[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204168730

I imagine Ariana is getting Katy Perry style bucks for this. However I don’t see her staying like Katy has stayed. I could see this very much being a one off thing for Ari.

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[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204168728

rue wrote:

Olivia’s debut is supposedly 11 tracks and self-titled. Hoping she can pull through in BNA as of now

Olivia is the current front-runner for sure. And that’s helped by the fact that we don’t see anyone huge blasting onto the scene right now that could take it from her.

[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204168726

Silk Sonic sweeps the 3 main field categories, Olivia Rodrigo wins BNA. I see Megan, Billie, Cardi, Ariana, Taylor, SZA, Lana, H.E.R., Bad Bunny, Lil Nas X, St. Vincent, and Foo Fighters getting noms in the main categories along with the first 2 acts that I see sweeping the general field. Drivers License has a chance with SOTY but I see Leave The Door Open as one of the strongest ROTY contenders in a very long time. Bruno is a Grammys favorite, him not at least getting one general field win would be unexpected. I think Taylor and Billie could be victims of the BRP and get shut out due to their good performance last year. But if the musical climate stays bare I expect evermore (album) and therefore I am (song) to get in their respective main award noms with both of them having small chances of winning. Taylor getting AOTY for a 2nd year in a row and Billie getting ROTY for a 3rd year in a row would be a shock. But if the conditions this year are the same and there’s no real country/folk album to vote for, who knows. Billie’s ROTY win still baffles me though. Whereas Taylor’s AOTY made somewhat sense.

[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204168724

Lil Nas X is one of the first major examples of an actual “stan” getting famous and I imagine MANY more will come after him and get called out for similar things. He’s been able to dodge most of this without addressing it and that’s simply because the majority of the gp simply doesn’t care what he did on twitter when he was a young teen whether that’s good or bad.

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[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204168718

I see this being Taylor’s award to lose. 2 big albums, general acclaim and she’s coming off of a huge Grammys high. I expect this to go to her. Ariana is the only one I could see upsetting her win but positions wasn’t close to folklore in success or acclaim and success wise is more on par with evermore Taylor’s weaker sister album but is still leagues behind both acclaim wise. Miley could also upset but I doubt it as she isn’t as established in the UK as the previous two women I talked about. Billie upsetting would be disappointing. I don’t see how 3 singles (sub-par/average singles at best) could net you an award of this size. Same for Cardi.

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[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204168712

I’m thinking that BTR will be re-recorded. Taylor wants to own all of her work even if some of it is problematic. The GP is literally eating the song up on TikTok right now. It’s just one of the many misogynistic hits of the 2000s/early 10’s. If she doesn’t want to I support her, if she does I support her. It all frankly doesn’t matter. I also see her re-recording Permanent Marker as it’s about a girl who broke her brother’s heart according to many sources. Also it’s one of her best unreleased songs so if she doesn’t re-record it I’ll be sad.

[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204146074

M wrote:

The only lock I think is Ariana Grande, just because she has an established record of being nominated for every successful era.

evermore is also an essential lock for BPVA. I’d say Bieber is also locked because of foreseeable circumstances involving Fraudy Braun. But yeah Ariana is the only true lock for every category. Unless Billie comes along and ruins everything for her again (and that seems to be happening.)

[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204146069

rue wrote:

I really really hope we get a Fearless TV vault track on Friday with a big push. It’s time to start promoting that project now that the Grammy’s are done and it’s probably a good chance to get a top 10. CD’s, playlisting and radio deals on country and pop could secure a solid debut.

if she does CDs, playlisting and radio deals she’s debuting at #1.

[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204146062

These are my current picks. However I have a feeling the pop picks won’t be as conventional this year. Only a 2 locks per category in my eyes. Notable here is that Ariana and Justin get into all of the pop categories. And I suspect Ariana is the frontrunner in all 3. Even though evermore could easily beat positions. drivers license is also a threat to positions (single.) And I think Dua could perform an upset and beat the 34+35 remix.

Best Pop Vocal Album

1. Ariana Grande – positions (LOCK)

2. Taylor Swift – evermore (LOCK)

3. Justin Bieber – Justice

4. Unreleased album

5. Unreleased album

Dark horse picks: Dancing With The Devil, Wonder, Plastic Hearts, BE

Best Pop Solo Performance

1. Ariana Grande – positions (LOCK)

2. Billie Eilish – Therefore I Am (LOCK)

3. Olivia Rodrigo – Drivers License (Potential Lock)

4. Taylor Swift – willow

5. Justin Bieber – Lonely (or Anyone) *Scooter effect 

6. Unreleased song

Dark horse picks: We’re Good, Afterglow, Dancing With The Devil, Wonder

Best Pop Duo/Group Performance

1. Ariana Grande, Doja Cat & Megan Thee Stallion – 34+35 Remix (LOCK)

2. Justin Bieber & Chance The Rapper – Holy (or Peaches) (LOCK)

3. Dua Lipa & Da Baby – Levitating Remix

4. Unreleased song

5. Unreleased song

Dark horse picks: Mood Remix, Bang!,  Lo Vas A Olvidar, evermore (or coney island), Monster

[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204146022

I think willow is just about done. Her team is likely gearing up to push a Fearless (Taylor’s Version) single. They’ve registered songs onto Shazam for her too. Her team sees the potential chart wise right now because the points are low. All she needs is CDs and good playlisting to go #1 right now.

[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204146012

alex wrote:

btw this is random but i’m interested to hear what you guys have to say, how do you guys see taylor’s grammy wins in the future moving forward? i feel like i learnt a lot from this years ceremony in the sense that taylor is very much boxed in the pop category where she is popular enough to get nominations, but the support isn’t there for a win. like had gaga submitted a project like folklore, she would’ve swept the pop categories. but taylor couldn’t. it took everything and more for her to win one – the most important – but still just one win. she went from 10 wins in 2016 to 11 in 2021. do you guys think she’ll win much more? before the ceremony i was hoping that taylor would finish her career with at least 20 grammys but after this year i honestly don’t even know if she’ll make it to 15 :/ which makes me sad because i feel like she’s a legend that deserves at least 20. i know her 3 AOTYs are enough to write herself in the history books, but more grammy wins would really elevate her even more.

Taylor still has a long career left ahead of her and if we think about it there’s a lot of avenues she can go down to get more Grammys. Taylor is a songwriter and will probably work with other artists on projects more and more as she ages. Also she could write a book and record it to win a Spoken Word Grammy, she could also write for another movie and get a BSWFVM Grammy. While I don’t see her future (pop) projects winning at the Grammys she will for sure win more in her career. Also a lifetime achievement award will likely be her last Grammy. Also if she comes back to country and does it well she’s pick up multiple Grammys. I wouldn’t really think too hard about it though. She’s won Album of the Year 3 times which in my mind counts as more than just a Grammy. That is historic and that will be more talked about than the amount of Grammys she has in total.

[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204139394

I really doubt it tbh. Only way I could see it working is if it highlighted new artist songs? Like maybe there’ll be category like Best New Artist Song or sumn. But that’s also not a great idea.

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[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204139191

AOTY: Future Nostalgia
SOTY: everything I wanted
ROTY: Savage Remix

BNA: Phoebe Bridgers

BPVA:  folklore
BPSP: Don’t Start Now or everything I wanted
Pop Duo/Group: exile

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[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204139188

1. folklore

EASILY her best Album of the Year winner and is pretty much tied with Red for best overall. I think this album is cohesive, filler-less, and has the most thought out vision which are just some of the reasons why this is her best AOTY win.

2. 1989

While I definitely prefer Fearless to this album in my personal opinion, objectively speaking 1989 is the better album. It has a clear theme, it takes us back to 80’s synth pop but does it in a modernistic way, and it’s her first album where she knows EXACTLY what she’s going for and sticks the landing flawlessly.

3. Fearless

This is a great album and it doesn’t get the credit from people nowadays that it deserves. Fearless is not a perfect album, and it does feel slightly juvenile at times but that is what makes it beautiful. It really is just an album by a teenage girl who is still figuring herself out. The real genius of this album comes out in the ballads and self-reflective songs like The Best Day. The growth she exhibited from her debut album to this album can only be compared to her growth between Lover and folklore.

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[Jerry Joined: Sep 25th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 218 View Predictions]

#1204139177

I wonder what Taylor Swift’s next move is after these re-recordings. I think she’ll be focused on these re-recordings until early 2022 but I don’t see her wasting much time after that. I am thinking there’s 2 avenues she can go down. She can either go deeper into alternative and take out the more pop/folk aspects or she can do a U-turn and come back to pop but instead do something more along the lines of dance pop. Either way I think she’s done with the Grammy bait for at least the next 3-5 years. I think her itch to get the Academy’s approval has worn off for now. I am hoping that she does do an electric pop album because we’ve never seen her really go down that route for an entire album. And she could def throw in some electronic ballads too which would be cool. I think that’s her best bet of finally getting on the good side of US radio again which is the only thing that her career is currently lacking. I also think if she were to do an electronic pop album she could finally get that second bpva album win.