I’d say Washington and Blanchett definitely will, probably within the next 10/15 years at least. Hanks is pretty likely. I think De Niro could also do it with a couple more meaty roles as I doubt anyone would be opposed to giving him a third.

I can’t really see anyone else doing it except maybe Mahershala Ali who has age and a knack for picking…[Read more]

I’d say Get Out, Moonlight and Parasite do a pretty strong job of defining the 2010s. All three capture a specific mood and tackle themes that have been prescient throughout the decade in ways that only films of the 2010s could do. Obviously all three draw on classic inspirations but they’re all also fairly modern in their style and how the…[Read more]

My list is pretty similar to Foolio’s, except less organised/ thorough. The only one’s of the bunch I’d argue have a better chance than you’re saying right now are Minari, C’mon C’mon and Soul. I also have French Dispatch up closer to front runners for now, largely just because of the prestige associated with the cast/ Anderson.

I think quite a few will win one in their career; Driver certainly will, I think Robbie, Chastain, Hawkins and Johansson probably will too. As for who will win first, I can see Robbie nabbing a Supporting win sooner rather than later so I’ll go for her.

1. Adam Driver
2. Antonio Banderas
3. Joe Pesci
4. Florence Pugh
5. Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
6. Saoirse Ronan
7. Leo DiCaprio
8. Brad Pitt
9. Al Pacino
10. Joaquin Phoenix
11. Tom Hanks
12. Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)
13. Laura Dern
14. Renee Zellweger
15. Jonathan Pryce
16. Anthony Hopkins
17. Charlize Theron
18. Margot Robbie

I haven’t seen Harriet or…[Read more]

Yeah I think a black director winning is a certainty. Spike Lee is my current favourite this year, and there are so many possible candidates who are either established or up and coming talents that it seems almost inevitable.

I can also see an LGBT director winning pretty easily; Sciamma, Almodovar, Haynes, Guadagnino, Dolan, Ford and more are…[Read more]

I’d be quite surprised. It’s May release date and the general feel of the film make me think it’ll be a summer hit with the specific A24 target audience but won’t be an Awards player.

A24 also has a hectic looking slate and if I were to guess I’d say their focus will be on Minari, C’mon C’mon, Macbeth, On the Rocks and Red, White and Water all…[Read more]

Sunset Boulevard, The Apartment and Network are my Top 3. Annie Hall’s is great too. I think my favourite of the decade is either Her or Parasite.

I think Lopez would’ve been the 5th nominee and Johansson would definitely have won for Jojo Rabbit. It would’ve been a slightly more interesting race though.

I think it’s due to Nightmare Alley set photos of Mara and Blanchett together which look like they’ve been taken from the set of a Carol sequel

I’m a huge Ronan fan and was elated when Colman won last year, but even I’m not sure I could take watching Close lose like this.

It’s hard to tell right now as I don’t know exactly what Sorkin will do with what is an incredible case/ time period. Honestly every character could be awards dynamite depending on how central they are in the film. For sure Cohen, Redmayne and Strong are playing brilliant people. I’d also keep an eye out for Mateen and Harrison Jr. who are…[Read more]

Both the above make good points on Blonde. I hadn’t heard it was going to be so experimental, but I still think it could work and I think Dominik is a pretty great director, although he probably isn’t Awards friendly. Michelle Williams did factor into my thinking though, so that may be a stumbling block. It just has the right mix of subject matter…[Read more]

My early bets for the Lead Acting category winners are Hopkins and de Armas, both actors/ roles seem pretty Awards-ready in their different ways and they’re the only major categories I can pick any sort of early favourites in. I could see Supporting wins for Close and for one of the actors in Da 5 Bloods or Trial of the Chicago 7 too, if I had to…[Read more]

FYC:

• Cate Blanchett and Rooney Mara for Carol
• Michael Stuhlbarg for Call Me By Your Name
• Phantom Thread
• Boyhood
• Inside Llewyn Davis

I think Jojo has a decent chance, but if we’re talking about divisive movies that people will put last on their ballot, I feel like Jojo fits that description more than Parasite or 1917. I guess tactical voting is different, and people could put 1917 and Parasite at 8 and 9 to give their winner a boost, but I’m not sure that’ll be done…[Read more]

Thanks! I’m also leaning toward Parasite – largely because of what you say in your equally spot on analysis. I’m only about 55/45 in Parasite’s favour at the minute though, and that’s basically just because the ACE’s are a bit more authoritative than the BAFTAs.

There’s also a stray note that BAFTAs also awarded Rush – another racing movie -…[Read more]

Editing is definitely one of the hardest. There’s no really reliable precursor, which is the biggest issue I think – BAFTA has been hit-or-miss this decade when it comes to aligning with the Oscars, and the ACE Eddie for Dramatic Feature has been a bit less reliable in recent years, although it has matched for the last two. The CC are…[Read more]

I’m also predicting F v F for Editing at the minute, but I think Parasite has a good shot. Its editing is very flashy and prominent, and the ACE win makes me think it has momentum behind it in this category.

I think this is a good question and one I’ve been keeping in mind when predicting. One of the reasons I’m predicting 1917 this year is actually because the last two years I’ve semi-consciously gone with my heart over my head and been wrong both times.

However, the size of chance I’m still giving to Parasite is not solely founded in personal…[Read more]