Forum Replies Created
May 28, 2021 at 7:34 pm #1204277262
Chalamet critiques aside, it’s a romance-horror movie so definitely not going to be nominated. I’ll stan Michael Stuhlbarg and that’s about it.May 27, 2021 at 12:08 am #1204274739
In the Heights getting critically acclaimed (so much so it might actually be the most lauded of them all from a critical standpoint) makes me hopeful, but it having a summer release kind of dampers its hopes unless the campaign champions it as a celebration of Dominican heritage. Honestly, all I hope is that Lin-Manuel Miranda wins his EGOT, but he’ll more likely win for Encanto than this one.
West Side Story does have the best chance by virtue of its release date and director, but remakes of previous Best Picture winners have almost never gone well (just look at last year’s Rebecca), and there is the Ansel Elgort-sized elephant in the room to deal with.
If Annette were a foreign language film, I would have said no brainer, but as of now all the film can really hope for is that Carax gets a Best Director nod from the international voters, a la Pawlikowski and Vinterberg.
Also, you forgot Encanto and Dear Evan Hansen. The former will probably steal away Best Animated Feature and Original Song (since all the others are adaptations), while the latter looks to be good but not Oscar-worthy unfortunately.May 26, 2021 at 7:11 pm #1204274562
OSCARS: 2014, 2016, 2019
BAFTA: 2015, 2017, 2018May 3, 2021 at 8:58 pm #1204241627
Except his performance onstage was extremely meaty and he’s reprising one of the biggest and most challenging showcase roles in the Broadway canon which previously earned him through the roof raves. Not saying he’s winning, but the justification that there’s meatier performances is very flawed.
Maybe I should rephrase: the Oscars are probably wanting a more catering, substantial role, and musicals haven’t supplied that in a long time. Les Mis and La La Land had the period and Hollywood aspects respectively, while Dear Evan Hansen is more of a coming-of-age drama in concept. Evan’s definitely a complex character, but the Academy has practically never rewarded films of that John Hughes aesthetic.May 3, 2021 at 6:16 pm #1204241537
On the subject of Lin-Manuel Miranda and Ben Platt being up for EGOTs, I think the Academy could actually split the vote. We happen to be forgetting Encanto – a Disney musical which (unlike Moana) is entirely scored by Miranda. I would never underestimate Disney in the music categories, and with this film being a full-blown musical about a foreign culture, there’s no way that the score doesn’t get nominated. Granted, they don’t usually win outside of Renaissance movies, but Miranda is so well-respected that there’s no way they won’t consider it.
This leaves Dear Evan Hansen, which of course is barred from the score category since it is based on an existing music score. This will definitely result in Pasek and Paul pushing for the song category, but it makes me wonder if they’ll let Platt in, since he’s branched himself out as a musician since. There’s also zero chance he wins the Best Actor category even if he won a Tony for the role, given that Hollywood rewards meatier performances; it’s honestly the safest bet to focus on song.
That’s the impression I got from the short clips, you don’t think the cinematography looked very Chloe Zhao or LOTR vibes from this?
I agree actually on the Chloe Zhao comparison, the shots they showed are very naturalistic and almost all at Golden Hour. Not sure where the LOTR comparison is though.May 2, 2021 at 6:47 pm #1204239929
As an MCU fanboy, I’ll have to see what Eternals does to truly distinguish itself. I do think this could be a bigger technical contender than previous MCU movies, but that’s all for now; I’m not expecting a Black Panther showcase at all due to the lack of social relevance (unless they push Brian Tyree Henry because his character is gay). In terms of anticipation, I will say that Ramin Djawadi is a criminally underrated musician who deserves the Ludwig career boost, and Ben Davis could get some cinematography traction following Three Billboards, especially if he’s working with Zhao (not to downplay Joshua James Richards’ work in previous Zhao films of course).May 1, 2021 at 10:07 pm #1204238776
I don’t think Nightmare Alley will do well awards season wise. Lots of people are predicting because of Del Toro’s hype post Shape of Water, but first of all, that movie didn’t age greatly compared to the other films of that same year, and second of all, Del Toro is a wildly inconsistent director, much like Ridley Scott, a mixed bag.
The Shape of Water, I would say, aged pretty well, as I’ve heard multiple people still talking about it today. Though I will concede, 2017 had by far the greatest Best Picture lineup of the decade, rivalled only by 2014, so it being the winner was always going to be a bit controversial when stacked against such heavy competition.
As for Del Toro, he’s actually pretty consistent. His worst films are usually considered mediocre at worst. However, the thing I think will elevate Nightmare Alley in regards to awards is the fact that it lacks his usual “monster fantasy” schtick that was always the biggest thing holding Shape of Water back. This one’s a straightforward psychological, character-driven drama, which should no doubt at least throw attention Cooper’s way (especially since he’s overdue as of now). Also, he’s the only one of the Three Amigos to not have two Best Director wins, and that certainly is going to attract SOME attention.April 27, 2021 at 4:37 pm #1204232365
Personal bias: Colman
Awards trajectory: HopkinsApril 26, 2021 at 8:41 pm #1204230728
I’m really not sure what Disney is thinking putting this show in Drama. It doesn’t stand a chance in the majority of categories, as evidenced by its current placement in the GoldDerby stats. I guess they don’t want it conflicting with WandaVision, and could do a “triple threat” play with Loki as the Comedy rep. But again, I don’t think this is a smart move. WandaVision is going to be the big Marvel rep this time around.April 25, 2021 at 9:44 pm #1204227107
I have nothing to add, but I do have a question. In terms of performers, are Daytime Emmys considered as prestigious as Primetime ones? Like, would they count for someone’s Triple Crown of Acting?April 25, 2021 at 9:39 pm #1204227085
Based less on the quality of the roles (I have yet to see either Supporting win) and more on overall impact.
1. Yong Yuh-Jong
2. Daniel Kaluuya
3. Frances McDormand
4. Anthony HopkinsApril 23, 2021 at 5:48 pm #1204218218
Carl Lumbly deserved a nomination as Guest Actor for episode 5.
This is a miniseries, so there’s no Guest award for this show. That said, I do think he’s by far the standout and would be all for him (and Wyatt Russell) getting a Supporting Actor nomination, much more so than the leads (not that Mackie and Stan weren’t bad themselves).April 22, 2021 at 10:37 pm #1204216454
* Wesley Snipes for The Hurricane (Denzel Washington)
* Michael Madsen for Pulp Fiction (John Travolta)
* Chevy Chase for American Beauty (Kevin Spacey)
* Mark Strong for No Country for Old Men (Javier Bardem)
* Scarlett Johansson for Changeling (Angelina Jolie)April 20, 2021 at 12:27 pm #1204211640
I mention Hemsworth is more likely mainly because Hemsworth’s branching out into comedy shows he has more range and also showcases a potential way for him to get a baity role (i.e. a dramedy film), whereas Evans has only showcased two types: a goody two-shoes and an asshole. Though I will concede, Evans no longer being in the MCU certainly helps his chances, and Hemsworth sticking to action roles means he won’t go for it for a while.
Is it a retelling of “The Fugitive”? Because plot sounds almost exactly the same.
Kind of. It’s more like that combined with Enemy of the State combined with the first Mission: Impossible movie. If going by the novel, there will be a revenge angle to it as well, so hopefully not too much like The Fugitive.