[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203342605

It’s still the highest rated awards show and the highest rated non-sporting live show on TV.

Everything on TV has lower ratings now. I don’t know why the Oscars are the only ones who should change but they don’t say the same thing to the Grammys which have even LOWER ratings than the Oscars this year.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203341191

No. I will say it will become obsolete once the Oscar Best Picture nominee slate is averaging 50% non-English language films for a few years. Only then will I say, yeah, we can do away with the International Feature Film category now.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203341186

Why was DGA *and* PGA wrong this year? I think the more international Academy membership MAY have pushed Parasite over the edge. DGA and PGA are largely American.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203321189

Pretty sure it’s the In Memoriam. She has a couple of songs that would be appropriate.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203317777

Anthony 🐜 wrote:

What POC actors could possibly have been added to Little Women,

I read an article that suggested Laurie could have been cast as a POC and not detract too much from the story since he was described in the book as having brown skin and is a bit of an outsider. Someone of part Latino or part-Asian ancestry could have played and they don’t have to change a thing.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203303695

Keth wrote:

Can he even sing?

Yes.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9sKLg9S2T2I

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203301883

I think him and Lucas Hedges could do it. They only have four more years to do it though. Right behind them are Jacob Tremblay and Noah Jupe who have more time to be able to do it.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras]

#1203296041

Lil Tony wrote:

The question is Why didn’t Pan’s Labyrinth win best foreign language film despite winning in three other categories?

That was during a time when there’s a rule that only Academy members who have seen ALL the Foreign Film candidates in special, designated screenings can vote in the category. This rule has resulted in quite a number of upsets in this category. And again, a lot the members who have time to do this are usually old and white so they have a largely specific taste.

Apart from Pan’s Labyrinth, there’s Amelie which despite being nominated in multiple categories including Best Screenplay still lost to No Man’s Land in Foreign Language. Pretty sure both of these would’ve made it to Best Picture if they had the expanded slate in their respective years.

• This reply was modified 9 months ago by Irvin Malcolm Contreras.
• This reply was modified 9 months ago by Irvin Malcolm Contreras.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203291287

sofan wrote:

Since it is for fun, let’s go for it.

The rich family
Jake Gyllenhaal – The Husband
Michelle Dockery – The Wife
Thomasin McKenzie – The Daughter
Archie Yates – The Son

The poor family
Willem Dafoe – The Husband
Laurie Metcalf – The Wife
Elle Fanning – The Daughter
Patrick Schwarzenegger – The Son

Annette Bening – Former Housemaid
Bill Camp – Former Housemaid’s Husband

I think if you HAVE to remake Parasite in America, race and racism should be layered into the story to justify the remake. One of these families should be cast with people of color.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203285216

Meryl Streep.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203273101

For those trying to predict this, out of nowhere surprise nominees are nominees little to no precursor support that pop up in the nominations list. They come in three forms that sometimes overlap:

1. COATTAIL NOMINEES – These are nominees from a Best Picture or a Best Acting front-runner that were brought along for the ride. These nominees make sense since voters were already watching the films and they voted them in.

Past examples: Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart), Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook), Marina de Tavira (Roma), Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street).

Possibilities this year: Song Kang-ho and Cho Yeo-jeong (Parasite), Anna Paquin (The Irishman), Thomasin McKenzie (Jojo Rabbit).

2. THE RESPECTED VETERAN – Voters sometimes vote for who they know and who they already like. “Oooh! So-and-so is great in this! I love him/her.”

Past examples: Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate), Tommy Lee Jones (In the Valley of Elah), Laura Dern (Wild).

Possibilities this year: Alfre Woodard (Clemency), Alan Alda (Marriage Story), Eddie Murphy (Dolemite is My Name)

3. THE LATE BREAKERS – Nominees from films that were on the hunt for a couple of nominations and are on the bubble but when nominations came out, the Academy liked the films more than expected bringing in some surprise nominations along the way.

Past examples: “City of God”‘s nominations, Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread) and Benh Zeitlin for Director.

Possibilities this year: Nominations in various categories for “Uncut Gems”, “The Farewell”, “Portrait of a Lady on Fire”.

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203267476

Cynthia Erivo is British so her missing BAFTA isn’t a good sign for her Oscar nom.

[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203254565

John Mulaney and the Sack Lunch Bunch is one of the best, more awesome things on Netflix right now. If you haven’t seen it, you’re missing out. It definitely deserves all the Emmys: Pre-Taped Variety Special, Directing, Writing, at least two nominations in the Original Music & Lyrics category, Choreography and, I’m not kidding, Supporting Actor in a Miniseries/Movie for Jake Gyllenhaal. I’m not 100% sure if he’s in it enough to qualify since he appears for like maybe 6 or 7 minutes but he is friggin’ hilarious. He would be a deserving nominee.

[Irvin Malcolm Contreras Joined: Nov 25th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 95 View Predictions]

#1203239311

I’ve seen 15 of the entries (17 if you count the two films that were disqualified). The ones who will getting my top five vote would be:

1. South Korea
2. Brazil
3. Spain
4. Russia
5. Japan

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[Irvin Malcolm Contreras]

#1203239181

My list:

CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
CAROL
PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE
MOONLIGHT
THE HANDMAIDEN
A FANTASTIC WOMAN
THE FAVOURITE
THE DUKE OF BURGUNDY
STRANGER BY THE LAKE
BLUE IS THE WARMEST COLOR

• This reply was modified 10 months, 1 week ago by Irvin Malcolm Contreras.
• This reply was modified 10 months, 1 week ago by Irvin Malcolm Contreras.

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