Forum Replies Created
September 29, 2017 at 11:43 am #1202226564
Reactions for Blade Runner 2049 have been highly positive from what I’ve seen. They still have a review embargo on it which might be concerning, but the tweets so far are enthusiastic. Does Blade Runner 2049 have a shot at a Picture nomination? I think it will definitely play in Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Production Design, Visual Effects, and Cinematography (I think it has a very strong chance of winning Cinematography. I can only think of maybe Dunkirk or Shape of Water playing for it here). I wonder if it could maybe even get nominations in Editing and Directing making it more similar to Mad Max a couple years back. I love pretty much everything Villenueve’s done so far, so I really want to see this one.
Best Picture is pretty open so far, so I think there’s definitely room for Blade Runner 2049 in the lineup. At the low end, I think it could do what Interstellar did (runs the gambit in tech noms), but if the box office is strong, which I don’t see why it wouldn’t, I see it playing closer to Fury Road. Tons of tech noms, Picture, Director, but no screenplay or tech noms.December 14, 2016 at 8:25 am #1201969322
The Revenant wasn’t nominated at SAG, but people still predicted it for Best Picture. Those people were wrong. It’s not impossible for La La Land to win. But people have to start admitting that it’s not going to breeze through the season.December 14, 2016 at 8:00 am #1201969252
I am honestly not super concerned about La La Land missing here – sure, it’s been a while since a BP winner won without a SAG nom, but when was the last time a BP winner had only two actors?
Thrilled about Captain Fantastic – one of my favorites of the year for sure. I feel very vindicated for holding on to Viggo in my predictions.
Somewhat surprised about Spencer’s late surge. Will she be the rare GG/SAG nominee to miss out on the Oscar?
Shocked they skipped over their favorite, Helen Mirren!
I thought that if Blunt would show up anywhere, it would be the Globes.
Still puzzles over Streep – she makes complete sense as a nominee but I just don’t know who to knock out. Is Bening weaker than we thought? I am still fairly confident Huppert will show up. Adams, Stone, Portman, Streep, Huppert?
No, it hasn’t “been a while.” It has only happened ONCE in the history of the SAG Awards. Plus, the reason the stat is so strong is because the Academy actually prefers ensemble movies over those focused on two people. La La Land is still in the top three (or two) to win the Oscar. It’s just not a slam dunk anymore.December 14, 2016 at 7:31 am #1201969183
Last time a movie won Best Picture without a SAG ensemble nom was Braveheart. People who think La La Land is still gonna win has to look at last year with The Revenant.July 21, 2015 at 1:26 pm #354502
Yeah, I don’t get how Falco has been able to submit the final episode which I thought was aired too late? Does that mean the final episode/s aren’t eligible in the TV Movie categories next year?
She could submit it under the hanging episode rule. As long as the majority of the season started before the cut off, then the entire season can be submitted.July 31, 2014 at 12:25 pm #325438
I think people are underestamating Daniels again. He is as excellent as last year so that’s why I have him 3rd. But it seems like McConaughey or Cranston will take it
I just watched his submission. He doesn’t have anything as strong as that speech last year. His screentime in the episode is more bottom heavy and his best scene is still not that impressive. He doesn’t have anything near as strong as the other 5 contenders. If there’s a third place, it’s Spacey. He could pull it off with the typewriter scene if voters are too indecisive between Cranston and McConaughey. http://smashcutreviews.com/2014/07/2014-emmy-predictions-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series/July 30, 2014 at 6:03 pm #325921
I understand where people are coming from with Lizzy Caplan. She is the odd one out in terms of tape. It’s a fantastic understated performance, and if voters can’t choose between all the ugly criers they could go with her. That being said, I still have all the criers ahead of her with Miss Ugly Cry herself at the top. Here are my full predictions: http://smashcutreviews.com/2014/07/2014-emmy-predictions-lead-actress-in-a-drama-series/July 24, 2014 at 8:39 am #325286
I think Froggatt is a bigger threat here than we thought. I think that the Emmys are off Smith. I do see the argument that she still could’ve been close last year, but I think there are too many choices for just name ticking. Baranski has a shot still. She is overdue and her episode is good, despite her better choices. Either way, I think Anna Gunn has this. My full predictions are here: http://smashcutreviews.com/2014/07/2014-emmy-predictions-supporting-actress-in-a-drama-series/July 22, 2014 at 10:39 am #324112
I think Ferguson’s tape is the clear standout. It a voter is name ticking, then Braugher obviously wins, but based on tapes Ferguson has this. Especially with the combination of “Spring-a-Ding Fling” and “Message Recieved”. My full thoughts are here: http://smashcutreviews.com/2014/07/2014-emmy-predictions-supporting-actress-in-a-drama-series/July 18, 2014 at 1:56 pm #324087
I still need to watch Jesse’s episode again. In fact, I will watch all six episodes together soon. But that doesn’t discount that the fact that I think Ty’s is excellent. I may or may not rank him at the top because sometimes there are categories with a bunch of great submissions. I doubt I would rank him lower than second or third from what I remember of the others.
This really surprises me. I don’t see what you saw in Burrell’s submission. I mean, he had 4 1/2 minutes of screen time that were frankly unfunny for me. The little song was just okay. I didn’t find it hilarious. Can you elaborate on your pick? Overall, the submissions in this category are underwhelming save for JTF. My predictions for comedy supporting actor are here.July 16, 2014 at 8:01 am #323892
Breaking Bad had to choose 6 of their 8 episodes and they decided to submit “Rabid Dog”? Seriously? I mean, I understand it flows well with “Confessions”, but that was one of the weakest episodes of both halves of season 5. Anway, the Breaking Bad trio submitted perfectly and I agree that Jon Hamm messed up his submission, but he wasn’t going to win this year anyway.July 15, 2014 at 3:40 pm #140271
^Even as a 20 year old I was deeply affected by this film. It’s so brutally honest and well realized. I honestly think it’s one of the best movies to come out in the last decade. My review: http://smashcutreviews.com/2014/07/boyhood-review-a-brutally-honest-modern-masterpiece/
As for the Oscars, a lot of people are comparing it to Her and The Master. I can’t see that. I mean, yes they’re all ciritcally acclaimed, but those two films came nowhere close to reach the sheer raves that Boyhood is getting. Both of those films had their retracters and haters, right now, Boyhood is universally acclaimed in every sense of the word.July 13, 2014 at 2:56 pm #322747
This is my take on the Guest Actress comedy race: http://smashcutreviews.com/2014/07/2014-emmy-predictions-guest-actress-in-a-comedy-series/
Based off tapes this is Cox vs. Cusack, but you can’t deny the Crazy Eyes has become one of the most buzzed about parts of the show and she has some nice moments in her tape.July 13, 2014 at 2:50 pm #323013
There is no other show that I could say that it will win. My take is that True Detective could win, House of Cards could win, but Breaking Bad will win. I can’t imagine anyone predicting another show above it with any confidence.