing is having a big finish this year. It’ll be a battle of the Succession men, and I see it tipping towards Strong, who’s probably the face of the show more than anyone else.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Helena Bonham Carter (Meryl Streep)
This one will be very close. I think this category really is up to how much of a juggernaut The Crown really ends up being, but I think Carter has the edge here. She’s well-respected and talented, and Margaret is the kind of character that voters are going to award eventually. Streep is massive, and it seems stupid to bet against her, especially as she would be (in my opinion) a very deserved win, but I really believe that Dern may have been a little too good this season and will steal votes.
SUPPORTING ACTOR: David Harbour (Aaron Paul)
I honestly really don’t know what to make of this category. I’m putting O’Connor in guest for now (still keeping a slot open for him here), and most contenders don’t seem like especially strong attractors for a trophy. The defaulting to Dinklage the past two years shows that the Emmys aren’t too passionate about any of these guys, either. I could really see this going to a new contender, and Paul seems like the most obvious choice, but I’m not confident predicting him until we see the new season of Westworld and what he’s working with. Harbour seems like the safe bet right now. He’s a very likable character and actor, and the Emmys still haven’t given a major award to Stranger Things yet, so this could be how they reward the show. However, this is the weakest category as of right now.
SERIES: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (The Good Place)
A Maisel repeat seems like a safe bet. I could see Breeders or Run swooping in, but I don’t feel ready to predict either for a win until we’ve seen a little more from them. Yes, it was snubbed in writing last year, but that seems like a random fluke if there ever was one. I believe it would have won directing again if Fleabag hadn’t been sweeping, and a whopping four acting wins is nothing to scoff at. The Good Place could become the cool, popular vote winner as a farewell gift, but it doesn’t seem to have the same all-around passion Maisel does (and it’ll likely be rewarded in other categories).
LEAD ACTRESS: Catherine O’Hara (Kirsten Dunst)
Catherine O’Hara is a legend, and she’s the face of Schitt’s Creek, so if the show will be rewarded anywhere, it’s here. Everyone seems to love her in this show and just as an overall person, and she’s never won a major Emmy before, so this could be her moment. However, Dunst could be a passion pick. She’s got the critical love, and Showtime can campaign lead comedy performers if nothing else, so I think her biggest obstacle is just getting eyes and buzz on her show. And if Dunst plays up how severely underappreciated she’s been in the industry, she could get a ton of sympathy votes to get her her first big award.
LEAD ACTOR: Ted Danson (Hugh Laurie)
Comedy this year really does seem to be pointing towards big legends getting their gold. The Emmys will probably want to give The Good Place at least one big trophy before it leaves, and this seems like the most logical place (unless Rudolph gets amazing content in the last couple episodes, she seems very vulnerable to someone overtaking her). However, Laurie doesn’t have a single Emmy, and I’m waiting until we hear more from Avenue 5, but he seems like an extremely likely pick as well.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Gwyneth Paltrow (D’Arcy Carden)
I really have no idea what’s going on here. Most of the safe bets for nominations (Borstein, Hinkle, Gilpin, McKinnon) don’t seem to have any shot at a win, and all of the probable winners seem to have an equal chance of being snubbed. I’m putting Paltrow as a placeholder for now (strong performance, often named as the highlight of the show, big and popular name, next season likely premiering at a great voting time), but if the Emmys don’t like The Politician overall, then she’ll probably even miss out on a nomination. Carden is the Comer-type wild card here who will have to battle to be nominated but could actually take it on pure likability and performance quality if she makes it in. But look out for Daisy Haggard!
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Dan Levy (Tony Shalhoub)
Again, this seems fairly open. I’m predicting Dan Levy right now just because he’s also very likable and is sort of the genius mind behind Schitt’s Creek. He could be a Bill Hader who’s more rewarded for what he’s done as a creator overall (though his performance is admittedly much, much weaker than Hader’s). But Shalhoub also seems likely to just become a repeat.
(I have no idea what’s going on here but I’m gonna make random shots in the dark because I can.)
SERIES: Mrs. America (Little Fires Everywhere)
LEAD ACTRESS: Cate Blanchett (Reese Witherspoon)
LEAD ACTOR: Mark Ruffalo (Hugh Grant)
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Kerry Washington (Sarah Paulson)
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Tituss Burgess (Donald Sutherland)November 26, 2019 at 3:31 pm #1203204879
Comedy supporting actress is really baffling me. Alex Borstein seems like the easy answer, but I just don’t really know if I can see anyone going three wins in a row with how the Emmys have been awarding lately. Gilpin would be very deserved, but unless GLOW returns in full, she’ll be lucky to just get nominated. They don’t seen to adore McKinnon quite as much anymore, but no one else from SNL has the strength to overcome. Could it possibly be Hinkle’s year? She’s the only major cast member (other than poor Zegen) who hasn’t won, but I really just don’t know if she’ll manage to collect more votes than Borstein. Rose is great, and her character got a lot more interesting in season two, but she just doesn’t have the same level of fun that Susie has. I really hope they don’t just default to a Lange win. Carden will be lucky just to be nominated. The only big contender left is Paltrow, which would be a good win, but I just don’t know if I can see it…
Thoughts, anyone?November 24, 2019 at 6:00 pm #1203201117
(I still haven’t seen a lot of older movies, sorry whoops)
A – Arrival
B – Booksmart
C – Clue
D – Doubt
E – The Edge of Seventeen
F – Ferris Bueller’s Day Off
G – Gone Girl
H – The Handmaiden
I – Inside Out
J – Jurassic Park
K – Knives Out
L – Lady Bird
M – Martha Marcy May Marlene
N – Nightcrawler
O – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (I feel pretty meh about this but all my other O movies I like less so)
P – The Princess Bride
Q – A Quiet Place
R – Raiders of the Lost Ark
S – The Silence of the Lambs
T – Thelma & Louise
U – Up
V – Vice (I hate this movie but again, no good other V movies)
W – When Harry Met Sally…
X – X-Men: Days of Future Past
Y – You Were Never Really Here (didn’t love this, but it’s better than Yesterday)
Z – ZootopiaNovember 24, 2019 at 4:23 pm #1203200872
This first half of the season was absolutely wonderful. Can’t say I was disappointed by a single episode.November 23, 2019 at 3:20 pm #1203199092
The selective blindness on this site when it comes to late-breaking movies is just so funny to me.
Little Women and Bombshell, two buzzy movies already collecting acclaim from previously awards-friendly creators with multiple Oscar-nominated performers are supposedly premiering too late to be serious contenders, but 1917 and Richard Jewell are exempt from that concept? It’s just exhausting to see some of the hypocrisy here (especially surrounding a lot of female-centered movies).