[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203394943

Seven wrote:

I can’t believe that aside from Berry, only three WOC came more or less close to winning (Goldberg, Bassett and Davis, with Davis probably coming the closest). This is legit sickening how women of color are constantly overlooked while Hollywood stays rewarding some of these pretty white girls for mediocre performances. Ugh

I wonder how close Gabourey Sidibe came to winning a Lead Actress Oscar for “Precious”. In my opinion, she was so much better than Sandra Bullock, who I do love but just didn’t think she was Oscar worthy in “The Blind Side”. I guess Hollywood was more interested in giving their box office draw an award over the better performance in 2009.

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203394922

pacinofan wrote:

2019:

2) The Last Black Man in San Francisco & Portrait of a Lady On Fire

I totally agree with your selections – two excellent films.

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203394916

I rewatched “Ordinary People” and Timothy Hutton was definitely lead – part of me is glad that he was in supporting because he probably would have lost the Oscar against the well deserved Robert DeNiro if he had went lead. And I’m glad Hutton has an Oscar for his awesome performance, although it definitely was category fraud.

But if Timothy did go lead, then maybe the Academy would have nominated Donald Sutherland, who was also terrific in “Ordinary People” and he could have won best supporting actor. Although for some reason, the academy doesn’t seem to appreciate Sutherland, one of my favorites. Joe Pesci probably would have won for “Raging Bull” in supporting if Hutton had went lead.

If Mary Tyler Moore was nominated in supporting, she could have easily won for “Ordinary People.” Her performance, to me, was somewhere between lead and supporting.

“Ordinary People” holds up well today and I’m glad it won Best Picture. I really love this movie.

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203337133

Anonymous wrote:

I hope they don’t use singing clip for Renee, it’s cringe. Just a simple clip will do it. Not that she isn’t great in singing clips, but it’s just weird.

When I first read that Renee was not lip syncing, I was disappointed, because no one can sing like Judy. But, then I saw the movie “Judy”, and I knew she was winning an Oscar. I felt nothing weird.. I felt Judy Garland. Just a few hours away…

• This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by  Keth.
• This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by  Keth.

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203336393

Cool how the cast of Best First Feature and Best Feature Film get their own individual Spirits. I assume the Best International Film cast also get awards – I hope so. The “Parasite” cast definitely deserves it!

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203336284

I was on YouTube this morning and I rewatched last year’s Best Actress announcement. It took me back to last year when I was watching it live and so expected to hear Glenn Close’s name and how weird it was to hear Frances say Olivia Colman. I think I was in disbelief for a good thirty seconds. Happy for Olivia but felt so sad for Glenn.

The Oscars can sometimes surprise us, but unfortunately, I think the acting categories are all locked. Of course, I thought Glenn Close was also a lock, so who knows.. I watch all the award shows – Oscar is definitely my favorite. Wine – check! Cheese – check! Disappointment – check!

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203336144

Not sure if some of these would be surprises, but they are on my wish list.

“Parasite” winning for Best Picture, Best Director and Original Screenplay (does Tarantino really need a third Oscar for one of his weaker scripts, especially since “Parasite” is brilliant?).

The only reason I want “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” for best song is because of 1) Bernie Taupin and 2) I want “Rocketman” to win an Oscar. Elton already has his Academy Award. I will be very cool with Diane Warren finally winning or Cynthia Erivo getting her EGOT.

“JoJo Rabbit” winning any of its nominations, except Best Picture. Sorry, Laura. I adore you, but Scarlett was better here.

“Nefta Football Club” winning Best Live Short – I so loved this little jewel.

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203336129

Paul Sheehan wrote:

It will all come down to the preferential ballot – passion v consensus

That damn preferential ballot – here’s hoping for passion (Parasite) over consensus (1917).

My best picture and director prediction is “1917” – I hope I get these two picks wrong.

[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203334710

Jason Travis wrote:

I would prefer Best Picture to go back to 5. I think adding additional nominees (like the Emmys and Grammys now do) cheapens the merit of the nomination. Call me old school.

Nothing wrong with old school. Keep the nominations, including best picture, at five. The cream of the crop, even if I often disagree with the five they choose.

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203334624

I dig the Independent Spirit Awards – they’re always so much fun.

I’m sure Renee will win Best Female Lead, but man would I love for Mary Kay Place to upset in this category. I don’t want to assume the Spirits always go for the Oscar nominee if there is one in the category. Keeping my fingers crossed.

I recently watched “The Last Black Man in San Francisco” and would love to see it win in Best First Feature Film and Best Supporting Male for Jonathan Majors. Beautiful movie that I wish I had seen before I voted in the Gold Derby Awards.

Will Jennifer Lopez win here for Supporting Female? That would be interesting, although I would prefer either Zhao Shuzhen or Octavia Spencer. I wonder if JLo will be at the Oscars tomorrow. That would be even more interesting.

Happy Awards weekend!

• This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by  Keth.
• This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by  Keth.

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203333859

DrewN92 wrote:

I keep switching back and forth between “In the Absence” and “Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone” — it seems like people who actually watched all of them prefer “In the Absence,” but based on the title alone/ name check situation, people might just choose “Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone.”

Doesn’t the Academy have special rules for the short categories that requires voters to have seen all the nominees? I don’t know how the Academy verifies it, but if so, and the voters see all the short films, I think “In the Absence” could win it. It’s very powerful!

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203333756

unown wrote:

He voted for Margot cause he has a crush on her. Looks like Margot is the new ingenue who might just win on her next nomination

I thought they same thing. This producer’s reasoning for what he voted for had me at times scratching my head.

He loved the costumes in “Little Women” but hated the movie so he voted for “The Irishman” because he wanted to wear all the shirts.

He thought the “The Lighthouse” had beautiful cinematography but the movie was too depressing so he didn’t even consider voting for it.

He voted for “Judy” over “Bombshell” because it was the better movie – did he even consider the makeup and hair?

This is why I think the final voting should be done the same way the nominations are selected – by the specific branches. I mean, shouldn’t costume designers select the Best Costume Design Award? Shouldn’t cinematographers pick the Best Cinematography Oscar? Just my thoughts that will never happen? I know this will never happen, but I think the results would be much different in many of the categories.

• This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by  Keth.
• This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by  Keth.

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[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203333688

A part of me wants to pick “Parasite” to win Best Picture, Best Director, Best Editing, Best Original Screenplay and, the given, Best International Feature. If this happens, it would beat the record for the most Oscars for a foreign film which is currently held by “Fanny & Alexander” and “Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon.”

I love when records are broken and I love “Parasite.” Here’s hoping.

[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203333665

Hammad Asif wrote:

What are Jojo Rabbit’s chances of winning Best Picture?

I thought “JoJo Rabbit” was terrific and would love for it to win best picture, but I just can’t see it. Too divisive, unfortunately – but hey, that’s art. At least I think it has a great shot at a very deserved Best Screenplay Oscar. Keeping my fingers crossed for that writing award.

[KethParticipant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 520 View Predictions]

#1203331774

ENGLAND wrote:

Cut Best Original Song.

Add *Best Director of a Foreign Language Film

Doesn’t the Foreign Film award go to the country? Maybe give Oscars to the producer and director of the winning movie, also.

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