1. Sam Rockwell, Vice
2. Alan Arkin, Argo
3. Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
4. Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
5. Amy Adams, Vice

HONORABLE MENTIONS:
Robert Duvall, The Judge
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Steve Carell, Foxcatcher

So basically whoever win the Drama Globe takes the Oscar?

Boseman will also get a ton of advertising with the televised awards using his celebrity to draw interest. He’s so easily positioned to sweep. The fact that the BAFTA is probably harder to attain than the Oscar is quite interesting to me. I could also see Ahmed spoiling and Boseman suddenly generating a ton of narrative for a supporting win.

I am kind of intrigued by the opportunities that the Drama category at the Globes presents. With only Davis, McDormand, and Kirby likely locked (even though Kirby seems to be losing steam), there remains two spots to fill. Day could easily enter the race and lock up the fourth spot, which leaves room for Winslet, Adams, Moss, or Loren. There is…[Read more]

I feel like Bakalova’s move is not a good one. Sure, she is probably more likely to get a nomination in a less competitive field with less prominent names, but Bakalova’s entire narrative as a fringe nominee is centered around her obtaining nominations that were unexpected of her. Moving her from a category in which the nomination itself is the…[Read more]

Although I do feel as though BAFTA would be the awards show to snub the most BIPOC contenders, I honestly feel pretty good about all three of them making it in. Boseman’s narrative is pretty undeniable. I still see Hopkins winning here, but that doesn’t mean Boseman is any less strong than he would be otherwise. Davis’ record with the BAFTAs is…[Read more]

None of them really had any passion behind their performances though. Damon missed SAG and I highly doubt anyone will ever win an Oscar for playing Steve Jobs. Even Cranston honestly might have had more of a chance if DiCaprio’s narrative wasn’t the primary driver of the race. I would have loved to see Damon swoop in and snag the Oscar, but this…[Read more]

If DiCaprio had won in 2013, Redmayne would have pulled a Tom Hanks.

Delroy doing this well with Chadwick’s narrative in play makes me think he’s going to be the critic’s push. Hopefully that leaves enough for at least two more passion picks, since Boseman and Hopkins are locked at this point. If Oldman and someone like Hanks were to do well with the televised awards, I would be worried for Lindo, Ahmed, and Yeun…[Read more]

You all eliminated in my head, Into You, bad idea, and everytime before the tired Lizzo remix? Embarrassing.

+5 ghostin’
+5 better off
+5 goodnight n go
+5 God is a woman
-10 Good as Hell (Remix)
-5 blazed
-5 A Little More Homework

thank u, next (375)

Be Alright (204)

Good As Hell (Remix) (with Lizzo) (155)

You Can’t Stop the Beat (with M…[Read more]

Promising Young Women maintains momentum. Although I think McDormand and Davis are still slightly ahead, Mulligan’s vehicle is strong and I don’t see how she misses with this kind of praise for the picture.

So Colman is really just going to be a television awards thing?

This tangent about The Morning Show just makes me even angrier that Gugu Mbatha-Raw was so egregiously snubbed. She deserved an Emmy and didn’t even get nominated. Embarrassing. She better get an IOY win the next time she’s in contention.

+5 Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder, Season 1
+5 Jharrel Jerome, When They See Us
+3 Billy Porter, Pose, Season 1
+2 Regina King, American Crime, Season 1
-5 Claire Foy, The Crown, Season 2
-5 Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven
-5 Melissa McCarthy, Saturday Night Live, Season 42

Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder, Season 1…[Read more]

Seems odd to see the argument “she does nothing” being used against Ronan and Seyfried when Laura Dern won last year for a role that was criticized by some to be a “nothing role / performance.”

Haven’t watched Ammonite or Mank yet, but nothing performances often end up being nuanced performances that Gold Derby just wants to cancel to make the…[Read more]

Dua has enough hits for an electric medley. Would be killer if she brought out DaBaby or Miley.

Then again, Megan has Beyonce and Cardi B, who would definitely generate interest if they were announced as performers.

Kendrick and Beyonce seem like AOTY contenders. Dua Lipa is my predicted winner for SOTY / ROTY and I could see her racking up a few wins in the category if she continues to grow as an artist. If Rihanna were to come back with a smash hit, she could snag SOTY / ROTY like Adele did with Hello. I have hope that Ariana or the Weeknd could pull a win…[Read more]

+5 Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
+3 Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
+3 Helen Mirren, The Queen
+1 Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
+1 Brenda Blethyn, Secrets & Lies
+1 Julie Walters, Educating Rita
+1 Alfre Woodard, Miss Evers Boys
-5 Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
-5 Patricia Arquette, The Act
-3 Miranda Richardson,…[Read more]

I feel like this argument could easily be made for Davis or McDormand. I’m not set on a frontrunner for this race, but Kirby isn’t the only one with a demanding role. Davis’ role requires overcoming essentially the exact same obstacles you mentioned for Zellweger, with Davis’ performance having been noted by the likes of Denzel and Oprah as…[Read more]

Huh. This was really an easy win for Sarandon when looking at the narratives that year. Streep didn’t need a third, Thompson had just won and was getting another Oscar anyways, and Stone was a supporting role with the nomination being her reward. I guess Shue would’ve been the (distant) runner-up.