[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203316069

Brayden Fitzsimmons wrote:

First attempt GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES 1. Christopher Meloni – The Handmaid’s Tale 2. Charles Dance – The Crown 3. O.T. Fagbenle – The Handmaid’s Tale 4. Don Johnson – Watchmen 5. Ron Cephas Jones – This Is Us 6. Omar Epps – This Is Us — 7. Jovan Adepo – Watchmen 8. BD Wong – Mr. Robot 9. Denis O’Hare – Big Little Lies 10. Esai Morales – How to Get Away with Murder GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES 1. Alexis Bledel – The Handmaid’s Tale 2. Jane Lapotaire – The Crown 3. Phylicia Rashad – This Is Us 4. Cicely Tyson – How to Get Away with Murder 5. Geraldine Chaplin – The Crown 6. Laverne Cox – Orange is the New Black — 7. Cherry Jones – Succesion 8. Hong Chau – Watchmen 9. Marsha Stephanie Blake – This Is Us 10. Patti LuPone – Pose 11. Emerald Fennell – The Crown 12. Julie Dretzin – The Handmaid’s Tale 13. Anges Peppermint Moore – Pose 14. Elisabeth Resser – The Handmaid’s Tale 15. Marsha Stephanie Blake – How to Get Away with Murder GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES 1. Eddie Murphy – Saturday Night Live 2. Luke Kirby – The Marvelous Mrs Maisel 3. Jon Hamm – Curb Your Enthusiasm 4. Bob Einstein – Curb Your Enthusiasm 5. Will Ferrell – Saturday Night Live 6. RuPaul Charles – Saturday Night Live – 7. Zachary Levi – The Marvelous Mrs Maisel 8. Dev Patel – Modern Love 9. Marshala Ali – Ramy 10. Ted Danson – Curb Your Enthusiasm GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES 1. Maya Rudolph – The Good Place 2. Phoebe Waller-Bridge – Saturday Night Live 3. Angela Bassett – A Black Lady Sketch Show 4. Judith Light – The Politician 5. Wanda Sykes – The Marvelous Mrs Maisel 6. Lisa Kudrow – The Good Place – 7. Anne Hathaway – Modern Love 8. Liza Weil – The Marvelous Mrs Maisel 9. Bette Midler – The Politician 10. Laverne Cox – Curb Your Enthusiasm

Denis O’Hare is ineligible for BLL since he appeared in more than 3 episodes (so more than 50%).

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203314695

forwardswill wrote:

This is bending history a little bit as yes Wiley was second to Rigg but it was very acknowledged that it was a close race

Still, my point stands: its wins in this category have been significant, even if everyone tries to ignore that, lol.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203314377

jacob121 wrote:

On the soapy spectrum I think TMS is closer to Empire than TIU and we all saw how that fared. Given Aniston’s SAG win she’s in the mix but I don’t think her nomination is a guarantee at all. I don’t see the show picking up much beyond that.

This. This. Thank you! That’s what I’ve been saying all along.

And I agree, Reese should get in for BLL, where she gives the better performance. She’s pretty lackluster on TMS.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203313886

sofan wrote:

TIU is soapy too and ATAS loves it. House of Cards was even more soapy than The Morning Show and it got 9 nominations for its first season and it was around lower double digits for the following three seasons. Once you pretend it is “prestige” it doesn’t really matter how soapy the show is. And I’m sure Apple is not going to hesitate to spend more money campaigning for this show.

TIU is a different kind of soapy – it’s emotionally manipulative, but it’s still “cleanly” produced and doesn’t have wild editing, loud OTT music and 500 slow-mo sequences. I can’t speak to HoC as I’ve never seen it. Heck, even Handmaid’s is soapy, but like TIU, it’s still the type of soapy the acadeny will accept. TMS reminded me so much of a network TV drama, like HTGAWM or anything in that vein. Of course the cast of TMS still elevates it. And I really would like someone to call this prestige (on the same level as some of the other shows in contention) after that cringe-worthy LA fires episode, which was pretty terrible IMO (outside of Aniston’s flawless performance).

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203313870

sofan wrote:

And I stand by what I said. TIU’s first season got 11 nominations with barely anything but acting nominations. I think TMS will eventually get most of the following: Drama Series Lead Actress (Aniston) Lead Actress (Witherspoon) Lead Actor (Carell) Supporting Actress (Mbatha-Raw) Supporting Actor (Crudup) Supporting Actor (Duplass) Guest Actor (Short) Casting Director (Mimi Leder) Music Supervision Music Composition (Carter Burwell) Make-up Hair-styling Editing (possibly season finale)

Hey, I could totally see TMS just blowing up, too, but atm I just don’t see it. It’s too soapy a show, and the academy hates that genre. I have to laugh at some of those categories you mentioned.

This will be a fun back and forth between the two of us all season long- but we should have fun with it 😀

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203313750

wolfali wrote:

If either Jane Lapotaire, Geraldine Chaplin or Emerald Fennel win Guest Actress this yeae then The Crown might take Handmaids’s juggernaut title in this category because there is no way Claire Foy is not a lock for a nomination in Guest Actress next year (as for the win, we’ll have to see what else comes next year).

Yeah, no. Foy is in no way anything until we’ve actually seen her performance. And TC is not becoming any juggernaut in this category after just one win, lol. Handmaid’s won three times in a row, and twice it wasn’t expected to – that’s why it’s a favorite here. I doubt the Crown even gets a nomination in guest actress this year (they’ll get a guest actor nom though)

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203305968

I forgot to mention Emmy nominee Marsha Stephanie Blake, who could submit for both “This Is Us” or “HTGAWM.” She gave the better performance, by a mile, on Murder, which bagged three acting bids last year.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203305893

My current drama predictions

Best Drama Guest Actress:

1. Alexis Bledel (The Handmaid’s Tale)
2. Phylicia Rashad (This Is Us)
3. Cherry Jones (The Handmaid’s Tale)
4. Cicely Tyson (How to Get Away With Murder)
5. Julie Dretzin (The Handmaid’s Tale)/ Elizabeth Reaser (The Handmaid’s Tale)
6. Laverne Cox (OITNB)

Spoilers: anyone from The Crown, Becky Ann Baker (BLL), Cherry Jones (Succession) who I think will submit for both shows but will get in for Handmaid’s since the acting branch is addicted to this show in these guest categories.

Drama Guest Actor:
1. Christopher Meloni (The Handmaid’s Tale)
2. Charles Dance (The Crown)
3. O.T. Fagbenle (The Handmaid’s Tale)
4. Ron Cephas Jones (This Is Us)
5. Cameron Britton (Mindhunter)?
6. F. Murray Abraham (Homeland) if he appears

Spoiler: Max Minghella (The Handmaid’s Tale), James Cromwell (Succession)

 

• This reply was modified 1 day, 23 hours ago by  Luca Giliberti.
• This reply was modified 1 day, 23 hours ago by  Luca Giliberti.
• This reply was modified 1 hour, 50 minutes ago by  Luca Giliberti.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203305642

Riley Chow wrote:

Happy to have been part of the two percent who called that Watchmen upset at DGA. I was the only Editor to have Nicole Kassell even in my top two! I put frontrunner Mark Mylod fourth, which is where the odds had Kassell. Hard to get a read on The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel this season. A few months after the opposite result at the Emmys, there it goes losing ASC to The Handmaid’s Tale, which has not won a cinematography award since it first contended for one with its pilot at the 2017 Emmys. Fleabag tied at CAS, proving that it only missed a sound mixing nomination at the Emmys because it peaked too late.

I saw your Watchmen prediction and am so mad for not trusting you, lol. That cinematography loss for Maisel is weird indeed, but Handmaid’s deserved this, so I’m glad. Maybe Handmaid’s split the vote at the Emmys since it had two nominations?

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203305520

What I meant is that the closer we get to May/June, the more we’re able to read the temperature in the room. If TMS still holds on until then, I will predict it in the acting races, but I need to see how this drams field plays out and develops. And oh yeah for sure, but sofan said lower double-digits, which would mean not only acting. Anyway, I now sound like a hater of the show although I truly enjoyed it. So I’ll just stop. We’ll see what happens.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203305357

Handmaid’s won ASC over Maisel! Yay!

sofan wrote:

You are really afraid TMS will kick THT out of contention in many categories, aren’t you? It is funny, tbh. Will be even funnier to read your fumes when TMS overperforms, which I expect will get nominations around lower double-digits.

You’re funny. I’ve ranked among the top 10 predictors for the Emmy nods for two years in a row now, I think I have some sort of credibility, right? Look, I don’t think TMS is an academy show, that’s it. I greatly enjoyed watching it though. It might overperform, but I need more evidence to predict that; we’re still too early in the season. I’m just surprised that the GD forums, which were very lukewarm on TMS, are all of a sudden singing its praises. And for the record, I’m not worried about it edging out Handmaid’s, because except for in actress, THT is probably still ahead of it.

• This reply was modified 2 days, 6 hours ago by  Luca Giliberti.
• This reply was modified 2 days, 6 hours ago by  Luca Giliberti.
• This reply was modified 2 days, 6 hours ago by  Luca Giliberti.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203304672

I love Unbelievable with all my heart but in no way is it coming close to that cinematography Emmy. It has probably the subtlest (as in non-showy) cinematography of the year and is not going to win over much, much flashier titles.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203304544

boss wrote:

And Watchmen should submit “A God Walks into Abar” for writing. There is nothing particular about its pilot and “This Extraordinary Being” is more of a directorial achievement. By the way, I really adored the show but I don’t think it deserves any acting nomination. I’m aware that Regina King is locked for a nomination though, given her previous wins.

I have yet to watch Watchmen past its pilot and am curious to see if the acting is as good as everyone makes it out to be. I wasn’t particularly wowed by anyone in the pilot, so I hope that changes.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203304519

forwardswill wrote:

Since when did doing nothing rule someone out? We just had Cherry Jones.

Yeah, but Cherry Jones was nominated for a show the TV academy loves. I told everyone all season long that she was a threat (although I didn’t ultimately predict her myself), but everyone kept telling me I was crazy. And Jones did more in those 5 minutes of screen time than Kaling did in her few episodes, collectively, with her one-dimensional performance (which isn’t her fault at all because that was the intention).

• This reply was modified 2 days, 16 hours ago by  Luca Giliberti.
• This reply was modified 2 days, 16 hours ago by  Luca Giliberti.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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[LucaKeymaster Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 31 Posts: 4852 View Predictions]

#1203304508

The Crown needs to submit “Aberfan” for directing, because my God was that a stunning episode.

Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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