Forum Replies Created
January 28, 2022 at 10:40 am #1204756750
Goldderby is rallying behind Colman at this point, but when she losses stem, probably next month, they will claim Chastain is the frontrunner, and so on until Hopkins calls Kidman’s name.January 28, 2022 at 10:37 am #1204756744
Why are we doing all calculations whereas the frontrunner is spelled out clearly: her name is Nicole Kidman (most hated actress on Goldderby), Colman, Gaga, Chastain will be nominated with that 5th spot for grab. End of story.January 28, 2022 at 10:28 am #1204756737
The Oscar voting system is so weird. I created a simulation system to see which is more important having more community votes overall or more #1 votes (community votes meaning any vote 1-5). The chances are weighed random chances. And there are 1.3k+ voters in the simulation. Olivia Colman and Lady Gaga were both #1 and #2 respectively in community votes and #1 votes. They were the first to qualify for a nomination in that order. But it still took 9 rounds of elimination for the first nomination to happen, and 3 qualifed by virtue of all other contenders being eliminated, which is crazy. Community votes total: #1 votes total: And final nominees: In this particular simulation, Colman and Gaga were both leading in community votes and #1 votes. So they were safe for a nomination. Tessa Thompson was 3rd in #1 votes but 6th in community votes. That still allowed her to be the 3rd to qualify for a nomination. Jessica Chastain was 3rd in community votes but 7th in #1 votes and that made her miss at round 9. Nicole Kidman was 4th in community votes and 5th in #1 votes. She made it. Jennifer Hudson was 5th in community votes and 6th in #1 votes. She made it. Kristen Stewart was 4th in #1 votes, but 7th in community votes. She missed. The next step for me, is to have the computer run a thousand simulation of these and generate statistics. But for now it seems that the takeaway is you need a balance between community votes and #1 votes. If you have many #1 votes but far behind in community votes, you can still miss.
In your dream, Kidman gets fifth under #1 granted vote.January 28, 2022 at 9:09 am #1204756500
In some ways, I feel like one can juxtapose both Kidman and Stewart’s careers — starting off in high profile celebrity relationships, to being tabloid regulars and to being auteur muses regardless of the project outcome. The parallels are there. Highly enjoyed Nicole Kidman and Kristen Stewart’s Actors on Actors conversation. There’s a certain level of mutual admiration that they have for each other. Hope they can work (for real) on a project somewhere along the road.
I don’t compare the two, big difference. Stewart started the conversation – as usual – with the F word, and showed disrespect before saying: “oh, hi, how are ya?”. Fans like her because they relate to her manners, hippie don’t give a shit about anything – and just be me. It’s a typical American attitude.January 28, 2022 at 9:06 am #1204756498
Also, Netflix to land 4 Best Picture films is not realistic, things are showing TLD is 4th in the pipeline after TPOTD, DLU and TTB. The Lost Daughter should fight to enter Best Picture. Another thing that could help Being The Ricardos land a Best Picture nod is the fact it is the only Amazon Studios awards Film pushed this year.
Just want to correct you, The movie called “The Lost Doll” by all viewers from different demographic groups.January 27, 2022 at 9:06 pm #1204755820
Cate Blanchette will star in the remake of BTR while Deborah Messing will star in the TV series “Being the Ricardos”.January 27, 2022 at 8:57 pm #1204755804
1- Nicole Kidman
2- Spot filler
3- Spot filler
4- Spot filler
5- Spot filler
The race is over, show me potential performances for the next year, please!January 27, 2022 at 4:20 pm #1204755367
Nicole Kidman has been consulting with her agent to raise her wage for the next movie after her heraldic Oscar win.January 27, 2022 at 9:33 am #1204753827
The topic now: when will Nicole win her 3rd Oscar to be leveled with Frances?January 27, 2022 at 9:15 am #1204753709
Y’all are not listening to what I have been saying My Queen Nicole is winning regardless of how you feel about her performance and movie.
I said she’s the frontrunner after the GG win ! watch out guys. Yesterday I said get BTR in the best picture so Nicole can win this.January 26, 2022 at 3:05 pm #1204751828
Thank God, we finally got a frontrunner: L _ _ _ _ dJanuary 26, 2022 at 3:00 pm #1204751810
No, but I wanted to say the 160,000 members are nothing alike these 1.336 people. There is some overlap, but very different bodies.
As you mentioned, some are international – one of the reasons I’ve been predicted Penelope for that fifth spot.January 26, 2022 at 2:57 pm #1204751797
I know we all have our favorites but one thing no one can deny it is Gaga winning this would be something else, imagine how beautiful would be Twitter and this forum collapsing, all the excuses, all the angry notes, specially here with the hater trolls and the ones that pretend they are not but we all know they are. And no other person can give this feeling this year except her
I can live with her winning, but not Colman for that lost doll carp screenplay.Not now