[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204863459

Vicki Leekx wrote:

The Queen

Who the hell is this and why do I suddenly love it

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[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204863454

Chris Beachum wrote:

We will have 5 secret ballots to publish once voting is over. That’s usually the standard practice, although some websites don’t follow that appropriate standard.

Thank you for letting us know! <3

[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204863449

film123 wrote:

CODA stans are so😭😭

https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=true&embedId=twitter-widget-0&features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3NrZWxldG9uX2xvYWRpbmdfMTMzOTgiOnsiYnVja2V0IjoiY3RhIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd19zcGFjZV9jYXJkIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6Im9mZiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9fQ%3D%3D&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1505531511143124993&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goldderby.com%2Fforum%2Fmovies%2Foscars-2022-predictions-best-picture-and-director-part-34%2F&sessionId=1dad31a71dc0e53674ab2efbcd6f2f7cb312c0cd&siteScreenName=GoldDerby&theme=light&widgetsVersion=2582c61%3A1645036219416&width=550px

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Why is it so hard for people to admit that CODA is not a masterpiece nor it is groundbreaking, if people love it that’s completely fine, but the truth is (even tho it is only my opinion I think I’m being quite accurate) that CODA is a really basic film, there are thousands of films that have a very similar structure, the characters are stereotypes from other movies, it just isn’t innovative. It does not have to be innovative to be enjoyed, but I personally didn’t like it because I’ve already seen that kind of movie made before, now it’s just being made with deaf people, which is cool but doesn’t make me like it more only because of that. We have two films which are complete opposites and in seven days we’ll know who is going to win the battle.

[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204862750

I hate this, and we don’t even know which one between Belfast, Licorice and DLU could be ahead because all of them lack either support or passion. On the Adapted side we know CODA is really loved, but in Original the three contenders seem to have the same level of chances at the Oscars.

My anxiety is going to kill me before next sunday.

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[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204862247

FreemanGriffin wrote:

For me it was that it was in a foreign language – Roma not winning the year before and Parasite winning PGA and DGA influenced me into thinking 1917 would eke out a close win for BP and Director. Parasite being the first ever foreign language BP winner seemed unlikely. In retrospect I realized that 1917 was about the wrong war! It would have done better if it had been a WWII movie!

Wait, but Parasite didn’t win PGA nor DGA, 1917 won both.

[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204862231

Okay so are you all gonna continue to analyze Campion’s speech and make up reasons of why she’s a horrible human being or are you gonna post more ballots? Because damn at this point they are more than needed.

[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204844162

wilfredpickles wrote:

Thank you! I’ve actually only been covering the shorts in depth since last year. I managed to predict 3/3 at the 92nd Oscars based purely on pundits and without seeing any of the films, which felt a bit strange, so since then I’ve wanted to see if actually watching as many as I can helps at all (TBD so far – only got 2/3 last year, missing Doc which in my opinion that was a pretty tight three-way race, I wish I’d stuck with my gut/personal preference and picked Colette). Hopefully sharing my thoughts on them helps other users’ predictions too.

I have gotten 3/3 two out of the last three years (last year being the exception) thanks to people like you! I never watch the shorts, but reading others opinions has helped me a lot, and some users are great at analyzing them and their possibilities, I’ll keep cheking this thread to read more 🖤

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[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204841635

wilfredpickles wrote:

Just finished watching the Docs, some brief impressions and my predictions:

Lead Me Home and Three Songs for Benazir were filler for me. Their subjects are worth exploring but I didn’t think there was anything noteworthy about their presentation.

When We Were Bullies had a very cool art style, though Jay Rosenblatt’s narration and writing annoyed me somewhat. It felt a bit affected. Still wouldn’t be surprised or think it’s a bad choice if it won.

The safe bet is one of Audible or The Queen of Basketball. Both make for easy and engaging viewing, and in the latter’s case we already know the branch likes the director. Also, maybe anyone who voted for Sound of Metal in the feature categories last year and CODA this year will rally around Audible (though that’s hard to gauge).

Predictions for now:

1/ The Queen of Basketball (I should once again bring up the mini trend in this category recently of a catchy name leading to a win, plus Lusia Harris sadly just passed away which voters might hear about)

2/ Audible

3/ When We Were Bullies

4/ Three Songs for Benazir

5/ Lead Me Home

Are you the user who posts their commentary and opinions on the shorts every year? Because if you are I wanna thank you so much haha, you’ve helped me a lot! And if you are not still thank you for giving your opinion because it helps me understand how the categories may go, much love you!

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[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204787520

aahoto wrote:

Not me ranking 38th in the leader board with only one Live Action Short correct, goes to show how mental these nominations were.

I made it to #29 with only one correct too in that category lol, I still don’t know how

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[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204787446

I made it to #29 and I have no idea how, I was flopping HARD every single category with all those crazy nominations.

Still, I’m really happy that I made it so high! The Oscars poll is the most difficult one.

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[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204775395

wrote:

Is anyone else not predicting Colman besides me? Idk how many of you are on AW, but I got laughed at for the very idea, but idk….. she could very well miss. I’m actually going for a full entire miss on TLD with 0 nominations.

I do feel like her nomination would be entirely on her performance, not necessarily because there is passion behind it, so she could very well miss and TLD could be the screenplay-only nominee.

[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204685847

The hell does cinematography have to do with Director wins? ☠️

Well, it actually has “connected” these past decade quite a few times, I personally do pay some attention to both categories and how they have been relating at the Oscars.

[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204685811

Rachel615 wrote:

I don’t really understand this analogy/comparison. Did you think CODA was condescending to the deaf characters and deaf people in general? Did you think the hearing characters were virtue signaling?

Personally, I enjoyed very much CODA’s portrayal of the co-dependency of the family— a dynamic I’ve never seen portrayed as effectively on film before.

Not necessarily on it’s theme or how it portrays its characters, but the structure of the film just felt so basic crowdpleaser about some emotional subject that you are supposed to connect with because it’s supposed to be sad.

To me that is what those types of movies try to do, CODA is a perfectly fine movie (to me) and I would prefer a more interesting contender to take its spot

[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204685019

There was a point during the movie in which I forgot it actually was a movie, I just felt like I was watching the actual parents of a victim and a shooter talking to each other. My favorite part is Plimpton saying “why do I wanna know about your son? Because he killed mine”.

There are some small issues with the screenplay, and everything before and after the main part of the movie (the table) feels like it could have been reduced a little bit, besides that, very effective film.

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[Manuelcolon Joined: Nov 20th, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1204684996

Stefania wrote:

Be patient with us Europeans: we don’t always get to see small American or British indie movies in theaters, so we have to wait for VOD options. Anyway, I watched “Mass” last night and the acting is superb. I thought I liked Plimpton slightly more than Dowd until that last scene and now they’re almost on par for me.

I think possibilities of Oscar nominations for Ann Dowd or the screenplay are small. Last year I was so hopeful that “Never Rarely Sometimes Always” or “First Cow” could get in somewhere and my dreams crashed and burned. That “CODA” is the indie movie that’s making a splash is slightly disappointing. It’s not bad or anything, but some parts are very cliché (for example all the parts related to her singing lessons). I guess this is the “heartwarming crowd pleaser” year. 🤷🏼‍♀️

I see no difference between CODA and past nominees like The Blind Side and The Help, I don’t understand at all the massive praise it has gotten like it is some kind of masterpiece. I can even compare it to The Starling.