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Oscars Winners 2023

Predictions

Best Picture

  • Everything Everywhere All at Once 13/2 -
  • The Banshees of Inisherin 15/2
  • The Fabelmans 15/2

Best Actress

  • Cate Blanchett 69/20
  • Michelle Yeoh 71/20
  • Michelle Williams 9/2

Best Actor

  • Brendan Fraser 7/2
  • Austin Butler 19/5
  • Colin Farrell 39/10

Best Supporting Actress

  • Angela Bassett 16/5
  • Kerry Condon 39/10
  • Jamie Lee Curtis 4/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Ke Huy Quan 31/10
  • Brendan Gleeson 39/10 -
  • Barry Keoghan 9/2 -

Best Director

  • Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert 10/3
  • Steven Spielberg 37/10
  • Martin McDonagh 9/2

Best Song

  • RRR 16/5
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 4/1
  • Top Gun: Maverick 4/1

Best Documentary Feature

  • All the Beauty and the Bloodshed 17/5
  • Fire of Love 39/10
  • Navalny 4/1

Grammy Awards 2023

Predictions

Album of the Year

  • Beyonce 10/1
  • Adele 11/1
  • Harry Styles 13/1

Record of the Year

  • Adele 21/2
  • Harry Styles 11/1
  • Beyonce 23/2 -

Song of the Year

  • Adele 10/1
  • Harry Styles 23/2
  • Beyonce 12/1

New Artist

  • Anitta 11/1
  • Maneskin 23/2
  • Wet Leg 23/2

Pop Solo

  • Adele 6/1
  • Harry Styles 13/2
  • Lizzo 15/2

Pop Duo/Group

  • ABBA 11/2
  • Sam Smith and Kim Petras 6/1
  • Coldplay and BTS 13/2

Pop Vocal Album

  • Adele 11/2 -
  • Harry Styles 6/1
  • ABBA 7/1

Traditional Pop Album

  • Diana Ross 11/2
  • Michael Buble 13/2
  • Kelly Clarkson 7/1

Rock Performance

  • Brandi Carlile 15/2
  • Beck 9/1
  • Ozzy Osbourne 19/2

Rock Song

  • Brandi Carlile 11/2
  • Ozzy Osbourne 13/2
  • Red Hot Chili Peppers 7/1

Rock Album

  • Black Keys 6/1
  • Ozzy Osbourne 13/2
  • Elvis Costello and The Imposters 15/2

Alternative Music Performance

  • Arctic Monkeys 11/2
  • Wet Leg 6/1
  • Florence and the Machine 13/2 -

Alternative Music Album

  • Bjork 11/2
  • Wet Leg 6/1
  • Big Thief 7/1

R&B Performance

  • Beyonce 11/2
  • Jazmine Sullivan 13/2
  • Mary J. Blige feat. Anderson Paak 13/2

Traditional R&B Performance

  • Mary J. Blige 11/2
  • Beyonce 6/1
  • Adam Blackstone feat. Jazmine Sullivan 7/1

R&B Song

  • Beyonce 11/2
  • Mary J. Blige 13/2
  • Jazmine Sullivan 7/1

R&B Album

  • Mary J. Blige 5/1
  • Lucky Daye 13/2
  • Robert Glasper 7/1

Progressive R&B Album

  • Steve Lacy 5/1
  • Cory Henry 13/2
  • Tank and the Bangas 13/2 -

Rap Performance

  • Kendrick Lamar 5/1
  • DJ Khaled 13/2
  • Doja Cat 13/2

Melodic Rap Performance

  • Kendrick Lamar feat. Blxst and Amanda Reifer 11/2
  • Future featuring Drake and Tems 13/2
  • Jack Harlow 7/1 -

Rap Song

  • Kendrick Lamar 11/2 -
  • DJ Khaled 13/2
  • Future featuring Drake and Tems 7/1

Rap Album

  • Kendrick Lamar 5/1
  • Future 13/2
  • DJ Khaled 7/1

Country Solo Performance

  • Willie Nelson 11/2
  • Miranda Lambert 13/2
  • Maren Morris 13/2

Country Duo/Group Performance

  • Alison Krauss and Robert Plant 6/1
  • Reba McEntire and Dolly Parton 13/2
  • Carly Pearce and Ashley McBryde 17/2

Country Song

  • Willie Nelson 6/1
  • Maren Morris 7/1
  • Miranda Lambert 8/1

Country Album

  • Miranda Lambert 6/1
  • Willie Nelson 6/1
  • Maren Morris 13/2

Musica Urbana Album

  • Bad Bunny 5/1
  • Daddy Yankee 13/2
  • Rauw Alejandro 7/1

Latin Pop Album

  • Christina Aguilera 11/2
  • Sebastian Yatra 13/2
  • Ruben Blades and Boca Livre 13/2

Audio Book, Narration, Storytelling

  • Viola Davis 11/2
  • Questlove 6/1
  • Lin-Manuel Miranda 7/1 -

Music Video

  • Taylor Swift 11/2
  • Adele 7/1
  • Kendrick Lamar 8/1

Musical Theater Album

  • A Strange Loop 6/1
  • MJ the Musical 13/2
  • Into the Woods 8/1

Visual Media Compilation

  • Encanto 11/2
  • Elvis 6/1
  • West Side Story 7/1 -

Visual Media Score

  • The Power of the Dog 11/2
  • Encanto 6/1
  • Succession 7/1

Visual Media Song

  • Encanto 11/2
  • Top Gun: Maverick 7/1
  • King Richard 15/2
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loudtoilet

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Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 1,748 total)
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  • loudtoilet
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    January 20, 2023 at 3:12 am #1205254795

    that was then.


    loudtoilet
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    January 20, 2023 at 3:10 am #1205254793

    Woman-centric movies collapsed because there are too many of them and all are average and forgettable so no wonder suprior woman-centric movies EEAAO and TAR hold strong. voters rally around 1 or 2 not 10.

    Objectively speaking:

    Women Talking is boring and revolves around a very niche culture that is incomprehensible and uninteresting to most people. It’s a tough sell. Also, Banshees is a superior “talky” so voters can compare and shun the inferior one.

    BPWF and Woman King are eating into each other’s votes with BPWF currently having an edge due to locked acting winner  cause voters love Queen Ramonda and don’t Woman King and multiple techs many of whom WK missed. They are fighting for the last spots in Top 10 with some other movies.

    She Said is a topic Hollywood wants to move on from. Not just Hollywood. Audience rejected it as well.

    Till is Lifetime, too small and if I’m mistaken released close to BPWF.

    Nothing surprising here.

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    loudtoilet
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    January 20, 2023 at 2:56 am #1205254786

    Bassett will win BAFTA because BAFTA will award Banshees in other big categories so they can spread the wealth and acknowledge the frontrunner. Banshees will win at least Picture, Actor and Script. Farrell is locked and loaded here so they don’t have to award Condon too.


    loudtoilet
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    January 20, 2023 at 2:46 am #1205254771
    Lil Tony wrote:

    She also wasn’t a clear lead in The Help and Ma Rainey

    Apples and oranges. She was a co-frontrunner with Streep when she competed with The Help. She wasn’t going to miss. Oscars 2021 had no frontrunner so it was up for grabs category and the year was barren thanks to covid-19. OTOH, Blanchett is the frontrunner with Yeoh as challenger, both from strong movies. Everyone else is an also-run aka thanks for participating and thus vulnerable to getting snubbed in favor of a passion pick.

    While I don’t think she will be the snub of the category, there’s no passion for her performance beyond checking the name box, nor for her movie that everyone pretends to like yet is obviously getting clobbered by BPWF in techs that WK was suppose to show up in, plus that PGA nom for BPWF where WK was also expected to appear. There’s no doubt that these 2 movie are eating into eahc other’s votes but BPWF has an advatange due to locked SA winner aka Yass Queen Slay (Woman) King and more techs. However, other 2 also-runs don’t fare better. DeArmas movie is openly disliked so playing an icon is her only hope to stay affloat. Deadwyler has the performance but her movie has proven too small to matter. So, IMO, Blanchett and Yeoh are safe but all the rest are up for grabs and surprises.


    loudtoilet
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    January 19, 2023 at 6:10 pm #1205254500

    Yeoh’s main problem is Quan. he’s going to win so he is stealing a bit of her thunder and AMPAS may spread the wealth. As others pointed out, 2 acting wins from the same movie are rare. Also, EEAAO is the frontrunner and stands a good chance in Director and Original. So since supporting actor is locked, there may be less urgency to award another actor/actress. I get that she has the best narrative but many voters don’t vote for narrative. Also, it’s the year with so many veterans whose time has finally come, and 2 are locked to win (Quan and Bassett). That may not extend to other 2 categories though both Fraser and Farrell stand a good chance against newcomer Butler.


    loudtoilet
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    January 19, 2023 at 5:59 pm #1205254494

    BPWF is terrible. It’s busy setting up spin-offs, half of it is a shoe-horned pilot for Iron Heart show, and the villain is laughable. Wants to kill a teenager, lmao! Just pure trash.No wonder it didn’t create cultural movement unlike the first, which is reflected in average legs and big boxoffice drop from the first. People just didn’t like it all that much, no surprise.

    Bassett was fire, though.

    there are no challengers. Bassett will sweep SAG and BAFTA and win AMPAS.


    loudtoilet
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    January 19, 2023 at 5:54 pm #1205254490
    FreemanGriffin wrote:

    Babylon is 10th in the odds and is the only one in the top ten I am not predicting – I am going with a longshot: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever. Bassett is a frontrunner and it’s also a frontrunner for Costumes and Production Design; it’s a wonderful movie; and it’s really weird that it isn’t higher ranked. 

    It isn’t wonderful at all. It’s a pilot for a D+ show and a set up for 5 different spin-offs. It’s barely a movi. It’s a promo reel for future projects. And like I said it had none of the advantages the first had. Tepid boxoffice in comparison to the first (and TGM and AWOW) shows that people simply didn’t like it all that much and that it didn’t create a cultural wave of support that propelled the first one. It was rightfully ignored in Picture before PGA’s bafling nomination. It could get in by coattailing Bassett but I really hope that doesn’t happen especially at the expense of AWOW.

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    loudtoilet
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    January 19, 2023 at 5:45 pm #1205254470
    Nameizmann wrote:

    Avatar missing BP is a possibility. Though no great alternative

    Disney campaigning 2 blockbusters isn’t doing it any favors. Avatar deserves the nom more than BPWF but since the latter will have  Supporting Actress winner that might give it an edge, even though the movie is nothing – not a cultural phenom, not a boxoffice phenom (made way less than the first), missed precursors that the first didn’t (GG, CC, SAG Ensemble, WGA). At least Avatar is too big too ignore (will make 2 billion this weekend) and a marvel to behold.

    Safe:

    EEAAO – projected winner

    Banshees

    Elvis

    Fabelmans

    TAR

    TGM
    _________________________________
    On the rise:

    The Whale

    AQOTWF – foreign spot? streaming spot?
    ______________________________________
    who the heck knows?

    AWOW?

    BPWF?

    Women Talking?

    Woman King?

    Triangle of Sadness?

    RRR?

    Glass Onion?

    Decison to Leave?

    Other?

     

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    loudtoilet
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    January 19, 2023 at 5:34 pm #1205254458

    This category is locked. Mystery is only who 4 nominess will be. One has to be delusional not to see that Bassett has this. Sweep incoming. Terrible movie BTW but she was a saving grace. I just hope she won’t coattail her movie to Picture nom cause it’s really subpar, is just another sequel not a pop cultural phenom that the first was and boxoffice is little over half of what the first made so not even too big to ignore. I see no point of nominating it, don’t know what PGA was thinking.

    Controversial opinion: Williams wouldn’t win even if she campaigned in supporting from the start. Industry is backin Bassett not because Williams went lead but because they feel it’s her time. Also, Williams movie isn’t as strong as its studio thought and her nom depended on the strength of it. Bassett got away with crapola cause that made her stand out even more.

    it’s over. This category and supporting actor are locked loaded sealed and delivered.


    loudtoilet
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    January 12, 2023 at 4:20 am #1205238510
    Victor wrote:

    I’m also sad for The Boys but that’s what Amazon gets for airing in June when they could’ve easily aired at March-April and got some Emmy love

    And why do you think it was so? Amazon wanted all awards for their over-budgeted, creatively bankrupt mediocrity so they sacrificed The Boys (early release, half-arsed afterthought campaign) and put all effort in trying to make that 1 billion dollar Fetch happen. And Fetch was not going to happen. It’s over. It flopped with all big Guilds so far and even missed some techs that it shouldn’t have missed in theory. There’s no ethusiasm for it and it isn’t for the lack of trying cause Amazon really campaigned its arse off.  It’ll be DOA with Emmys except some techs.

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    loudtoilet
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    December 9, 2022 at 1:13 am #1205184713

    Curious to see what AFI makes of HOTD. It’s been flopping hard with critics list. They jumped on Andor wagon as if there could be only 1 genre show, and CC snubbing Considine in favor of Luna, who isn’t even the show’s Top 3 performer (Skarsgaard, Serkis and Reily are way ahead) is unforgivable. So lets see how the industry feels about the show.

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    loudtoilet
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    December 7, 2022 at 4:39 am #1205181412

    In alphabetical order:

    Avatar:TWOW

    Banshees of Isherin

    Elvis

    EEAAO

    Fabelmans

    Glass Onion

    Something Foreign (RRR? Decision to Leave? Triangle of Sadness?)

    TAR

    Top Gun Maverick

    Women Talking

    Can’t think of the 10th.

     

     


    loudtoilet
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    December 6, 2022 at 10:52 am #1205180388
    Allan Veríssimo wrote:

    The Lord of the Rings got a nomination: Ismael Cruz Córdova in Supporting Actor.

    Can someone please explain to me how this complete waste of space got nominated? He did NOTHING worthy of awards on the show. Lame acrobatics, expressionless staring, am I missing something?

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    loudtoilet
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    December 4, 2022 at 5:30 am #1205177441
    kamila wrote:

    As time passes, I just don’t think Ackie is in this anymore.

    Au contraire, she’s very much in. The lineup needs an ingenue. Some late breaker always gets in and she is in better position than Robbie cause her movie will be huge.

    I expect Ackie to miss SAG due to late screener but get AMPAS nom over some typical SAG pick.

    Fabelmans is not winning. They didn’t give it to ROMA and Belfast, they won’t give it to Fabelmans even if that one is more accessible to AMPAS (Hollywood, no accents that require subtitles, not an interminable slog and in foreign language to boot).

    My bet is EEAAO – forget being divisive, rules and stats are meant to be broken – cause nothing else makes sense. After the Hallmark win, AMPAS will go for something totally opposite.


    loudtoilet
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    December 4, 2022 at 5:24 am #1205177439

    LOL people who doubt Butler’s nomination. He’s in. His movie will be a Picture nominee. It’s AMPAS catnip and WB has nothing else so they’ll give it all to the campaign.

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