[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204249851

Her Lion in Winter performance is just one of my favorite performances from anyone, point blank. But some of her other performances I’m obsessed with are Bringing Up Baby, Long Day’s Journey Into Night, and Summertime.

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[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204247621

Wow, quite a shocking elimination from Down Under. But honestly can’t say it was unfair, from the Snatch Game to the runway (which she got too much credit for IMO) and then that boring lip sync (not that it was the best song choice).

But the best part was from all the drama at the end. Right down to the “soz bitch” from the queen who got to shante. 😂

Honestly I know a lot of international viewers seemed a lot more sensitive to Etcetera’s Lindy Chamberlain, but, tragic as that situation was, I thought she was able to make fun of the cultural legacy of that moment in the years since then in a way that didn’t make it seem as personal or literal to the underlying incident.

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[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204244004

braydenfitzsimmons wrote:

The Salesman (2016) and Icarus (2017)

I think The Salesman benefited from heldover respect for A Separation and its main competition being Toni Erdmann, which is simply not an Oscar vehicle. Though the added headlines from the travel ban definitely helped secure that win, I think voters also just happen to like him.

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[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204243971

Going by career longevity, Spike Lee has been overdue for the longest going back to Do the Right Thing, which I would also argue is the most significant artistic achievement between anyone included in the poll.

Outside of the poll, of all the living legends in the world who didn’t make this list, some notable examples for me include Víctor Erice, Todd Haynes, Charles Burnett, Terrence Malick, Pedro Almodóvar, Hayao Miyazaki, Wong Kar-wai, Hou Hsiao-hsien, Mike Leigh, and many more.

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[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204221374

Anyways, I went with If Anything Happens I Love You, Colette for the Holocaust factor, and Feeling Through for Live Action.

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[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204221372

colinpowis wrote:

It’s simply a FACT that he was arrested for trying to pass off bogus $20 Bills , so I’m not ”speculating on anything” ; moreover, I refuse to be spoonfed a pack of lies by the usual suspects ; occording to the B-L-M morons he was ”simply going to a grocery store” !

No one should die over counterfeit $20 bills. You’d think this would be a no-brainer for any normal person with a basic sense of decency.

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[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204206274

Female:
1. Maria Falconetti, The Passion of Joan of Arc
2. Nargis, Mother India
3. Isabelle Adjani, Possession
4. Bibi Andersson, Persona
5. Katharine Hepburn, The Lion in Winter
6. Anna Magnani, L’amore
7. Delphine Seyrig, Jeanne Dielman
8. Giulietta Masina, Nights of Cabiria
9. Bette Davis, Now, Voyager
10. Vivien Leigh, Gone with the Wind

Male:
1. Dirk Bogarde, The Servant
2. Ralph Fiennes, Schindler’s List
3. Takashi Shimura, Ikiru
4. Peter Sellers, Dr. Strangelove
5. Laurence Olivier, Richard III
6. Albert Dieudonné, Napoléon
7. Marlon Brando, On the Waterfront
8. Charles Chaplin, The Great Dictator
9. Denzel Washington, Malcolm X
10. Buster Keaton, The General

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[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204206247

I think I’m gonna have to move Carey third and Frances second. I think a lot of voters might assume Frances won’t win another Oscar so soon but just happen to think she gave the best performance in the category. Still, though, the buzz seems to only be benefitting Viola above everyone else (I think Andra needed more nominations for her film to convince me, at least one).

[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204201648

Ryusei wrote:

Could the makeup and hairstyling nom be telling for a Viola win? We know they looove their transformations.

There is definitely a pattern in makeup overlapping with acting lately, but it really depends on the competition each year (didn’t mean much with Bombshell, for example).

[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204189389

Riley Chow wrote:

I have McDormand because when BAFTA cannot align with the Oscars, they go with the London Film Critics’ Circle (Rachel Weisz, Kate Winslet, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Bakhad Abdi).

I am literally losing sleep right now over documentary.

I honestly think My Octopus Teacher is sweeping at this point forward.

[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204189387

schmids wrote:

It’s satire, and given that just last year the Academy awarded someone playing a murderer I don’t think the character’s chosen subject will be too much of an issue.

And I would say they’re both Lead.

And I would also guess that many Academy voters are familiar with the source material itself (a lot more than many posters here, anyways) and are open to being receptive to it so long as he pulls it off.

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[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204189374

ENGLAND wrote:

Globes are legendary. Yes, they may be problematic in some areas, but, they are legendary.

For all the wrong reasons. I mean, didn’t we just get reports this year that they’ve always been a racist, exclusionary, corrupt organization full of rich “journalists” (vast majority haven’t worked in many years)?

You can’t take away any particular guild award from the industry, so SAG stays (I just wish they hadn’t included the AFTRA members when they combined). The Critics Choice Awards hopefully will be defunct not too long from now. I don’t mind the Indie Spirits, they’ve been a valuable resource for independent film artists that’s enriched the culture since they began.

[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204188221

AayaanUpadhyaya wrote:

Quoting Luca from the previous thread

THANK YOU.

I find this international voters blocking to be ridiculous. I mean, how can you potentially club voters from England, voters from South Korea, and voters from India (there are at least 100 Indian academy voters, at the very least!) in the same group?

Indian voters can vote for Davis or Day just as easily as they can vote for Carey. I mean sure, voters in UK will probably vote for Carey (some might vote for Kirby too), but then again there are also black voters in UK, there are Asian voters in UK, nationality and ethnicity is not the same.

Clubbing international voters as one monolith is completely ridiculous.

The same way people talk about “the black vote” splitting as if it’s monolithic.

[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204187330

Are international users here really so ignorant about race in America? Not every black voter will just vote for the black nominees without any white support (otherwise no black people would have won!).

If Davis and Day split the vote it’s because they’re both playing iconic blues singers, not because black voters don’t know who to choose. Jesus, y’all, just at least try not to sound like such idiots.

[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 189 View Predictions]

#1204187321

Victor Cruz wrote:

Now if McDormand wins BAFTA. She could split the British and international vote with Mulligan while Andra and Davis split the black vote and it’ll be an interesting race.

That’s not how any of this works!