[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203391798

+5 A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera
-5 Daft Punk featuring Pharrell & Nile Rodgers

Daft Punk featuring Pharrell & Nile Rodgers – “Get Lucky” (582)

A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera – “Say Something” (560)

Eliminated:
47. Ariana Grande & Social House – “Boyfriend”
46. LMFAO – “Sexy and I Know It”
45. The Chainsmokers & Coldplay – “Something Just Like This”
44. Katy Perry featuring Juicy J – “Dark Horse”
43. Twenty One Pilots – “Stressed Out”
42. Zedd, Maren Morris & Grey – “The Middle”
41. Lukas Graham – “7 Years”
40. Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello – “Señorita”
39. The Chainsmokers featuring Halsey – “Closer”
38. Backstreet Boys – “Don’t Go Breaking My Heart”
37. Justin Timberlake featuring Chris Stapleton – “Say Something”
36. Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee featuring Justin Bieber – “Despacito”
35. Robin Thicke featuring T.I. & Pharrell – “Blurred Lines”
34. Imagine Dragons – “Thunder”
33. Wiz Khalifa featuring Charlie Puth – “See You Again”
32. Taylor Swift featuring Kendrick Lamar – “Bad Blood”
31. Maroon 5 featuring Wiz Khalifa – “Payphone”
30. Post Malone & Swae Lee – “Sunflower”
29. Maroon 5 – “Sugar”
28. Maroon 5 featuring Cardi B – “Girls Like You”
27. Zedd featuring Alessia Cara – “Stay”
26. Jessie J, Ariana Grande and Nicki Minaj – “Bang Bang”
25. Jonas Brothers – “Sucker”
24. Coldplay – “Paradise”
23. Justin Timberlake featuring Jay-Z – “Suit & Tie”
22. Portugal. The Man – “Feel It Still”
21. Christina Aguilera & Demi Lovato – “Fall In Line”
20. Maroon 5 featuring Christina Aguilera – “Moves Like Jagger”
19. Iggy Azalea featuring Charli XCX – “Fancy”
18. Coldplay – “A Sky Full of Stars”
17. Tony Bennett & Diana Krall – “S’Wonderful”
16. The Black Keys – “Dearest”
15. Lil Nas X featuring Billy Ray Cyrus – “Old Town Road”
14. Foster the People – “Pumped Up Kicks”
13. Gotye featuring Kimbra – “Somebody That I Used to Know”
12. Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars – “Uptown Funk”
11. Florence + the Machine – “Ship to Wreck”
10. fun. featuring Janelle Monaé – “We Are Young”
9. Sia featuring Sean Paul – “Cheap Thrills”
8. Rihanna featuring Drake – “Work”
7. Tony Bennett & Amy Winehouse – “Body and Soul”
6. Rihanna featuring Mikky Echo – “Stay”
5. Pink featuring Nate Ruess – “Just Give Me a Reason”
4. Florence + the Machine – “Shake It Out”
3. Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper – “Shallow”

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203390308

+3 Brie Larson, Room
+2 Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
-3 Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
-2 Renee Zellweger, Judy

Natalie Portman, Black Swan (42)
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine (39)

Olivia Colman, The Favourite (36)

Emma Stone, La La Land (35)

Viola Davis, Fences (34)

Allison Janney, I, Tonya (33)
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (33)
Brie Larson, Room (33)

Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave (32)

Octavia Spencer, The Help (31)
Julianne Moore, Still Alice (31)

Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk (29)

Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables (27)

Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook (26)

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl (25)
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady (25)

Renée Zellweger, Judy (23)

Melissa Leo, The Fighter (21)

Laura Dern, Marriage Story (16)

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203390305

+3 Mo’Nique, Precious
+2 Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
-3 Renee Zellweger, Cold Mountain
-2 Jennifer Connelly, A Beautiful Mind

Charlize Theron, Monster (40)
Mo’Nique, Precious (40)

Helen Mirren, The Queen (39)

Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago (35)

Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose (33)
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton (33)

Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener (32)
Nicole Kidman, The Hours (32)

Marcia Gay Harden, Pollock (30)

Cate Blanchett, The Aviator (29)
Halle Berry, Monster’s Ball (29)
Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich (29)

Jennifer Connelly, A Beautiful Mind (28)
Penélope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona (28)
Kate Winslet, The Reader (28)

Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line (27)

Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls (26)

Renée Zellweger, Cold Mountain (22)

Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby (21)

Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side (19)

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203390293

+5 Michael Fassbender, Lucas Hedges, Joe Pesci
-5 Adam Driver, Mark Ruffalo, Sam Rockwell

(JK Simmons was robbed)

Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right) (325)

Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master) (230)

Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea) (195)

Adam Driver (BlacKKKlansman) (145)

Joe Pesci (The Irishman) (120)

Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood) (119)

Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave) (117)

Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) (95)

Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals) (78)

Christian Bale (The Fighter) (48)

ELIMINATED:
50). Sam Rockwell (Vice)
49). Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
48). Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
47). Kenneth Branagh (My Week With Marilyn)
46). Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
45). Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
44). Robert Duvall (The Judge)
43). Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)
42). Nick Nolte (Warrior)
41). Sam Elliot (A Star Is Born)
40). Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
39). Ethan Hawke (Boyhood)
38). Tom Hardy (The Revenant)
37). Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close)
36). Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
35). Jeremy Renner (The Town)
34). Al Pacino (The Irishman)
33). Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)
32). Christopher Plummer (All The Money In The World)
31). Dev Patel (Lion)
30). Alan Arkin (Argo)
29). Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
28). Bradley Cooper (American Sniper)
27). Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
26). Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
25). Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)
24). Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
23). Christian Bale (The Big Short)
22). Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech)
21). Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
20). Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
19). Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
18). Edward Norton (Birdman)
17). Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)
16). Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher)
15). Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
14). Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
13). John Hawkes (Winter’s Bone)
12). Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
11). J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203390289

+5 Joe Pesci
-5 Taron Egerton (this feels wrong lol)

Joe Pesci, The Irishman (332)

Adam Driver, Marriage Story (131)

Taron Egerton, Rocketman (66)

Eliminated:
20. Al Pacino, The Irishman
19. Laura Dern, Marriage Story
18. Renée Zellweger, Judy
17. Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
16. Jamie Foxx, Just Mercy
15. Charlize Theron, Bombshell
14. Margot Robbie, Bombshell
13. Lupita Nyong’o, Us
12. Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
11. Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
10. Christian Bale, Ford v Ferari
9. Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
8. Scarlett Johansson, JoJo Rabbit
7. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
6. Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
5. Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
4. Nicole Kidman, Bombshell

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203390285

+3 Jodie Foster, The Silence of the Lambs
+2 Emma Thompson, Howards End
-3 Mira Sorvino, Mighty Aphrodite
-2 Jessica Lange, Blue Sky

Holly Hunter, The Piano (42)

Emma Thompson, Howards End (38)
Jodie Foster, The Silence of the Lambs (38)

Kathy Bates, Misery (37)

Whoopi Goldberg, Ghost (34)

Frances McDormand, Fargo (33)

Hilary Swank, Boys Don’t Cry (32)

Anna Paquin, The Piano (31)
Jessica Lange, Blue Sky (31)

Mercedes Ruehl, The Fisher King (30)
Susan Sarandon, Dead Man Walking (30)

Juliette Binoche, The English Patient (29)

Judi Dench, Shakespeare in Love (28)

Angelina Jolie, Girl, Interrupted (27)
Marisa Tomei, My Cousin Vinny (27)
Kim Basinger, L.A. Confidential (27)

Dianne Wiest, Bullets over Broadway (26)

Helen Hunt, As Good as It Gets (24)
Mira Sorvino, Mighty Aphrodite (24)

Gwyneth Paltrow, Shakespeare in Love (12)

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203387445

Washington. He has yet to give a terrible performance. He might not compare to Day-Lewis accolade-wise, but the industry doesn’t exactly award POC performers proportionately, so that doesn’t seem like a fair measure to begin with.

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203387442

Anyone who genuinely believes that an actor that has had the success that Leo has needs to avoid taking risks to stay at the top clearly doesn’t understand that Hollywood ebbs and flows regardless of the choices of the actors. Risk-taking is actually more helpful, since it can prevent type-casting. I’d say DiCaprio switching to comedy in the Wolf of Wall Street is a risk in itself, which paid off ultimately. Bale, Phoenix, and Cooper have all done it and remain consistently working and scoring nominations (or at least critical acclaim to build to nominations).

Likewise, it is not essential to follow a formulaic path of working with directors that are renowned and can “guarantee” nominations. I think if Leo were to work with someone like Jordan Peele or Katheryn Bigelow, we might see something interesting enough to nab another nomination. Limiting oneself strictly to Scorsese or Tarantino is one of the many reasons why someone as respected as De Niro didn’t score a nomination this year.

I do believe that DiCaprio has the potential to match Nicholson. He is most certainly capable of reaching ten nominations. However, he must continually star in films. Nicholson began to nab nominations essentially every two years after his sixth nomination.

Washington will definitely reach ten nominations, while Bale, Cooper, and Phoenix could get close to double digits. Driver, Fassbender, Gosling, and Redmayne could surge, but it would take a lot of consecutive nominations to even get close to reaching the aforementioned expectations.

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203387403

BICTH wrote:

she was 4th for me, and not a close one to ronan’s 3rd. the win was well received at the time but mostly because people didn’t know who else to reward, rampling who should’ve won was in a film no one saw, blanchett and jlaw already won, and people weren’t sure where ronan’s career would go from there whereas larson was already an indie favorite with short term 12, the win has not aged particularly well thanks to larson’s career choices and ronan’s growing popularity.

Kind of a ridiculous argument against Brie’s win. Although I favor Ronan this year, I still think Larson is a worthy win and her career choices post-win have nothing to do with whether she deserved to win an award in 2015 for a performance given in the same year of eligibility.

I love Ronan as much as the next cinema lover, but the hatred that her fanbase has generated around Brie Larson is obnoxious. Both gave great performances. Literally anyone in that line-up was going to be a strong winner, unless your name is Jennifer Lawrence.

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203385092

Amy Adams in American Hustle didn’t deserve a nomination. I have tried to appreciate the performance, but some of her scenes are truly cringeworthy. I understand that part of her performance is intentionally supposed to appear to be a poor portrayal, but she didn’t execute it well enough for my liking.

Tang Wei deserved a nomination in 2007. She essentially got black-balled from her home nation’s film industry to give this performance. Blanchett should have been scrapped altogether.

Judi Dench, Christian Bale, and Jessica Lange have more than one unnecessary nomination. Meryl Streep is another league in that conversation.

[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203363209

Pattinson, Moss, and Blunt are the ones that come to mind.

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203352287

+5 Brie Larson, Room
+5 Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night
+5 Natalie Portman, Black Swan
-5 Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
-5 Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
-5 Julianne Moore, Still Alice

Olivia Colman, The Favourite (135)

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn (125)
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine (125)

Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years (104)

Cate Blanchett, Carol (85)

Isabelle Huppert, Elle (84)

Emmanuelle Riva, Amour (83)

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water (75)

Saoirse Ronan, Little Women (69)

Emma Stone, La La Land (66)

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri (60)
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me (60)
Natalie Portman, Black Swan (60)

Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird (59)

Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl (45)

Judi Dench, Philomena (44)
Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night (44)

Viola Davis, The Help (41)

Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (40)

Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone (30)

Julianne Moore, Still Alice (25)

Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine (16)

Ruth Negga, Loving (15)

Margot Robbie, I, Tonya (12)

Brie Larson, Room (6)

Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole (5)

Amy Adams, American Hustle (2)

ELIMINATED:
50). Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
49). Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
48). Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
47). Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
46). Renee Zellweger, Judy
45). Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
44). Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
43). Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
42). Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
41). Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
40). Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
39). Naomi Watts, The Impossible
38). Charlize Theron, Bombshell
37). Sandra Bullock, Gravity
36). Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
35). Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
34). Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
33). Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
32). Reese Witherspoon, Wild
31). Natalie Portman, Jackie
30). Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
29). Glenn Close, The Wife
28). Meryl Streep, The Post

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203328946

2011
Album of the Year: The Suburbs
Record of the Year: Empire State of Mind
Song of the Year: Need You Now
Best New Artist: Florence + the Machine

2012
Album of the Year: 21
Record of the Year: Rolling In the Deep
Song of the Year: Rolling In the Deep
Best New Artist: Bon Iver

2013
Album of the Year: Channel Orange
Record of the Year: Somebody That I Used to Know
Song of the Year: We Are Young
Best New Artist: Frank Ocean

2014
Album of the Year: good kid, m.A.A.d city
Record of the Year: Get Lucky
Song of the Year: Royals
Best New Artist: Kacey Musgraves

2015
Album of the Year: Beyonce
Record of the Year: Chandelier
Song of the Year: Stay with Me (Dark Child version)
Best New Artist: Sam Smith

2016
Album of the Year: 1989
Record of the Year: Uptown Funk
Song of the Year: Thinking Out Loud
Best New Artist: Meghan Trainor

2017
Album of the Year: Lemonade
Record of the Year: Hello
Song of the Year: Hello
Best New Artist: Chance the Rapper

2018
Album of the Year: DAMN
Record of the Year: Humble
Song of the Year: Despacito (terrible nominees this year)
Best New Artist: SZA

2019
Album of the Year: Golden Hour
Record of the Year: I Like It
Song of the Year: Shallow
Best New Artist: H.E.R.

2020
Album of the Year: Thank U, Next
Record of the Year: Old Town Road
Song of the Year: Lover
Best New Artist: Billie Eilish

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203322674

That’s kind of a given when there is a sweep. Everyone knew that Billie was going to win everything once she started steam rolling. I’m sure most viewers got bored of hearing essentially the same speech over and over again.

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[JROCK1772Participant Joined: Jul 13th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1002 View Predictions]

#1203299599

Antonio Banderas: Pain and Glory (2019)
Leonardo DiCaprio: The Wolf of Wall Street (2013)
Adam Driver: Hungry Hearts (2014)
Joaquin Phoenix: Her (2013)
Jonathan Pryce: Carrington (1995)

Cynthia Erivo: Bad Times at El Royale (2018)
Scarlett Johansson: Marriage Story (2019)
Saoirse Ronan: Brooklyn (2015)
Charlize Theron: Monster (2003)
Renée Zellweger: Chicago (2002)

Tom Hanks: Captain Phillips (2013)
Anthony Hopkins: Silence of the Lambs (1991)
Al Pacino: Dog Day Afternoon (1975)
Joe Pesci: Goodfellas (1990)
Brad Pitt: Moneyball (2011)

Kathy Bates: Dolores Claiborne (1995)
Laura Dern: Big Little Lies (2017-)
Scarlett Johansson: Marriage Story (2019)
Florence Pugh: Lady Macbeth (2017)
Margot Robbie: I, Tonya (2017)

BONUS:
Awkwafina: The Farewell (2019)
Christian Bale: The Fighter (2010)
Taron Egerton: Rocketman (2019)
Song Kang-ho: Memories of Murder (2003 / 2005)
Jennifer Lopez: Hustlers (2019)
Lupita Nyong’o: 12 Years a Slave (2013)
Adam Sandler: Punch Drunk Love (2002)
Alfre Woodard: Miss Evers’ Boys (1997)

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