[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204182912

As McKenzie stan, i would love to see her pack at least a couple of nominations. She is kinda remind me of Jennifer Lawrence and Rooney Mara

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[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204180599

Isabelle Furhman

Dakota Fanning

Anna SophiaRobb

Zoey Deutch

Logan Lerman

Famke Janssen

Jason Isaacs

 

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[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204174851

kaziz wrote:

Underestimating Thomasin McKenzie and Frances Conroy in The Power of the Dog—they’re great supporting parts and if the film hits for BP, Dunst, Cumberbatch, Plemons, there’s really no reason either McKenzie or Conroy couldn’t make it. I say Conroy in addition to McKenzie because based on the book Conroy has the bigger part but I’m pretty sure Campion is making McKenzie’s role bigger than in the book because there’s no way McKenzie would be in a cameo role. Besides—Thomasin McKenzie seems super ripe for recognition. Also, this is why Dunst can’t go supporting. Why would they want to put 3 actresses in supporting, especially when Dunst is a co-lead?

I just realized that Both Campion and McKenzie are Kiwis.

 

She has already recognized for Jojo Rabbit and Leave No Trace, though.

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[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204165745

wolfali wrote:

Someone asked about why there is some confidence around The Power of the Dog and whilst a large part of the reason is the pedigree, I think what’s worth baring in mind is what Gorman said about Netflix. Since 2018 they’ve had at least one Best Picture nominee (Roma, The Irishman, Marriage Story, The Trial of the Chicago 7, Mank) and each of those films has been from a previously nominated/winning director or a director with a well received body of work. Jane Campion is one of the few female auteurs to have been nominated for an Oscar, she has an Oscar herself and she has a strong enough narrative to return to the Oscars. This film is eyeing a Venice premiere so unless it flops critically like The Laundromat, the assumption should be made that Netflix either has confidence in the film or that they’re planning to use Venice as a springboard to campaign the film. At this stage I understand the scepticism behind The Power of the Dog but honestly if you’re not predicting it, you should be predicting at least two of Don’t Look Up, The Haarder They Fall and Unforgiven. And personally I’m not confident in the latter two outside of acting, screenplay and (in the case of The Harder They Fall) some of the technicals. Whilst Unforgiven will deliver baity material for the actors, I think it will have to be visually experimental like Nora Fingscheidt’s last film to break into Picture or Director and I’m not confident that The Harder They Fall‘s director will be able to crack the lineup with such an unknown name. I think what should be stressed is that whilst this year was an anomalous one, the Oscars are still largely a studio game. The days of Harvey Weinstein may be gone but the Oscars are very regulated. Occasionally you’ll have your occasional A24 or Neon film when those distributors put in a campaign and you’ll see something from Sony Pictures Releasing break in if the land a big director like Gerwig and Tarantino. However the big studios who almost always land at least one Best Picture nomination are Searchlight, Focus/Universal, Netflix and Warner Brothers. 20th Century Studios is another one that tends to do well. It’s why at least one of The French Dispatch and Nightmare Alley are more than likely getting a Best Picture nomination unless the reviews are complete trash like Hillbilly Elegy. Searchlight is the studio equivalent of Meryl Streep at the Oscars. It’s almost like they own them lol. If they can get something as divisive as Jojo Rabbit in, you can be sure they can get almost anything in. Same with Focus/Universal. At least one of Dear Evan Hansen, Last Night in Soho, The Card Counter and The Northman will receive a Best Picture nomination. And you can be sure that at least one of them (especially one of the latter three) will get acting nominations. Something like Don’t Worry Darling wouldn’t have stood a strong chance with a distributor like Bleecker Street but if it’s good and Warner Bros. campaigns for it, then it should stand a strong chance.

Jojo rabbit is a massive audience hit.

 

Also on separate note the small part of my mind think that Soho could turned out to be another Neon Demon (which competed in Cannes, with all the aesthethics but Bizzare script and so on) but then i realized that Winding Refn just made and write another garbage movie (Only God Forgives) before making Neon Demon, which he wrote by himself while for Soho we have Edgar Wright and the Writer of 1917 wrote the movie (Wright is a good/great writer)

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204165147

<p style=”text-align: left;”>This whole David O Russell thing put Christian Bale and Margot Robbie in a huge disadvantage, yet its giving a huge leverage for Anya Taylor Joy lol</p>

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204164935

8⁸

fefface wrote:

Spotted on AW, apparently from a Reddit thread: ‘My husband is working on a Christian Bale film right now and the director has told the crew several times that they aren’t making a movie, they’re making an Oscar submission. So silly and stupid and pretentious. Especially because this crew has worked on several Oscar winners already without that ever being their specific goal.’ Obvs this is about Amsterdam. How embarrassing if true.

Link for a reddit thread please

wolfali wrote:

Imagine if this film gets Hillbilly Elegy type reviews lol.

Expect worse, Collateral Beauty might be a better comparison

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204162225

<p style=”text-align: left;”>The whole discussion about Dont Worry Darling and Florence Pugh chances for Oscars is getting really interesting. I will lose my shit if the Best Actress (and to the extent, picture) race will ended up in Showdown between Pugh(and Dont Worry Darling) and McKenzie (and Soho)</p>

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204161969

kaziz wrote:

 On a side note, how the fuck did Shymalan’s OLD get such a fantastic cast?!? Like…….how?

Shyamalan currently has return in form (Split,Glass and Servant) but Vicky Krieps already looked like a Razzie contender in that movie based on the Super Bowl TV Spot. She reminds me so much of Mark Wahlberg and Zoey Deschanel in The Happening. The rest is… okay perhaps???

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204161914

kaziz wrote:

Good/bad thing they both have multiple projects. At least Anya’s bids may be split up into lead and supporting. But McKenzie seems supporting both in SoHo and The Power of the Dog. She could get in for whichever is deemed stronger as long as vote-splitting doesn’t kill her chances.

McKenzie is the main lead in Soho, like Di Caprio in OUATIH or Edward Norton in Fight Club. Taylor-Joy, on the other hand, are supporting in all of her “Oscars” Projects

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204161886

I think if Soho become an acting player and both McKenzie and Taylor-Joy getting buzz we will have Natalie Portman-Mila Kunis situation where both are getting buzz yet one of them will be snubbed, but in this case it will be other way round

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204159077

Im baffled on how people still using Hereditary as comparison to Soho. Hereditary is a straight Supernatural Horror while Soho is more of Psychological Horror. Hereditary also lacks of Period aesthethics.

 

I just stand and watch as GD lost their shit when Anya earn a nom(or even win) for Soho

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204158374

wolfali wrote:

Anya Taylor-Joy could win. All the signs seem to be indicating her role is particularly showy in Last Night in Soho and she might be at the centre of the buzz if it goes anywhere. However I feel like she’ll suffer not only from the fact that many will see her as “the welcome to the club nom” but also that Diana Rigg may attract attention in S. Actress if she has a particularly juicy role as its her final on screen performance. I know Taylor-Joy is winning an Emmy which will likely help her with buzz but still.

Im waiting for everyone to thrash her in GD forums because she win over what so called Better performances lol

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204157573

Melvinezq wrote:

At least I barely can see Kristen Stewart in her. That must be a good sign.

At this point lets hope this wont be another Naomi Watts’ Diana but NGL i will laugh hard if This, Blonde and other Biopics led by Women this year flopped hard and we get some unexpected/under the radar performer earlier competing for Best Actress instead likw Vanessa Kirby and Carey Mulligan (??)

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204154520

wolfali wrote:

I’m the other way round. The Northman seems too much like inaccessible indie horror fare whilst Last Night in Soho seems more like a potential crowd pleaser.

The Northman doesnt sound like a horror movie at all. Its sounds like Gladiator but in Nordic.

And im team Soho anyway

[Jajajajjaja Joined: Oct 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 228 View Predictions]

#1204153912

Soho gets all the attention for some reasons:

Edgar Wright

Flashy 1960s London aesthetics

Two of the buzziest ingenues (Anya Taylor Joy and Thomasin McKenzie)

Its Psychological Horror that is more embraced recently (Get Out and Black Swan)

 

Maybe ive mentioned it multiple times but Baby Driver and Wright himself was one step away from Picture and Directing nomination because of Kevin Spacey