Forum Replies Created
July 7, 2020 at 6:18 pm #1203573036
Yeah, I have a lot of doubts about Minari too. If The Farewell couldn’t break through last year with all the buzz it had, I don’t think Minari will be able to this year. Box office is also key for such a small film, and if theaters do open in the fall I think Minari will get lost in the shuffle.
Critics will have to be here for it in a big way. Yeun could possibly happen in supporting if that category stays as weak as it is now, though.July 7, 2020 at 12:49 pm #1203572445
Can’t believe so many were doubting Thandie in the first place…
I think it was pretty fair to predict a Newton snub just based on competition and the fact that Westworld dropped in both quality and ratings, but now that there’s 8 slots I’d say she’s in. Still, I definitely wouldn’t call her a lock, and I wouldn’t be surprised if she didn’t show up on nomination morning.July 7, 2020 at 12:42 pm #1203572436
First look at Michelle Pfeiffer and Lucas Hedges (and Tracy Letts) in French Exit
Pfeiffer is serving. She’s coming!July 7, 2020 at 12:39 pm #1203572430
I’m strangely obsessed with Carey Mulligan’s voice lol.July 6, 2020 at 12:41 pm #1203570693
I think this is fair – but, conversely, the same can be said about the Hollywood supporting actors and Hollywood is fighting to get a spot in the series lineup so not sure why multiple actors from that show (which many are seemingly predicting) are more likely than multiple actors from Watchmen. Could be totally wrong, of course, but seems weird to me that I seem to be so alone on this limb considering most people have Watchmen in #1 or #2 for series.
Yeah, it’s tricky. I said that I don’t feel good about predicting multiple Hollywood actors because I’m not predicting it to get a series nomination or any other acting nominations but the supporting players are doing a lot of acting. Parsons is a lock and I think Mantello is a really strong bet too.
Do I think Watchmen could get an additional supporting nomination? Yeah. I don’t think you’re crazy at all for thinking that and I’m sorry that people attacked you for it lol. Like I said though, I’m struggling to see who that second or third person would be. If there was a clear favorite other than Nelson then I’d definitely be predicting them.July 6, 2020 at 9:42 am #1203570288
Watchmen has other viable contenders in supporting actor, Abdul-Mateen, Adepo, Gossett Jr., and if you are predicting it to win series, that’s where I would look (although others may disagree considering the dragging I got in the previous iteration of this thread).
It’s just, is there a consensus on who would be the second or third nominee? I feel like Nelson is the supporting player that everyone has rallied behind or agreed upon and the others have their own supporters and what not.July 6, 2020 at 9:08 am #1203570256
Have gotten to the point where I’m just saying fuck it and predicting with my gut. Slotted Normal People into the last spot in series – have LFE, Unbelievable, Watchmen and Mrs. America in as well. Took out Washington for Dever because I think Washington’s performance was more of a mixed-bag and may have its retractors. I feel pretty confident in Mescal getting in, actually, but I’m flirting with taking out Irons for Paul or Evans. Keeping Irons in for now, though. Have 4 Mrs. America ladies in with Smart and Collette – Byrne, Paulson, Martindale and Ullman. Supporting actor is killing me, though. Since I don’t have Hollywood in series, I feel weird predicting multiple actors from the show getting in but who else is there? I have Mantello with Parsons, Slattery, Turturro, Nelson and Plemons (feel like there will be some wild surprise so I’m going for him here).July 1, 2020 at 10:36 am #1203560880
Searchlight though has already a full plate with The French Dispatch and The Eyes of Tammy Faye. I wonder if they’ll just dump it to September or October, or they will prioritize it over Tammy Faye.
They’d 100% prioritize Nomadland over Tammy Faye.June 29, 2020 at 7:26 pm #1203558212
Hudson isn’t winning a second Oscar unless she gives the performance of the century, and judging by that teaser – she isn’t. She just isn’t a good actress.
Also, weird that she didn’t even attempt to sound like Aretha lol. I guess she could get nominated if the year stays this weak and if the film isn’t panned, but she’s not winning.June 29, 2020 at 7:20 pm #1203558203
Believe what you want. If anything, I’d take out Reese (but I still have 100/1 odds) over Sandra. I have had Aniston in and out – will probably find space for her again in the end – but it would be a pretty rough look for this category to be all white and I wouldn’t currently predict that, like you are.
Not the thread for it, but isn’t there some stat where the SAG winner in drama actress hasn’t missed at the Emmy’s in a loooong time. It would be weird for that stat to break considering how big of a name Aniston is, how she’s a previous winner, and she’s really acting in TMS.June 25, 2020 at 6:28 pm #1203552265
The director is a legendary Black Broadway director directing an adaption of one of August Wilson’s best plays. The role is super baity. I don’t think it’ll likely show up in a lot of other categories, but I think Viola could really win for this.
It would be crazy if she won for two August Wilson roles.
Theatre directors don’t always have success in film, though. Wolfe, himself, has already flopped multiple times.June 25, 2020 at 6:26 pm #1203552261
Many people here say Davis.
I don’t buy that, I think it’ll be between Adams and Pfeiffer.
I just don’t think Davis is due for a second so soon. She could benefit from everything that is going on in the U.S. right now, but I still don’t think the Academy would be in a rush to reward her again just a few years after she won for Fences.
The director also doesn’t inspire much confidence. I guess we’ll see how Netflix prioritizes her among their other actress contenders as well as the film itself.
I really think that Pfeiffer could be such a dark horse here. It would be SPC’s main actress push, especially if they campaign Colman in supporting, she’s overdue, and she fits the role like a glove. The only issue is if enough eyes will see the film and if they’re able to build buzz if fall festivals aren’t an option. She does benefit from a pretty empty Comedy Globes lineup, though. She’d probably be the favorite to win that as well, especially with what’s going on with West Side Story right now.
I guess we’ll have to see how things take shape as the year progresses. A lot of these films rely on fall festivals, so if they aren’t a thing then I could see some studios holding off on releasing some of their films this year.June 25, 2020 at 3:01 pm #1203552041
Yes but we know from her nomination that she has more recent popularity with actors. Especially more than Moore whose show went from a SAG ensemble win to snub.
So then her chances should be good at SAG this coming year lol!
This is just such an odd argument considering when Comer first got nominated and won an Emmy, she didn’t have a SAG nomination lol. So what is the point you’re even trying to make?June 25, 2020 at 2:43 pm #1203552014
I love how people use SAG to say Succession is not getting acting nominations but then still seem to think Viola Davis and Mandy Moore are ahead of Jodie Comer even though the latter got SAG nominated and both the former different.
Also for people who are saying that Jodie Comer is a one hit wonder who doesn’t have the performance to get a nomination what the f*ck do you think this is?
I don’t think people are saying Succession won’t get any acting nominations, I think they’re just saying that it could get the bare minimum (Cox, Jones). I’m not predicting that, but I think their predictions are valid. Succession was completely shut out at SAG. That’s definitely worrisome. The expansions in the supporting category should help get Culkin, Macfadyen, and Snook in though.
Also, Davis and Moore have both gotten nominated without hitting SAG. I think some people predicting them are just expecting Killing Eve to underperform. Comer wouldn’t be the first person to win an Emmy and then not make it the next year. Also, she was nominated for season 2 at SAG, not the season that just aired.