Kaguya-hime
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July 29, 2021 at 9:29 pm #1204371252
Ahh, okay lol, now I understand our internet language. Won’t misread you again :)))) Also, I actually do like Ridley Scott quite a bit!—when he’s not making war films & medieval films :/ He gave the world Alien, Thelma & Louise, and Blade Runner. In my book, those 3 alone should give him a lifelong pass to keep getting big budgets for his films even if they’re mostly dreck. Back to Best Actor, isn’t Adam Driver’s best bet here is…still Annette? People keep dismissing me when I say it but just address if the following is possible: since he’s gotten career-bests for it by critics, is it not possible that critics groups will cite him consistently? It’ll be out end-August and Amazon doesn’t have many options.
It does feel like Driver will still win some critics prizes. Cumberbatch can’t sweep everything (I guess maybe Phoenix takes some for C’mon C’mon?).
July 29, 2021 at 9:10 pm #1204371226Because it has a cast full of A listers, it’s camp, actors in tons of Makeup and prosthetics, accents and it’ll probably do quite well at the box Office. Not to mention, it’s going to be a contender for several categories below the line. I honestly think this movie just needs okay to good reviews, to be a contender in several categories. It’s not like the Oscars care that much about MC scores anyway. But like I said, I don’t really know how critics will react to it. It could be well received or get totally panned. They usually don’t respond well to camp movies.
Ridley Scott makes movies with casts full of A-listers that flop all the time, being a campy movie is a downside for its awards chances not an advantage, ridiculous over the top accents are not an advantage for it, and at most it’s likely just a contender for makeup, costumes, and maybe editing below the line. The Academy doesn’t care much about Metacritic scores for some films, but unless if a movie is a massive box office success or a massive crowdpleaser, it generally needs at least a 70 on Metacritic to do well at the Oscars. I doubt Gucci will get that.
July 29, 2021 at 9:07 pm #1204371224because HoG has more Oscar hype than his other films? Extremely Loud got 48 on MC but still managed to get a BP nom bc of the hype..
That’s one example from a decade ago. Ridley Scott has made a single major awards contender in the past 19 years. If Gucci is seen as a mediocre campy movie, it’s not going to become an awards juggernaut.
July 29, 2021 at 8:00 pm #1204371146This honestly looks much better than I expected. It’s camp and I’m here for it. Excited to watch. Gaga was better than I expected but I still need to watch the movie to have a proper opinion on her. There were some scene where I thought her line delivery was a bit stiff, but we’ll se. I’m just a bit disappointed we didn’t get more from the rest of the cast. With that said, I’m still on the fence regarding how critics will honestly review the movie. It kinda serves 50s on MC, which could be more than enough for it to get noms across precursors and Oscars.
If it’s getting 50s on Metacritic, it’s not going to do well at the Oscars. I don’t know why that even needs to be said, but the only movies that have done well at the Oscars recently that I can think of with critical reception that bad are Jojo Rabbit (which won TIFF), Joker (which won Venice and was a massive box office success), and Bohemian Rhapsody (which was a massive box office success). It needs better than that. Why would Gucci be a massive Oscar success if it has reviews on par with Ridley Scott’s Robin Hood movie and Body of Lies?
July 29, 2021 at 7:57 pm #1204371134I read both the stories in extreme detail and both are good, although Gucci Murder story is much more spicy and compelling and scandalous than the Last Duel one. Gaga’s character is the one with which the plot moves in Gucci. She’ll have a larger arc. That being said, Comer will have great moments. Maybe 2 Director noms for Ridley this year? I’m betting on Gucci now to get Lead Actress, Supporting Actor (Leto), Director,Film, Cinematography,Costume,Makeup, Production Design, Editing, Screenplay,Sound,Score and a lead actor nom for Driver for either Gucci or Annette or The Last Duel (where maybe he’s supporting).
Ridley Scott is not getting double Best Director nominations. That should not even have to be said. And no, House of Gucci is not getting nominated for 13 categories. Why are you predicting such a massive overperformance for it?
July 29, 2021 at 7:55 pm #1204371129At least one of Comer and Gaga are happening. Ridley Scott may not make a film as strong a competitor as Gladiator anymore but he is still someone who can still make films people in the industry see or care about. Even All the Money in the World got an acting nomination. Likewise both Gaga and Comer have baity performances and even though the receptions towards their films are up in the air, from the trailers both look like they are the standouts of their films and neither look like they give performances that are going to be poorly received.
To be fair, All the Money in the World got an acting nomination because of Plummer replacing Spacey. There’s no way Spacey would have been nominated over people like Stuhlbarg, Hammer, Shannon, etc. if the scandal hadn’t come out and if he had stayed in the role.
July 29, 2021 at 6:11 pm #1204370908I loved the House of Gucci trailer, it looks like so much campy fun which I’m all for, but I think we can rule it out for a Best Picture win, right? That leaves Don’t Look Up, The Power of the Dog, and Nightmare Alley as the movies I can easily see winning Best Picture.
Dune can win.
July 29, 2021 at 5:55 pm #1204370821It seems like lighter fare than A Portrait of a Lady on Fire. And now people will know to look for Celine Sciamma!
Lighter, but also less “important” and traditionally dramatic. And while I’ll probably love it more than Portrait since it feels like it was designed perfectly for my taste, Portrait was one of the most acclaimed films of the decade while Petite Maman isn’t quite at that level of acclaim and buzz.
July 29, 2021 at 5:53 pm #1204370809Gaga is not happening for this, and this movie is not happening outside of maybe makeup & hairstyling, but it looks like she gave a fun performance.
July 29, 2021 at 5:51 pm #1204370799This is going to be a mess, but at least it will be a fun one.
July 29, 2021 at 5:49 pm #1204370790Is TPOTD strong enough to win first place for TIFF People Choice Awars prize? Previous winners have been crowd pleasers (Jojo Rabbit, Green Book, La La Land). I’m not sure if The Humans is a crowdpleaser to win since i’m not familiar with the source material. I suppose Belfast could take it but it seems like a flop.
I’m thinking The Worst Person in the World has a good shot at the top 3.
I’m thinking Last Night in Soho. Maybe Petite Maman?
I wish. If Petite Maman pulled that off, it would actually be a contender. I can’t see that happening though.
July 28, 2021 at 9:20 pm #1204368859People have SO much faith in Ridley Scott they predict him to get in two films as Best Picture nominees, multiple acting nominees from both. It boggles the mind how much of a statistical unlikelihood they’re riding on.
Yep. It’s baffling. Ridley Scott has made 2 movies back to back that got at least a 70% on Rotten Tomatoes once since 1982 (Black Hawk Down and Matchstick Men). He’s likely not going to make 3 in a row at that level of reception (and both of his movies will need much better reviews than that to get nominated for Best Picture and get multiple acting nominations).
July 28, 2021 at 6:14 pm #1204368622Olga will probably pop up at Critics Choice.
I really doubt it. The category is way too deep for someone with a tiny role in a flop to make it.
July 28, 2021 at 6:05 pm #1204368591You missed Broadcast Film Critics, Houston, Iowa, Las Vegas, and Southeastern. Also, Is there a bigger critics choice award than the actual Critics Choice Awards? Lol. Either way, we can agree to disagree. I say Hudson can easily win critic awards. Look at how many she won for Dreamgirls. She nearly swept them all.
Thank you for pointing that out (though the Critics Choice Awards don’t really count as critics awards, generally they count as something more like the Golden Globes). I was going off of Wikipedia, which doesn’t list her wins at Iowa, Las Vegas, or Southeastern.
I think you actually make a convincing argument. If Respect gets reviews on the level of Judy, Hudson gets personal reviews on the level of Zellweger (who was raved in the part), and the competition is relatively weak like it was in 2019, Hudson can win some of the regional critics awards and Critics Choice Awards. However, I don’t think any of those things is happening. The competition seems much stronger than it was in 2019, I don’t think Hudson will get the massive praise that Zellweger got, and I think that Respect will fail to get an 80%+on Rotten Tomatoes like Judy did. And on top of all of that, Hudson really is nowhere near as respected as Zellweger is as an actor.
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