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Oscars Winners 2023

Predictions

Best Picture

  • Everything Everywhere All at Once 13/2
  • The Banshees of Inisherin 15/2
  • The Fabelmans 15/2

Best Actress

  • Cate Blanchett 69/20
  • Michelle Yeoh 7/2
  • Michelle Williams 9/2

Best Actor

  • Brendan Fraser 7/2
  • Austin Butler 37/10
  • Colin Farrell 39/10

Best Supporting Actress

  • Angela Bassett 16/5
  • Kerry Condon 39/10
  • Jamie Lee Curtis 4/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Ke Huy Quan 31/10
  • Brendan Gleeson 39/10 -
  • Barry Keoghan 9/2

Best Director

  • Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert 10/3
  • Steven Spielberg 37/10
  • Martin McDonagh 9/2

Best Song

  • RRR 16/5
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 4/1 -
  • Top Gun: Maverick 4/1

Best Documentary Feature

  • All the Beauty and the Bloodshed 17/5
  • Fire of Love 39/10
  • Navalny 4/1

Grammy Awards 2023

Predictions

Album of the Year

  • Beyonce 10/1
  • Adele 11/1
  • Harry Styles 13/1

Record of the Year

  • Adele 21/2
  • Harry Styles 11/1
  • Beyonce 23/2

Song of the Year

  • Adele 10/1
  • Harry Styles 23/2
  • Beyonce 12/1

New Artist

  • Anitta 11/1
  • Maneskin 23/2
  • Wet Leg 23/2

Pop Solo

  • Adele 6/1
  • Harry Styles 6/1 -
  • Lizzo 15/2

Pop Duo/Group

  • ABBA 11/2 -
  • Sam Smith and Kim Petras 6/1
  • Coldplay and BTS 13/2

Pop Vocal Album

  • Adele 11/2 -
  • Harry Styles 6/1
  • ABBA 7/1

Traditional Pop Album

  • Diana Ross 11/2
  • Michael Buble 13/2
  • Kelly Clarkson 7/1

Rock Performance

  • Brandi Carlile 15/2
  • Beck 9/1
  • Ozzy Osbourne 19/2

Rock Song

  • Brandi Carlile 11/2
  • Ozzy Osbourne 13/2
  • Red Hot Chili Peppers 7/1 -

Rock Album

  • Black Keys 6/1
  • Ozzy Osbourne 13/2
  • Elvis Costello and The Imposters 15/2

Alternative Music Performance

  • Arctic Monkeys 11/2
  • Wet Leg 6/1
  • Florence and the Machine 13/2

Alternative Music Album

  • Bjork 11/2 -
  • Wet Leg 6/1 -
  • Big Thief 7/1

R&B Performance

  • Beyonce 11/2
  • Jazmine Sullivan 13/2
  • Mary J. Blige feat. Anderson Paak 13/2

Traditional R&B Performance

  • Mary J. Blige 11/2
  • Beyonce 6/1
  • Adam Blackstone feat. Jazmine Sullivan 7/1

R&B Song

  • Beyonce 11/2
  • Mary J. Blige 13/2
  • Jazmine Sullivan 7/1

R&B Album

  • Mary J. Blige 5/1
  • Lucky Daye 13/2
  • Robert Glasper 7/1

Progressive R&B Album

  • Steve Lacy 5/1
  • Cory Henry 13/2
  • Tank and the Bangas 13/2

Rap Performance

  • Kendrick Lamar 5/1
  • DJ Khaled 13/2
  • Doja Cat 13/2

Melodic Rap Performance

  • Kendrick Lamar feat. Blxst and Amanda Reifer 11/2
  • Future featuring Drake and Tems 13/2
  • Jack Harlow 7/1

Rap Song

  • Kendrick Lamar 11/2
  • DJ Khaled 13/2
  • Future featuring Drake and Tems 7/1

Rap Album

  • Kendrick Lamar 5/1
  • Future 13/2
  • DJ Khaled 7/1

Country Solo Performance

  • Willie Nelson 11/2
  • Miranda Lambert 13/2
  • Maren Morris 13/2

Country Duo/Group Performance

  • Alison Krauss and Robert Plant 6/1
  • Reba McEntire and Dolly Parton 13/2
  • Carly Pearce and Ashley McBryde 17/2 -

Country Song

  • Willie Nelson 6/1
  • Maren Morris 7/1
  • Miranda Lambert 8/1

Country Album

  • Miranda Lambert 6/1
  • Willie Nelson 6/1
  • Maren Morris 13/2

Musica Urbana Album

  • Bad Bunny 5/1
  • Daddy Yankee 13/2
  • Rauw Alejandro 7/1

Latin Pop Album

  • Christina Aguilera 11/2
  • Sebastian Yatra 13/2
  • Ruben Blades and Boca Livre 13/2

Audio Book, Narration, Storytelling

  • Viola Davis 11/2
  • Questlove 6/1
  • Lin-Manuel Miranda 7/1

Music Video

  • Taylor Swift 11/2
  • Adele 7/1
  • Kendrick Lamar 8/1

Musical Theater Album

  • A Strange Loop 6/1
  • MJ the Musical 13/2
  • Into the Woods 8/1

Visual Media Compilation

  • Encanto 11/2
  • Elvis 6/1
  • West Side Story 7/1

Visual Media Score

  • The Power of the Dog 11/2
  • Encanto 6/1
  • No Time to Die 7/1

Visual Media Song

  • Encanto 11/2
  • Top Gun: Maverick 7/1
  • King Richard 15/2
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juniperberry

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  • juniperberry
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    January 30, 2023 at 11:41 am #1205274883

    Personally, I would put Riseborough over Blanchett. I have a preference for more human, lived-in roles. Blanchett was technically impressive. Everything was so precise, and maybe that was the point. I can acknowledge the skill and expertise that Blanchett brought to Lydia Tar, but Lydia was not as believable as a human as the other characters the other nominees played.

    That’s why I’d choose Yeoh over Blanchett. Despite it being a sci-fi genre film, Evelyn Wang was more believable as a real human than Lydia Tar. Again, personal preference.

    I’d still choose Deadwyler though…

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    juniperberry
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    January 28, 2023 at 11:03 am #1205272591

    Just saw Hong Chau in Poker Face, opposite Lyonne who is also amazing. She is constantly amazing in her roles. One of the finest working actors today. Hope she gets to lead a project soon instead of always being supporting. Happy she’s recognized for The Whale. Hoping she wins something in the future!

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    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 7:29 pm #1205265426
    jez89 wrote:

    Okay, you get carried away with that and cry racism until the Oscar ceremony. Voters can think for themselves, I doubt many even saw Fisher’s comments, let alone felt compelled to do what she said.

    Is there any empirical basis for your doubt?

     


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 5:32 pm #1205265157
    jez89 wrote:

    We’re not talking about the last nearly 100 years though, we’re talking about this year. Historically, of course there was an underrepresentation in terms of both opportunities for POC and nominations/winners. But we are in a much different environment these days and I’d argue that voters are under pressure to recognise POC performances even if they don’t think they’re the best, which defeats the point of merit voting. Massive leap to say the exclusion of Deadwyler and Davis has anything to do with racism, conscious or subconscious.

    If you strip away any present circumstance of its historical contexts, anything could be considered a massive leap.


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 5:28 pm #1205265150
    babypook wrote:

    Yes Emma is Chinese isn’t she?

    yes! I don’t know why Yeoh is going off about being the first Asian nominated when Emma Stone got there first lollll


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 5:27 pm #1205265144
    jez89 wrote:

    How do you know voters didn’t simply prefer other performances? Far too many people hurl the word “racism” around at the first opportunity. It’s quite a serious accusation. It’s also wildly unrealistic to think a large number of Academy voters deliberately or subconsciously excluded Davis and Deadwyler on account of their race.

    I’m not for cancelling or whatever. It’s that a lot of people take racism as a personal attack on their character and not as something indicative of larger patterns. So it’s constantly denying and denying and nothing changes. I don’t think the academy voters deliberately go about their way to exclude Deadwyler or Davis, but historically, but that we’ve seen only WOC winner in almost 100 years is indicative of something. I don’t think it’s wildly unrealistic to suggest the academy examine why that is and check for implicit biases. Part of it is beyond the academy. It’s the industry where there aren’t as many opportunities for POC in general, or the roles are stereotypical.


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 5:20 pm #1205265127
    joesilver wrote:

    3 if we count Emma Stone

    So embarrassing. Sorry, I forgot about Allison Ng.


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 5:16 pm #1205265104
    jsteph wrote:

    De Armas is WHITE!!! She might have been born in Cuba but she is not POC – her parents and grandparents are white Spanish background – If De Armas is POC, then Charlize Theron must be POC too because she is South African???!!!!

    omg all along, what if, all along, Theron was the SECOND POC to win Best Actress, so that means we’ve had not just one, but TWO WOC win Best Actress in 95 years lolll


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 5:09 pm #1205265087
    jez89 wrote:

    The racism claims are predictable and pathetic. I haven’t seen Till yet, but Deadwyler looks amazing, so it’s a shame she didn’t get in. But it’s not racism. People simply preferred other performances. Some people seemingly won’t be satisfied unless there’s a quota for POC performances in each category. This year 3/5 supporting actress nominees are POC and 2/5 best actress are if you count De Armas’ heritage. That’s HALF of the female acting nominees. Yet still idiots bleat on about racism.

    Happy for de Armas, but she isn’t POC lol. Scroll back.

    The downplaying and denial of racism in Best Actress is also predictable and tiring after 95 years. It’s so constant. Stats alone for WOC in BA contrast against the denial sharply. Bears repeating, but racism isn’t always some intentional thing where someone intends on doing harm. It can be implicit biases in how someone analyzes or appreciates a performance (or even chooses to watch a performance like Deadwyler’s), where they put effort in. It can be systemic.

     

     


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 3:41 pm #1205264919
    Gwen wrote:

    Halle Berry on Instagram: “This is your moment, take it @michelleyeoh_official !!”

    she knows.

    Halle Berry every time the winners are announced lol


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 3:16 pm #1205264876
    ChocolateNomad wrote:

    that could likely happen, but I do think there is a chance that people who would’ve voted for Davis or Deadwyler to win could now be inclined to vote for Yeoh instead. Part of it might be wanting a POC actress to win but I think absent of a race context a lot of people who wanted Davis in particular to be recognized for this role will be inclined to reward Yeoh (in terms of pushing what older actresses in cinema are able to do in terms of genre based films)

    I really really hope you’re right!


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 2:49 pm #1205264845

    It’s great and milestones for Angela Bassett and Michelle Yeoh today! Truly amazing. But what really happened in the voting process in Best Actress? I demand the BTS documentary. I’m all but convinced no one watched Till. And I need the validation of that.

    Yeah, I don’t want to take away from Bassett’s and Yeoh’s achievements! Both deserve all their flowers and more.

    I think an investigative piece, contextualizing within academy’s history (from Hattie McDaniel to Halle Berry, Merle Oberon, yellowface, blackface, stereotypical roles) as well as larger patterns of lack of opportunities for POC/WOC, the nomination, voting, campaign process with stats on funding and so on, maybe similar to how Disclosure examined how Hollywood depicts trans people, would be insightful.

    I doubt it would change anything at this point. Maybe at the 100 year mark, they’ll add one more WOC win to showcase how far they’ve come from making Hattie sit in the back.


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 2:38 pm #1205264814
    Gwen wrote:

    What happened today is a shameful milestone in the award season’s history. I hope someone is at least taking a long hard look on themselves.

    The academy taking a long hard look at itself.


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 2:22 pm #1205264756
    ChocolateNomad wrote:

    I think the one upside of the shenanigans is that the backlash helps Yeoh with regards to a win.

    I don’t think the backlash will sway the academy. Voters will pull 987 reasons out of a hat before they ever acknowledge there’s a problem with regards to race.

    I actually think the snubs and resistance to backlash show how impervious and indifferent the academy is. They also might deem the Yeoh nomination as them already doing their part to counter accusations of racism, feel good about it, and move forward with awarding someone else (likely Blanchett).


    juniperberry
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    January 24, 2023 at 1:10 pm #1205264431

    Halle Berry every year, hoping for someone to join her, only to be let down by an institution that for 95 years, refuses to change or even acknowledge a problem.

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