LawC
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March 5, 2021 at 2:40 pm #1204086336
Unless Adele is really panned or flops, she’s winning over everyone. I doubt that Bruno Mars would stand a chance.
ReplyMarch 5, 2021 at 2:36 pm #1204086332Yeah a Dua sweep is very likely for the well explained reasons above.
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I don’t think Taylor will win anything.March 2, 2021 at 11:30 am #1204077175Also the year 1989 won Album of the Year Taylor’s Executive Producer, Max Martin also won POTYNC. 😬
He didn’t. He won the year before.
March 2, 2021 at 11:25 am #1204077150The entire basis for FN winning AOTY is based on DSN getting into Record. That’s an absolutely ridiculous theory considering two years ago Kacey with 1 gf nomination beat Brandi, Kendrick AND Drake who all had 3.
It isn’t just the nomination, it’s the fact that DSN is being predicted to win ROTY and SOTY, which is a very reasonable outcome, if not even inevitable, considering how often those two go to the same artist.
And considering how much Grammy voters like their sweeps, it isn’t far-fetched to assume that they’ll vote for the same artist in AOTY too, like they have done in 2017, 2018 and 2020.
Kacey is a very unique case in recent time, simply because she didn’t have to compete against the ROTY and SOTY winner of her year.Taylor/folklore doesn’t have that luxury. She has to compete agains the current favorite for ROTY and SOTY.
March 2, 2021 at 11:00 am #1204077051I don’t Think Tay will go home empty handed. I can honestly see her taking Pop Vocal Album and Duo/Group. I love Dua and when Future Nostalgia was released I was one of the few from day one that supported her getting into all big categories and in pop. However I don’t feel like the FN era is as massive as other pop eras that prevailed in AOTY. FN is great but it’s no 21, 1989, 25, 24K Magic, and WWWGWWHIONVSSWWWw. All these albums had number ones and were massive sellers throughout the year. Did Future Nostalgia even debut in the top 5?
That’s why Dua’s campaign was so aggressive. She successfully made her album look bigger than it actually was. I doubt Grammy voters closely follow how many units an album has sold, they’re all influenced by perception. And in that regard Dua was everywhere with radio, live performances & interviews, a slew of hit singles (including one during the final voting period) and a free vinyl sent to each Grammy voter.
Perception matters more than raw stats.
March 2, 2021 at 10:46 am #1204076968I think she’ll go empty handed, since I don’t feel like exile is strong enough to win as it was barely pushed. And the rest will all go to Dua.
Another year, another boring sweep, but that’s just what the Grammys are nowadays.
March 2, 2021 at 10:20 am #1204076879Future Nostalgia and folklore now have the same combined odds, both having 9/2.
With two weeks to go and with Dua Lipa seemingly gaining on Taylor, will she be GoldDerby’s official prediction for AOTY come Grammy day?
March 2, 2021 at 10:01 am #1204076798I just saw the Dua now has the same odds in AOTY & SOTY as Taylor, and now even comes ahead of her in SOTY (which is what it always should’ve been, given the categories history): https://www.goldderby.com/odds/combined-odds/grammy-awards-2021-predictions/
It’s looking more and more like exile will be her only widely predicted win.
March 1, 2021 at 11:37 am #1204074500They need to use this year to highlight more categories. We really do not need that many performances, nor do we need a four hour show.
I don’t know why they always have so few televised awards. Like I get it, it’s “music’s biggest night” and live music is all about performances, but it’s still an award show so would it kill them to alternate between one televised award and one performance?
ReplyMarch 1, 2021 at 11:25 am #1204074452The fact that you guys still care about Twitter…
Twitter “backlash” (which in this case btw, is completely overblown. I see way more positive tweets than negative ones) has NEVER affected Taylor’s career in any way. Twitter is literally an isolated bubble that doesn’t have an impact in real life (at least not for Taylor) so y’all seriously need to stop worrying about being on Twitter’s good graces, cause that literally doesn’t mean anything.
February 28, 2021 at 1:53 pm #1204067720Awardmonster, a Goldderby member who accurately predicted the general field and pop field winners last year, predicts these results for the 2021 Grammys: AOTY: Future Nostalgia SOTY: Don’t Start Now ROTY: Don’t Start Now BNA: Megan Thee Stallion BEST POP SOLO PERFORMANCE: Don’t Start Now POP DUO/GROUP: Exile POP VOCAL ALBUM: Future Nostalgia
Can see it happening. If Taylor wins something, it’ll most likely be in Dua’s weakest category. Unless she’s even more unstoppable than anyone can imagine and wins that one too.
February 28, 2021 at 1:44 pm #1204067697Grammy predictions by all star top 24 users. AwardsMonster is the predictor. His is the latest prediction
Yeah saw his prediction too. I don’t even think exile can win, cause it’s just an album track. Taylor going home empty handed is such a real possibility.
February 28, 2021 at 1:28 pm #1204067656Saw a predictor who predicted everything right in pop and general categories last year (including lizzo winning over billie in pop solo and billie winning over otr in roty) predict dua sweep and Taylor takes home pop duo..I think Exile is our best chance… hopefully we get that one. At this point I will jump with joy if Taylor does not go empty handed.
Where?
February 28, 2021 at 10:25 am #1204066906Lol. Y’all really say anything to push your favorites. A Post Malone album is “too pop” for Hip Hop voters, but not A Dua Lipa’s dance/electronica album? That does not make any sense, and it’s a quite stupid argument, really. Future Nostalgia is fun to you, but that doesn’t make it the “most accessible” album nominated. That album barely did anything on the charts outside of “Don’t Start Now” and “Levitating,” and the latter was pushed by a remix. Hollywood’s Bleeding is the album hat spawn four top 5 hits and sold over 3 million copies and its singles were on Rhythmic, Pop, Adult Contemporary and Urban radio, NOT Future Nostalgia. And I’m not saying Post Malone is winning either.
You can flop on the charts and still have an accessible and commercial album.
Chart success doesn’t automatically equal a commercial album and vice versaDua’s album had few songs, engaging production, catchy lyrics, big hooks etc. Nothing on Future Nostalgia is controversial or hard to listen to.
It’s a simple, well-done, full pop record. Now some voters may not like pop, and that’s down to preference, but that doesn’t change the fact that it’s still a safe album cause there’s literally nothing on it that one would outright dislike. At worst, one only feels indifferent about the album.
