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September 16, 2021 at 5:59 am #1204463003
Am I the only one getting the feeling that Will Smith isn’t that big a threat to win best actor? From all the reviews I’ve read there are surprisingly few raves that would tell me there is enough passion to get him a win. Tbh I’ve seen far more for Cumberbatch. This race is far from over in my opinion.
Critics don’t vote on the Oscars.
Part of the reason the TIFF People’s Choice Award is so closely watched, and indicative, is that it also isn’t a critics’ prize.
Just a shame that without King Richard in the running there, the results won’t offer us the most accurate take on the awards race so far that it could have.
September 16, 2021 at 5:49 am #1204462982Colin Firth wasn’t in a British movie and Best Picture contender.
And Jeff Bridges was in an American movie that wasn’t a Best Picture contender.
And Will Smith is in an American movie that will be a Best Picture contender.
British AMPAS voting members may have a lot of influence, but American AMPAS voting members have a lot more influence.
Advantage (still): Smith
September 16, 2021 at 3:47 am #1204462875Bleecker Street kicks off FYC season with its page for Mass, confirming the supporting-category campaign for all four main performers.
September 16, 2021 at 3:46 am #1204462873Bleecker Street kicks off FYC season with its page for Mass, confirming the supporting-category campaign for all four main performers.
September 16, 2021 at 3:17 am #1204462848Yeah not buying the BP win and the Director nom. I think only Smith could win but even so I have doubts considering BAFTA might go for Cumberbatch.
My thinking: It appears quite possible that Smith would defeat a BAFTA-winning Cumberbatch the way Jeff Bridges beat a BAFTA-winning Colin Firth. And I expect King Richard to rack up more Oscar nominations than Crazy Heart did.
September 16, 2021 at 1:08 am #1204462748Voting closes about midnight Friday night Eastern Time. The awards are set to be announced in the morning of Saturday, Sept. 18.
September 16, 2021 at 12:08 am #1204462714And I don’t think his performance is as praised as many were anticipating, in a way.
Yeah I said as much when first reviews hit / they mightily praised his work but didn’t go into the stratosphere with the effusiveness.
Advantage (still): Smith
NB: (For Collins Jr., a nomination in a substantially competitive category would be its own type of victory.)
September 15, 2021 at 9:32 pm #1204462633And here’s King Richard, further looking to lock several major nominations (and a potential BP win alongside Will Smith‘s potential best actor triumph? Possibly). Plus Smith is a credited producer on the film (“labor of love”), and I’m not sleeping on the potential for Reinaldo Marcus Green to score a BD nom at DGA and the Oscars. No one should be, tbh.
September 15, 2021 at 6:41 am #1204460881Hadn’t heard of this before
September 15, 2021 at 5:34 am #1204460807Wonder if any distributor is considering picking up The Survivor for an Oscar-qualifying run this year aimed at getting a best-actor nom for Ben Foster following his strong reviews?
September 14, 2021 at 6:24 pm #1204460206https://twitter.com/scottdmenzel/status/1437812157698088962
Everyone talks about toxic fandom but what about toxic criticism? Apparently anyone who likes Wonder Woman 1984, Bohemian Rhapsody, Green Book, Hillbilly Elegy, Dear Evan Hansen, or Joker clearly couldn’t appreciate or enjoy those films because the powers of film Twitter said so.
September 14, 2021 at 7:47 am #1204458947Matt Neglia takes a stab at predicting the TIFF award Top 3.
The Survivor? Not impossible.
September 14, 2021 at 6:06 am #1204458822And it’s only the second Swan Song of 2021!
September 13, 2021 at 11:26 pm #1204458408fyi, following up on the conflicting info (including mine) re: audience award eligibility at TIFF.
A Hero, Last Night in Soho, Dune and Spencer are NOT eligible for the People’s Choice Award.
I created a corrected poll to reflect theses accurate details, adding in titles that are confirmed as being eligible for the prize to replace those that had to be dropped. As always if it’s not in the poll and been confirmed as award-eligible, you can shout it out in the comments below the survey. Apologies for the confusion.
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