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November 10, 2019 at 6:00 pm #1203173883
The hype surrounding Joaquin reminds me vaguely of Toni Collette last year. I honestly could see him getting snubbed in a few of the places where users are predicting him to win on the basis of genre bias and if performers with upcoming films gain enough praise to generate momentum over him. However, considering that Banderas, DiCaprio, and Egerton all have had the focus earlier on, it might be hard for anyone to break out significantly in the next few weeks, besides Driver. De Niro seems to be jumping up.
Anybody can be snubbed but Phoenix is in no way comparable with Toni Collette. She wasn’t in a highly buzzed about billion dollar movie. I think Emily Blunt and Jamie Lee Curtis had more of a chance for their horror movies than she did for her low grossing horror film that was only popular in certain circles. She was never getting a Best actress nomination, people were just being delusional.
ReplyNovember 5, 2019 at 11:55 am #1203167257Also, if I’m remembering correctly, Negga was an early frontrunner after Loving premiered at Cannes. Her standing in the top 5 only faltered after SAG/BAFTA took a sharp left turn and nominated Blunt and Streep over her and Huppert. You can be both sad that Amy missed out and happy that Negga got in. Streep was the real spoiler, here.
Indeed. I think Amy Adams snub was a travesty but it happened because of the typical and obnoxious Streep name check nomination.
ReplyNovember 2, 2019 at 9:49 pm #1203163601I can’t believe that people thought that Ethan Hawke would win for that performance in that kind of film. That was never happening. His snub was not surprising.
ReplyNovember 2, 2019 at 5:49 am #1203162717I think Cynthia might not completely be out of the race like I thought. Maybe Harriet will pull through.
November 1, 2019 at 10:19 am #1203161961<p style=”text-align: left;”>Knightley didn’t take anyone’s spot. She was sensational in P&P and 100% deserved her nomination.</p>
October 24, 2019 at 8:05 am #1203150515I don’t see why Star Wars would help Driver? We’ve seen his Kylo Ren performance twice before, there are no surprises coming from that angle. Also we already know that Star Wars movies bring in the box office. Driver can’t play the up and comer card like Lawrence did.
October 23, 2019 at 9:35 pm #1203149991I agree far to early to call anyone a lock. Driver of course could easily win although I don’t think that there is a chance in heck of a Netflix movie winning best picture…yet. Maybe in a few years.
October 17, 2019 at 10:34 am #1203141225I have my doubts about him being nominated for Tenet, since Nolan films have gotten a total of 1 acting nomination, but for sure Pattinson will get his due soon. It’s only a matter of time.
Indeed. Nolan is a fine director but people keep predicting performances from his movies to be nominated off of the back of one nomination for Heath Ledger in 2009. It’s weird.
October 15, 2019 at 1:44 pm #1203138123I love Ronan as an actress but she is not a lock to get a nomination this year. And a Broklyn type of performance probably won’t ever win her a lead Best Actress Oscar. She’s doing the type of stuff Knightley does and I love her too but too many of those type of roles and you risk looking uninteresting.
October 14, 2019 at 12:36 am #1203135442Love Francis but I still believe that Margot should have won.
October 10, 2019 at 6:31 pm #1203131397I think Penn deserved to win for Milk but Mystic River? Yuck.
ReplyOctober 6, 2019 at 11:40 pm #1203125008Didn’t people learn from Hereditary’s failed Oscar hopes? Florence has zero chance of a nomination for Midsommar. Midsommar wasn’t even as acclaimed as Hereditary and it made less money. If Collette didn’t happen then Florence sure isn’t.
October 5, 2019 at 7:46 pm #1203123316I haven’t see Marriage Story but I don’t think that Driver is overrated as an actor but I’m rooting for Phoenix right now. I’m not going to tear down Driver just to lift anyone else up.
October 5, 2019 at 7:41 pm #1203123305So Scarjo is a lock to get her first ever nomination and win? I find that not impossible but difficult. How many young-ish ingenue type actresses have won Best Actress on their first nomination recently? Neither Portman, Stone nor Lawerence did. And if they love Scarjo so much then why snub her all of these years? I’ll change my mind with more info but until I see her win nearly everything leading up to the Oscars I’m not predicting Scarjo to win.
October 5, 2019 at 3:06 pm #1203123005Phoenix is stellar in Joker. I hope he is nominated.
